Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:41.6 / 55.6-14.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.5 / 52.1-6.6

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +21207228

2026 Senate Forecast

MEOHTXMIGANHMNNC
Gap+2.0+1.4+1.2+1.8+1.4+4.5+7.0+12.6
Count5051524847464544

Trump with edge in PENNSYLVANIA

According to new poll by Emerson/The Hill:

Emerson – PENNSYLVANIA
Trump 45Trump 42
Biden 43Biden 37
Kennedy 8
West 2
Stein 1
2/14-2/16/24; 1000 RV

Emerson also has new polls of CALIFORNIA and SOUTH CAROLINA:

Emerson – CALIFORNIA
Biden 55Biden 49
Trump 33Trump 31
Kennedy 8
West 1
Stein 1
2/16-2/18/24; 1000 RV
Emerson – SOUTH CAROLINA
Trump 51
Biden 37
2/14-2/16/24; 1000 RV

110 responses to “Trump with edge in PENNSYLVANIA”

  1. Vic, I left that “First” out there for nearly an hour before you grabbed it.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. headline: Daughter of Man Who Shot a Guy Worried Trump Could Kill Political Opponents

    This is another example of the left admitting how they would behave if they were in the position of Trump.

    Like

  3. headline: Idaho Asks Supreme Court to Let It Enforce Ban on Sex-Change Procedures for Minors

    And once again, I would point out that there is no such thing as a true sex-change. All surgeons can do is mutilate genitals, sterilize, and put the victims on perpetual hormone therapy. No surgeon can give a man a working womb so as to carry a child and give birth.

    And to do this to a little boy is evil. The boy has no idea what it feels like to function sexually as a man, and so the only reason the left pushes him into this horrific abuse is to sterilized him, a secondary means of abortion.

    Like

  4. Just for context, the final Emerson poll of PA 4 years ago was Biden 52/Trump 47.

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  5. Hi Folks,

    Haley’s State of the Presidential Race in Clemson, SC is scheduled for 12 EST.

    We will see if the rumors come true about her suspending her campaign.

    Like

  6. Marv,

    Odd that she would do this just before the SC primary and not just after, unless she is trying to save face by being able to claim that she got a shellacking because she dropped out, but had she stayed in, it would have been close?

    Like

  7. New Monmouth national poll

    Biden Job Approval

    Approve 38 / Disapprove 58

    Like

  8. DW

    Perhaps Haley’s billionaire never Trumper’s and Democrats see her political demise as inevitable and don’t want to waste more money on her. They bet on the wrong horse and they know it.

    Like

  9. I hoped she would stay would stay in up to the PA Primary so I could vote for her based on her support of Ukraine. Trump is a moron on the issue so for the first time since I began voting in 1986, I may leave the Presidential line blank. Trump will get my GE vote because Biden is completely unacceptable.

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  10. Haley will probably still be on the GOP primary ballot. Usually when they suspend the campaign, it just means they don’t stump anymore, but the names are still printed on the ballot. I expect to be able to vote for DeSantis in the my state’s primary.

    Like

  11. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13103959/Ksenia-Karelina-treason-russia-putin.html

    Too bad Tina and Jan are not here to cheer Putin for arresting the incredibly threatening ballerina.

    Like

  12. Bitter, when Russia finishes off Ukraine, which appears to be imminent, anyone who put on the uniform to fight against Russia will likely be lined up against a wall and shot. Anyone who spoke out against Russia will be sent to a prison camp in Siberia where they will face torture, starvation and death. Russia will have regained the prize country that was the breadbasket of the old USSR.

    And just in case anyone reading needs the information, this is not a good development for the world.

    Like

  13. She’s not dropping out

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  14. I am not watching, what is Haley saying, “I am going to take a shellacking in my own home state, and this is evidence that I will do better in other states?” If so, she’s as crazy as Biden.

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  15. DW – Jan and Tina refused to admit this. They hated being called out for it but refused to present an alternate scenario.

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  16. Good. I like a conservative Republican who supports Ukraine and tells Trump to F off.

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  17. I have actually met, in person, a man who spent over 12 years in a Siberian prison camp. It is very real, and its very horrible.

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  18. The Ukrainian situation is a difficult one. I don’t see, how even with US and quasi-NATO support that they, the Ukrainians, will be able to push Russia out of Donbass.

    So, since we live in a real world, and despite our desires (all on here right now) to see Russia completely kicked out of the Ukraine, is it truly feasible? And if it isn’t, would you accept a peace plan that left the lines at Donbass and ended the war? which means, can someone objectively look at the situation, or is this a zero sum game? tough questions

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  19. My grandfather spent some time in Siberia before breaing out during the Civil War and making his way to Vladivostok (then under White control) before boarding a steamer and bailing that awful country. He was a Great War veteran on the Eastern Front. Got tken prisoner late in the war, but the Reds didn’t hand over all the PoWs like they were supposed to, and A-H collapsed, so there wasn’t a major effort to recover the lost soldiers during the sh*tshow of the Red/White argy bargy.

    Like

  20. 2024 is on pace to be the biggest year ever for POTUS state polling, both the battleground states as well as states that appear to be a given. Here are the current number of states polled by each of the following pollsters:

    Emerson 29
    Stack Data Strategy 16
    Change Research (D) 7
    Morning Consult 7
    Redfield and Wilton Strategies 7
    Siena/NY Times 7
    Public Opinion Strategies (R) 6
    Big Data Poll 5
    Cygnal (R) 5
    On Message (R) 5
    PPP (D) 5
    Beacon Research (D) / Shaw (R) / Fox News 4
    J. L. Partners 4
    YouGov 4
    Zogby 3
    CNN/SSRS 3
    Bullfinch Group 2
    Florida Atlantic University 2
    National Public Affairs 2
    Noble Predictive Insights 2
    SurveyUSA 2
    Susquehanna Polling 2

    And then there are numerous pollsters having polled just 1 state

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  21. Why is it that when I decide to fill up the car with gas, the price has ALWAYS jumped 20 cents higher than it was yesterday.

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  22. At this point, Haley is a deadender, and anyone voting for her is SENDING A MESSAGE.

    Chicon

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  23. It is kind of hard for Hillary, Haley, and Pelosi to now claim that Putin has “something” on Trump, when we had 4 years of peace and prosperity.

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  24. Brutal, absolutely brutal numbers for Biden in the new Siena/NY Times poll of NEW YORK:

    Biden 48

    Trump 36

    Then with the misfits included:

    Biden 42

    Trump 32

    Kennedy 13

    West 6

    Then they asked the question, “If you could have your way, would you prefer the next president to be:

    Trump 28

    Biden 28

    Someone else 41

    Brutal numbers for Biden out of New York.

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  25. If Ukraine surrenders, they are the ones who have to “accept it.” The only realistic response is to grant admission to NATO to every country in Russia’s sights or grasp. All of Europe. Add in the ‘Stans for good measure. Prepare for a much more expensive new Cold War that will dwarf what should have been spent on aiding Ukraine.

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  26. I am proud to send the message that defending Ukraine with military aid is in America’s strategic interest. Telling Trump to F off is a bonus.

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  27. Agreed Bitter. And lets not forget who is largely to blame for this. Biden invited Putin to go ahead and take some of Ukraine and promised that would be okay.

    Consequences of having a president who should be in memory care.

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  28. Too bad Trump won’t admit Putin is a KGB killer.

    Like

  29. and just for some context, exactly four years ago, Siena College had NEW YORK Trump 36/Biden 55

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  30. meanwhile, Democrats looking to Kamala Harris for rescue….

    Feb. 8-12
    902 A
    Monmouth University Polling Institute

    Kamala Harris Job Approval

    Approve 35%

    Disapprove 58%

    Like

  31. If Trump win in November this is why:

    Yesterday (as most know) my son was very sick so I went to the store to get the ingredients to make him homemade chicken soup, as it always makes him feel better (came out amazing bTW)

    Whole Chicken

    Celery

    Two bundles Carrots

    Shallots

    Sweet Onion

    Italian Parsley

    two containers Chicken Bone broth

    Total Price: $44.56!!!!!!!

    How does an average family make it if it costs $44 to make a pot of chicken soup. I know many on here hate Trump because he’s bombastic BUT…when the average Joe and Janice enter the voting booth and remember its $44 for chicken soup and $75 to fill up…they will vote Biden out.

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  32. Are you filling in for Tina and Jan? I completely reject this argument. Putin is 100% responsible for the invasion of Ukraine.

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  33. Vic, I agree. What you just described is essentially what is in that Siena poll of New York. And then when the masses who vote but don’t really pay attention get a few glimpses near the election of Biden being led by the hand on the stage, and incapable of reading his teleprompter, I could see a stampede away from him.

    But this is why DEMS will eventually replace Biden at the convention. I have never once seen an election for POTUS where the DEMS just stood down and welcomed defeat.

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  34. Agreed Bitter, I am just saying that Biden invited Putin to do so. Putin is 100% responsible for the invasion of Ukraine, and Biden is 100% responsible for his public display of weakness and surrender that contributed to Putin’s 100% responsible decision to enter Ukraine.

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  35. Supporting a deadender and SENDING A MESSAGE is ok, as long as we like the candidate and message. I’ll write that down in the notes section of my official HHR (Phoenix Edition) Rule Book.

    Like

  36. Not just Biden, DW; this goes back to 2014 when the Obama admin did NOTHING when this cr@p flared up in the first place. Taking a stronger line back then when the Dems held the Senate and the House GOP was not beholden to MAGA (as it did not yet exist) could have avoided a lot of this trouble.

    Like

  37. Zzzzzzzz. Haley is a conservative and a Republican. Trump is neither. If Haley becomes a moron regarding Ukraine like Trump, I will just leave the Presidential line blank on my Primary ballot.

    Like

  38. Still giving a free pass. If Biden had stood on the Russia/Ukraine border with a bullhorn yelling, “Putin! Invade Ukraine!” it would still only be Putin’s fault.

    Like

  39. Did you hit your head in 1983 and wake up in 1985?

    Like

  40. Bitter – i believe all he’s trying to say is that Biden’s weakness was a contributing factor to Putin invading. That’s an undeniable fact. He knew Biden would do little to nothing so was emboldened. It’s not anyone’s fault but Putin that invaded, but it didn’t happen in a vacuum.

    he would not have done it with trump as President I believe.

    Like

  41. General Election: Rasmussen

    Trump 47

    Biden 41

    And with Kennedy included:

    Trump 43

    Biden 37

    Kennedy 12

    Like

  42. California Senate – Open Primary

    The Hill/Emerson

    Schiff 28 Garvey 22. Porter 16. Lee 9

    Like

  43. Pennsylvania Senate

    The Hill/Emerson

    Casey 49

    McCormick 39

    ouch!!!

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  44. I absolutely think Putin invaded when he was ready. He would have done it even if Trump was President in 2022. Trump is a moron regarding Ukraine. He won’t even call out Putin for arresting and killing dissidents.

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  45. So, Schiff is the next Senator. Excellent…..

    Chicon

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  46. Hi GF, 

    Are you still in the Navy?

    Like

  47. Vic, yes, that’s what I was saying. Sure, Putin could have received a formal invitation from Biden, along with a promise that if Putin would invade Ukraine, we would provide financial support and root for him harder than Carlson, Jan and Tina, and Putin still could have turned it down and not invaded…so yes, he is 100% responsible for his decision to invade.

    Biden on the other hand, is 100% responsible for advertising American foreign policy as weak, and willing to do nothing. He was 100% responsible for that decision to be publicly weak.

    Rather than doing the right thing and stay out of Ukraine, Putin chose to invade. He did so knowing that the USA was currently weak in the office of Commander in Chief.

    Like

  48. Anonymous was me. I forgot to log in.

    Like

  49. In my book, people (aka, deadenders) have the right to send a message if they want. Your (previous) position was different.

    Also, leaving it blank is a vote for Trump, also according to your previous positions.

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  50. Vic/DW – I hate having to admit that Biden did anything right. Sending military aid to Ukraine was/is the right thing to do. Both can be true.

    To sum up, I believe that Russia would still have invaded Ukraine in 2022 if Trump was President. Trump would have bowed to the isolationist Jan/Tina wing and not sent any military aid to Ukraine.

    Like

  51. “He would have done it even if Trump was President in 2022.”

    You could be right…that’s the frustration with analyzing counter-factual history. No way to know for sure.

    Like

  52. We just disagree. Cream soda.

    Liked by 1 person

  53. Where is Jason? Is he protesting Jan and Tina leaving?

    Like

  54. Headline: 70% of Largest U.S. Cities on Verge of Bankruptcy

    How can this be given 100% of Largest US Cities are entirely run by Democrats?

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  55. 30% of Democrats learned math in school?

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  56. “30% of Democrats learned math in school?”

    I know, its shocking. Maybe the answer is that the other 30% of large cities already went bankrupt.

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  57. Bitter

    I do disagree with you regarding Trump. I don’t believe he would have tolerated an invasion into Ukraine. His need to be seen as the big tough guy would have overruled the side that acquiesced to the Paul inspired isolation sign.

    he would have wanted to show he was stronger than the Russian guy bare chested on a horse. As well, he would have shown that he was interested in protecting Ukraine so the impeachment wasn’t justified.

    so, on this we will have to agree to “cream soda”!!

    Like

  58. Trump is going to be the nominee. If Haley abandons Ukraine, she will not deserve my primary vote.

    Like

  59. Can we get a picture of Big Orange shirtless on a horse?

    Chicon

    Liked by 1 person

  60. Why won’t tough guy Trump call out Putin as a KGB killer with Navalny’s blood on his hands?

    Like

  61. Tina and Jan,

    Don’t punish the rest of us who value your input just because a couple posters tolerate differing opinions as well as Mafia dons and commie dictators.

    Chicon

    Like

  62. Did Chicon forget that every post can be challenged? None of their posts were deleted (except the ones that Tina specifically asked to be removed).

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  63. Bitter,

    One of the reasons that President Trump hasn’t said much about the Putin/Navalny issue could be that he is more concerned, for now, about how Biden is trying to him in jail, where he will die too.

    If President Trump asked me for my advice on this matter, I would suggest that he first take out all comers in this election and then deal with Putin, Xi, and Iran next.

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  64. Marv:

    Nonsense. Trump rambles on for more than an hour at his rallies. He can’t say, “Blah, blah, blah, Putin has Navalny’s blood on his hands, blah, blah, blah….”

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  65. Trump knows the same the globohomo movement is targeting both Trump and Putin together.

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  66. Also, Biden has no moral ground to stand on and call out Putin over the Navalny death. I suspect that Mr Trump, however, welcomes the opportunity to point out the obvious similarities between Biden and Putin. Both seem to want their chief political opponents put jail.

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  67. Marv – thanks for the nuanced, realistic point of view today on Ukraine. Black-and-white thinking has taken over the issue on both sides, and this will make resolution harder and more dangerous.

    Chicon

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  68. Bitter,

    Of course Putin has blood on his hands. My point is that Biden and his entire apparatus need to be taken down in this election and that is Trump’s focus for the present.

    I also think that the lawfare being waged against Trump right now is turning out to be an unintended in kind campaign contribution.

    Like

  69. One of the signs of a strong incumbent POTUS candidate is the ability to poll the same or better yet, improve over the candidate’s actual results 4 years earlier. You can understand the importance of this metric, given Biden was declared the 2020 winner on the basis of some 40,000 ballots across several key states.

    So I checked to see how Biden is doing against the 17 states that at the most generous extension are in play, including OH, IA, FL, TX, GA, NC, AZ, NV, MI, WI, PA, MN, ME, VA, CO, NH, and NM.

    Since July 1 of last year there have been a total 194 polls done in these 17 states.

    If Biden, the incumbent, was on par, on track to make at least a decent showing and perhaps win outright, we might expect him to have improved his polling numbers against the 2020 final results in maybe 80 or 90 of these 194 polls.

    Historically, incumbents are difficult to dislodge. And so if Biden improved in only 40 or 50 of these 194, we would rightly conclude that he is in trouble.

    By my count, Biden has improved his numbers in ONLY 19 of these 194 polls. Let that sink in.

    I am not saying that Biden can’t win, because the GOP took the hard route by nominating Trump instead of DeSantis. But I am saying that these numbers are horrible for Biden, indicating that they will have to replace him at the convention.

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  70. Hi themohel,

    Did post under another handle at the original HHR? I must have missed it if you have already mentioned that.

    Like

  71. Joe Biden out walking totally normal as usual

    https://x.com/simonateba/status/1760024743296589861?s=20

    Like

  72. Engoron was banging the secretary of opposing counsel during a previous case – a complete ethics violation. https://x.com/gatewaypundit/status/1760043457953853756?s=20

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  73. Anonymous, it looks like Biden made it all the way across the grassy area to the helicopter without anyone holding his hand or pointing the way. Impressive. He looked like a slow motion robot, but he made it.

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  74. Marv – Trump will get my vote in the General Election. I will continue to think he is an amoral scumbag I don’t respect as a person. Both can be true.

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  75. Russia’s brutal and unjustified invasion of Ukraine is very much a black and white issue. Where is the gray area, Chicon?

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  76. Our President just tripped twice going up the short staircase of AF 1.

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  77. Trump is still a treasonous pile of crap.

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  78. “Trump is still a treasonous pile of crap.”

    It was Obama-Biden who engineered the wiretapping and the coup against Trump . They are the traitors

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  79. That’s not treason. Trump was a danger and still is a danger. He should be fucking wiretapped.

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  80. Damn. Gateway Pundit is back.

    Like

  81. Usatoday doesn’t have an ‘exclusive’ poll showing Trump trouncing Haley. Every pollster who has polled that race has one.

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  82. Flynn call out Obama-biden for staging a coup against Trump. Traitors in the WH still

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  83. Flynn is the biggest traitor of them all.

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  84. oh wow. I never read that before. Time to indict Obama since there is no presidential immunity.

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  85. No one is stopping them from indicting Obama.

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  86. “No one is stopping them from indicting Obama.”

    He will be if the crossfire documents haven’t been destroyed yet (they probably have) once Trump cleans out the corrupt Garland DOJ

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  87. They have no evidence. They will be laughed out of court.

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  88. A robust argument with only 1 Gateway Pundit link and no nicknames.

    Like

  89. https://x.com/BreitbartNews/status/1759996781641834818?s=20

    former Obama CIA chief donating to Nikki Haley to create chaos within the GOP

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  90. Zzzzzzzz Nobody on the GOP side complained about Rush Limbaugh’s stupid Operation Chaos in 2008 that gave us Obama because he would “be easier to beat.”

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  91. well…it was a good thread for awhile. Imagine spirited debate and no one got pissed off. Just people offering different opinions, with the reasoning behind them, and adult enough to know that people can disagree without demoralizing the other person.

    Well…until bunu showed up

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  92. I would be worried if Trump donated to Haley. It would show he believed she was like Reid, Schumer and the Clintons.

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  93. Vic – Bunu claims that some of the posts are not his. Not sure why anybody else would want to post as an anti-Semitic America-hating bastard.

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  94. Marv, I was Chicon at the old joint.

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  95. Michael Lee at

    @MariaBartiromo: “At this point, she (

    @NikkiHaley) is like a suicide bomber on the entire Republican Party.”

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  96. Too bad Trump is a moron regarding Ukraine. He tossed away my primary vote.

    Like

  97. DRUDGE

    Lab-Grown Testicles Could Revolutionize Male Infertility Treatments…

    Gives new meaning to the term “grow a pair”

    Liked by 1 person

  98. PUNKSthenAPESthenLADS Avatar
    PUNKSthenAPESthenLADS

    The posts about Zelinksky being a nazi weren’t mine in particular as I’ve never said that lol.

    Like

  99. themohel,

    Ok, thanks. I remember now.

    Like

  100. Has anyone figured out what happened to lisab?

    Liked by 1 person

  101. I believe she and Bitter got in a fracas at the old joint, and she left before the closing. Not sure if she knows of this site.

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  102. themohel,

    Thanks.

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  103. Speaking of fracas’s…….

    Jan and Tina, it is time for you to come back now.

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  104. jason NeverHaley2024! Avatar
    jason NeverHaley2024!

    They just found an old leather boot at Oak Island. It is obvious the treasure is close.

    Like

  105. last post of the evening

    United we succeed, divided we fail … paraphrasing, but we need to be the big tent once again. The idea that we get 100% of what we want or else brand the offender useless will get us…where we are today.

    Like