New Book:
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrat +15 | 210 | 225 |
Here is where Schumer and Jeffries get their orders….
OHIO – SENATE
🟥 Husted: 50.2%
🟦 Brown: 49.8%
ActiVote – 9/26-10/18; 400 LV
TEXAS
US Senate
🟦 James Talarico: 48%
🟥 Ken Paxton: 46%
——
Governor
🟥 Greg Abbott (inc): 49%
🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 46%
University of Houston | 10/10-14; 2000 LV
TEXAS
US Senate
🟦 James Talarico: 51%
🟥 Ken Paxton: 49%
——
Governor
🟥 Greg Abbott (inc): 52%
🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 48%
CBS News / YouGov | 10/8-16; 1458 LV
But Jews will continue to vote for the Marxists…
“A French journalist [Paul Amar] reports that rioters in Marseille burned and vandalized Jewish-owned businesses while leaving Muslim-owned shops on the same street untouched, suggesting the attacks were planned in advance… Against the backdrop of historic riots and disturbances that swept France over Shabbos, journalist Paul Amar shed light on a CNews broadcast on the extent of advance organization among the rioters”
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Have the Dems called for banning Native Americans yet?
Oregon shooter:
“The shooter was an enrolled member of the Confederated Tribes of Siletz Indians, a federally recognized sovereign Indian tribe, tribe CEO Kurtis Barker confirmed Saturday.”
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Israel War Room on X trolls the French…
“We call on France to exercise restraint when dispersing the freedom fighters on the streets of Paris. These brave warriors for justice must receive immediate humanitarian aid, and their safety must be guaranteed in accordance with international law. Failure to comply will leave us no choice but to bring a case before the ICJ, in close cooperation with that renowned champion of human rights, Afghanistan.”
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For those keeping score at home, the University of Houston got an F grade in 2024 for an 8.8 skew to Harris in their final poll of Texas.
CBS/YouGov did much better overall, but they didn’t poll Texas.
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That TIPP poll is old. They did the survey, but did not release it for 18 days, not sure why.
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Weird, good,catch.
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President Trump should be in charge of selecting the menu at the Chik Fil A at Union Station, choosing the paint color of the bathroom stalls in Yellowstone, and determining the height of the outfield grass at the Washington Nationals stadium.
– The Cult
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Bummer.
But hey, just GTFO of Ukraine and it will get better.
“From accessing their money to ordering a taxi or takeout — millions of Russians were feeling the impact of Ukrainian strikes on the data centers of the country’s internet giant Yandex in their daily life.
“I ended up in a situation where I had absolutely no money. Well, I had the money, but it was inaccessible,” said Irina, a blogger from St. Petersburg, who had not been able to access her money for four days when she spoke with NBC News last week.
Irina, who like several other interviewees did not want her last name shared while speaking with a foreign news organization on a sensitive matter, said her rent was due the day the first outages happened, when she hoped “that it would be fixed in a few hours.” Days later, she still had no access to money to pay for utilities or even food for her small child.”
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Bitter has a point about Trump sticking his nose in everything, but the golf course is not one where I agree.
I will repost my comment from yesterday.
“I think it is fine for Trump, an avid golfer, to take interest in the DC golf course.
He wants to make it into a championship course, which of course would draw tournaments and revenue to the area.
It’s only controversial because it is Trump. If Obama had done it the MSM would have thought it the greatest idea since Walt invented sliced bread.”
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Jason watches slot of golf. Has any major tournament been held at a public golf course? I don’t know.
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Bill Clinton’s polling firm “National Public Affairs” is back in action.
🟥Hinson 47%
🟦Turek 44%
🟨Laehn 4%
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If you want to play at East Potomac Golf Course, here is link for fee schedules.
https://www.playdcgolf.com/east-potomac-golf-links/?utm_source=extnet&utm_medium=yext
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Midterm Forecast: Democrats 48%, Republicans 44% The Democratic Party’s lead over Republicans has narrowed to four points in the battle to control the House of Representatives. Full story is in the comments…
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Has any major tournament been held at a public golf course?”
Of course.
The most famous might be Pebble Beach.
But there are others. Torrey Pines. Erin Hills. Pinehurst.
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AI List
Notable Public and Municipal Courses That Hosted Major Championships
Pebble Beach Golf LinksPebble Beach, CaliforniaU.S. Open (1972, 1982, 1992, 2000, 2010, 2019)
Bethpage State Park (Black Course)Farmingdale, New YorkU.S. Open (2002, 2009), PGA Championship (2019)
Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course)La Jolla, CaliforniaU.S. Open (2008, 2021)
Pinehurst Resort (No. 2)Pinehurst, North CarolinaU.S. Open (1999, 2014, 2024), U.S. Women’s Open (2014)
Kiawah Island Golf Resort (Ocean Course)Kiawah Island, South CarolinaPGA Championship (2012, 2021), Ryder Cup (1991)
Chambers BayUniversity Place, WashingtonU.S. Open (2015)Erin HillsErin, WisconsinU.S. Open (2017)
TPC Harding ParkSan Francisco, CaliforniaPGA Championship (2020)
French Lick Resort (Ross Course)French Lick, IndianaPGA Championship (1924)
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I remembered 4 off the top of my head, gimme a medal.
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“Drat plus 4 in the generic. Rasmussen
Weren’t the Ds at Plus!12 last week
They dropped 8″
Actually, it went from D+8 to D+5 to D+3 to D+5 to D+4
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Just saw this headline on Yahoo.
Eagles QB Jalen Hurts reportedly out for 2026 season after being diagnosed with blood clots in lungs”
Sorry Bitter.
Not sure how the guy went from “superficial blood clot in let” to pulmonary emboli but I am glad they caught it.
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In leg.
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I see the Socialists are now calling for freight loaders at JFK to refuse loading freight bound for Israel.
Great advice….like that’s not a firing offense. LOL
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France burning down. Give it 15 or 20 yrs. That will be us.
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NEW GEORGIA GOVERNOR poll
🔴 Rick Jackson: 48.2% (+1.6)
🔵 Keisha Bottoms: 46.6%
Quantus | 10/15-17 | N=755LV
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Sounds about right for Georgia.
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three weeks in a row morning consult has the generic ballot Dem 50/ GOP 43.
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Blood clots can move. Also, not sure why they developed.
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Seems like too many ticket splitters in GA.
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Blood clots can move.”
Right, but supposedly there was only one. He actually played a game with it.
Then they said it had moved so he couldn’t play this week.
Now he has more of them in his lungs. So he might have played a game with them, very dangerous.
Supposedly his calf was struck by a cleat. But unlikely that would be the cause of the lung clots.
Maybe he got lucky that the cleat incident called attention to a bigger problem.
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From the Mayo Clinic’s website: “About one-third of people with an undiagnosed and untreated pulmonary embolism don’t survive.”
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There are 8 senate seats within 3 points according to the RCP site.
A rising tide lifts all boats so if its a blue tsunami Rs could lose all of them.
But a minor polling bias could also do the opposite.
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Horrors!
“A Disturbing Clue Suggests Amelia Earhart Survived Her Crash. And Then She Was Eaten by Crabs.”
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Yes, I fell for it.
When you read the article the theory is she survived the crash, got to the island and then died there. AFTER she died, coconut crabs ate her and scattered her bones.
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So lets take these 8 one at a time:
AK: Probably the hardest one to poll. And the only one I can find that repeatedly polls is Alaska Research Survey. They had a five point skew to Harris two years ago. In September they had Sullivan losing to Peltola by 4. Then early October they polled again and the gap narrowed to 1. PPP-D also has Peltola by only 1. However, Insider Advantage has Peltola by 2. But Quantus and Trafalgar have Sullivan up 1, while Rasmussen has a tie and co/efficient has Sullivan up 3. But given the multiple rounds, whoever has the senate majority on election night will later win Alaska because the other side will give up. Right now I give the edge to Sullivan…especially on the strength of late trending.
IA: Hinson has the late momentum it seems and has actually led in polling which is nice. Clear edge, but GOP cannot become complacent.
KS: This one feels like its trending our way, as demonstrated by the Insider Advantage polling. Back in Sept when it seemed the GOP was asleep and the Dem was getting polled barely ahead there was a buzz about this race being a flip. Even NY Times/Siena has the Republican ahead, which would be a rare miss if the Dem wins.
ME: The last three polls were exactly Collins 47, Jackson 49. So this one is a concern, and the GOP cannot just presume she will pull a rabbit out of the hat like she did six years ago. But Jackson really is a goofball, and in the end I suspect Collins will have just enough to pull it out.
MI: Next to Alaska, this is the hardest race to poll. The Egyptian national fell 9 points short of polling in the primary, and there is no good reason to presume he will not fall short again. Not by 9, but by enough to give the race to Rogers. Waiting for EPIC/MRA, Mitchell and Glengariff to drop their final polls. But the others polling it show a very tight race, not a good vibe for El-Sayed given the context. 8 of the last 10 polls show the race within two points either way. And the only one who polled twice in that collection is Tyson Group who went from El-Sayed +1 to Rogers +2.
MN: This one is lucy pulling the football away once again. Despite all the corruption and the fact that Flanagan and Walz belong in prison, this one likely falls a couple of points short for Tafoya.
OH: Trend has been good for Husted, and given the red tilt of the state he likely pulls it out in the end.
TX: Trending is good for Paxton. Even Marist and CBS/YouGov could only muster two point leads for the freak. Insider Advantage went from Freak+1 to Paxton +1. In the end, the Musk money, Abbott, and general red tilt to the state is just barely enough to drag Paxton across the finish line.
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So which of these seats I want to win the most.
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BOOM
🔴 Jon Husted: 49% (+2) [+6 from last poll]
🔵 Sherrod Brown: 47% [+1 from last poll]
Last poll: 🔵Brown+3
Rasmussen | 10/12-14 | N=901LV
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Ya thinks?
German Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt on Monday blamed the riots on the fringes of protests in France on “left-wing extremists” and migrants.
“Anyone who fails to make it clear that left-wing extremists and a migrant milieu are coming together on the streets to wage a joint struggle against the democratic system has failed to understand the situation,” Dobrindt, a conservative, told Germany’s Bild tabloid.”
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Has macaroni sealed the border? Or more likely surrendered France to ROPers.
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I am relieved to see Trump is focused on the midterms. If we lose the House and Senate he will have more time to focus on worthy projects like redesigning White House stationery and renumbering Federal highways.
“I love our highways. Such great highways. You know, the Romans had great roads but not highways. The Germans had great highways. And German shepherds. Great dogs. Unless you were Jewish. So, I propose that all highways that go East to West, be named after me and members of my family. Highways that run North to South will be named from A to Z.”
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·
🇪🇺🇷🇺 Europe is reportedly considering two options to end the war in Ukraine, according to the Financial Times. ▪️ Option 1: Freeze the war along the current front line, with guarantees that Ukraine will not join NATO. ▪️ Option 2: Ukraine hands over all of Donbas to Russia in exchange for NATO membership.
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2: Ukraine hands over all of Donbas to Russia in exchange for NATO membership.
At least worth considering by Ukraine but it is their decision. Obviously not proposed by Trump because he is a moron on the issue.
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On second thought, it may be too much of a reward to Russia. But it is Ukraine’s decision.
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In a bombshell revelation, James O’Keefe just caught Abdul El Sayed having “OVERSEAS DONORS” illegally routing money into his campaign — and that’s according to a CAMPAIGN OFFICIAL
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Republicans now lead Nevada early voting overall and are ahead today by +12 POINTS
Today in person: 🔴 R+11.9
Total in person: 🔴 R+1.3
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DW, where did you find that? Just an hour ago, the Reno Gazette put out an arrticle that had Dems leading by six points, or roughly 7k votes, overall statewide.
Democrats take early lead in Nevada voting after first weekend
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Eric Daugherty’s x page
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OK, looking it over in detail makes sense; Reps caught up and took the lead on IPEV, it seems, though Dems still have a lead statewide on all ballots (meaning mail ins included in the total).
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In nv, they celebrated too early yesterday. Rural/red counties were closed.
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Ukraine hands over all of Donbas to Russia in exchange for NATO membership.”
I would go for this.
But will the Russians after half a million dead settle for the Dombas (1/3 which they controlled anyway) and something that wasn’t even happening before the war (Ukraine membership in NATO).
I doubt it.
I oppose giving 25% of Ukraine to the Russians.
But like Bitter says, it is their decision.
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Trump says Putin is fine and not doing much in Ukraine.
I guess Trump missed this when he was thinking about renaming states.
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Decent day for polling. Hopefully more of the same tomorrow
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ActiVote has Ramaswamy by 3
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Interesting…
With all of that in mind, we turn to comments made on Monday by New York Times national reporter Jeremy Peters, who, as a Michigan native, has been following this race closely. On the Morning Joe program of all places, he, too, pointed to the real possibility that El-Sayed’s support may be overstated and Rogers’ support underestimated based on what he’s seen and heard in Michigan:
“One of the factors that is really worth paying closer attention to are the number of Democrats, lifelong Jewish Democrats, especially in the Detroit suburbs, who are saying for the first time in their lives they’re voting Republican,” Peters said. “That’s a big deal.”
On Monday, Peters reported the polls may be overestimating El-Sayed’s odds of winning by oversampling college-educated voters. The Michigan native added he has heard people are reluctant to tell pollsters they’re going to be voting for a Republican for the first time in their lives.
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Over 100k Jewish voters in MI. If let’s say they switch from 70-30 Dem to 70-30 R that could make a difference in a close election.
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Trump: “russia, frankly, has treated Ukraine pretty well. They haven’t really done much.”
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New Thread
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