The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +15210225

2026 Senate Forecast

SCIAAKKSMITXMEMNOHNH
Gap+2+2+2+1+0.5+0.5+1+1+2+5
Count46474849505149484746

Here is where Schumer and Jeffries get their orders….

Texas, Texas, Texas

DW

Paxton leads according to Quantus Insights

US Senate
🟥Ken Paxton 47.2%
🟦James Talarico 46.7%

10/9-11; 854 LV

And then there is Marist who back in September had Talarico up 6, now showing the late momentum going to Paxton:

US Senate
🟥Ken Paxton 45%
🟦James Talarico 47%

Governor
🟥 Greg Abbott (inc): 49%
🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 45%

10/8-11; LV

Heaven and earth may pass away but no Republican ever lost when Marist said he led by four.

Finally an older poll just released (probably to hide the recent gains Paxton has been making) Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas/YouGov has Talarico up 3, and only two points off of Abbott’s numbers, which I don’t think anyone believes:

US Senate
🟥Ken Paxton 47%
🟦James Talarico 50%

Governor
🟥 Greg Abbott (inc): 48%
🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 49%

9/25-10/5; 841 LV

90 responses to “Texas, Texas, Texas”

  1. DW Avatar
    DW

    moving jason’s comment from dead thread:

    There are two distinct dynamics in this election.

    The Dem argument that the cost of living is up and Trump and the Rs are to blame and somehow voting for them will make things better.

    The R argument that the Dem party is now majority socialist and voting for Rs is a vote against socialism and the extreme view espoused by many Dem candidates.

    In my view the second argument is more compelling. However, if you believe in the “its the economy, stupid” or better yet “Its the PERCEPTION of the economy, stupid” then Rs are in trouble.

    The people in ME, AK, KS, IA, TX, MI, NE, etc have to be convinced that voting for D has a bigger negative consequence than punishing Trump and Rs for high prices.

    Less than 3 weeks to make that case.

    Like

  2. DW Avatar
    DW

    Both parties have low favorability, and voters who think might realize that Dems want to eliminate gas altogether and go full commie. The problem is there are not many voters who think. Most eat up whatever they say on The View.

    Like

  3. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Here in PA, I have not seen ONE Garrity ad on TV. Not too many Shapiro ads but there are some.

    My Rep Scott Perry is now too conservative for a district that includes Harrisburg. He is running against a former TV anchor who is pretending to be a moderate. Her ads feature “no tax on tips and overtime” and “secure border and deport all illegal criminals” and other things she would never vote for once elected. She has tons of money and has had billboards up attacking Perry for over a year.

    Perry only won by 5k votes last time around with Trump on the ballot. The Harrisburg Dem vote will probably be lower without Kamala on the ballot but probably not enough to help him.

    He has some good ads up exposing how Stelson is really a flaming liberal and her “conservative” positions are lies.

    But I will be surprised if he wins.

    Like

  4. DW Avatar
    DW

    Another way to look at the Texas race is to realize that of current polls, outside of Siena and YouGov, the WORST poll for Paxton is Trafalgar Group.

    I am getting more an more confident that Paxton pulls it out. Cornyn would be up by ten. Just had to say it.

    Like

  5. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    When God wants you dead, you die….

    • Hassan Jihad Ibn Kariem, 42, died after falling from the Goliath roller coaster at Six Flags Over Georgia on Monday, Oct. 12
    • A family friend says the Atlanta educator had survived a car fire just weeks before his death, adding that Kariem also previously survived cancer and COVID-19

    Like

  6. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    We have educators named Jihad…..

    Like

  7. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Another way to look at the Texas race is to realize that of current polls, outside of Siena and YouGov, the WORST poll for Paxton is Trafalgar Group.”

    You make a good argument for why Paxton will eke it out.

    However, it would be nice to see a poll where he is actually not losing or tied. (or winning by 0.5%)

    Like

  8. DW Avatar
    DW

    BOOM!

    The last Economist/YouGov generic ballot was Dem +11 among likely voters, and Dem+9 among Registered voters.

    A week later, its Dem +8 among likely and Dem+7 among Registered, a gain of 3 and 2.

    Like

  9. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    DW, don’t forget Ohio.

    Like

  10. DW Avatar
    DW

    “However, it would be nice to see a poll where he is actually not losing or tied. (or winning by 0.5%)”

    A fair point. I think we will in the coming days. co/efficient has not yet polled Texas. They will show a Paxton lead. Others will probably show Paxton ahead before election day.

    Like

  11. DW Avatar
    DW

    Phil, just for clarity, that was Jason’s comment from the dead thread…but I am sure he won’t forget OH.

    Like

  12. DW Avatar
    DW

    Marist polled the 2024 race in Texas, Trump vs. Harris, about this same time in October, and they had it Trump 53 / Harris 46, a lead of 7. Trump went on to win by almost twice that. But of course Paxton is a weak candidate. But with Marist saying he’s down only 2, he’s got a real shot at this, and I think he pulls it out.

    Like

  13. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    He has a shot.

    Like

  14. DW Avatar
    DW

    Republicans smashing it again in Florida returned ballots. Even though the GOP voters requested far fewer ballots, they are actually eating into the Dem raw lead this morning. But the GOP is doing better than 2 years ago:

    2024 Mail returned was

    D+7.0 (D+211,285)

    2026 mail so far

    D+6.5 (D+40,390)

    Shift from 2024 to now

    R+0.5

    Like

  15. DW Avatar
    DW

    Even if you don’t like Bobby Kennedy because he’s a lib…he’s doing some good. From Daughtery:

    Sec. Bobby Kennedy announces the Trump admin has identified NEARLY 200,000 DUPLICATE ENROLLMENTS in taxpayer healthcare programs, with new savings reaching $1.5 billion as a result…

    …and those payments were just going STRAIGHT TO BIG, RICH INSURANCE. These enrollees died.

    THEY JUST KEEP FINDING FRAUD.

    Greenlit by the Biden administration!

    “Each of those figures represents a payment that would otherwise have gone to an insurance company, not to an American citizen. That’s why we check the records, and that’s why we act when payments do not meet the rules.”

    Nobody in DC bothered to check the records until Trump and Bobby Kennedy

    Every dollar of waste they cut is a dollar that never should have left our pockets!

    Like

  16. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Yeah, good catch Phil, I forgot OH.

    Like

  17. DW Avatar
    DW

    more from Daugherty this morning:

    BOOM! “Congresswoman [Ilhan Omar] is the subject of MORE THAN ONE federal investigation.” 🔥

    • HSI/DHS: IMMIGRATION, fraud, judicial warrant approved by a DEMOCRAT judge
    • US Attorney Jeanine Pirro: Related to Ilhan’s sketchy $30M financial form, “revised” down to nearly $100K

    Two SEPARATE investigations.

    Ilhan is in deep sht and I love watching!

    Honestly, she should see the writing on the wall. Resign now, turn everything over, and self-deport to Somalia!

    Tens of millions of Americans would rejoice.

    These cases are building simultaneously, and we know the DHS one involves GRAND JURY SUBPOENAS.

    Yeah, it’s that serious.

    Like

  18. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    If the drats vote by mail operation is failing will they be able to make it up on Election Day?

    Like

  19. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    The Somali representative may have lied on official federal documents. Including her date of birth.

    Like

  20. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    It does not seem convincing that drats will show up on Election Day because muh Trump stopped ballot harvesting.

    Like

  21. DW Avatar
    DW

    one more point about Texas, comparing Quantus and Marist.

    The Quantus sample was 839 likely voters. Their margin of error was +-3.6

    The Marist sample was 1196 likely voters. Their margin of error was +-4.4

    This means that Quantus likely had a wide variety of methods to survey the state, while Marist took a riskier approach of a singular method.

    Like

  22. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Marxist has the drsr plus 2 in tx senate. This party if seems far fetched

    Like

  23. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Rats plus 2 in tx senate

    Like

  24. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    @OpenSourceZone

    ·

    12h

    2026 vs 2022 Nevada Clark County Early Vote 22 days out 2022: 🔵 52.7% 🔴 16.4% ⚪️ 30.9% 2026: 🔵 44.8% (-7.9) 🔴 25.0% (+8.6) ⚪️ 30.1% (-0.8) (Per

    @petebray

    )

    Like

  25. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Lombardo is strong out of Clark county. This is very early though. But drats are way down so far.

    Like

  26. DW Avatar
    DW

    okay…just one more point on Texas…looking chronologically at the last FIVE polls of this race starting with the oldest:

    Talarico +6
    Talarico +4
    Talarico +3
    Talarico +2
    Paxton +0.5

    Coincidence?

    Like

  27. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    @nypost: Ilhan Omar’s congressional staff got her official birth year changed from 1981 to 1982 in May 2019, months after she took office. Why does one year matter? She says she became a citizen through her father at 17, in 2000. Born in 1981, she’d have been 18 that whole year and one year is the difference between her citizenship story working and not. “For derivative citizenship, two things have to be true — one, her father had to naturalize; and two, she still had to be a minor.” That one year matters a lot.

    Like

  28. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Of course, good luck getting a birth certificate from Somalia that won’t be doctored.

    Like

  29. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    It may not be document Fraud referring her birth certificate, the lead agency behind the raid also looks at financial information. She claimed to be worth a lot of $$$ on her paperwork. Then the $$$ disappeared on a revised form. Where did the $$$ go?

    Like

  30. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    What time does the troll show up?

    Like

  31. DW Avatar
    DW

    the trolls are big talk, but they never explain why it is they want to vote for people who will turn the country into a Haiti like manure pit run by corruption, violence, drugs, gangs, and where Americans are bled dry of our resources to pay for our replacements brought in from manure pits around the world.

    Like

  32. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Troll visiting hours start at 8:00 p.m.

    Like

  33. DW Avatar
    DW

    Looking at the Senate races and the Dem Internal polling releases of the key states, here is the list, and again the internals are usually the rosiest polls for the Dem candidate:

    IA: +4
    KS: +5
    ME: +4
    AK: +6
    TX: +5
    OH: +4
    MI: +4
    NC: +10

    And yet I counted 12 instances where other polling found a bigger lead than what the candidate could show, when that candidate has the luxury of picking the date range and manipulating it to make it as rosy as possible.

    Like

  34. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Yep, losing the Senate will cause this to happen.

    Democrat lapdog Sherrod Brown tells MSDNC he’ll only support radical left-wing activist judges:

    “We’re not obviously confirming Trump judges.”

    Like

  35. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    I think he meant we are obviously not confirming Trump judges.

    Like

  36. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    If Americans want a socialist country so be it.

    But if they don’t, and they vote for it because of transient high prices, they might rue the day.

    Like

  37. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Redstate, a conservative site, headline.

    https://redstate.com/terichristoph/2026/10/14/inflation-roars-back-with-a-vengeance-as-gas-prices-hammer-americans-ahead-of-midterms-n2208127

    Like

  38. Paul Avatar
    Paul

    Some on the left will be worried that they might still be confirmed but in a less obvious way.

    Like

  39. DW Avatar
    DW

    Christopher Newport University poll of VA-2

    Here is their prior track record from 2024 and 2022:

    2024: Harris +11 (final result +6)

    2024 VA-2: CNU: Kiggans 46 / Smasal 45, Kiggans +1 (final result 51/47, Kiggans +4)
    2022 VA-2: CNU: Kiggans 45 / Luria 45, tied (final results 51/48, Kiggans +3)

    2026 poll just released:

    Luria 46
    Kiggans 43

    Oct 1-10, 702 LV

    Looks like a dead heat to me. A lot of undecided. A Trump +1 district, most pundits gave this on up as one of the first and easy Dem flips. But it looks to me like a virtual tie. There are Kiggans signs and ads everywhere, while Luria signs are very rare to see unlike when she was in congress before.

    Like

  40. DW Avatar
    DW

    But of course turning to the party who wants to ban gasoline isn’t a step toward reducing prices.

    Like

  41. DW Avatar
    DW

    So if the generic ballot was truly Dem+10 or even Dem+7, Luria would be ahead of Kiggans by at least 6 or 7. But its essentially a tie race, very slight tilt toward Luria. That suggests a generic ballot of Dem +4 to Dem+6

    Like

  42. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    This is the result of the far left educational system.These people are not only in academia and government, they are in the corporate world and the military too.

    “Major banks closed accounts and refused credit to MAGA merchants, pro-life causes, religious groups, conservative organizations and sectors disfavored by the Biden administration, such as firearms, oil and gas, and private prisons, a bombshell report from the federal banking regulator has found.

    The Debanking Review by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) investigated 100,000 complaints and scrutinized 50,000 internal bank records to reveal how customers were “debanked” based purely on their political, social, or religious beliefs.

    JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citibank, Wells Fargo, U.S. Bank, Capital One, PNC, TD Bank, and BMO Bank were found to have discriminated against American consumers, citing “reputation risk” as a reason to deny service between 2020 and 2025.”

    Like

  43. DW Avatar
    DW

    its what I kept saying all through Biden’s reign of commie terror…everything was weaponized. That’s communism.

    Like

  44. DW Avatar
    DW

    It should be troubling to Dems that CNU could only poll Luria at 46% in VA-2. She won the same district with 51% in 2018 and 51.5% in 2020. Then Luria lost her seat in 2022 getting 48%.

    So now CNU cannot even poll her above 46% given the context of the bad year for the GOP?

    Like

  45. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Is this collusion?

    Asking for Adam Schiff.

    DUBAI/LONDON/WASHINGTON, Oct 14 (Reuters) – Iran is deploying new tactics to target ships sailing through the Strait of Hormuz as it seeks to keep oil prices high and influence the US midterm elections, two senior Iranian officials told Reuters.”

    The second Iranian official added that ​Tehran would not allow Trump to bring down oil prices ​before the November elections.”

    Like

  46. DW Avatar
    DW

    IOWA (Change from Sept)

    🟥 Hinson: 46% (+3)
    🟦 Turek: 47% (+2)

    YouGov (C-) – 10/6-12; 2245 LV

    Like

  47. DW Avatar
    DW

    and they have the Dem ahead 6 in GOV race, whereas their last poll was +11

    Like

  48. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Has Seltzer come in with a +18 for Turek yet?

    Like

  49. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    The Dems have been endorsed by Iran, Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis, Al Qaeda, and Cuba. Plus Canada, the UK, Mexico, and France.

    How can they lose.

    Like

  50. DW Avatar
    DW

    GA Governor

    Insider Advantage

    Jackson (R) 49%
    Bottoms (D) 47%

    Headline: Jackson Tops Bottoms

    Like

  51. Paul Avatar
    Paul

    I’d rather be a Dem than a traitor Republican.

    Like

  52. Paul Avatar
    Paul

    DW’s arguments are weak.

    Like

  53. DW Avatar
    DW

    Paul thinks he will be one of the low-level administrators when we go communist. He should read The Iron Broom. Often its the low-level administrators who suddenly go missing when the higher-ups need someone to blame.

    Liked by 1 person

  54. Paul Avatar
    Paul

    I will starve. But I don’t care because I will be happy that DW starves too.

    Like

  55. DW Avatar
    DW

    why do you want the country to be a manure pit Paul? If you want that you can get it now by moving to Haiti.

    Liked by 1 person

  56. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    We knew the free passers would do muh Russian hoax 3.0

    @JayTC53

    ·

    2h

    NEW HOAX 🚨 There is a massive psyop happening right now to aide Ukraine and paint the Trump administration for colluding with Russia…Again. 1st: MSNOW runs a FAKE story that FBI director Kash Patel landed in Russia today. He is at liberty university in America. 2nd: Zelenskyy is on Piers Morgan claiming Elon Musk shutdown Starlink to benefit Russia. Fake and false. When Democrat frauds, Fake News and political hacks like Piers Morgan all ECHO the same sentiment, you know you are being lied to and played for a fool. It’s obvious to myself, there is a BIG faction that does not want the Ukraine / Russia war to end. The moment Trump called for Zelenskyy to go. Suddenly the operation has started to paint America as bad to keep the war going.

    Like

  57. Paul Avatar
    Paul

    Tina wants the Russian commies to win.

    Like

  58. HHR Guest Avatar
    HHR Guest

    Trump just went full Tina on Zelenskyy. He said he is the problem and not Putin.

    This is the person you guys are planning to follow to your dying day. This it the cause you are using to seek high and low and parse any polling data you think might help you rest easier.

    Like

  59. DW Avatar
    DW

    So HHR Guest, why do you want to vote for people who will turn the country into a Haiti-like manure pit run by corruption, violence, drugs, gangs, and where Americans are bled dry of our resources to pay for our replacements brought in from manure pits around the world?

    Like

  60. Paul Avatar
    Paul

    If Trump fully supports Russia against Ukraine, is there anything congress can do? (real question)

    Like

  61. Paul Avatar
    Paul

    Our replacement is the Super Intelligence that Trump is promoting.

    Like

  62. HHR Guest Avatar
    HHR Guest

    I am not a Democrat and do not plan to vote for any Democrat this year. Democrats have massive faults, but DW’s childish and overblown hysterical statements will never convince anyone to not vote for a Democrat. They see the craziness statements like that and ignore anything else he might say.

    Trump is on the record though today saying that Zelenskyy started the war and not Russia, that Putin is a strong leader and Zelenskyy is a “dictator without elections.” He said Zelenskyy is about to lose his entire country to Russia.

    So, nothing can be more dangerous than that.

    See you in a few days.

    Like

  63. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    It’s the Clinton Groupie.

    Like

  64. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Fusion Ken is an idiot

    alexchristy17

    Ken Dilanian has admitted the “Patel in Russia” scoop isn’t real, but, of course, he had to pat himself on the back while doing so, “I want to correct reporting from earlier today. I reported that two sources had told us that FBI director Kash Patel had landed in Russia for a planned trip that had been reported about recently. We’ve since learned that Patel did not, in fact, land in Russia today and remains in the U.S. …The timing of any potential trip remains unclear. Again, we regret this error and we are transparent about when we make errors. Back to you.”

    Like

  65. Paul Avatar
    Paul

    OK, Putin Groupie.

    Like

  66. DW Avatar
    DW

    “Democrats have massive faults” including making us into a communist nation. So the only way to stop it is to vote Republican.

    Like

  67. GF Avatar
    GF

    UKR is not going to lose, I don’t know why Dems and assorted Pinkos get so bent ouf of shape about it. RUS is a paper tiger, they haven’t been able to land the knockout blow in four years and eight months, and they will not do so in the future as they have exhausted their industry in the prosecution of the conflict to date. Their last resort is to go for full blown conscription, but even that manpower surge, with limited weaponry, will only go so far.

    The hypocrisy from Left is astounding; war is good when it’s us supporting the white people of Ukraine fighting, but bad when it’s in Iran fighting non-whites. Both conflicts inherently impact the oil supply, and it’s ok to pay a little more at the pump to help European whites, but not ok when it’s brown people we are trying to help by toppling the dangerous lunatics who oppress them. Can’t make this stuff up.

    Liked by 1 person

  68. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Nope, I am option c. I hate pooty ooot and sniffy. Nice try Polly.

    Like

  69. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    They don’t care about gas prices either. It’s all a hoax, just like russia, russsia Russia, Fusion Ken is a big hoaxer too.

    Like

  70. DW Avatar
    DW

    Somehow missed four days ago that Panama absorbed a 7.7 earthquake and got away with just a couple dozen injuries.

    Liked by 1 person

  71. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    I hope Ukraine lights up Russia. It’s not Ukraine’s fault Trump is a moron regarding the war. Trump never had a plan beyond selling out Ukraine.

    Like

  72. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    I support the Iran war. I also want Putin driven the F out of Ukraine. Both can be true.

    Liked by 1 person

  73. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    If the drats vote by mail operation is failing will they be able to make it up on Election Day?”

    Good question. I think a good portion of the mail-in vote is ballot harvesting and many Dems who will fill out a ballot (or have it filled out for them) won’t vote in person.

    So IF the mail in operation is down it stands to reason not all of them will show up on election day.

    Also you can bet the illegal vote (illegals, double voters, felons, etc.) will be more wary of voting now with all the news about people being charged.

    If its a blue tsunami it won’t make a difference.

    Like

  74. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Janzam hardest hit.

    “Thousands of Russians are fleeing their country amid growing fears that President Vladimir Putin is preparing another military mobilization to replenish Russian forces fighting in Ukraine, The Economist reported.

    The exodus follows Russia’s September parliamentary elections, as many military-age men fear the Kremlin could launch another draft despite repeated official denials.

    On Sept. 18, a 35-year-old Moscow advertising worker identified as Dmitry wrote “criminal” on his ballot before heading to the airport and boarding a flight to Istanbul, according to The Economist.

    He is among a growing number of Russians unwilling to risk being sent to the front lines of the war in Ukraine.

    On Aug. 18, about 20,000 people crossed from Russia into Georgia by land, roughly three times the usual daily volume, The Economist reported.

    The influx has also affected neighboring Armenia, where increased demand for rental housing has driven rents up 30% to 50% since spring.

    Organizations helping Russians avoid military service report a sharp rise in requests for assistance.

    Grigory Sverdlin, who leads the volunteer organization Idite Lesom, said requests for help have risen 50% since spring.

    Anastasia Burakova, founder of the emigration assistance group Kovcheg, said inquiries have increased eightfold since July.

    “We are now seeing a smaller but better-prepared wave of emigration,” Burakova told The Economist.

    Like

  75. DW Avatar
    DW

    SUSA has Flanagan in MN Senate race up only 3 with lots of undecided

    Like

  76. DW Avatar
    DW

    45/42

    Like

  77. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    This will get a lot worse if the Dems gain power.

    “Federal regulators found that lenders restricted certain sectors’ access to financial services, including oil and gas exploration; coal mining; firearms or ammunition manufacturing or distribution; construction or operation of detention facilities; and the manufacturing, distribution or online retail of tobacco or e-cigarettes.”

    Like

  78. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    “e’ve since learned that Patel did not, in fact, land in Russia today and remains in the U.S. …The timing of any potential trip remains unclear. “

    LOL

    This is like a fake news story saying Trump killed Melania.

    Then retracting it and saying “it is unclear whether he will kill her in the future”

    Like

  79. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    SUSA has Flanagan in MN Senate race up only 3 with lots of undecided”

    I hope the Dem have to spend money there.

    Like

  80. DW Avatar
    DW

    And Klobuchar up only 7 in the governor race

    Like

  81. DW Avatar
    DW

    Blakeman wipes the floor with Hochul in their only debate

    Like

  82. DW Avatar
    DW

    Hochul even had a Biden moment when her brain froze and she couldn’t get it started

    Like

  83. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    FREAKO now does not want to abolish ice.

    Lol

    Like

  84. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    So, freako goes awol because of muh flu.

    Yesterday, he says demented made a mistake with his open borders leave no illegal behind.

    Today, it’s he’s not against ice.

    His polling must be horrible.

    Like

  85. DW Avatar
    DW

    under the condition that ICE officers have six genders….they can stay, but one gender agents he would abolish

    Like

  86. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    The Dem in my district is running ads “secure the border and deport all criminal illegals”

    Other Dems are running on abolishing ICE.

    Whatever sells.

    Like

  87. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    I am sorry this happened to Janzam and Tina.

    “In June 2017, Col. Maksym Shapoval, an officer in Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence (HUR), was killed by a car bomb in Kyiv. He had helped build Ukraine’s intelligence partnership with the CIA and had conducted covert operations against Russia. He was posthumously promoted to major general. Nine years later, on July 27, 2026, Ukrainian intelligence reportedly tracked down and killed Oleh Shutov, the man accused of planting the bomb in Shapoval’s vehicle.

    Shutov was a former officer of the Special Operations Center of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) Ministry of State Security. Retired HUR Col. Vitalii Ostapchuk told me the ministry is closely tied to Russian intelligence services. In April 2019, Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU) publicly accused Shutov of planting the bomb that killed Shapoval.

    On Sept. 7, the Ukrainian outlet LB.ua reported that Ukrainian intelligence had planted an explosive device in Shutov’s car inside Russian-occupied Donetsk and detonated it, killing him. According to the outlet’s sources, the operation was kept secret until the operatives had safely returned from occupied territory. HUR did not respond to a request for comment.”

    Like

  88. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    https://nypost.com/2026/10/14/us-news/james-talarico-ruthlessly-fact-checked-by-voter-after-claiming-bible-is-silent-on-abortion-at-cnn-town-hall/

    Why would Paxton decline to participate in the town hall? Candidates should kick in the door and say, “I’m here and I’m not leaving before I answer every question. Bring it!”

    Like

  89. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    The townhall was CNN.

    I have to agree with Paxton on this one. Usually the CNN “townhalls” are just filled with partisan or paid political hacks posing as “undecided voters” and the moderators are completely biased.

    The questions for a R are the type “are you going to stop beating your wife” so there is no way to “answer every question”.

    I am surprised someone got in that was actually able to fact check Talarico.

    Not to mention every single person tuning into a CNN “townhall” is already voting for the Democrat.

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    DW

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