Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.0-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.8 / 51.0-5.2

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Battlegrounds close according to “FocalData”

I am debating whether or not to include these polls in the Aggregator simply because these polls are online only, and there are no undecideds or third-party selections among the likely voter samples.

NEVADAFocalData
Trump51
Biden49
January 17-23; Likely Voters
ARIZONAFocalData
Trump50
Biden50
January 17-23; Likely Voters
PENNSYLVANIAFocalData
Trump51
Biden49
January 17-23; Likely Voters
GEORGIAFocalData
Trump52
Biden48
January 17-23; Likely Voters
WISCONSINFocalData
Trump51
Biden49
January 17-23; Likely Voters
MICHIGANFocalData
Trump49
Biden51
January 17-23; Likely Voters

28 responses to “Battlegrounds close according to “FocalData””

  1. sounds strange Online poles?

    Tina

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  2. Never heard of this co.

    Like

  3. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    All the polls are essentially tied. Statistically unlikely.

    Like

  4. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    This year Lupita will once again express her Presidential preference.

    In 2020 I printed Biden’s and Trump’s pictures on a sheet of paper. She ate the Trump picture first so I saw that as a clear sign he would win but maybe she meant no I will save the tastier picture for last.

    So it could mean something or maybe not.

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  5. All the polls are wrong!*

    *HHR tradition.

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  6. The polls are not wrong, they merely need adjustments to reflect the true preference of the voters.

    • Poul Harris

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  7. Voters look like ants from 30,000 feet.

    • Poul Harris

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  8. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    I noticed Focal Data spells organization as “organisation” so I checked them out to see if they are Brits

    Bingo

    I hope they are not connected to Lord Asshat

    https://www.focaldata.com/about-us

    Liked by 1 person

  9. Google Gemini now fabricating new stories accusing people of crimes

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  10. when you’re +5 nationally in a NYTimes poll of registered voters (not likely)

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  11. lol. Poul Harris. I wonder whatever happened to him. Who was the other one in Austin. Oh and don’t forget chekote. She argued with me offline a lot

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  12. “Walt – Is it true that chicks dig the long ball?”

    I only hit one home run in my life in over 40 years of playing baseball/softball. And it was in little league–inside the park HR, but game got rained out and it never counted. that is a good example of my life–wrong place at wrong time, right place at wrong time, wrong plafe at right time, etc.

    But I can tell you the chicks did not flock to me.

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  13. 40 years includes 4 years in little league, 4 years high school, 2 years ‘semi pro’ (very few players were actually paid any money, and certainly not me), 2 years of college baseball and 30 years of slow pitch softball in Industrial league and “over 35” league. Did get the occasional triple in baseball and softball. I was faster than the wind. Mostly a scratch singles and doubles hitter. Did go from being a 350 9th place hitter in high school to leadoff hitte33r in sr. year in college. I always had a good On Base percentage.

    My homerun that never went into the record books–I usually hit line drives or ground balls, not fly balls, but one game I launched a high and deep fly ball to right field. the right fielder struggled to get back to the fence, fell down, ball land just inside the fence, and by the time he got up, got the ball, threw it in I was already across home plate. The rumor that I went from first to second and then across pitcher’s mound to home plate to home are unfounded.

    Liked by 1 person

  14. yes. He was super liberal

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  15. I never hit a home run in Little League. My dad was the third base coach and held me at third on a triple because he did not want me thrown out at home. There were no 7th grade cannon arms out in center.

    Liked by 1 person

  16. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    What about Frank and his long lists of figures.

    Like

  17. Another true baseball story from senior year in college.

    I was leadoff hitter, batting average of probably about .340 for the year, plus I managed to coax a lot of walks and get on throwing errors (despite being a lefty batter, I often hit ground balls between 2nd and 3rd and they knew i was fast so they rushed their throws).

    We were playing Mount St. Marys College in MD and beating them pretty handily. Our eighth place hitter smacks a home run over left field fence. Our ninth place hitter then proceeds to hit homer over left field fence (no fence from center to right field line). Left-handed batter Walt comes up and everyone in our dugout in chanting “home run, home run” s they wanted more back to back to back …home runs. I tatered a ball in the gap between center and right fielders and get an easy stand up double AND EVERYONE IN MY OWN DUGOUT IS BOOING ME!. It was the most embarrassing double I ever hit in my life.

    True story.

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  18. Wonderful detail, retllaw! 

    Like

  19. Another way I got on base was getting hit by the pitch. Our high school coach said it was as good as a single, and we needed to stay in there and take one for the team. Suck it up and shake it off. A LOT of us got drilled in high school baseball games. Coach hated losing.

    In little league, I got nailed by a fast ball from a left handed pitcher who later pitcher (Paul Creek) for the St. Louis Cardinals organization, even got to pitch in some games in the Big Leagues.

    Earlier in the game he hit me with a fast ball in the ribs. Brought tears to my eyes. Then the next at bat, he hit me in the temple, right below the batting helmet. I did not cry. I went down like a sack of bricks and was knocked unconscious. Once the very concerned crowd of adults who had gathered around me and got me to come around after a few minutes, they walked me down to first base as a base runner. Never even took me out of the game. First baseman said sorry he hit you, man. He just can’t throw to left hander batters. In the last inning I was the on-deck batter, 2 outs, runner in scoring position that would have tied the game. Remembering what the first baseman told me, an smarting from my ribs and noggin, I had decided that I was not going to bat left handed and was going to bat (first time EVER in a game) on the RIGHT handed side of the batters box and taking swings in the on deck circle as a righty. I was secretly relieved the guy up before me made the last out.

    Perhaps that bean ball is why many people think I am an odd ball.

    Either that, or the overdosing on laughing gas episode during a chemistry lab in high school.

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  20. And of course there was the time Cash Cow kicked me in the head….

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  21. Oh, and I was also knocked unconscious during high school wrestling practice when two of the heavier weights was practicing on the same mat next to where I was wrestling with another of the low weight guys. One of the heavies threw the other and that guy’s size 12 shoe and foot slammed my head. Out like a light.

    Like