New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +15210225

2026 Senate Forecast

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Gap+3+2.5+2+1.5+1.5+0.5+0.5+1+2.5+5
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Here is where Schumer and Jeffries get their orders….

Marist Movement toward Husted

The notorious gaslighting pollster Marist University had shown Brown over Husted by 8, but now they cut that lead in half…

🟥 Husted: 44%
🟦 Brown: 48%

They also show Acton up 50/43 over Ramaswamy.

Atlanta Journal-Constitution has Jackson up 1 in the Governor race:

🟥 Jackson 46
🟦 Lance Bottoms 45

70 responses to “Marist Movement toward Husted”

  1. “Over 100k Jewish voters in MI. If let’s say they switch from 70-30 Dem to 70-30 R that could make a difference in a close election.”

    Or even if they stay home it could make the difference.

    Like

  2. From Daughtery:

    Mike Rogers reveals BLACK PASTORS and the former Michigan DEMOCRAT CHAIR are jumping ship off Abdul Mohamed El Sayed (D)’s Senate campaign

    Rogers is now making inroads in DETROIT, and black voters like what they hear! 🔥

    “MANY of them are taking Democrats for Rogers signs, putting them in the yard stand!”

    “We have just DOZENS of black pastors that we’ve talked to, neighborhood leaders in the city of Detroit that we’ve talked to. They’re looking for a change and they keep saying he’s arrogant and dismissive of our concerns.”

    Like

  3. …..and the carnage in France continues. Nice little preview of what is ahead for America. Farfetched you say? Really? JFK and Hubert Humphrey would have said the same thing in the 60s if you had tried to tell them that in the future socialists and Islamists would have taken over their party.

    Are the French and other European elites concerned about the violence and chaos in France, Spain, Italy in Germany? Naw. They are concerned that all the rioting might help the “far right” politically.

    Liked by 1 person

  4. Lots and lots of Paxton signs have sprung up in my neighborhood in recent days. Moreso than Cruz signs vs Beto in 2018. Maybe all the bombardment of negative Torfreeko ads is having the desired effect.

    Liked by 2 people

  5. Phil, thanks for that update. Nearly every poll in the recent week and a half or so where the same pollster had polled earlier, has shown movement toward the Republican. I am feeling much better about Texas and Ohio.

    Like

  6. More from Daugherty: JUST IN: To appeal to black voters in Michigan, Abdul El Sayed orders fried chicken, spicy gas station snacks and says he’s not like other “Abduls” who are racist toward black people

    🤡🤡🤡

    What a freaking JOKE.

    This is a sign of PANIC that black voters see right through this jihadist. He’s worried about tanking in Detroit! VOTE MIKE ROGERS!

    Like

  7. BUT MUH YUTE

    ElectionWiz

    ·

    3h

    OHIO POLL — Governor 🟥 Vivek Ramaswamy: 51.4% (+2.8) 🟦 Amy Acton: 48.6% ActiVote | LV | 10/19

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  8. Phil – I appreciate your report. However, traditions must be followed.

    Phil – Signs don’t vote.

    Now, you can respond that signs show voter enthusiasm. Go.

    Like

  9. Phil I heard that freako is out of $$$. He has no gotv. Minimal cash and cannot answer the withering ad campaign

    Like

  10. And while early)day 1 looks like Rs exceeded or met 2024 turnout. Not al counties were open

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  11. Tina, do you have a good web page that tracks Texas early vote?

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  12. A problem with the drsts in three states now the aa vote (Ohio Texas and Michigan)?

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  13. dw i don’t. Moreover not all of tx is open Maybe they opened all counties today b

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  14. Certainly agree that signs don’t mean much outside of showing enthusiasm. Beto had the market cornered on signs in 2018. Still, enthusiasm, even if it’s negative enthusiasm toward the freak is what it is going to take to pull out Texas. It’s what Republicans are counting on in two weeks.

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  15. that’s another tradition…every election the AA vote is going to abandon the Dems. I will believe it when I see Lucy hold that football and Charlie Brown kicks it into next week.

    Like

  16. Forgot to give you a bridge update from playing bridge on Monday. I know there are scored on here who wait impatiently for my bridge play post game update.

    I had 3860 points. Came in 3rd. Top score was an insane 5900.

    I was very happy I came in 3rd as they had earlie designated whoever comes on 3rd winds the pennies we out in when we fail to make a bid. I got 118 pennies and was running very short of them.

    Like

  17. Dw I believe politico or one of the leftist sites wrote about Aas. We will see

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  18. We don’t have registration by party in Texas so it’s hard to track. You can probably gain some insight by looking at turnout in Republican rural areas vs turnout in Democratic urban areas.

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  19. In tx the concern is valid as freako stole the election from Crockett. In Ohio and Michigan perhaps based on data. Also the obumbler is heading to ga and mi.

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  20. Yeah Phil thanks. They Broke it down by county. Montgomery county was doing 2024 or exceeded 2024 numbers. It a red county where Trump won

    Like

  21. Yeah, Montgomery County is a good indicator of Republican turnout. Deep, deep red. Adjoining county to where I live.

    Like

  22. Thank you for the update, Walt. I couldn’t sleep last night.

    Like

  23. Went over to look at Drudge headlines.

    –Apparently there is no trouble on France, Britain, Belgium, etc. in relation to riots by leftist/mass migrant waves.

    –Alberta province in Canada , voters decided to stay as part of Canada by lopsided vote

    –big DEM wave is about to hit us

    Like

  24. Whoops..

    BREAKING: DOJ sends grand jury subpoenas to Philadelphia DA Larry Krasner after federal judge referred him for possible criminal investigation noting allegations of perjury and obstruction of justice, sources tell Fox News

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  25. Haven’t been to Drudge since he sold the site and it became another leftist propaganda organ.

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  26. I doubt you could ever convict Krasner of anything in Philadelphia.

    But I don’t look gift horses in the mouth.

    Like

  27. Haven’t been to Drudge since he sold the site and it became another leftist propaganda organ.”

    Me neither. At one time I probably checked it half a dozen times a day. Long time ago.

    Like

  28. Since I left Drudge I have been using Bongino Report, but its been increasingly disappointing as all too often things are cast in a misleading or even false manner.

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  29. Matt Drudge simply sold out to the almighty dollar. Simple as that.

    Like

  30. Marist was skewed five points to Harris in Ohio in 2024.

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  31. The signs are a good sign, pun intended.

    Frankly, I would be embarrassed putting up a Paxton sign just like I wouldn’t say I would vote for him if polled.

    The fact signs are coming up this late in the game might signal a return to the fold so to speak by R voters unhappy. with this choice.

    Like

  32. GOP up over 6000 vote lead in in person early voting in Florida. And this is with many red counties not opened for business yet.

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  33. Yahoo has this article about how Dems are ahead in all Senate races.

    They even have Nixon over Moody 47-45.

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  34. I checked out the Bongino site.

    I don’t really have a problem with any of their headlines, at least for today.

    Like

  35. Did El Sayed just lose the “other Adbul” vote?

    “Abdul El-Sayed to black voters: I am not like your “gas station Abdul” who hates blacks, catcalls women”

    Liked by 1 person

  36. wow, Yahoo must be drinking a strong brew. Even the worst gaslighter ever in Florida, St. Pete Polls couldn’t get Nixon a lead.

    Like

  37. So El Sayed is basically saying Muslims hate blacks and disrespect women?

    Heck of a campaign meme.

    Like

  38. I read that wrong, but still ridiculous

    Florida: Democratic state Rep. Angie Nixon is tied with Republican Sen. Ashley Moody, both with 45% and 7% of voters are undecided in the latest survey from St. Pete Polls and FloridaPolitics.com (updated Sept. 18).

    Like

  39. This article is from today.

    They ignore all other polling so they can post a Sept 18 poll.

    Like

  40. Bongino has stuff like “new poll shows GOP leading 7 key senate races” but when you click the link, it wasn’t a new poll, it was a link to X account where someone listed the culmination of polls done over a couple months by co/efficient.

    Its a misleading headline. Bongino has also been drifting too hard toward some of the “Trump as a victim” stuff.

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  41. The later St. Pete Polls taken 10/5 – 10/7 has Moody up two, 47/45.

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  42. more registered republicans have shown up at the polls so far in Pinellas county, and its nearly tied in Hillsborough county in Florida. So if there is a blue wave, its not showing up yet in Florida.

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  43. gas station Abdul

    Hmmmm. Where I live, I think you are more likely to find gas station Indians and Pakistanis. Maybe Michigan has more Islamic gas stations.

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  44. Richard Nixon has a better chance of winning the Florida race than Cynthia Nixon. LOL

    Liked by 1 person

  45. According to Larry Schweikary, Paxton is up 4.

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  46. Ooops. ANGIE Nixon.

    Like

  47. Sniffy will just beitch to the euro trash

    ZelenskyyUa

    I spoke with Marco Rubio

    @SecRubio

    , and it was a substantive conversation – focused on the issues that matter. I am grateful for his readiness to help and his clear position. First, ballistic missile interceptors, which are needed to protect lives. Second, early warning of Russian ballistic missile attacks, which is vital. Third, the situation with Starlink/Starshield, which needs to be restored. Of course, all of this comes against the backdrop of our diplomatic efforts to end this horrific war and the constant killing of people. We agreed to get in touch again soon for an update. Thank you, Marco, for the constructive discussion! Thank you to everyone in America who supports fair approaches!

    11:44 PM · Oct 19, 2026

    ·

    991K Views

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  48. Zelensky is a true Ukrainian patriot.

    It is in large part for his stellar leadership that Ukraine has kept Russia from annexing the country.

    Like

  49. Hmmmm. Where I live, I think you are more likely to find gas station Indians and Pakistanis.”

    Zzzz… Biden said that first.

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  50. Actually, there must be a big influx of Middle Easterners in South Central PA, given the amount of halal food stores and eateries that have sprung up. Prior to that there had been a big increase in Indian/Nepalese food stores and eateries.

    Like

  51. more registered republicans have shown up at the polls so far in Pinellas county, and its nearly tied in Hillsborough county in Florida. So if there is a blue wave, its not showing up yet in Florida.”

    The caveat is we dont know who the Indies are voting for.

    Like

  52. It is obvious El Sayed is worried about the black vote.

    It is also obvious he is not comfortable campaigning for it.

    Throwing his own Abduls under the bus to pander to the black vote might not be the way to do it.

    Like

  53. Putina still has produced no evidence of drug use by Zelensky.

    Like

  54. from daugherty:

    Arizona Republicans are OVER-PERFORMING their 2022 ballots right now in key Maricopa County and just WON a ballot drop by R+1 point today

    Dems were winning previous drops.

    Charlie’s TPUSA machine has a strong foothold and is GETTING TO WORK, making a big impact in 2026! 🔥

    This is a good sign in AZ! KEEP VOTING

    Like

  55. Another Kennedy dies young, the curse lives on (pun intended).

    “Kyle Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy’s granddaughter, dies at 42”

    Like

  56. https://nypost.com/2026/10/20/lifestyle/this-nyc-borough-is-the-most-haunted/

    Where is NYC Mike? I want to tour haunted Staten Island.

    Like

  57. “NEW: NBC’s Steve Kornacki DUMPS COLD WATER on The Today Show viewers’ hopes of Dems winning Senate

    Kornacki noted Democrat leads in key Senate races are “tenuous” — and that polling frequently underestimates Trump voters.

    He asserted Republicans now confidently view polls where Democrats have slight leads as likely GOP victories.

    Kornacki gave specific examples, such as Ohio and Iowa.

    Remember the infamous Ann Selzer Iowa 2024 poll?

    Kornacki particularly highlighted the Kansas Senate race in 2020. He said the Democrat was polling well — but Republican Roger Marshall ultimately smoked her in a landslide.

    Marshall is now supposedly polling extremely tightly against his Democrat opponent once again.

    Kornacki also pointed out that even blue states like Michigan and Minnesota appear remarkably close in polling.

    He reminded viewers that Abdul El-Sayed barely won his primary after polling projected a huge victory.

    Due to the tightness of these Senate races, underestimating Republican turnout by even a small margin could make all the difference.

    Frank Luntz also recently warned Trump voters “don’t respond” to pollster phone calls and asserted he was “skeptical” that polls were accurate.

    Nobody is buying the polls anymore.

    Democrats could be in for a rude awakening in 2 weeks.”

    Like

  58. Kornacki knows his stuff. I hate MSNBC but on election night he is the guy to watch on election night as the returns come in.

    Like

  59. The data guy that was on CNN was good too…don’t recall his name, but I remember in 2016 Wolf Blitzer kept pumping him for ‘good’ news, but he replied that for Hillary there wasn’t any.

    Like

  60. @JustAmerican22

    More Texas GOP counties day 1 IPEV 🟥🟥🟥 Taylor (R+50) 77% of 2024 124% of 2022 Brazoria (R+20) 85% of 2024 191% of 2022 Chambers (R+65) 54% of 2024 152% of 2022 Angelina (R+50) 66% of 2024 169% of 2022

    9:27 AM · Oct 20, 2026

    ·

    57.6K Views

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  61. Those Texas poles are funny

    5% of fake rs/rinos voting for freako. 1% of ds voting for Paxton

    Freako gets a plurality of the Hispanic vote, betamale size – black vote, and 100% of the Asian vote

    Lol

    Like

  62. Tina, I am going to repost that with some line breaks to make it easier to read:

    More Texas GOP counties day 1 IPEV

    Taylor County (R+50) 77% of 2024 | 124% of 2022
    Brazoria County (R+20) 85% of 2024 | 191% of 2022
    Chambers County (R+65) 54% of 2024 | 152% of 2022
    Angelina County (R+50) 66% of 2024 | 169% of 2022

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  63. I think trump was able to nationalize the election against the drats in the senate, and hopefully the house. The ds have no agenda.

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  64. I think we are in good shape in Texas if Rs show up. Let the rino bushes, rove, and Cronyn sulk.

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  65. Daugherty:

    Dr. Oz just announced the Trump admin is FREEZING $1.2 BILLION from California because of rampant suspected Medicaid fraud, and lack of documentation to prove its legitimacy

    FAFO, GAVIN! 🔥

    “$1.2 BILLION deferred in their Medicaid payments to personal care services.”

    They can’t prove the fraud isn’t happening. Democrats are the party of fraud.

    Like

  66. “The ds have no agenda.”

    I only wish that were true. If you want to SEE their agenda, a picture is worth a thousand words, just watch the riots going on in France, looters looting, arsonists burning buildings to the ground, no police stopping it…that’s the Dem’s agenda for the USA.

    Like

  67. dw, correct no new agenda. Just same old stuff

    Orange man bad. Let’s arrest and convict all people that worked for him.

    No oil refiners/gasoline.

    open borders /amnesty and illegal voters.

    All migrant fraud/voter fraud = legal

    Like

  68. Am feeling a bit better about Alaska. Two years ago Data for Progress (D) had a C- grade for a 4.13 skew toward Democrats.

    They just polled Peltola 51% / Sullivan 49% in the head to head.

    Like

  69. Eric Daugherty:

    “BREAKING: President Trump with Nick Shirley, JD Vance and Stephen Miller formally establishes a federal fund to give MONETARY REWARDS to anyone who gives information leading to the conviction of a fraudster — 1% COMMISSION

    INCLUDING reporters! This could even incentivize the 3rd worlders to tell on each other! 🔥

    “Anyone who can prove they turned somebody in…and you find $1B, we are giving a commission of 1%.”

    This is sending chills down the spine of Somalis and foreigners.

    It has to lead to a conviction or a major federal enforcement action”

    Like

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