According to the Washington Post and Emerson College
MAINE
🟥 Susan Collins (inc): 46%
🟦 Troy Jackson: 50%
Washington Post (D+) | 9/30 – 10/5 | 800 LV 3.6 MoE
IOWA
🟥 Hinson: 47%
🟦 Turek: 45%
Emerson (B-) | 10/5-6 | 650 LV 3.8 MoE
- Close in Maine and Iowa
- Strange Arizona Poll
- Close in Michigan
- Is New York this Close?
- Is California this Close?
New Book:
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrat +13 | 211 | 224 |
***There are no “freepassers” here***
Close in Maine and Iowa
39 responses to “Close in Maine and Iowa”
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From Eric Daugherty:
Stephen Miller just DROPPED this truth nuke:
“The Democratic Party has only two kinds of people in it in Washington today.”
“Democrat socialist extremists who support JIHAD, open borders, abolished jails, abolished prisons, abolished ICE, abolished border patrol, abolished free markets, abolished fossil fuels, abolished capitalism…”
“…And you have the COWARDS like Schumer, like former Senator Brown, who will do whatever they are told to do, they are ordered to do by AOC and Jayapal and El Sayed, and every other person in that crazy dangerous clown car that is the Democrat Party!”
Name ONE Democrat leader who’s stood up to the far left this year
Schumer got attacked by his own base and folded. Now he’s out raising money for El Sayed!
He is captivated by socialists. We cannot hand Congress over to Chuck and Hakeem Jeffries
There are no moderates left. THEY ARE NOT PRO-AMERICA. Rush the polls and vote against every Democrat in November!
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In 2024 there were several pollsters who stood out as being particularly accurate. I know there is Atlas Intel from Brazil, but they just show up at the end and do not poll all along. But for the pollsters who do, they have a tougher challenge. There are seven who stand out above the others for accuracy. All got A or B grades in 2024, unlike AARP, Siena, Fox News, YouGov, Marist or CNN who all got C or below.
The Seven are Co/efficient, Big Data, Quantus, Trafalgar Insider Advantage, Rasmussen and Emerson. I suspect that Big Data is compromised this year given Baris’ emotional reaction to the actions of Trump. But just focusing on these seven pollsters, who were largely right while the others were wrong, it means we hold SC, IA, KS, ME, and AK to get to 50. Then TX, OH, MI, and MN are within range of a couple of points and can be won with even a slight movement in our direction.
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LOL
Macron is 48. His teacher (and wife) is 72
Among the slogans appearing regularly at the demonstrations is “Macron bz ta prof, pas les nôtres,” which roughly translates as “Macron, f-ck your teacher, not ours.”
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The new box is weird but if you click on “change” and then choose continue as guest you can change your handle as before.
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How do I attach the full Twitter comment.
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OW. A Black Michigan voter tells News Nation that Obama campaigning for Abdual won’t change anything.
“We love Obama. I love Obama. But listen, a pig (Abdul) by any other name is still a pig. You can put lipstick on a pig, as they say. It’s a pig.”
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“Our body, our choice”
That is what Jane Doe texted to one of the Cornell “rapists”.
“Two days after the alleged gang rape, head alleged gang rapist tells Jane Doe she’s an “amazing person” and he and the other guys are trying to stop the nasty gossip that’s been circulating. She replies: “I don’t think we should feel any shame… our body our choice”
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Bitter must be happy. The 0-4 woke Tampa Cute Little Pirates beat the Dallas Adorable Cheerleaders at home?
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MN is probably fool’s gold. But if the Dems are forced to spend money there like the Rs are forced to spend money in TX that is a win in itself.
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What is coming:
Democrats take control of both Houses of Congress
Make it impossible for Trump to get any judicial appointments through for his last two years
Take the WH in 2028
At that point (all three branches) abolish the filibuster
Expand the Supreme Court in the name of “reform”
Pack it with Justice Jackson type lefties
Statehood for DC and Puerto Rico cementing Democratic control of the Senate going forward.
Fill the Courts with nothing but lefty woke socialists
Back to Green New Deal nonsense wasting billions
Reopen the borders
Medicare for all or something similar
Rewoke the military
……and it goes on and on. Essentially, nationalize the California model. The beauty of this for Democrats is that there will be no guard rails at that point. No court oversight, no filibuster in the Senate, absolutely no checks.
As the song goes……..California Hear I Come. Ugh Welcome to the new USA.
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Here
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It could happen Phil. I pray every day that it doesn’t.
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and you left out of your list that they would steal everyone’s 401k retirement savings, you know, for the good of the people.
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Jonathan Turley, a liberal but a rational and an honorable one has sounded the alarm on all this. Read his articles.
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It’s the perfect storm, DW….and once enacted, there will be no way to put what’s been done back in the bottle. And yes, they will go after retirement savings or whatever they can get their hands on.
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FLORIDA POLL By Targoz Market Research
SENATE
🟥 Ashley Moody (inc): 52%
🟦 Angie Nixon: 42%
——
GOVERNOR
🟥 Byron Donalds: 52%
🟦 David Jolly: 44%9/28-10/4 | 857 LV
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But Turley’s solution is to vote for it and hope they don’t do it.
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Not really on Turley, DW. He hasn’t written a single article advocating for election of these whackos. He is very disillusioned and has highlighted the consequences of these radicals taking power and what they will try to do. One of the few “progressives” that isn’t a hack.
John Kennedy, Hubert Humphry would be appalled at what their party has become.
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Polling is broken. Another pollster had those same fl races in the moe
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Some ev data. I cannot embed the tweet.
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Tina there is a link feature right after the italicize icon
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and then if you hit the down arrow an option for inline code. No idea how it works.
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GOP ballots being returned in Florida are cutting in to the Democrat lead, pushing Dems under 43% of ballots returned. But what’s more is the fact that in 2024 when the GOP won Florida going away, the Dems early ballot returns were +7 over the GOP. Right now its Dems +7.1 essentially the same.
The narrative pushed by the media is that Dems are jazzed to rush out and vote while the GOP is discouraged and will stay home and let the Dems have the country.
If that’s so, it hasn’t shown up in Florida yet.
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But I insist again that the electorate is un-pollable. I just saw another example where a D released an internal poll and then a major leftist pollster happened to release a poll of the same seat, same timespan, and were SEVEN points to the left of the Dem internal. This stuff is crazy and unprecedented.
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GOP gains again in Florida and its now exactly the same margin of returned ballots compared to 2024 when the GOP showed up and stomped the Dems. Now I know that the media narrative is that its a whole bunch of Republicans who are angry and want to rush out and vote commie. But that’s foolish talk. If they were not satisfied, they would stay home.
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Dw. Thanks. Will try.
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Another tactic I have seen in the house polling is that the Dems release an internal poll, but to make it look close, they included in the question some also-ran who has absolutely NO MONEY and will won’t get 1%. But they get pushed in the poll as an alternative to bleed Republican support. But nobody gets out of bed to rush to the polls to vote for someone they never heard of and didn’t know was on the ballot.
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Dw no luck.
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You can delete those last few posts with the x con posts
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LOL
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from Daugherty:
MAJOR BREAKING: Sec. Marco Rubio is hereby SANCTIONING the ENTIRE globalist International Criminal Court (ICC)
RUBIO: “Either the ICC will end its threats, or we will end the ICC.”
MARCO IS UNLEASHED 🔥
“Globalist experts that are an ocean away, they don’t care what you think. They want the International Criminal Court to do more, including the prosecution of American citizens and service members that are defending their country.”
“We expect our allies, many of whom are part of the ICC and that rely on American service members for their defense, to rein in this rogue court.”
“If they do not, the United States will continue its campaign to dismantle the ICC piece by piece, until Americans are threatened no longer.”
“They want to prosecute border patrol agents that are protecting our nation’s borders, and they want to prosecute our elected leaders that are ensuring our national security!”
“They want more power, and they want it at the EXPENSE of our sovereignty as a nation.”
“President Trump will NEVER allow the International Criminal Court to prosecute Americans. And that’s why today, the United States is sanctioning the International Criminal Court.”
This comes a couple weeks after Trump demanded the RESIGNATION from the ICC of every member nation, during his UNGA address. Pure fire.
America never joined this court. It has ZERO authority over us
Unelected globalists don’t get to put our troops and Border Patrol on trial!
THANK YOU, SECRETARY RUBIO!
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So the pollsters whose polls give Phil (and others) the urge to vomit include:
AARP
Siena/NY Times
Washington Post/GMU
CNN/SSRS
Marist
FoxNews
YouGov
Quinnipiac
PPP-DLooking back to these pollster in 2024, here are the number of times any of them over-estimated the GOP in their poll against the actual results in the battleground races:
AZ: 0
NV: 0
GA: 2 (Quinnipiac and YouGov)
NC: 0
WI: 0
MI: 0
PA: 0And many of their misses were way off, including:
CNN: D+6 in WI and D+5 in MI
Quinnipiac: D+3 in MI, D+2 in AZ
YouGov: D+4 in NV, D+5 in MI
WashPost: D+4 in GA, D+3 in WI
Marist: D+3 in WI, D+2 in MI
NY Times/Siena: D+3 in NC and WI; D+2 in NV
AARP: D+3 in WI, D+2 in PALikeLike
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RIP, Coach Ditka.
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Bitter beat me to it.
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Rumor, but could make sense. I am very skeptical of the flu explanation. Talarico is 37. Too young to be out of commission 13 days due just to the flu.
“Spencer Pratt just offered the explanation the flu story was never going to cover. His sources, he says, have James Talarico in a mental health facility, which would also explain why the Texas Democrat’s campaign has stopped putting events on the calendar in the last stretch before Election Day.
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I would say that someone who thinks there are six genders, beef and oil are dangerous, a sovereign nation shouldn’t defend itself against invaders, and that we should have no police or prisons, and says that “Jesus loves abortions” instead of “Jesus loves the little children of the world” is someone who probably belongs in a mental health institution.
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