First
First


New Book:
First
I remember when Bush won the chorus was that (D) was done for a generation or more.
When Obama was elected the chorus was that the GOP was done.
When Trump won and then controlled all three chambers on 2024 and with reinstating and future census, (D) was again done.
Now Texas is gone forever and GOP will never win the presidency again
There is nothing new under the sun. Ecclesiastes 1:9
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Ohio is getting close but Toledo vote still to come in.
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The way I see it last time Trump lost congress, the economy needed stimmy since we have a fake ponzi economy.
Trump made a deal w Pelosi for covid bailout in which Pelosi blackmailed Trump: he got the stimmy in exchange for mail in voting fraud for Boden.
Only the dems will never be so nice this time. Now that they can deny needed stimmy for 2028, they will try to crash the economy and dump it on war criminal Trump.
They want a herbert Hoover type figure to create one party rule,
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Damn. I should have predicted more Democrat wins.
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Will this get JD Vance to skip the presidential race in ‘28?
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I did a deep dive into Ohio since I grew up there. But I’m calculating that Dems are likely to win 8 of the 15 House races. This is partly due to gerrymandering and splitting urban areas like Dayton and spreading out the Democrats.
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So why has Michigan stopped counting votes for the past couple hours? Stuck at 29%.
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Will this get JD Vance to skip the presidential race in ‘28?”
I hope so.
Rubio has a better chance of winning
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Ayotte is winning but it is close.
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Collins hanging in there.
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Rogers is slowly gaining on El Sayed. Only about a 70k lead now, was 100k.
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Bunu is too stupid to know his own tell signs in the fake posts.
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I don’t think Husted makes it. Will be close but might be like 50k votes short.
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Marshall is toast and Ricketts not out of the woods, although gaining on Osborn.
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Collins takes the lead. If she wins, El Sayed loses, and somehow Sullivan and Hinson and Rickets pull it out that is my best scenario.
Oh and Tafoya, who has led from the beginning but only 25% in.
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People are betting that Ricketts wins. They must know that it is GOP votes remaining.
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Polls were wrong about fake R Scott losing in VT.
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Omaha is ahead of the count, that is why.
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And on the other hand, Collins is at 7% on Kalshi so it must be Dem votes yet to come in.
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The mandatory sex change surgeries begin TONIGHT. all republican voters, please report to your local abortion clinic
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Every Dem running for the House around Philadelphia in PA and NJ ran on one issue – Trump. Republican incumbents Fitzpatrick and McKenzie (PA) and Van Drew (NJ) lost.
Jason will say it had nothing to do with Trump.
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Zzzzz…
You said every Dem in 2024 ran on abortion, you thought it was a great issue.
And besides, I did not say it had nothing to do with Trump’s policies. I said running on “Trump hate” is foolish and has been proven over and over not to work.
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Yeah, Poly thinks both Collins and Rodgers have no chance.
I said this many times here.
IN a wave election, you lose ALL the close contests.
DW disagreed that this could happen based on the polls not showing it, but the fact is 90% of the polling we saw was negative for Rs.
This time it forecast the wave.
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I said running on “Trump hate” is foolish and has been proven over and over not to work.
It worked tonight, A-hole.
You roasted me in January when I said I expected the Dems to pick up 25-30 seats in the House. We’ll be lucky if it is only that bad.
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Adam Hamawy, a doctor who volunteered in Gaza wins house race
New Jersey’s first Muslim member of congress
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Looks like 54-55 seats in the Senate and possibly 240+ in the House for the Dems. Abbott defeated. South Carolina and Kansas to the Dems. Maybe Trump was a Dem plant after all.
Big Joe, A-Hole
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Maybe Trump was a Dem plant after all.
Big Joe – GFY. Trump focused on important issues this year like Jimmy Kimmel, Colbert, the reflecting pool, the Arch, a golf course, renaming the Kennedy Center. and attending the Knicks playoff game (the one they lost).
Trumpism is dead because it’s only ideology was Trump.
Things Trump did right.
Tax breaks for everybody.
Cleaning up DOJ
Attacking Iran’s nuclear program.
Things Trump did wrong:
Tariffs
Paxton
Stabbing Ukraine in the back
Focusing on nonsense (see above)
A Palestinian-American surgeon who treated wounded Palestinians in Gaza is now heading to Congress calling for an end to US military aid to Israel. Mabrouk Dr. Adam Hamawy
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s
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Test
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You roasted me in January when I said I expected the Dems to pick up 25-30 seats in the House.”
What I said was you had no evidence to back that up, it was pure speculation.
Just because it ended up being right doesn;t mean there was any justification at the time for it.
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Just because it ended up being right doesn;t mean there was any justification at the time for it.
Zzzzzzz The prediction was based on people hating Trump. I was right.
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Trumpism is dead because it’s only ideology was Trump.”
LOL
Trumpism isn’t dead. It preceded Trump and will survive him.
The Republican Party is now a populist party.
There is no going back.
Trump did not create today’s R party. He is a symptom of it.
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I am on Bunu patrol.
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was based on people hating Trump”
Right. The guy wins every swing state and the popular vote after being indicted 500 times and called a Nazi for years but he is “hated”.
I love the logic here.
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So is there a silver lining in this complete and utter disaster?
Maybe.
The Dems are going to overreach. Bet on it.
They are not going to accomplish anything besides a lot of investigations and bills that Trump will veto.
In two years, it might come back to bite them.
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Boebert might not make it.
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The way I see it last time Trump lost congress, the economy needed stimmy since we have a fake ponzi economy.
Trump made a deal w Pelosi for covid bailout in which Pelosi blackmailed Trump: he got the stimmy in exchange for mail in voting fraud for Boden.
Only the dems will never be so nice this time. Now that they can deny needed stimmy for 2028, they will try to crash the economy and dump it on war criminal Trump.
They want a herbert Hoover type figure to create one party rule
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Hennepin Co in MN has not come in, so Tafoya is probably toast too.
And Rs came close to losing MS, at the moment only up 15k with 9% to go.
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they will try to crash the economy”
If the Dems crash the economy they will be blamed for it in 2028.
What they will try to do is come to some deal with Trump where they can claim to pass something positive.
I doubt Trump will do that, but tonight he said “we will work out something”
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update on strategy? https://x.com/HasanabiProd/status/2117668257360671009?a=MqyeqNSbCi9kI0DkKKs&s=20
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Right. The guy wins every swing state and the popular vote after being indicted 500 times and called a Nazi for years but he is “hated”.
Jason apparently stopped following the news in 2024. We just lost a Senate seat and the Governor’s mansion in Texas. TEXAS.
Maybe Jason can explain this disaster while absolving Trump of any responsibility. I can’t.
Did Jason think 1994 had nothing to do with Clinton and 2010 had nothing to do with Obama?
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I don’t absolve Trump of responsibility.
His stupid tariffs and trade wars kept prices high.
He backed some bad candidates like Paxton, should have endorsed Cornyn in TX and Norman in SC.
He should have planned for the embargo of Iranian oil and keeping the straight open in his Iran strategy.
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Republican doing better in OR gov race than in TX.
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all food sold in texas needs to be now certified halal. you have to go the the grocery to get new
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Like I said, they will overreach….
In a one-word post on X, Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Ore., wrote simply, “Subpoenas.”
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Paul won the HHR Prediction Contests. Congrats.
I have to look at my 2nd place finish and wonder where it all went wrong..
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all food sold in texas needs to be now certified halal”
There will be no halal because Talarico will ban meat.
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Good to see Trump trashes everybody but himself. Typical.
I think Rubio should resign and start his 2028 campaign now
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R in MS only ahead by 5k votes with 34k still left
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At least Tina got rid of Collins so she can have a Democrat in the seat.
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Interesting in Mississippi:
NYT Needle has R at 64% chance to win but..
Kalshi has R at 21%.
Big Joe, A-Hole
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Dem now leading in Mississippi by 28 votes. 96.6% in.
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Well, Trump gambled big and lost at the ballot box, but he is now liberated from caring what anyone thinks; I hope the bombs start falling overnight on Tehran and we finish the job, otherwise, it was all for nothing.
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hope the bombs start falling overnight on Tehran and we finish the job, otherwise, it was all for nothing.”
Bombs away!
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We talked about a polling error that could change everything.
The polling error was against the Dems this time, and it changed everything.
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GFY, Jew hater! The Iranian mullah are bad people who torture their own kind. I’m hardly a neocon, I didn’t like the whole Iraq thing one bit, but an Iran has actually killed American servicemen over the decades (Beirut Barracks to name just one example). My brothers and sisters in arms have died at the hands of your pals, so I’ve no issue with destroying your radical Muzzie friends, even if it costs me $10/gallon.
People like you who have never out on a uniform and defended anything worthwhile don’t have a clue what is at stake.
Bitter says Trump wins when he is on the ballot but disagrees with Trump who says he wins when he is on the ballot.
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Yep, finish the job on Iran and then tackle Cuba.
Getting rid of Iran’s threat and destroying its proxies Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthis.
Liberating Venezuela from Maduro.
Freeing Cuba.
I would call that a highly successful foreign policy.
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Rubio launching his campaign is not a bad idea.
But I think Trump should resign.
Have Vance pardon him and his family and everyone in the government so the Dems have nothing to “investigate”.
Vance then puts Rubio in as VP, they can decide later who will run for President.
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GF – You know that was Bunu and not me.
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BL, of course! Hence the mandatory “Jew-hating bastard” descriptor.
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I completely agree with this. It’s time.
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The blue tsunami started in FL. The fact a complete loon like Angie Nixon got 48% meant the Indies broke hugely for the Dems and it was a sign it was going to happen everywhere.
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Emily Shelton, a pilot who posts aviation-related content online, wrote in a story shared to her TikTok profile: “I was recently made aware that there are rumors that I was the pilot of the recent crash in Palm Beach.”
“I would like to respectfully clarify I was not.” Shelton wrote”
It would indeed be a surprise if she confessed she WAS on it.
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I hope there are some military ballots in MS.
The 2 Sullivans and the other R are over 50)% in AK.
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I am looking forward to DW’s analysis. Apparently, the polls were generally right in results if not numbers.
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Trump has a choice – Try to find anything he and the Dems can agree on to improve the country OR just issue EOs, pardons, and vetoes while ranting on social media.
Democrats have a choice – Try to find anything they agree with Trump about to improve the country OR spend 2 years trying to impeach Trump, subpoena everybody they don’t like, and make mediocre male athletes into champion “female” middle school players.
The Dems got their biggest dream last night. They also lost their biggest issue. Running against Trump might work in 2028 but not in 2030 or beyond.
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Former Yankees star Mark Teixeira won a House seat as a Republican.
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Paxton lost by an astounding 13 pts and over 1.2 million votes. He dragged Abbott down who lost by 7.
The difference show Paxton was truly a horrible candidate that lost a ton of R votes and got trounced by Indies.
Maybe Janzam will be honest that this baggage ridden turkey should never have been on the ballot.
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Both Trump and the Dems will go for the OR for a thousand please.
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At least Trump achieved a major policy goal of getting Stephen Colbert off the air. Way to focus, Mr. President.
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Most of the transgender care restrictions passed and sports by biological sex passed, most of the Voter ID and citizenship measures passed.
California billionaire tax is losing.
Some small wins.
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This election will take many cycles to recover from. Many of those elected will be able to hold the seats for many terms.
Trump got re-elected bc of pocketbook issues.
Hard to fathom that he could not see this was an issue.
Losing SC, TX, KS and maybe MS. Unbelievable. So bad.
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Yes.
If Dems can win the presidential election they will institute a socialist one party state.
Maybe they will run an AOC against a Rubio so that won’t happen.
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let’s now see how fast the gope in the senate work with the drats. Where is Buffune?
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So we want to bomb Iran and blame Trump for higher gas (and ignore Biden’s inflation). Great. /s
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Tough night. There is some poor candidate quality
Ohio – hustled and ram. Ram was not likable at all Hustled was a waste. He didn’t want to campaign
sc -Darlene. Another waste. She was also not interested in campaigning.
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Darlene seemed nice though. But not one you grant a seat too under an entitlement.
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Buffune deserves a lot of the loss and the senate rinos. You got in and did nothing.
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“If Greg Abbott, the Governor of Texas, hadn’t become a RINO in the last six months of his Political Life, he wouldn’t have lost,” Trump wrote in a social media post. “He went back to his original formula, and it wasn’t pretty!”
Knowing Abbott, I can say he isn’t a RINO. In fact, he’s been a Republican longer than the President has.
Trump is such a jerk.
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Tough night. There is some poor candidate quality
Hmmmm? Who did Tina leave off the list? I think it was somebody in Texas.
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Husted was a good candidate, but Vivek wasn’t.
Trump shoud have backed Norman in the SC race.
He should have backed Cornyn in TX.
The problem with wave elections is that any close contests and any bad candidates won’t survive.
If you look at the county arrow shifts towards the Dems, they shifted left in just about every county in America.
What worries me is that normally I would say the Dems will probably misinterpret the hand they were dealt, that the country really wants socialism.
But I am not so sure anymore that it would be a misinterpretation.
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Executed my game plan last night. Completely isolated myself from election returns. Had no idea of the blood bath in real time and didn’t even look until I woke up this morning. At least I slept well.
I have come to hate Baris, but man, he does know how to poll. Best pollster in America. I’ll give him that. I guess I grew to hate him because I didn’t like what he was finding in his results.
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The Save Act would not have changed anything in this election.
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Not so sure about Baris.
He was emotionally involved and wanted this outcome. He showed that with his BS polls on Massie. And in the end, to CYA, he even thought that Paxton would win
It turns out he was right about a Dem wave, but it is like Nate Silverhack and Ralston in NV predicting always that the Dems will win, sometimes they are right.
I think he is a scumbag loser.
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Maybe El Sayed will run for President a la Obama.
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Trump is the mother of all RINOS. Throwing Abbott under the bus serves no purpose.
I have another prediction. He will throw more Rs under the bus trying to “make deals” with the Dems.
Hopefully, the Dems will refuse, even though politically it would benefit them too.
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Paxton was a horrible candidate and I voted for Cornyn in the primary because of that. However, let’s be honest. Cornyn would have been washed away in this wave as well. When you barely squeak out a win in the Florida Senate race vs an admitted socialist, lose senate races in SC, and Mississippi? Come on. Here in Texas we now have a Democratic House, Dem governor, lt governor, attorney general….every statewide office. Total wipe out.
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Bunu gets removed as quickly as possible.
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I don’t like Baris, but outside of the Kentucky congressional primary, he’s dead on with his polling and has been for the last twelve years. I don’t know of any other pollster in America that can say that. Not even close.
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New Thread
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Despite Bitter’s silly theory that Trump is always responsible for R losses but never responsible for R wins, the election was about gas prices, grocery prices and the Iran war. It wasn’t about ICE, abortion, transgender rights, gun control etc although many of the Dems will see it that way.
Washington and Colorado passed initiatives separating boys and girls sports. So did AZ. These states all went big for Dem candidates. WA is close to giving the Dem legislature a super majority.
The evidence is that Rs lost or came close to losing in places where he is still popular. The R vote was down across the board even in solid red areas.
Sure you can argue that the buck stops with Trump, and he vastly underestimated the impact of high prices, the exit polls showed the economy was far and away the number one issue.
It’s the economy, stupid, was proven once again.
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Trump is taking no responsibility of course. He should resign but won’t. So two years of constant drama. Jason is correct in needing a Vance pardon for him and his family and maybe others including Musk.
The only hope the GOP has going forward is for Rubio to resign in January and admit the failures gradually in the next several months and have an agenda that addresses the Corrupt Woke Commie Dems that relates with younger generations concerns and begin running a shadow campaign and begin gathering a coalition for 2028. He is the best communicator and has charisma. Vance is smart and likable but more in the RDS mold. I doubt any candidate would want Trumps endorsement now. MAGA needs a facelift.
Texas going blue spells doom electorally though.
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In recent history, markets have outperformed during the 12-month period after a mid-term. That period starts today and markets start off hot.
Big Joe, A-Hole
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