According to Emerson:
 | MONTANA – Emerson/The Hill |
| Trump | 56 |
| Biden | 35 |
| Five candidates: | |
| Trump | 49 |
| Biden | 28 |
| Kennedy | 8 |
| Stein | 1 |
| West | 1 |
| US Senate: | |
| Tester | 44 |
| Sheehy | 42 |
- Last week of the year. Will the scandals in Minnesota be investigated?
- Weekend thread……
- Merry Christmas!
- Christmas Eve
- Eve of Christmas Eve
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.0 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.8 / 51.0 | -5.2 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
200 responses to “Trump cruising in MONTANA, senate race close.”
So, at least 14% of those who vote for Trump will opt for Tester?
Assuming 1M votes, Trump gets 490,000 and Sheehy gets 420,000. 70,000 lost votes is 14% of Trump’s total. That’s a lot, imo.
Chicon
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I had that thought Chicon and almost wrote it into the title. These 70,000 voters are PUMPED to vote for Trump and vote to STOP Trump at the same time.
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And so its up to Trump to GO TO MONTANA and explain the facts of life to these people and put Tester into retirement.
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The other day I expressed my misgivings about a poll that was conducted entirely online. Just read this paragraph from RRH:
“Pew did a study and found that voters lie a lot in online polls. Specifically, they asked whether or not a respondend [sic] was licensed to operate a US submarine, and found that while very few older voters said yes (since the number of people who could honestly say yes is <.01%), 12% of voters under the age of 30 said they were. They also did other polls about this issue and found that it is very easy to get misleading results, like 20% of young Americans saying the Holocaust is a myth that turns into less than 3% when done by mail instead of online.”
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44 is not good for Tester as an incumbent.
If Trump does win by 20 there is no way Sheehy loses.
In fact I think Sheehy will only trail Trump by about 5-7 points.
Unfortunately, Tester benefits from the “moderate” image, when in fact he is a flaming liberal that supports the Dem radical agenda 98% of the time.
I think the control of the Senate hinges on this race and OH.
Having Rosendale drop out was a big help.
I will send Sheehy a check, this is a big race.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/03/excellent-news-texas-ken-paxton-endorsed-judges-defeat/
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Tx drunk rino dade is in a runoff.
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DW
March 6, 2024 at 9:09 am
DeSantis was my first choice. I thought to myself, lets just make this easy and for once have a POTUS race where we didn’t have to worry about our candidate saying something stupid or going off the rails, and lets get ourselves a 1980 or 1984 style blowout. And then we very likely would have 8 years of success and progress.
But the vast majority of Republicans disagreed with me and decided we should do this the hard way and go with Trump and at best get four years out of it–if he can manage to win.”
Yep, that is how I feel also. An opportunity missed just like when Rs threw away about 6 senate seats by supporting deadenders.
Rs just traded a virtual sure thing for an old baggage ridden controversial candidate who can only serve one term and will struggle to win.
But a Trump win would be huge, it would protect some of the gains in the federal courts that Trump made but Biden has watered down. It would allow him to replace an older like Thomas to ensure a conservative court for another decade at least. It would at least stem the uncontrolled flow of illegals. It would save us trillions in spending on the climate change rathole. It would probably improve recruitment to the military by ridding it of woke policies.
The stakes are huge in this election. So yeah, let’s do it the hard way and elect Trump.
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I’m just going to throw this out there. I believe Katie Britt would be a great VP selection for Trump. Young (42), mom of two, attractive smart, well spoken – terrific contrast to cackling Kamala Harris. Not that there will be VP debates this year but if so, she would shred Harris. I think she’d actually add a point or two for Trump among women. Democrats would have a really hard time Palinizing this lady. She’d be a huge asset.
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I see Steve Garvey beat Shifty Schiff for the special election in CA, and the combined R vote was over 40%.
Steve Garvey GOP 1,246,464
33.7%
Adam Schiff DEM 1,159,507
31.4%
Katie Porter DEM5 98,595
16.2%
Barbara Lee DEM3 49,758
9.5%
Eric Early GOP 249,091
6.7%
Christina Pascucci DEM57,031
1.5%
Sepi Gilani DEM35,204
1.0%
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….also, you wouldn’t have any problem replacing her in the Senate with another conservative Republican.
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’m just going to throw this out there. I believe Katie Britt would be a great VP selection for Trump”
Let’s see how she does in the SOTU response.
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txphil1
March 6, 2024 at 10:19 am
….also, you wouldn’t have any problem replacing her in the Senate with another conservative Republican.”
Speak for yourself A-hole.
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DW is hiding polls from us.
Shameful.
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The VP Debate will be conducted at Lafayette College.
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My “wing” of the party? Chi really is this stupid. I have voted for the GOP nominee in every election for every office since 1988. The Pennsylvania Primaries come too late in the calendar to matter in Presidential races. I do not belong to a country club or own a sweater. I have run as a conservative Republican in local and Federal elections. In contrast, Chicon types on a blog that I salvaged.
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So does an R have a chance at Katie Porter’s seat in CA? She didn’t win by much 51-48 in 2022.
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I do not belong to a country club or own a sweater”
You threw it out?
Have you ever had a llama wool sweater?
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https://news.lafayette.edu/2023/11/20/lafayette-college-to-host-2024-vice-presidential-debate/
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I was pleasantly surprised that Garvey did so well in the CA jungle primary of 27 friggin’ candidates.
I would suggest that practically everyone in CA should run for the U.S. senate jungle primary and the two with the largest number of friends and family would come in first or second with maybe 150-200 votes.
Jungle primary is a premier stupid idea.
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So apparently Haley DID win VT?
(pat self on back for suggesting VT would go for Haley)
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Paul expressed his hatred for me last night. In response, I would like to say that I do not hate Paul, because I have good news for him. If Trump wins and rescues the country, the rescue will extend to Paul too.
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Yes she did.
Walt hasn’t been this right since he predicted Napoleon would be defeated at Waterloo.
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An exit poll of Super Tuesday voters conducted by Decision Desk HQ found predictable differences between Democrats and Republicans regarding the issues they are most concerned about in this election.
The poll surveyed absentee, early, and day-of voters. According to the poll:
The starkest point of distinction between Trump and Haley supporters continues to be education.
So it is not just the country club Rs that prefer Haley, more educated voters do too.
Trump needs to focus on getting more of the “educated” vote.
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BIDEN: “My poll numbers? The last five polls you guys don’t report. I’m winning — five! Five in a row!”
There were two recent polls that gave Biden a 1 point lead nationally. The prior 14 polls were all in favor of Trump and there were two ties.
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Hey Anonymous, stop stealing my posts and GFY.
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Mitch McConnell has endorsed Trump, meanwhile Haley said Trump must “earn the votes of her supporters”
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If Trump wins and rescues the country, the rescue will extend to Paul too.”
Paul is a moron. He once claimed he was a small business owner, the group most hard hit by Bidens anti business, high tax, high regulation agenda.
Marxists will sacrifice anything for the “cause”.
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years ago on the old HHR there was a time when every day there was an update on the Rasmussen POTUS job approval. For old-times sake, this morning Biden slipped from 41/57 to 40/58.
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I just took Paul as a guy who has smoked too much pot, resulting in a fried brain.
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Actually, I’m happy Paul followed us all over here from the other site. His posts are pure comedy and a source of amusement…..particularly when he goes off his meds and engaging in one of his meltdowns.
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My posts got snagged in the filter. No favoritism.
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two new generic ballot polls:
Feb. 26-27
1,000 RV
RMG Research
Democrat 47%
Republican 49%
Economist/YouGov
3/3 – 3/5 1450 RV
Republican 43
Democrat 41
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Here is a new national poll to break the momentum of Biden’s mythical 5 in a row:
March 3-5
1,450 RV
YouGov/The Economist
Biden 42%
Trump 44%
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“It is now up to Donald Trump to earn the votes of those in our party and beyond,” Haley continued of the Trump vs. Biden rematch taking shape ahead of November. “I hope he does that,” she added.
“Our conservative cause badly needs more people,” she emphasized, noting the importance of “bringing people in” rather than “turning them away” before Election Day.
Invoking Reagan’s legendary 1974 speech, Haley said this is now Trump’s “time for choosing” how to run his general election campaign.”
I have no problem with any of that, I think she is right.
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Texas was the state to watch last night – how effective Ken Paxton was in supporting alternative congressional and judicial candidates. Many of his choices either won or are in run-offs. Essentially Super Tuesday demonstrated that money was no longer the key factor in determining races. If that were still the case Haley would have done much better. Rather, it was the working and middle classes determined to be the silent majority no longer. These are the very people forming a substantial measure of the Trump base – unpaid volunteers of a grass roots movement vying for a voice in an establishment controlled society.
Consequently, I see whatever shifts that may have occurred in the constituency of the Republican party are for the good, putting the R party back on a path more responsive to the needs of a majority that has long been ignored and neglected. Also, Trump is but a variable in last night’s events. The people who came out, who worked and voted for change, are the real players, and I believe they will remain enthused and on board for this change to be fulfilled in the upcoming GE.
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Agreed jason. I pray every day that Trump will get the right people around him…people he respects and obeys, while a the same time people who know how to win campaigns.
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Here is the sort of brilliant analysis you can get over at RRH:
TEKKEN_GUY
March 6, 2024 at 11:28 am | In reply to rdelbov
Things will probably go downhill for Republicans from here on out.
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“It is now up to Donald Trump to earn the votes of those in our party and beyond,”
I agree. I think she should’ve gone further, though, and added “and I pledge to help him do so”.
Chicon
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Also,, Paul becomes emotional about politics. He has raked me over the coals similar to what happened to DW yesterday. However, he usually becomes more centered and even contrite later on. The political differences here, although frustrating, are healthy to air.
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“However, he usually becomes more centered and even contrite later on”
Hence my theory that his brain was fried by smoking too much pot.
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My choices for Trump VP (would be the Golden Calf but not eligible due to residency issue), based only on the criteria of who would most help him win.
None of the other names being touted will help him win, may help him lose. Vivek, Donalds, Vance, Tulsi. Except for Donalds I wouldn’t vote for a ticket with any of those.
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Dammit, those are my picks. Anonymous is a post stealing a-hole.
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Biden says there is a place for Haley voters in his campaign.
Trump should have said it first.
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Some already were Biden voters.
Chicon
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Barasso drops out of GOP leader race.
So it will be Thune vs Cornyn plus someone from the grandstanding caucus like Scott.
Thune should win.
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Some already were Biden voters.”
So what?
The idea that everybody that voted for Haley is a Dem is so stupid it does not even warrant discussion.
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Why start now? Trump is his own worst enemy.
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Nikki Haley, contrary to Trump, is actually a Republican and a conservative. Plus she was doing better in the polls against Biden than Trump was.
There are actually more reasons for Dems to vote for Trump in the primaries than Haley.
That is why this narrative that Haley’s votes were from Dems is a crock of crap.
About a third of Rs prefer Haley to Trump. They are not Dems. There should be a concerted effort to get these people on board for the GE.
Anyone who thinks Trump is a unanimous choice of Rs is smoking some good sh-t.
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Bitterlaw
March 6, 2024 at 12:12 pm
Why start now? Trump is his own worst enemy.”
Hope springs eternal.
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Rick Scott is also a possible candidate for McConnell’s spot. He’s voiced an interest in it.
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“So it will be Thune vs Cornyn plus someone from the grandstanding caucus like Scott.”
I already said that.
GFY.
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I believe it will be Thune. Cornyn has not done himself any favors lately here in Texas, which of course doesn’t mean much when deciding the Senate Majority leader race, I am just saying, I think he’s in for a tough primary next cycle.
I am very happy about the showing the Garvey made. He never polled this high, and just two weeks ago was in the mid-teens. He doubled that last night.
BTW, why on earth is California only 48% counted so far. Its ABSURD that they take so long to count votes there. Third world countries get it done faster than California.
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“Third world countries get it done faster than California.”
California IS a third world country.
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“Anyone who thinks Trump is a unanimous choice of Rs”.
The classic A-hole maneuver….
Nobody said that. But you knew that….
Chicon
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Out of the above list Noem is the best. She’s had administrative experience being a governor, has a poised demeanor, and is supportive of Trump’s policies. Tim Scott comes in second. Katie Britt is an up and coming politician, but doesn’t have the experience to take over the presidency should Trump become incapacitated. Reynolds and Haley have no chance given their history with Trump.
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Perhaps I missed it, but I don’t think Haley mentioned how important it is that Biden is not re-elected.
Chicon
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Chicon, Haley’s speech was hollow, just like many of her wavering alliances and principles have been. She also sounded like she was sucking on a lemon when she spoke, bitterly trying to act diplomatically but not hitting the mark. Why did she include Margaret Thatcher in her concession speech, as she is so far afield from being like that Iron Lady in actions or words?
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Irony meter explodes. Jan frequently compares Trump favorably to Reagan even though Trump did not think highly of Reagan. Trump famously said Bill Clinton was the greatest President in his lifetime.
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I agree. I think she should’ve gone further, though, and added “and I pledge to help him do so”.
Chicon”
That would have been nice.
Maybe if Trump had not called her “birdbrain” and insulted her husband’s military career it would have happened.
No free lunch.
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Why did she include Margaret Thatcher in her concession speech, as she is so far afield from being like that Iron Lady in actions or words?”
Maybe because Margaret Thatcher was an actual conservative and Nikki Haley admires real conservatives?
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The biggest disappointment here in CA, for me, was that the evil Los Angeles DA, Gascon, got the highest tally of votes. He is now in a run-off with a guy named Hochman, a Republican, and may be vulnerable in November’s GE. My guy, Hatami, a good guy, but not affiliated with the R party, came in 3rd. The Dodger dude did marginally come in first over Schiff. However, being a 3-1 Dems vs republicans state, makes Garvey’s chances very thin.
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Stop with the Haley attacks because she had the audacity to run for President. She had every right to see what the voters had to say, heard them, and dropped out today.
She would make the BEST choice for VP because she would bring in the most people. Noem would be by far and away the worst on the list. She brings absolutely nothing to the ticket. She does not add one voter that Trump doesn’t already have.
Haley (despite the flip flops and pandering she and Trump together UNITE the party in a way that will not only help them win in November, but will help carry some Senate races across the finish line (MT, OH, AZ, NV, maybe even MI, WI, PA)
Trump backers (and I voted yesterday for him, and will in November) you have to stop attacking anyone who is not lockstep with Trump. You are going to need other voters in the fall, and continuing to trash anyone who hasn’t voted for Trump in the primaries. YOU NEED OTHER VOTERS – and guess what, they are not going to agree on everything on the Trump agenda…but they will agree with a lot of it. Welcome them, don’t denigrate them.
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Schiff back to the lead over Garvey
Adam Schiff (D) 1,247,723 33.17%
Steve Garvey (R)1,220,683 32.45%
48% reporting as of Noon CST
If Garvey keeps this to a 10% race that is a MASSIVE step forward and a blueprint for R candidates in CA going forward. For those who label him a RINO, yes, only a RINO can win in CA, but a win is a win.
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”Trump did not think highly of Reagan.”
There are stories to dispute that statement Bitter. Trump once even offered his plane to Reagan, making it easier for him to get to an event. Trump admires a healthy economy which I think was the basis for his positive Clinton words, as he was the last president to not leave a deficit.
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Vic – You are wasting your time. People who worship Trump are known for 2 things. First, they deny they worship Trump. Second, they hate everybody who does not worship Trump.
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The biggest unanswered questions is whether or not Biden will be replaced at the Dem Convention. I have followed every POTUS race since 1976. I have yet to see the Democrats just say, “aw shucks, we are headed to an inevitable defeat, we will try harder next time.” Even in 1984 they had the only one on the bench in Mondale to try to do the impossible.
But here the race is winnable, but only if they replace Biden.
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Vic, I agree with you which is why I voted for Garvey over Eric Early, a MAGA candidate. If Garvey, miraculously wins, I only hope he doesn’t do an. “Arnold” act on the state.
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an frequently compares Trump favorably to Reagan even though Trump did not think highly of Reagan.”
Reagan was a doctrinaire conservative, a man with a vision and an agenda. To equate Trump with him is an insult to Reagan.
Do you think Trump ever read anything by icons of conservative thought and economic principles, capitalism and free trade like Adam Smith or Milton Freedman. William Buckley, William Scalia, etc.
Nah, Trump is an opportunist with no interest in limited government, as a crony capitalist that only sees government as an ally to whatever project he is involved in. His knowledge of fundamental economics is about zero, and he subscribes to the economic “theory” of all leftist economist that deficits don’t matter, just print more money.
We have to play the cards we are dealt, but let’s not pretend Trump is what he isn’t. He is no Ronald Reagan and he is not a conservative.
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GA senate hearing on the Fat Fani matter was televised today. Good sheot.
Looks more like perjury by fani, witness tampering, and coordinating with the WH.
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Vic, I would’ve eagerly voted for Nikki had she been the nominee.
I do think it is fair to analyze her performance with the same vigor applied here to Trump.
If she had beaten Trump, I highly doubt he would’ve lifted a finger to help her – it would’ve been all about him. She’s acting like that today, and those here with TDS “understand”.
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Now that the presidential candidates in both parties has been decided (until the D power s that be give the hook to Biden) can we now discuss the issues of pressing importance?
–How many of the muppets were/ae gay?
–Should college basketball players be voting to unionize?
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and those here with TDS “understand”.”
Who has TDS here?
Considering JeffP is absent, who is that exactly?
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Walt, all Muppets are/were gay.
Chicon
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The biggest unanswered questions is whether or not Biden will be replaced at the Dem Convention.”
I know you think this will happen, but who would it be?
The Dems don’t have anyone with a better chance that Biden.
I would agree that if they did, Biden would be toast.
But they don’t.
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Classic TDS. Did Robbie steal your handle?
Chicon
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But here the race is winnable, but only if they replace Biden.”
I don’t agree unless you can tell me who the candidate who will get more votes than Biden is.
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I have TDS?
LOL.
That indeed would be news for Amoral Scumbag.
Bitter, I certainly deserve some points.
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“The biggest unanswered questions is whether or not Biden will be replaced at the Dem Convention.”
I think NJ Senator Menendez would be the best D candidate to replace Biden for POTUS.
He epitomizes the D party.
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“Walt, all Muppets are/were gay.
Chicon”
**********************************
Well, they ALL did have someone else’s hand up their butt.
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jason, they will focus-group all of the key battleground states to find a left-leaning message that would resonate. It would be a partial departure from Biden’s economy mixed with things like education, jobs, wages, etc. Then they will trot out a dark horse who magically believes in and pushes all the focused group wishes.
Then they will spend like crazy to get everyone in these key states to believe in this new candidate and hope for the best.
Its a better option than what they have now.
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Some of you (Jason) are merely reading from the teleprompter of your own rigid mind in how “you” view Trump. His governance and domestic policies during his 1st term reflect a conservative trend – cutting regulations, tax policies raising household incomes of the working/middle classes, reforming the VA, bringing big/small businesses into the WH for one-on-one discussions, enlarging job opportunities for all sectors of society, initially trying to take debt off the books, border security/illegal immigration control, energy independence – all amidst dems and anti-Trumpsters attempting to take him and his policies down throughout his 4-year administration.
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I agree that Haley has her problems, the quick acquiescence in order to be liked by all, when she should wait and assess. The penchant for following focus groups instead of sticking by her conservative principles.
BUT
She is a conservative. She governed as a Conservative. She brings in voters that will not currently vote for Trump, and she has worked with Trump before, so we know they can work together.
I see a coming together down the line, and Trump, for all his bluster and bombastic words, also knows he needs someone to help him win, hence the reason he chose Pence the first time around. I think he will come to his senses and bring Haley on to the ticket, to show unity, and get him over the hump.
If anyone thinks Haley can’t add 48,000 votes in five states to the ticket then they are being disingenous
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Trump was a good President. He had great accomplishment in the areas of energy independence, deregulation, judicial appointments, supporting the military, taxes and his war on the corrupt partisan MSM, among others. I voted for him in 2020. I will vote for him in 2024.
The impeachments against him were bogus. The charges he is facing now are all bogus. His presidency was marked by a horrendous campaign by the MSM and Dems based on falsehoods to delegitimize him.
Hard to find someone with TDS that agrees with any of that.
But if saying he is a crony capitalist whowas never and is not a conservative and has little interest in limited government and many other tenets of conservatism is TDS then I guess I am guilty.
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“Then they will trot out a dark horse who magically believes in and pushes all the focused group wishes.”
But who will that be?
Where are the dark horses than can outpoll Biden?
Unless you can come up with a name, this theory is awfully flawed.
The main problem is that “dark horse” has no negatives. Once you give the “dark horse” a name, then you have negatives.
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Overlooked last night, and most likely something that the media will refuse to see, is that Republicans did really well in the House races last night.
Porters seat, CA-47 – she won 51.7% – 48.3%. R’s are currently at 51.1% Dems 45.9% and Indies at 3.0%. This would be a HUGE pickup in November.
Check out the following seats and differences
2022 2024
CA-49 52.6% – 47.4% 50.7% – 49.3%
CA-38 58.1% – 41.2% 52.5% – 47.5%
CA-9 54.5% – 45.2% 51.2% – 48,8%
CA-26 55.0% – 45.0% 50.2% – 49.8%
There is a definite trend going on. If we could pick off a couple of CA house seats, that would be HUGE and offset what we will lose with redistricting in NY
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Vic, I already posted this —-> many Haley voters already have said they would vote for Trump should she not win the nomination. I don’t think there has to be a lot of wooing done, because it becomes another binary, blatant choice of who would you rather have - the one fueling current policies or the one behind the policies of 2017 through 2020.
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“Where are the dark horses than can outpoll Biden?”
None can out-poll him now because the name is unknown and no money has been spent on messaging.
They could pull from the list of relatively bland senators they have. Its like in baseball, you don’t send to the plate a player who was badly injured on a defensive play in the prior inning. No, with the bases loaded and nobody out, you call for a pinch-hitter, even if the pinch-hitter has a lower career batting average. You give yourself a chance.
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“Trump was a good President. He had great accomplishment in the areas of energy independence, deregulation, judicial appointments, supporting the military, taxes and his war on the corrupt partisan MSM, among others. I voted for him in 2020. I will vote for him in 2024.
The impeachments against him were bogus. The charges he is facing now are all bogus. His presidency was marked by a horrendous campaign by the MSM and Dems based on falsehoods to delegitimize him.”
Ordinarily I would have been a DeSantis guy, but the reasons you describe here are why I believe it was very important Trump run, and that he win. Otherwise the extraordinary and un-American efforts you list will have succeeded (even if they had only hounded Trump out of running again). The only possibility that that crap doesn’t happen again is for it to fail, AND to fail BECAUSE of the acts undertaken – to completely backfire.
Any R candidate or official who doesn’t fight like a dog to defeat that evil isn’t worth a ceap in my book.
Chicon
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Interesting.
Musk is not a conservative. As a liberal, if he thinks it is important Biden be defeated, it would be a real plus for Trump.
“NEWS: Donald Trump met on Sunday in Palm Beach, Fla., with Elon Musk and a few wealthy Republican donors.”
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Any R candidate or official who doesn’t fight like a dog to defeat that evil isn’t worth a ceap in my book.
Zzzzz…. that is not how politics works and you know it.
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The choice isn’t binary for a lot of people. A number of Haley voters are center-right Republicans who don’t like Trump for the way he treats people, and won’t vote for him. This is especially true of Suburban Moms who voted for Biden because he was nice and Trump mean.
Haley brings those voters into the fold, helps make PA, MI, WI, NV, AZ easier to win, and more importantly, brings all of those Senate races into play and closer to winning.
This election needs to be about Unity, about welcoming all to the R party, and not just about fidelity to Trump and his followers concept/idea of conservatism. There is a place for everyone, and Haley brings that more than Scott brings some African American voters in. No one else on that list, does more than Haley.
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They could pull from the list of relatively bland senators they have.”
Sorry, that dog won’t hunt.
What bland Senator would outpoll Biden?
Klobuchar? A MN far leftist with little appeal outside her constituency?
Kaine? zzzzz….
See the problem? Once you give the dark horse a name, they are not attractive anymore.
Besides there are no bland Senators that are going to be able to get Kamala out. Only a heavyweight could do that.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/03/81-million-vote-recipient-joe-biden-first-incumbent/
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Haley brings those voters into the fold, helps make PA, MI, WI, NV, AZ easier to win, and more importantly, brings all of those Senate races into play and closer to winning.”
Yep.
That is why she is by far the best choice.
But Trump is not smart enough to realize that.
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Garvey jumps back in the lead, and more importantly, is winning OC outright, and close in San Diego country which portends well for House races
Steve Garvey (R) 1,317,911 34.6%
Adam Schiff (D) 1,173,917 30.8%
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Jason – don’t count Haley out yet with Trump. He likes to talk loudly, but I think he knows that Haley brings him the Presidency, and more than anything, he wants to be President again.
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Garvey now has about a 150,000 vote lead on Schiff with 48% in for the special.
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Whoops, Vic beat me by 6 minutes.
GFY.
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Also brings the R total to 42%
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/03/texas-maga-blowout-brendan-gill-wins-decisively-texas/
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VictrC
Please post a link to the CA Senate primary results showing Garvey’s lead over Schiff. The other election results sites show Schiff ahead. Thanks.
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Yep, CA vote is encouraging for House races.
Rs are over 50% in important populous counties like Riverside, Orange and San Bernadino. 45% in San Diego and Ventura. Even LA county the 2 Rs are at 36%.
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Marv you are looking at the wrong race.
https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/primaries-and-caucuses/results/california
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We are talking about the special to replace Feinstein.
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Does anyone actually feel Garvey will get more than a maximum of 42% in November? Go on record if you think he will.
Garvey owes his advancement to November to Schiff, who spent millions of dollars helping Garvey get to the runoff, because he wanted to run against a Republican and not a Democrat.
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Also, cycle after cycle, be it in the primary or in November, many of you seem to forget that California takes forever to count its votes, and the longer they do, the more votes roll in Democrats.
Maybe wait about 2 weeks and see what the final numbers are in the 1st round.
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You left out his leftist tariffs, proposing printing money to deal with deficits, and soft on Putin foreign policies. Hardly a conservative.
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VictrC,
Yes, I see that now. Garvey leads in the election race to finish Feinstein’s term and Schiff leads in the primary race for the full six year term. Both contests are headed to a runoff. Is that correct?
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There are two elections in California this November, since the appointed incumbent is not running. The winner of the “special” will hold the seat starting right after the November election.
The winner of the regularly scheduled election will hold it for six years starting in January 2025.
There were different numbers of candidates running yesterday so there will be a difference in those results. The same two will be running in each in November and the result will be almost identical then.
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Thanks jason and Anonymous for the info.
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You do if you are the Mets.
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Neither race would be considered a runoff. In California, the top two in the all-party primary advance, regardless of party, even if one candidate gets over 50 percent.
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MArv
you are correct. Oddly there are two elections and they have entirely different results, which is very odd. In the special to replace Feinstein Garvey has the lead by a decent amount, and in the election for a full term, he is trailing. Obviously there is going to be an election before the election to replace Feinstein.
That one is
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If past history is any indication, they likely have not even begun counting the mail in votes in California which will favor Democrats.
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Musk has come out right away after that Trump meeting, saying he wasn’t going to write him a check. I think that decision was for the best.
Jan
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The two Senate races in California will have different results because there are probably about a dozen fewer candidates on the ballot for one of them as compared to the other.
Apparently, LA County is going to miss out on any chance to oust Gascon unless the remaining vote will put someone else into the general than the person currently ahead.
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I wonder how Schumer made up for the donations he lost from Trump.
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All the losing Senate candidates that Trump endorsed allowing them to be nominated and then defeated by Democrats has been worth more than money ever could mean to Schumer.
Trump: Great at beating Republicans. Horrible at beating Democrats
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Trump’s behavior in the immediate aftermath of the 2020 election going into the two Georgia runoffs was a gift from the heavens to Schumer and all Democrats.
But maybe Trump will be different this time…. keep letting jan work on you.
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Another community bank crashes today
Established in 1859; Closed (To be determined)
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Garvey will finish between 37% and 42% in California. No more, no less.
He will do a few points better than Trump in the state.
It is unlikely Garvey will say or do anything in the general election to garner much headlines. He is in the “happy to be there” mode.
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Considering what is likely yet to be counted in LA County, I think it is very likely that Hatami, the Democrat that jan likes, will overtake the Republican, and move on to face Gascon. and that could wind up being very bad news for the incumbent.
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With Nikki Haley no longer running, my best option is to vote in the Democrat primary, in order to choose the least objectionable Democrat in the primary for States’ Attorney in my overwhelming Democrat county. One candidate in that two person race, not backed by the party machinery, will be far tougher on crime than what is currently in office.
For the Presidential portion of the primary ballot, I think I am going to follow the lead of some D primary voters in other states by sending a message. Mine will be to write in:
“Support Israel, Joe”
Maybe I will add Ukraine to the write-in also, but I think he already gets that part.
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Garvey owes his advancement to November to Schiff, who spent millions of dollars helping Garvey get to the runoff, because he wanted to run against a Republican and not a Democrat.”
BS.
He spent millions to make sure to make the runoff.
He was a favorite in the GE against Porter or Garvey, made no difference to him. Truth be known he probably would rather run against Porter who is not going to make an issue of the fact he is a pathological liar.
As far as Garvey getting more than 42%, it is certainly possible, but I doubt he can win. Brian Dahle got 41% and I think Garvey is a better candidate.
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It is beyond ridiculous to think that Schiff would have preferred to run against Porter. Far more variables there than a D vs R race in California.
Schiff knew exactly what he was doing leading up to this primary and it worked. There is nobody who understands politics, be they Democrat, or Republican, who would disagree.
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Here is the deal.
Haley is a woman of color.
Haley is popular in the minority wing of the R party that doesn’t like/doesn’t trust Trump.
Haley will attract independents
Haley is a good balance to the ticket, she offsets Trump’s protectionism and isolationism
Haley would kick Kamala’s butt in a debate
He would be stupid not to put her on the ticket.
I wouldn’t vote for any ticket with her on it, but that doesn’t mean it wouldn’t be politically smart for Trump to do so.
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Hey Anonymous, Trump is going to be the nominee.
Deal with it and GFY.
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Another new national poll
Feb. 22-27
1,026 LV
Clarity Campaign Labs
Biden 42%
Trump 45%
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There is nobody who understands politics, be they Democrat, or Republican, who would disagree.”
Heh, I “understand” politics a lot better than you do.
I bet Schiff would prefer 100 times to run against a Dem, because there is no way a Dem is going to point out what a low life POS he is like Garvey will.
Now go back to shilling for Democrats somewhere else.
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Schiff will have to spend about one tenth of the money against a Republican than he would have spent against a Democrat.
This is all very simple. If only Wes were alive to call you a moron…
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in order to choose the least objectionable Democrat in the primary for”
LOL
I bet you will ALWAYS vote for the “most objectionable Democrat”.
Now get lost.
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Schiff will have to spend about one tenth of the money against a Republican than he would have spent against a Democrat.”
Zzzzz… BS.
He will actually have to spend a lot more.
You really are a stupid troll.
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Garvey is going to go through the motions. He won’t make any waves. He is happy to be there. He has a good life to go back to in 8 months. He does not exactly come across as high-energy. Whatever he says about Schiff won’t matter in that state either.
Will Garvey say he supports Trump now? Leading up to the primary Garvey said he was willing to consider voting for Biden. Now, that he is in a general election as the only Republican, he has even less motivation to be pro-Trump.
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by sending a message.”
The only message you ever send is “I am a Biden sycophant and I am 100% behind his entire agenda”
But unnecessary, everyone here got it.
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Garvey is going to go through the motions. He won’t make any waves. He is happy to be there. He has a good life to go back to in 8 months. He does not exactly come across as high-energy. Whatever he says about Schiff won’t matter in that state either.”
All lies and drivel.
Garvey is going to make a lot of waves.
Bet on it.
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I am not voting for Biden in either a primary or a general election.
Of course, anybody who votes for Trump will have to be “100 percent behind his entire agenda” by that standard, and that agenda includes Russia defeating Ukraine.
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Will Garvey say he supports Trump now?”
He should.
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“The matchup is good news for Schiff, whose campaign shelled out tens of millions of dollars elevating Garvey’s name among Republican voters to make sure of that outcome. The ad blitz helped shut out progressive Democratic Rep. Katie Porter, who could have posed a formidable threat to Schiff in the general election.
Some Democrats are breathing a sigh of relief, too: They had worried that a Schiff-Porter matchup would suck up campaign cash from Democratic donors, potentially leaving few dollars to down-ballot candidates, particularly those in battleground congressional districts who could determine control of Congress, Politico reported. But now, Schiff could spread his wealth to benefit Democrats in those races, political strategists say.”
https://laist.com/news/politics/us-senate-california-steve-garvey-adam-schiff-november
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and that agenda includes Russia defeating Ukraine.”
LOL
Where did you get that?
Trump actually sent lethal weapons to Ukraine, which your man Obama refused to do.
Trump has no interest in seeing Russia defeat Ukraine, that is complete trash talk.
Putin would never have invaded Ukraine with Trump as President.
Now if your are through with your MSNBC and CNN talking points, let’s get back to concentrating how we can get Trump elected and Biden defeated.
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Garvey voted for Trump twice. But, I doubt he will emphasize any allegiance to him in trying to eke out a win against shifty Schiff. He is positioning himself more n the middle of the political spectrum.
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Heh, the troll found some liberal drivel to support his liberal drivel.
“Progressive” Dem… LOL
Is Schiff any less “progressive” than Porter?
Only idiots would believe that.
Schiff represents the extreme left wing of the Dem party, you cannot run against him from the left.
In fact, that is why he won the Dem primary.
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Garvey needs every Trump voter in California to turn out so he isn’t running against Trump.
Plus, I think Trump will get more votes in CA this time around, I don’t think endorsing him is that big a liability.
I don’t expect Garvey to win, but not endorsing Trump would be a mistake I doubt he will make.
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Che Geuvera may be “less progressive” than Porter or Lee. Obviously Schiff is too. Especially on foreign policy matters like Israel and Ukraine.
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Even jan occasionally gets something correct.
jason likes to argue for the sake or arguing instead of actually giving his true opinion.
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I don’t think Schiff will necessarily have a cake walk in securing the CA senate seat. Some of the political dynamics have shifted a little, especially as Dems have simply ravaged this state with their far left policies. Garvey was a popular baseball player, back in the day. I think such an athletic profile will attract fans of the sport – young and old — to vote for him, despite his political affiliation. It will also depend on where his name is located on the GE ballot, as those at the top seem to have a better advantage than those towards the bottom.
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Steve Garvey retired in 1987. I do not think many young people know who he is. I am old enough to remember him practically ruining my childhood once upon a time though.
Speaking of children, like another athlete Senate candidate who was supposed to do so well, Herschel Walker, Garvey sure had a lot of out of wedlock kids back in the day, while married to someone else. Some of whom have been going public about how he has refused to acknowledge them.
But perhaps that could go over better in California than it did in Georgia.
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A big “talking point” here in CA is increasing crime…everywhere …even in some of the hard-to-get-to rural precincts who are deeply liberal. I wonder if some of this rise in crime will penetrate their hard core liberalism, as their home fronts become more susceptible to invasion by their own crazy policies.
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Trump is a moron regarding Ukraine. Sorry, A-hole. It’s true.
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The “jason standard” is that a vote for a candidate is to stand “100 percent behind their entire agenda.” No nuance, no “I’m only voting this way to stop the other guy” nothing like that.
Is that is the case, I am sure glad I will not be voting for either Trump or Biden.
By this standards anyone who votes for Trump is voting to see Ukraine destroyed, the U.S. out of NATO, or if not that, the U.S. involved in WWIII once Putin goes further.
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s that is the case, I am sure glad I will not be voting for either Trump or Biden”
Zzzzz…
Everyone here knows you are voting for Biden AND his entire agenda.
Not that anyone cares what a scumbag troll thinks.
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Trump is a moron regarding Ukraine. Sorry, A-hole. It’s true.”
I don’t disagree. I prefer a much more clearer expression of support for Ukraine.
But “moron” on Ukraine doesn’t mean he is pro-Putin or wants to see Ukraine enslaved.
Like I have said here before, Trump is not going to let Ukraine be annexed by Russia on his watch.
You can bet Putin is much more afraid of Trump than he is of Biden. Biden didn’t tell him he would nuke Moscow if he invaded Ukraine.
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Neither Zelensky nor Putin are going to like Trump’s proposal for ending the war.
Since I believe the Russians should be kicked out of every inch of Ukraine, I won’t like it either.
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Bitter, you’re so stuck on your own Trump talking point. He was the one who gave armaments to Ukraine to defend themselves – something Obama didn’t do. He also has implied he wants to find a solution to end the war, which you also take to mean a surrender by Ukraine. Fundamentally, you seem to prefer more people die and infrastructure to be destroyed in order to achieve your in-your-own-mind Ukrainian endgame. Again, if you personally had to go to the front lines to fight for your principles, I would respect you for that. However, as an armchair warrior, your enthusiasm to keep blowing people up seems superficial and a strong-armed position written afar from the real battlefield.
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Corey. also said he is not voting for Trump or Biden.
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Is Demented now aware that there are at least 2 straight poles showing he is losing?
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If Trump were in office Pooty poot would not have invaded; the border would be more secured; the Ccp would not have their ways with the drats and the gop-e; and the mullahs would have been bankrupted.
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Ah yes, we now know who the Anon troll is, i can’t remember his name, but he was from ILL and always claimed to be a Republican, but like Robbie, never really supported them. Definitely like the total and absolute POS Kinzinger from IL. Disgusting Pig who was more concerned with grandstanding and sucking up to Dems than he was concerned with Conservative principles. That is one person we don’t need in the party, as he never really was.
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Trump’s 24 hour solution can only be achieved by Ukraine’s surrender. You have no credibility on this issue because you blame Zelensky for continuing to defend Ukraine while relieving Putin of responsibility for ordering invasion.
As for your alleged respect, I don’t want it and would not accept it. You have no respect for Zelensky or Ukrainians so your respect means nothing.
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Trump will gladly let Ukraine fall. He has to keep the Jans and Putinas satisfied. He boasts about his good relationship with Putin instead of acknowledging he a KGB killer.
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Anon is Corey. Same word choices.
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I plan on putting up a new thread at 6:00. This one is getting long but I want to give fair warning to Jan.
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Sounds good bitter, no new polls at the moment.
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yes, Corey
That’s it
Bitter – I disagree with you. He won’t throw Ukraine under the bus. Not with the eyes of the world watching. Remember, as was pointed out here earlier, he was the one who gave them the missiles they needed, not a Dem (Obama). You keep going back to the 24 hour comment, but you, I, Jason and everyone else here knows that was just bluster. He is not going to force them to surrender.
Thanks for the warning on the 5pm (6pm for you) thread warning…
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How funny would it be if Garvey won the special election to fill the seat in CA from November to January, but lost the general election seat to Schiff… Well, not funny, since Schiff is a total scumb*g. BTW, he literally just changed his stance on Israel to fully supporting, to now calling for a cease fire. Typical Liberal…and sadly typical 2024 Democrat. No spine and will bow down a lick the shoes of the socialist far left in the party
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The AIPAC endorsed Schiff has not called for a ceasefire. He was protested last night by those on the left calling for one.
That claim is as invented as the previous “Zelensky is a coke-fiend” one.
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Schiff said any temporary ceasefire has to be dependent on Hamas releasing all the hostages. He said yesterday Hamas is standing in the way of that happening.
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Besides the Biden is nice and Trump is mean in the mindset of suburban moms, there is the issue of humility.
Can anyone name me ANY president or presidential candidate who has exhibited even LESS humility than does Trump?
All the humility he has could fit in a thimble with a LOT of room left over.
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Schiff and Garvey have the same position on Israel. Both of their positions was very different than Porter and Lee.
Schiff and Garvey will disagree on some domestic matters. We will see what Garvey winds up saying about Ukraine.
https://www.sdjewishworld.com/2024/02/20/schiff-garvey-prove-to-be-the-pro-israel-candidates-in-californias-race-for-u-s-senate/
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Walt – Trump is real low on the humility front. Personally, I don’t consider that as important a quality at this point in time as it used to for me.
Chicon
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DW,
I would be remiss if I did not say thank you and give you big thumbs up for all the polling work you do on here.
Much appreciated, man.
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This is on Garvey’s website, so I want to give him appropriate credit.
Both Garvey and Schiff are correct on Ukraine and Israel.
jan should be given some credit also for voting for Garvey. Hopefully, she was aware of his position on Ukraine. I do not think Trump would ever make a statement like this.
“I stand with Ukraine against Russian aggression. We must continue to support them while seeking diplomatic solutions. American leadership is crucial in this global conflict.
In the Senate, I’d ensure the U.S. plays a constructive role in resolving this conflict, supporting Ukraine’s sovereignty, and working towards peace in the region.
Putin cannot be allowed a victory in Ukraine.”
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We can assume Garvey was “too RINO” for Tina.
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Thanks Walt. I worked hard so that the grids and the poll threads look great on a cell phone. The grids you have to turn the phone landscape, but the threads look great either way.
I am going to setup a similar grid for senate races once we get through the primaries.
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and like I mentioned before, I believe this is the ONLY place on the web where ALL polls are listed.
Real Clear politics is very selective on who they include, and 538 refuses to include Baris’ BigDataPoll only because he hates his guts.
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“Can anyone name me ANY president or presidential candidate who has exhibited even LESS humility than does Trump.”
Andrew Jackson
Woodrow Wilson
LBJ
Joe Biden
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as usual Corey, you are WRONG ON SCHIFF
From that bastion of conservative thought, the LA TIMES
“Schiff told reporters at a Sunday campaign event in San Francisco that he supports the temporary cease-fire agreement that international mediators have been working on for weeks. President Biden has also publicly endorsed the deal, which includes a 40-day cease-fire and the release of hostages held by Hamas before the Muslim holy month of Ramadan begins.
“Look, we need to get the hostages released,” Schiff said. “We also need to address the humanitarian crisis, we need to make sure we can get aid in and people out. … The folks in Gaza are also innocent victims
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So shifty Schiff (I prefer my nickname, Sc*mbag Schiff) changes his position and toes the far left, pro-Palestinian line of cease-fire
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Not as you phrased it. He says all hostages must be released. He said literally a few minutes ago that Hamas cannot be allowed to remain in control in Gaza.
Politicians floating this as a possibility are perhaps doing a disservice since Hamas is not going to agree to this deal for a temporary ceasefire, but he has not changed his position and it would not be any different than Garvey’s.
And it is not “common knowledge that Zelensky is a coke-fiend.”
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What a cycle.
the elderly old pope dies.
They pick a new old pope.
If a few years or less he is in failing health.
Then he dies.
Then they pick another old guy to be pope.
repeat, repeat, repeat.
They need to pick a 20-something year old and have the same pope for the next 50-60 years.
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Jan,
I knew all those guys and voted for them.
They all had lots more humility than Trump.
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Many people, myself included, will have numerous disagreements with Schiff on domestic policy.
But on Israel, AIPAC supported him as a “pro-Israel leader” and are online today celebrating his victory yesterday. They would not be doing that if he shifted positions.
The bottom line is that Hamas are the ones that violated a cease-fire and Hamas are the ones who are refusing to allow any stopping of the fighting. Schiff has acknowledged all of that. He and other Democrats should do more to point it out.
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“Shoplifting and smash and grab robberies from high end stores really hurts nobody since the insurance companies will reimburse the stores. Plus, if we arrest and jail people for doing this, all we do is increase costs we pay in taxes to the judicial and penal systems.”
Discuss.
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Schiff is a pathological liar. Nothing he says is held constant, as he changes his comments when it suits him. There is no other politician on the planet who is more disgusting than Schiff. Shifty, scumbag, immoral troll, intolerable – all fit him.
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Retail crime hurts everyone – shop owner, consumer (prices go up) and the neighbors they are in.
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Worst on the planet?
So you think he is worse than Putin and Maduro and Kim Jong Un?
That is on brand for you, jan.
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”I knew all those guys and voted for them”
A creative tongue-in-cheek answer. 😉
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Youve sunk to a new low Corey. Now you defend Sc*mbag Schiff. You even try to soften his words. He said, he supports a cease fire. Plain and simple. Typical Liberal shift, and falls in line with the far left, pro-Palestinian Squad
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The theme I am getting is that you like to go online and say dishonest things about Jewish people.
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”Disgusting” not “worse than….” Big difference!
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Is there a difference?
Is Putin disgusting? Yes or no.
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Chasing gotcha conversations is something I don’t like to play. Bye…
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Neocon Nikki out!
https://twitter.com/PapiTrumpo/status/1765506388380319944?s=20
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LOL. Youre a joke Corey. Always have been. That’s your fallback….oh he said bad things about sc*mbag Schiff. So ill say he hates Jews.
This folks is typical of the left. They think if they say you hate a group it will keep you from talking, except I don’t play that game. I am a big supporter of Israel, grew up with a jewish step dad, and don’t get scared away by people who can’t argue, so they try to “shame.”
Schiff it a total piece of Sh*t, lying, manipulating, scoundrel. period.
Zelinksy. I said I shouldn’t have said it with no proof, but have you ever gone to the Ukraine and helped them? Do you have equipment being used by their military to help them against the Russians. Nope, didn’t think so.
Corey, the only reason you and liberals like you like the Ukraine is because you believe they had a role in getting Trump impeached. If not for that, you wouldn’t be flying your blue and yellow flag…or even know where it was.
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Because you worship Trump.
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It’s “Ukraine” not “The Ukraine” which is what the Russians call it.
I see you.
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Ok Sparky
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Hi, Robbie.
Chicon
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not Robbie. It’s Corey
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New thread
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