The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

According to Cygnal. New Jersey was +16 for Biden in 2020. NEW JERSEY poll 🔵 Harris: 52% (+12)🔴 Trump: 40% Cygnal 10/23-10/24; 600LV

According to Quantus Insights poll taken 10/22-10/24; 725 LV VIRGINIA Trump 48 Harris 49

According to new polling from WHDH-TV/Emerson NEW HAMPSHIRE Trump 46.7 Harris 50.3 also, the final NY Times/Siena poll is a tie at 48.

I don’t have time to make them look pretty, so… CNBC national poll, Trump +2 WSJ national poll, Trump +3 TIPP national poll, Harris +3 PA: Franklin & MarshallTrump 50, Harris 49 PA: EmersonTrump 49, Harris 48 WI: EmersonTrump 49, Harris 48 NC: EmersonTrump 50, Harris 48 NC: MaristTrump 50, Harris 48 AZ: MaristTrump 50,…

According to new polling from Quinnipiac WISCONSIN Trump 48 Harris 48 MICHIGAN Trump 46 Harris 49

Maryland poll according to The Hill/Emerson and NC according to SoCal Strategies MARYLAND Hogan 40 Alsobrooks 54 NORTH CAROLINA Trump 49 Harris 46

According to newly released but a somewhat stale polling from AARP, taken 10/8-10/15 against 600 LV NEVADA Trump 49 Harris 47 I wonder if we will eventually see polling done that weights the party ID based on real data coming in from early voting.

Rust belt vs. Sun Belt Swing States poll by Redfield and Wilton N=8,553; 10/16-10/18 Florida – 🔴 Trump 49-45%Arizona – 🔴 Trump 49-46%North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 48-45%Georgia – 🔴 Trump 48-47%Nevada – 🔴 Trump 47-46%Pennsylvania – 🟡 Tie 48-48%Michigan – 🟡 Tie 47-47%Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris 47-46%——SENATEWisconsin – 🔵 Baldwin 45-44%Nevada – 🔵 Rosen…

FLORIDA Univ. of N. Florida 10/7-10/18; 977 LV Trump 53 Harris 43 ActiVote 9/23-10/20; 800 LV Trump 54.6 Harris 45.4%

NATIONAL poll 🔴 Trump: 49% (+2)🔵 Harris: 47% TIPP | 10/17-19 | N=1,254LV

Rasmussen Reports polled Nevada from 10/9-10/14 against 748 likely voters NEVADA Trump 49 Harris 47 U.S. Senate: Brown 49 Rosen 47 *Correction: Brown 44 Rosen 47 *Rasmussen reports updated their page with the corrected numbers after wrongly posting a two point Brown lead.

According to new polling from East Carolina University taken 10/9 – 10/14 against 701 LVs GEORGIA Trump 49 Harris 46

Latest poll from the University of Texas, 10/2-10/10; 1,097 LV TEXAS Trump 51 Harris 46 U.S. Senate: Cruz 51 Allred 44

When you are a Dem and you are down three with CBS/YouGov, you know you are in trouble. Poll was taken 10/11-10/16 against LVs ARIZONA Trump 51 Harris 48

According to Mitchell Research & Communications Oct. 14; 589 LV MICHIGAN Trump 47 Harris 47 Others 2 U.S. Senate: Rogers 43 Slotkin 47

National poll by @foxnewspoll 🟥 Donald Trump: 50%🟦 Kamala Harris: 48% Last poll – 🔵 Harris+2

says Quinnipiac: GEORGIA poll 🔴 Trump: 52% (+7)🔵 Harris: 45% Quinnipiac | 10/10-14 | N=1,328LV NORTH CAROLINA poll 🔵 Harris: 49% (+2)🔴 Trump: 47% Quinnipiac | 10/10-14 | N=1,031LV Rich Baris says Trump up in PA: PENNSYLVANIA poll 🔴 Trump: 52% (+4)🔵 Harris: 48% @BIGDATAPOLL | 10/16 | LVs

The new Redfield & Wilton polling was taken 10/12-10/14 Trump Harris Oth AZ 48 46 2 FL 50 44 2 GA 47 47 3 MI 47 47 2 MN 43 51 1 NV 47 47 2 NM 45 49 3 NC 48 46 2 PA 48 48 1 WI 47 48 2

according to Emerson College poll 10/12-10/14; 1,000LV CALIFORNIA Trump 37 Harris 61 Also a new poll of Utah from Noble Predictive Insights taken 10/2-10/7; 539 LV UTAH Trump 54 Harris 36 And adding here a new Alaska poll from Alaska Survey Research 10/8-10/9; 1,254 LV ALASKA Trump 54 Harris 46 And one more from out…

according to Rasmussen Reports and InsiderAdvantage: NORTH CAROLINA Trump 51 Harris 46 GEORGIA Trump 49 Harris 47

MRG, 10/7 – 10/11 600 LV: MICHIGAN Trump 44 Harris 44.9 U.S. Senate: Rogers 41.2 Slotkin 46.1

According to new polling from AARP 10/2-10/8; 600 LV in MI and Trafalgar Group in NC 10/10-10/13; 1,085 LV MICHIGAN Trump 49 Harris 48 U.S. Senate: Rogers 46 Slotkin 49 NORTH CAROLINA Trump 46.5 Harris 44.6 Other 3.6

According to the Trafalgar Group 10/10-10/13, 1090 LVs ARIZONA Trump 47.5 Harris 46.0 U.S. Senate: Lake 43.9 Gallego 47.6

According to new polls from Rasmussen Reports and Big Data Poll. The PA poll by Rasmussen was taken 10/9 – 10/13; 1072 LV, while the Big Data poll of MI was Oct. 14; 904 LV PENNSYLVANIA Trump 50 Harris 47 U.S. Senate: McCormick 45 Casey 47 MICHIGAN Trump 47 Harris 45.5 With Leaners: Trump 50.5…

The New York Times/Siena College Oct. 7-10, 808 LV in AZ and 857 LV in PA PENNSYLVANIA Trump 45 Harris 49 U.S. Senate: McCormick 44 Casey 48 ARIZONA Trump 50 Harris 45 U.S. Senate: Lake 41 Gallego 48