New Book:
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrat +15 | 210 | 225 |
Here is where Schumer and Jeffries get their orders….
DEMOCRATIC (DSA) Party Platform:
Strip Americans of all their hard-earned resources and retirement savings, forcing them to live hand-to-mouth, and then replacing Americans by blowing all that money on illegals brought in from every cesspool country in the world; resulting in the USA becoming a third world country dominated by crime, injustice, and corruption.
Marist | 10/15 – 10/18; 1185 LV | 4.3 MoE
US Senate
🟦 Abdul El-Sayed: 50% (-1)
🟥 Mike Rogers: 48% (+4)
——
Governor
🟦 Jocelyn Benson: 51% (-2)
🟥 John James: 45% (+4)
Just as sure as the turning of the earth, Marist tightens up at the end to try and avoid an F grade. Even so, in Michigan two years ago they had Harris winning over Trump 51-48. But my prediction that Rogers will win is on track. He could end up winning going away…four or five points.
First
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Billionaire who could buy the team travels from L.A. to Travis Kelce’s Chiefs-Chargers game with two famous friends
Fixed it.
Travis Kelce (and Jason Kelce) were already destined to be first ballot Hall of Fame players before Swift even met Travis Kelce.
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“Taylor Swift must be married to 6 NFL players since 5 were fined and 1 was serving a suspension for week 6 games.
Rumor is that Taylor Swift’s husband’s team and the QB on her husband’s team get preferential treatment by the refs. Not sure if this is true but it is a definite meme.I didn’t see the video on Taylor Swift’s husband hit, that was supposed to be a joke.
Of course, saying the NFL is a woke joke was not a joke.
Yahoo Sports Headline:“Taylor Swift travels from L.A. to Travis Kelce’s Chiefs-Chargers game with two famous friends”
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Minkah Fitzpatrick (Jets): Fined $17,911 for a defenseless player hit and $11,941 for a facemask against the Browns (appealing the hit fine).
Zzzz…
“Minkah Fitzpatrick signed a 3-year, $40 million contract extension with the New York Jets in March 2026.
Hilarious that Bitter thinks a $5000 or $10000 or $20000 fine for players with contracts worth millions or tens of millions is somehow significant.
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Minkah Fitzpatrich makes about $780 k a game.
A $10k fine is 1.2% of what he makes in ONE game.
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When did I say the fines were significant? GFY
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Suspensions are the real hit – they lose the game check.
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Marist is so predictable.
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Of course, I think most of the so called “illegal” hits are a bunch of crap, the NFL is pussified, the QB’s are treated like untouchable prima donnas, so I wouldn’t be surprised if Taylor Swift’s husband is considered untouchable.
A few clips of when “football was football”.
In my view, if you want to make $10 million a year, you should be willing to take some hits.
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DV_rPl9kRL4/
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Suspensions are the real hit – they lose the game check.”
Damm.
So Minkah gets suspended for one game, will still make $780 k on each of the other 16 games?
Poor bastard.
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The 49ers did not play a great second half. I saw the play where the Washington whatever player grabbed Fred warners face mask (he straight armed him) and pulled it resulted in a head to head contact. I am glad nomflag was called, but peeps on twitter were complaining about the no call. It should have been a 15 yard face mask penalty on the Washington (blank) player.
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QBs and star players drive the success of the league. If they go on IR or miss the season for cheap shots, ratings drop. Nobody wants to watch a battle of backup players. If they do, it’s called preseason.
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BREAKING: After meeting with President Trump’s team, Zelensky announces HE WOULD ACCEPT A PEACE DEAL to FREEEZE the current frontlines as they stand
Zelensky would keep 75% or more of his territory.”
I very much doubt Zelensky will accept this.
Let’s see.
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49ers are legit and could have the Number 1 seed locked up by week 13. Vikings will blow it because that is what they do.
Although it hurts me to say it, Purdy is a very good QB.
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Putina is holding out for Russia to get 95% of Ukraine.
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Issue is their offfense, bl. 6 wrs out now. Big Mike was the missing link. They will get some help,soon.
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I think a freeze on the Donbas (Luhansk and Donetsk) region could be an acceptable compromise.
Kherson and Zaporizhia? No.
https://acleddata.com/monitor/ukraine-conflict-monitor
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So the bulk of individual house races that have been polled have been Dem polling firms polling for the candidate or a dem pac.
So here is one where we can compare an independent pollster against one of these Dem polls…South Dakota at large:
Mason Dixon:
Jackley (R) 60
Jonli (D) 32
Lake Research Partners D-Internal:
Jackley (R) 47
Jonli (D) 43
I hope this is illustrative of the condition across the board.
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Zelensky says one thing and then Trump lies and says Zelensky said something else. (fixed Tina’s comment)
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US Envoy: Zelensky, how about you agree to give up 25% of Ukraine.
Z: What the . . .
US Announcement: Zelensky agrees to give up 25% of Ukraine.
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Remember when Coulter was relevant?
https://www.dailymail.com/media/article-16226551/ann-coulter-paris-riots-women-vote.html
Carlson and Coulter went off the rails.
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I see Tucker Carlson is at 3% to win the R nomination in 2028 on the prediction sites.
This is a sure thing bet.
The problem is I don’t want to wait 2 years for a 3% return.
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On the other hand, 6 to 1 odds on Rubio seems like a reasonable bet.
https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028
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If you add up the chances of Carlson, Trump, Trump Jr, Massie, Kemp, Ivanka, and Cruz it is over 10%.
It’s more like 0.001%.
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3%? That high? Seems he would be a better bet to win the Democratic nomination since that seems to be his new chosen constituency.
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They must have read sane voter’s post last night that said Dems were “doing much better” in FL.
“WSJ: Democrats Make a Million-Dollar Bet on Florida Governor’s Race The Democratic Governors Association is sending $1 million to boost Jolly’s bid for governor, the group said Tuesday. The money is a welcome infusion of cash for Jolly, who has been vocal in urging national Democrats to spend more aggressively in his face-off against Republican Rep. Byron Donalds.”
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Like one million is going to make a difference in an expensive media market like Florida.
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Here you go, DW.
“A polling firm that spent months pumping out numbers in key races across the country admitted Tuesday evening that nearly all of them were fake.
Wedgewood Polls now claims the entire operation was a social experiment meant to expose lazy vetting in the polling world. Some election observers aren’t buying that explanation, and the timing of the confession gives them every reason to doubt it.
In its statement, Wedgewood cast itself as a kind of whistleblower. “Having previously worked in the polling and research sector, we watched as the public’s trust in polling eroded alongside a rise in unverified, low-quality methodology,” the firm said.
It then described what it claimed was the project’s goal. “We wanted to test a simple hypothesis: How easy is it for an entirely fabricated polling firm to gain traction, be taken seriously, and expose how little scrutinization exists in media and public commentary? The short answer: Far too easy.”
The statement also turned to the aggregators that published its work. “Despite having no history, formal credentials, or real data behind the vast majority of our releases, Wedgewood Polling was added to major polling aggregators, including The New York Times, FiftyPlusOne, and VoteHub, and repeatedly treated as a legitimate data source,” Wedgewood claimed.”
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Here you go DW.
“A polling firm that spent months pumping out numbers in key races across the country admitted Tuesday evening that nearly all of them were fake.
Wedgewood Polls now claims the entire operation was a social experiment meant to expose lazy vetting in the polling world. Some election observers aren’t buying that explanation, and the timing of the confession gives them every reason to doubt it.
In its statement, Wedgewood cast itself as a kind of whistleblower. “Having previously worked in the polling and research sector, we watched as the public’s trust in polling eroded alongside a rise in unverified, low-quality methodology,” the firm said.
It then described what it claimed was the project’s goal. “We wanted to test a simple hypothesis: How easy is it for an entirely fabricated polling firm to gain traction, be taken seriously, and expose how little scrutinization exists in media and public commentary? The short answer: Far too easy.”
The statement also turned to the aggregators that published its work. “Despite having no history, formal credentials, or real data behind the vast majority of our releases, Wedgewood Polling was added to major polling aggregators, including The New York Times, FiftyPlusOne, and VoteHub, and repeatedly treated as a legitimate data source,” Wedgewood claimed.
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I am thinking of suing.
IncaPolls was never added to any polling aggregators, and we are just as legitimate as Wedgewood.
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BTW, the Wedgewood “polls” showed El Sayed, Talarico, Hamilton, etc. ahead.
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Of course they did.
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LOL
These people are crazy.
“Wedgewood is remarkably the second polling company of late to admit its findings are made up. In August, Median Polling Strategies reported that democratic socialist Francesca Hong held a commanding lead over incumbent Mayor Karen Bass in the LA mayor’s race”
Francesca Hong ran for WI governor, not LA mayor.
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Breaking News – Qu’Chua News conducted an investigation of Jason. It determined that Jason’s ancestors were actually Mayans who entered Machu Pichu illegally rather than Incas. Developing….
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It definitely made me feel good.
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“El-Sayed leaned heavily on Wedgewood’s polling to sell Democrat voters on his electability. Mallory McMorrow, who ran against him in the Michigan primary, took to X to describe what the stunt cost her campaign. She pointed to a late-June Wedgewood poll that showed her sinking into single digits, numbers she said contradicted her campaign’s internal polling. In the aftermath, her donations dried up, her volunteers were left devastated and begging for direction, and reporters bombarded her with calls to get out of the race.”
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oh wow, I wondered about Wedgewood and spoke about it..how it appeared out of nowhere. Come to think of it, its another firm that should be run by Bill Clinton.
National Public Affairs and Wedgewood polls.
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Removing Wedgewood polls now from the HHR history. I never included them in the averages because there was no track record.
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Peggy Flanagan’s campaign admits she doesn’t have a degree in North American Indian studies and that she did not graduate Phi Beta Kappa.
You would think you wouldn’t want to lie about things like that, you know someone will follow up.
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Daugherty:
An anti-ICE California man who claimed federal agents kidnapped his wife is now charged with her M*RDER after her burned remains were found in the woods…
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more Daugherty:
U.S. Attorney announces a woman ran a MARRIAGE FRAUD operation for more than a DECADE pairing U.S. citizens with illegal aliens to get them immigration benefits, and pulled in at least $6 MILLION
She said she invested the money in property in the Dominican Republic, “my country” 🤯
WE WARNED THIS WAS HAPPENING.
Jennifer Gonzalez allegedly charged $38,000 to $40,000 per marriage, setting up 18 to 20 of them a year
She also allegedly collected $124,500 in SNAP benefits from 2019 to 2026 without reporting her income
Why she stopped? “That’s when Trump was becoming a President.”
She also called Massachusetts a “sanctuary where illegal aliens get a lot of help.”
FOLEY: “The American Dream is not for sale. It is earned…This investigation is far from over.”
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9 of the last 10 polls of Michigan have been 2 points either way. And several of these pollsters are no friends of the GOP including gaslighting Marist. This fact, along with the reality that El-Sayed fell NINE points short of polling in the Dem primary adds up to a candidate who is toast. Rogers by four or five when its all counted.
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What the woke NFL has really become about….
Taylor Swift wows in fiery red high-cut Louis Vuitton bodysuit at Chargers vs. Chiefs game
Taylor Swift brings high-fashion energy to Arrowhead Stadium for game day in Kansas City. Supporting the Chiefs against the Los Angeles Chargers, the pop megastar elevates football style into luxury fashion. She steps into the VIP suite wearing a fiery red long-sleeved Louis Vuitton turtleneck bodysuit. Swift effortlessly combines luxury designer tailoring with bold team spirit, delivering an unforgettable stadium style moment.
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lol, is Hormuzzle closed?
Iran is prepared to give diplomacy another chance if we see strong evidence of a sincere desire by US to build trust & reach a just solution. But if US chooses war over diplomacy, it’ll certainly result in an even greater strategic failure. My FT op-ed:
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It would be hilarious if Rs hung on to all the close races, lost NC, and picked up MN and MI for a net +1.
Probable? No. At least remotely possible? Yes.
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Zzzzzzzzzz Did you look for the Marilyn Monroe – Joe DiMagio newsreels, too?
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Swift was a Philadelphia fan growing up. She sang the National Anthem at a Phillies World Series game in 2008.
At least she didn’t marry a Dallas Cowboy.
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Fashion and entertainment sites reported on fashion. Shocking.
Don’t tell Jason that Brides magazine shows wedding dresses.
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Daugherty:
HSI just arrested a left-wing activist and Florida lawyer after she walked into a Mississippi gun shop and said she wanted a gun to KlLL ICE agents
WTF?!!?
She allegedly told staff at High Caliber Guns in Long Beach, “I need a gun,” and called herself an “activist and protester” 🤯
Then she reportedly asked if the pistols could get through an agent’s body armor. If not, she’d “hit them in the head, shoulder, arm or leg”
The employee refused to sell to her and reported it. She’s now being held WITHOUT bond. GOOD.
This is what years of “ICE is the Gestapo” rhetoric produces!
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Cook Political Report got an F for their polls 2 years ago for their average skew of +4.43 to the Dems.
Now they just dropped some rescue polls that are a bit dated as well, showing Talarico up 49/44, Turek up 46/44 and Brown over Husted 49/43.
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That will corner the black vote!
ATTN BLACK VOTERS IN MICHIGAN 🚨🚨🚨
@AbdulElSayed just went to a black restaurant and ordered the FRIED CHICKEN”
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How dated?
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In response to sane_voter’s concerns about Florida early in person, GOP having a much better day today…and many of the deep red counties have not even started early in person yet.
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Seen on Facebook..
Radical muslim is one wh says he will kill you if you do not convert.
Moderate Muslim points to the first radical Muslim and says “If you do not convert that guy will kill you.”
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·
NOW: NEW FLORIDA POLL
Governor: Byron Donalds: 49% (+9) David Jolly: 40%
US Senate: Sen. Ashley Moody: 48% (+8) Angie Nixon: 40%
Co/efficient | 10/18-20 | N=1,014LV
Good, now make it DOUBLE DIGITS Florida needs to run it up because we redrew US House seats!
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Worst “r” president
·
20 years ago, we were defending George Bush when the left was attacking him. Then we refused to vote for his fat brother, and he betrayed us along with his whole miserable family. Have you noticed that’s the common thread among the decency and principles crowd? They have no decency or principles. They are trash. If I never hear of a Bush again it’s too soon.
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The Bushes were far from perfect. Trump is far from perfect.
I want a leader who actually wants to fix the country, not just be in office to help it die more slowly. But just because that’s the sort of leader I want doesn’t mean that I believe Trump is perfect. He could have done a lot of things a lot better.
But I am also done with leaders whose only goal is to slow the death of the country.
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******PROGRAMMING NOTE******
I will be away on special assignment and unable to post until Monday. You are in the hands of Bitter, GF, and others who can make new posts.
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oh and Cook Political was so bad two years ago, they literally gave Harris six out of seven battleground states.
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RCP should setup a contest where they grade pollsters and two worst get canceled in the next election cycle and not included…not until they can prove themselves worthy
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Fox News (Beacon/Shaw) poll | 10/15-10/19 LV US Senate Texas 2026 Ken Paxton 49% James Talarico 49%
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So Fox News essentially conceding Texas, just like MARIST conceded MI this morning
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Prior Fox News was Freak by two
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lol, and it’s red counties that are doing big numbers in Texas.
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Then we refused to vote for his fat brother,”
Funny, I never thought of ole Jeb as “fat”.
GWB was a good President, Jeb was a horrible candidate, and Neil Bush is an a-hole.
All can be true.
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