According to SurveyUSA and Emerson
 | NORTH CAROLINA – SurveyUSA |
| Trump | 50 |
| Biden | 45 |
| North Carolina Governor: | |
| Robinson | 42 |
| Stein | 44 |
 | GEORGIA – Emerson/The Hill |
| Trump | 52 |
| Biden | 48 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 44 |
| Biden | 37 |
| Kennedy | 5 |
| West | 2 |
| Stein | 1 |
- Last week of the year. Will the scandals in Minnesota be investigated?
- Weekend thread……
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Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.0 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.8 / 51.0 | -5.2 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
28 responses to “Trump with edge in North Carolina and Georgia”
Robinson might be too extreme for NC.
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just for context, Trump of course won North Carolina in 2020, and yet exactly four years ago SurveyUSA polled NC and found it Trump 45/Biden 49.
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And given Biden has made it clear he is RUNNING only on the “insurrection” and Abortion, here is the key line from Emerson’s Georgia poll:
The economy is the most important issue facing Georgia at 32%, followed by immigration (14%), healthcare (12%), crime (11%), housing affordability (8%), threats to democracy (8%), education (7%), and abortion access (6%).
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SurveyUSA also polled NC in late April, 2020 and found it Trump 45/Biden 50, the exact opposite of their poll today.
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I’d be curious to see the demographics of the NC voters who would vote for Trump but not Robinson.
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Hur is skewering Biden at the hearing.
He explained the reason he delved into Biden’s cognitive problems was because THAT was going to be his defense at a trial. And a good defense.
If not for this, he would have charged him.
So the MSM and the Dems are whining about something that actually saved Biden from being indicted.
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Robinson has been accused of anti-semitic comments so I can imagine some Jews who support Trump because of his pro-Israel stance might not vote for Robinson.
That is a very small demographic, granted, only about 50,000 Jews in NC.
I think the bigger risk for Robinson is not that some Trump supporters would vote for Stein but that they would leave it blank.
In any case this poll shows Robinson running behind Trump. There must be a reason for that.
In my view, it is the perception that Robinson is too extreme and too much of a loose cannon.
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“In my view, it is the perception that Robinson is too extreme and too much of a loose cannon.”
I thought that’s Trump’s problem?
Hopefully it is name recognition here and in Montana that is causing Little Tent Don to outperform other statewide candidates.
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Robinson only recently won the GOP primary, actually during the time this sample was collected by SUSA. I would wait a few polls to see how Robinson does a little further removed from super tuesday.
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“In my view, it is the perception that Robinson is too extreme and too much of a loose cannon.”
I thought that’s Trump’s problem?”
It is. There is little doubt that perception costs Trump a lot of votes.
If I lived in NC I would vote for Robinson by default, just like I will vote for Trump. Neither would be my first choice for President or governor.
But there are people less tuned to the big picture of what another Biden term would look like that don’t think that way.
How many will decide the election.
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I would wait a few polls to see how Robinson does a little further removed from super tuesday.”
Robinson is the Lt. Governor of NC, he is pretty well known.
That might be his problem, not the other way around.
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I wasn’t talking about whether or not Robinson is well known, but the fact that any sample taken during a primary where Robinson has GOP opposition, that is going to color the general election sampling. If the guy stinks he stinks. Or if he’s good, then he’s good. I am just saying wait a few weeks and then see how the polling looks before drawing any conclusions.
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Robert Hur is undergoing tough questioning in a Congressional hearing today as a private citizen, as yesterday he officially resigned from the DOJ.
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Those numbers on the Robinson/Stein NC Governor race seem very competitive at this early stage of the race. I personally have liked Robinson since hearing his speech on gun rights that immediately went viral. He is a fiery speaker, passionate in his views, and well liked in NC. I think he has a better than good chance of winning the governorship in November.
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“My first acts as your next President will be to Close the Border, DRILL, BABY, DRILL, and Free the January 6 Hostages being wrongfully imprisoned!” Trump wrote in a Truth Social post on Monday.”
Policies such as closing the border, energy independence, and addressing the imprisonment of citizens illegally charged during the legal, permitted J6 protest are high on my own list of “to dos.” Basically, addressing sovereignty concerns and pushing back on governmental overreach are important factors in restoring and then retaining the American spirit and freedom in America.
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Here is how much Biden’s State of Confusion speech helped him:
HarrisX/Forbes – Biden Job Approval
Before speech (2/24-2/28): 39/56
After speech (3/8-3/10): 37/58
If only we can hope that he just continues to run only on insurrection and abortion.
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Same poll has the national election:
Trump 52 / Biden 48
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Robinson is not my favorite, I would not have voted for him in a GOP primary.
I hope he wins, NC needs a R governor.
Both can be true.
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Zzzzzz…
Trump won’t close the border, you read it here first.
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If West really gets 2% of the vote in GA it means he is pulling most of that from the black vote. So maybe 6-7%. I doubt it is that high but if it is that is real trouble for Dems.
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”Trump won’t close the border, you read it here first.”
If he shut off a significant flow of illegal crossings during his first term, why do you think he won’t do the same think if elected in ‘24?
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Some of the people at the “legal, permitted J6 protest” did break the law and attack law enforcement. They should have been charged within the law but many were overcharged.
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If he shut off a significant flow of illegal crossings during his first term, why do you think he won’t do the same think if elected in ‘24?”
Zzzz… you are one ignorant brainwashed moron.
He said “I will close the border”. That is a lie
Trump didn’t close the border, over 2.4 million illegals entered during his term. His remain in Mexico policy did succeed in REDUCING illegal immigration but he didn’t close the border and he won’t close it.
To close the border you would need cooperation by many jurisdictions and courts and a political will that doesn’t exist in the country.
Nor will he deport “millions of immigrants”. Not going to happen.l
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I think at times we get a bit too “pedantic” with our reading of comments, and promises. No one, and I mean no one (not even Reagan) could “close the border”. Closing the border is a euphemism for slowing down illegal immigration and enforcing laws.
He should have said “I will stem the influx of illegal immigration” because that is actual…but doesn’t get headlines…but these are politicians. It’s up to us to interpret their real meaning I guess.
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”you are one ignorant brainwashed moron.”
Yes, you just described yourself, Jason. I would add “bully” for good measure.
Dealing with border issues is not an absolute process, requiring more than just executive action. However, at the end of Trump’s term the border patrol’s assessment of the border was positive, in how it had turned around under the border policies he was able to enact, despite constant Congressional pushback. Furthermore, the numbers of illegal crossings today is enormous, with no real count as to the getaways, negatively impacting city services across the country. So, to malign the distinction between the vulnerability of the border in 2020 versus 2024 is malicious, false, moronic posting by you.
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Excellent post, Vic. Extra credit for use of “pendantic”.
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NT
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Jan utilizes the “I’m rubber. You’re glue.” Defense.
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