The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +13211224

2026 Senate Forecast

SCIAAKKSMITXMEMNOHNH
Gap+2+2+2+1+0.5+0.5+1+1+2+5
Count46474849505149484746

***There are no “freepassers” here***

Strange Arizona Poll

DW

The race for Governor of Arizona has been a blowout according to the media and university polls with incumbent Democrat Hobbs ahead usually by double-digits. The only highly rated pollster here is Quantus:

Arizona State: Hobbs +13
Noble Predictive Insights: +13
Higher Ground: Hobbs +16
AARP: Hobbs +8
Quantus: Hobbs +6

So Hobbs has released an internal showing that she’s actually nursing only a 4 point lead

🟦 Hobbs 49%
🟥 Biggs 45%

GQR – D 9/30-10/5; LV

IOWA

🟥 Hinson: 45%
🟦 Turek: 43%

CNN/SSRS (F) – 9/29-10/5; 801 LV

OHIO

🟥 Husted: 43%
🟦 Brown: 49%

CNN/SSRS (F) – 9/29-10/5; 760 LV

98 responses to “Strange Arizona Poll”

  1. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    First

    Like

  2. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    https://www.dailymail.com/sport/mlb/article-16191947/yankees-rays-fan-interference-home-run.html

    If you sit in the front row, don’t interfere.

    Like

  3. DW Avatar
    DW

    when they design stadiums, what’s so hard about putting in an 32 inch barrier between the front seats and the top of the fence?

    Liked by 1 person

  4. DW Avatar
    DW

    HOPE!

    University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov

    Talarico 45
    Paxton 45

    Abbott up 48/44

    Like

  5. DW Avatar
    DW

    more on that AZ poll from one of the x pages:

    ARIZONA POLL (Hobbs internal)

    Governor

    🟦 Katie Hobbs (inc): 49%
    🟥 Andy Biggs: 45%
    🟨 Other: 3%

    ——

    Pollster: Undecideds break for Biggs 2:1, and Republicans are often undercounted in Arizona polls

    GQR | 9/30–10/4 | 600 LV | ±4%

    Like

  6. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Freako has not campaigned since 9/27. He claims he has the flu.

    Like

  7. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Would Trump have to go to Texas if Paxton didn’t suck?

    Like

  8. DW Avatar
    DW

    No, Trump is in Texas because Paxton stinks.

    He has to be dragged across the finish line.

    I hope he makes it.

    Like

  9. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    https://nypost.com/2026/10/08/us-news/zohran-mamdani-ate-at-nyc-palestinian-restaurant-on-oct-7-anniversary/

    Mamdani is certainly not shy about his Jew-hatred.

    Like

  10. DW Avatar
    DW

    battle between incompetent lunatic communists:

    LOS ANGELES POLL – Mayor

    🟪 Nithya Raman: 35%
    🟦 Karen Bass (inc): 33%
    ⬜️ Not sure: 19%

    (Was Raman +4 on 9/28) —— * FM3 Research

    Like

  11. janzam Avatar
    janzam

    That high undecided vote in the LA mayoral race is because nobody likes either candidate. It’s an impossible choice between 2 undesirables.

    Like

  12. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Freako has actually missed the last 12 days of the campaign.

    Like

  13. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Putin had a beach side view of this Russian shadow fleet tanker burning right off the coast of Sochi.

    Evidently, he was at his beach house at the time.

    I hope he enjoyed the fireworks.

    https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-says-tanker-crew-rescued-black-sea-after-attack-set-ship-ablaze-2026-10-06/

    Like

  14. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Interesting. If we weren’t now a banana republic, Leticia would recuse herself or be thrown off the case.

    Gillio Lopes, one of the seven men accused in Jane Doe’s civil lawsuit, has filed an Article 78 challenge looking to REMOVE NY Attorney General Letitia James as special prosecutor in the criminal investigation. His attorneys argue James showed bias toward Jane Doe in a Sept. 28 social media post, three days before Gov. Hochul appointed her to lead the reopened criminal investigation. Lopes wants the appointment overturned and a different prosecutor assigned. A judge has not yet ruled. 

    This is what the AG posted 3 days before her appointment. I guess there would be no “presumption of innocence”.

    “What this young woman has been forced to endure is horrific and unacceptable. I’m holding her in my heart and in my prayers. To her, and to all survivors: you’re not alone. We stand with you.”

    Like

  15. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Hey DW, I have a post in moderation.

    Like

  16. DW Avatar
    DW

    strange, the queue is clear of comments in moderation

    Like

  17. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Did you check the Qu’chua filter?

    Like

  18. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    It cleared on its own somehow.

    Like

  19. DW Avatar
    DW

    Puck: Democratic insiders name the party’s worst 2026 candidates — even as Democrats look set to retake the House, and maybe the Senate.

    🔵 Troy Jackson
    🔵 Abdul El-Sayed
    🔵 William Lawrence
    🔵 Matt Dunlap

    The problem isn’t the map — it’s the candidates.

    Essentially a point I have been making for a while. If we can hold on in SC, KS and IA, then MI and ME get us to 50 before talking about our chances in AK, TX, OH, or MN.

    Like

  20. DW Avatar
    DW

    if we had nominated Cornyn in Texas, then right now the Dems would have almost no path to the senate.

    Like

  21. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Jan – I hope all those grassroots fans of Paxton are out there doing the work necessary to win. You promised they would get him elected.

    Like

  22. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    They do seem to have quality candidate issues. Typically, Rs have this. However, maybe not this year to the extent.

    Like

  23. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    And maybe add freako. He must really “believe” the fake poles. He has been mailing it in the past 12 days.

    Like

  24. DW Avatar
    DW

    The greatest gaslighter in Florida is St. Pete’s Polls. They got a well-deserved F grade in 2024 for skewing to Harris by a whopping 8.1 points.

    They just came out with a poll saying Donalds is tied with Jolly and Moody up only 2 on Nixon.

    Like

  25. DW Avatar
    DW

    meanwhile, Florida’s expert eric daughtery says this:

    Florida Republicans are at NEAR-2024 LEVELS of mail-in voting share versus Democrats with 26 days to go KEEP THIS UP! It went from a D+1.5 shift from 2024 to only D+0.3 today In mail-in ballot return RATE, Republicans are currently AHEAD of their 2024 lead — R+0.4 now.

    Where’s the blue wave? If there’s a massive Dem surge, it’s not showing up in Florida data, that’s for sure! It’s still too early, but to put this in perspective, you’d need an absolutely monumental Independent/NPA voter shift for Dems to even have a chance. And if that were happening, we’d expect to see a corresponding Dem surge in the mail…it’s just not happening in Florida ☀️

    Like

  26. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    It’s not just that. Florida is redder than it was in 2024 (or 2022). We burn through our voters slower than the ds.

    On a separate note, the voting numbers in Oh are looking rough for the drats.

    Like

  27. DW Avatar
    DW

    and the Dem in the Jacksonville mayor race is refusing to endorse Nixon. If St. Pete Polls was right, she would be campaigning with Nixon and praising her.

    Like

  28. DW Avatar
    DW

    https://flvoicenews.com/florida-turnout-tracker/

    Like

  29. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    lol

    https://twitter.com/KenPaxtonTX/status/2108193761234731152

    Like

  30. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    It must be something more than the flu to be off the trail for 12 days.

    Like

  31. DW Avatar
    DW

    Sorry, Paxton shouldn’t be wasting his time making fun of an opponent with the flu. You do that if you are up 15 or 20. He should be out there explaining what a fruitcake Freako is and how he wants open borders so invaders can rape your daughters.

    Like

  32. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    According to the Guardian, Brazil’s vote was a “vote against the forest”.

    You can’t make this sh-t up.

    The world is going to end because Brazil might not elect old Bolshevik Lula. The Amazon will be finished, and Democracy will be finished.

    “More fire, more ash, more crime, more death. And a globally important ecosystem driven ever more rapidly towards a point of no return. That is the prospect for the Amazon rainforest for at least the next four years if Flávio Bolsonaro holds on to the lead he established this week in the first round of Brazil’s presidential election.

    This appears to be of far more concern to the outside world than to voters in Latin America’s biggest, richest and most biodiverse nation.

    The result is an unnerving jolt to climate and nature campaigners. Taken out of context, this appears to be a vote against the forest.

    Voters, of course, are allowed to change their minds. Either on 25 October or, constitutionally, in four years’ time. But for how much longer will that be possible? If Bolsonaro wins, it won’t just be Lula that is finished, it could also be the Amazon and democracy itself.”

    I guess voters choosing Bolsonaro in a free and fair election isn’t democracy.

    Like

  33. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Another post in moderation.

    Like

  34. DW Avatar
    DW

    cleared it

    Like

  35. DW Avatar
    DW

    if the Guardian is so concerned, then why don’t they ask the Russians why they drained the Aral Sea causing an ecological and environment disaster in central Asia?

    Like

  36. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    Glad to hear Putin has a front row seat to a burning tanker. Hope he enjoys the view. He can room with Hitler, Chairman Mao and Stalin in hell.

    Liked by 1 person

  37. DW Avatar
    DW

    I guess RCP likes to have their average be way off. They included the gaslighting St. Pete Polls. They should be banned until they can prove they fixed their problems. But they see it that they are not the problem, just the voters.

    Like

  38. DW Avatar
    DW

    east carolina university has Cooper over Whatley 50-43. Prior poll a month ago was +8

    Like

  39. DW Avatar
    DW

    ECU Poll North Carolina Senate net margins (Cooper–Whatley)

    Overall: Cooper +7 (50–43)

    Forced choice: Cooper +7 (53–46)

    🔴 Men: Whatley +5
    🔵 Women: Cooper +17
    🔴 White: Whatley +14
    🔵 Black: Cooper +72
    🔵 Hispanic: Cooper +11
    🔴 Republicans: Whatley +84
    🔵 Democrats: Cooper +94
    🔵 Independents: Cooper +16
    🔵 18–29: Cooper +23
    🔵 30–44: Cooper +35
    🔴 45–64: Whatley +4
    🔴 65+: Whatley +6

    Sept. 30–Oct. 3, 810 likely voters

    So if Republicans can show up and support the Republican, and if the young voters have lower than expected turnout, this could still be a race.

    Like

  40. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    The liberal intelligentsia (not) views the Amazon forest as a “world asset” when it actually belongs to the countries in the Amazon basin.

    The idea of the forest as an untouched nature preserve is romantic to the liberals, but it doesn’t work for the millions of people who actually live there. There has to be a balance between the responsible exploration of the resources and preservation of the forest and wildlife.

    Brazil found out the hard way that giving millions of acres of forest to native tribes as a means of preservation was a bad idea. Turns out the Indians are like everyone else, as soon as they were in legal possession of millions in valuable timber and minerals they sold concessions to lumber and mining companies, pocketed the money, and gave up subsistence living for new pickups, houses with air conditioning, even airplanes.

    Like

  41. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Sorry, Paxton shouldn’t be wasting his time making fun of an opponent with the flu”

    I disagree.

    He is not making fun of an opponent with the flu.

    He is making fun of a candidate who disappeared.

    I think the “milk ads” are a great idea.

    Like

  42. DW Avatar
    DW

    fair enough jason, but it would be great if Paxton could give voters a reason to vote FOR him, not just against the freak.

    Like

  43. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    maybe candence Owen’s can find telefreako

    Like

  44. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    it’s been 12 days. He hasn’t had the flu for those days. The flu was just announced.

    Like

  45. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Right, the flu would not likely keep someone his age AWOL for 12 days.

    Like

  46. DW Avatar
    DW

    husted up 1 according to A rated pollster co efficient

    Like

  47. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    @OpenSourceZone

    2026 Ohio Senate Poll

    🔴 Jon Husted (inc): 44%

    🔵 Sherrod Brown: 43%

    Co/efficient | 10/8

    Like

  48. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    @IAPolls2022

    ·

    OHIO POLL By Co/efficient (R) SENATE 🟥 Jon Husted (inc): 44% 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 43% 🟨 Other: 4% —— GOVERNOR 🟥 Vivek Ramaswamy: 45% 🟦 Amy Acton: 43% 🟨 Other: 3% —— Generic Senate ballot 🟥 GOP: 45% 🟦 Dem: 45% 10/5–6 | 925 LV | R48/D37 https://battlegrounds.coefficient.org/oh/

    Like

  49. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    comment in moderation. About the full Ohio coefficient poles.

    Like

  50. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    A great catch like that, surprised he could not find a wife.

    Terrorist pilot postings online…

    “He turned to a Muslim dating website in the hope of finding a woman between 18 and 23, according to the FT, and said he was seeking a “religious Saudi from a tribal background” who was willing to wear a face cover, not seek work outside the home, and to live abroad.

    His failed search led him to conclude, according to the X posts viewed by FT, that most women “care primarily about money” and are “skilled at pretense.”

    The posts seen by the British newspaper included more aggressive language, including the assertion that a woman’s “only obligation is to lift her legs”

    Like

  51. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Not added but based on Evs- yute vote is down

    @Rasmussen_Poll

    ·

    Update:

    @InsiderPolling

    “But there is another definite wave we are seeing. Voters 65 and over are the most enthusiastic to vote of all demographics. And they have moved back to the GOP in big numbers. Races are close in red states but also close in some blue states.”

    Like

  52. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    The older vote prolly like the no tax on. Social security and cheaper drug costs.

    Like

  53. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Janzam will soon be here to say it’s worth it “for the cause”!

    “Russian soldiers are blowing themselves up to avoid being taken prisoner.

    More than 250 Russian servicemen, including dozens of officers, were captured during Operation Vivaldi, an offensive in northern Donetsk.

    Many surrendered as entire units after Ukrainian drones cut off their food, water and ammunition.

    A commander in Ukraine‘s 3rd Army Corps, the unit central to the operation, told The Telegraph that Russian soldiers had been warned they would be tortured and killed if captured

    “They were reluctant to surrender because they were afraid, and they were blowing themselves up, trying to take our soldiers with them,” Olexander Borodin said.

    “The Russian army has this propaganda preaching that if they go into Ukrainian captivity, they will be tortured; they will be killed.”

    The offensive has resulted in the killing of 3,000 Russian soldiers in a matter of months, and the recovery of 48 square miles of occupied territory, according to the 3rd Army Corps.

    Fought in three stages so far, it has relied on drones and robots advancing before infantry, including kamikaze ground vehicles air-dropped behind Russian lines.

    The Russians who did surrender have revealed dire conditions during their time in Donetsk, including being forced to drink their own urine and eat tree bark and nettles.

    They told the 3rd Army Corps that injured soldiers were not evacuated from their positions and that their only chance of survival was to crawl to an evacuation point on their own.More to explore

    One of the Russian officers told the corps that his soldiers were dying en masse from exhaustion and starvation.

    “Some lost 30 or 40 kilos from their normal weight, and many of them were asking just for one thing, like a sip of water,” said Mr Borodin.

    “They were not even thinking about their further situation. All they wanted was just a sip of water.”

    He said about half of the prisoners needed medical treatment, many of them for wounds they had been trying to treat themselves while holding their positions.

    Russian commanders knew about the conditions but did little to improve them, Mr Borodin claimed, and did not try to evacuate the wounded because it would put pressure on the army’s medical service.

    Many of the prisoners also described corruption within their own units.

    Some told Mr Borodin their commanders had ordered them to hand over part of their salaries to buy equipment, which never arrived.

    “Some of them feel betrayed by their command,” he said.

    That sense of betrayal has left many reluctant to go home. Although Ukraine hopes to trade them for its own soldiers, Mr Borodin said a large number of the prisoners did not want to be exchanged.

    Russian soldiers who have been captured are seen by their own army as lesser fighters, he said, and the men feared being sent straight back to the front line in even worse conditions than before.”

    Like

  54. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    They just slammed the rino that lost his contest by 30%.

    @burgessev

    New – Republicans say the Paxton leaks aren’t fatal to his campaign, but they are annoying and not helpful

    @LawAmericanX

    : “Paxton has always relied on his base and a strong statewide ticket to carry him across the finish line. He’s never played anywhere near this level and doesn’t understand the magnitude of effort being expended on his behalf to try to win this race” Sen. Cornyn: “Got to be more careful when you run with the big dogs” NRSC spox

    @joannamrod

    says Republicans need to “put your jersey on and fight with us or go sit in the stands enjoying tofu with the Talafreakos”

    Like

  55. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Yes him telling dc cabal to F off is annoying. lol.

    Like

  56. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    @IAPolls2022

    Senate Polling — Co/Efficient (R) 🔴 Kansas – Marshall +5 🔴 Nebraska – Ricketts +5 🔴 Iowa – Hinson +4 🔴 Alaska – Sullivan +2 🔴 Maine – Collins +2 🔴 Ohio – Husted +1 🟡 New Hampshire – Tied 🟡 Michigan – Tied 🔵 Minnesota – Flanagan +1

    ·

    32K

    Like

  57. DW Avatar
    DW

    Charlie Cook says a Washington Post poll of Maine is likely out this week, and it may show Sen. Susan Collins ahead of Troy Jackson.

    nah, it won’t. Charlie is trying to raise expectations so he can then say that Collins showing in the poll was surprisingly down.

    Like

  58. DW Avatar
    DW

    MI Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed (Egypt) TURNS HIS BACK when asked why he refused to denounce Hamas’ mass murder of Israelis on Oct. 7 anniversary:

    REPORTER: Why didn’t you put out a statement for the 3-year anniversary of Oct. 7?

    EL-SAYED: *Turns around and walks away*

    Like

  59. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    Bridge today.

    Played as brilliantly as I could with crappy cards.

    Of each jand of 13 cards I was dealt during the first 12 hands I had 4 hands where 8 cards were a six or lower.

    Ended up in 5th place out of 8. Which gets you nothing.

    Burned another pair of lucky underwear.

    Like

  60. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Cornyn won the 2020 GE by almost 10%

    Paxton will be lucky to win by 1 vote.

    Jan/Tina – It is after Labor Day. Are voters still not paying attention? Talarico sucks but Paxton can’t put him away? Why not?

    Like

  61. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    I fall for Russian hoaxes and fake poles.

    -freepasser

    Like

  62. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    But I always have fun at bridge

    Like

  63. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Why has Trump gone to Texas 3 times (3!) if Paxton is winning? Why?

    Like

  64. DW Avatar
    DW

    because if Trump doesn’t rally the troops, Paxton loses. And he might anyway.

    Like

  65. DW Avatar
    DW

    or was your question rhetorical?

    Like

  66. janzam Avatar
    janzam

    🚨 JUST NOW: New OHIO POLL GOVERNOR: 🔴 Vivek Ramaswamy: 45% (+2) 🔵 Amy Acton: 43% SENATE: 🔴 Jon Husted: 44% (+1) 🔵 Sherrod Brown: 43% co/efficient | 10/5-6 | N=925LV

    Like

  67. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    because if Trump doesn’t rally the troops, Paxton loses. And he might anyway.

    But Jan assured us that there would be huge support for Paxton. WTF

    If I lived in Texas, I would have voted for Cornyn in the Primary and would vote for Paxton now. Why? Because unlike MAGA, I am a conservative who doesn’t need Trump stroking me to vote. I was voting for Republicans when Trump was a Democrat and will be voting for Republicans when Trump is gone.

    Like

  68. DW Avatar
    DW

    did you mean vote for Paxton now? I never recall Bitter ever voting Democrat

    Like

  69. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    I fixed it, DW. My blood sugar was at 60 when I typed it.

    Like

  70. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    https://nypost.com/2026/10/08/us-news/house-candidate-matthew-arndt-arrested-after-hate-filled-rant-at-israeli-dad/

    Is the Green Party more insane than DSA?

    Like

  71. janzam Avatar
    janzam

    What I said Bitter was that the “grassroots” would come out and work for Paxton, and be less enthusiastic for Cornyn……just like in the primary, where Cornyn lost by double digits. It’s the Bush establishment who is shunning Paxton because he is not one of “them.” I still think Paxton will pull it out. But, it will probably not be a land slide.

    Like

  72. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    But, it will probably not be a land slide.

    LOL

    Like

  73. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    the “grassroots” would come out and work for Paxton

    Are they going to start before the GE?

    Like

  74. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    Hasan to get firing squad in December. Live streamed.

    Ratings should be good.

    Like

  75. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Paxton ran against the Evil Establishment but is now struggling without their help? Ironic.

    Like

  76. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Janzam and Tina are clowns.

    Tina assured us Paxton would be leading the polls “in October”.

    Janzam assured us that one Labor Day was gone, Texans would start paying attention to the race and Paxton would pull ahead.

    The fact is that none of that happened because Paxton is weak, baggage ridden, unpopular candidate that can’t pull even the R party together to support him, let alone Indies.

    IF he wins, and I hope for the sake of the country he does, it will be a combination of massive amounts of money (sorely needed in other states, shouldn’t be needed in TX) and the fact Talarico is the mother of all creepy weirdo commie candidates.

    Had Cornyn been the nominee, he would be trashing Talarico by 10 points and would need a fraction of the money needed to drag Mr. Baggage over the line.

    Like

  77. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    It’s the Bush establishment who is shunning Paxton”

    Here we go.

    A scapegoat has already been picked if Paxton loses.

    If won’t because he is horrible candidate that lost in red TX, it will be because of the “Bush establishment”.

    Like

  78. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    If I lived in Texas, I would have voted for Cornyn in the Primary and would vote for Paxton now. Why? Because unlike MAGA, I am a conservative who doesn’t need Trump stroking me to vote. I was voting for Republicans when Trump was a Democrat and will be voting for Republicans when Trump is gone”

    I could have written this.

    Sometime A-holes see eye to eye.

    Like

  79. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    My hope is that there are Indies like me in TX that if polled, would not say they supported Paxton, but would hold their noses and vote for him anyway.

    Hope springs eternal.

    Will Rs learn their lesson from this Paxton fiasco?

    No.

    Like

  80. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Janzam proudly told us the “base” would not support Cornyn if he was the nominee.

    Now she is whining that the evil establishment won’t support Paxton.

    The hypocrisy is astounding.

    Like

  81. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    Of course, Trump should share some of the blame if Paxton loses too.

    He should have told Paxton, look, man, I like you but this seat is just too important to put at risk, sorry.

    Like

  82. janzam Avatar
    janzam

    📊 NEW GENERIC BALLOT POLL — RASMUSSEN 🔵 Democrats: 47% (-1) 🔴 Republicans: 44% (+1) 🟡 Other: 4% (=) Democrats’ lead has narrowed to D+3, down from D+8 in early September. By demographic group: * White voters: GOP 48% — DEM 44% * Hispanic voters: GOP 50% — DEM 42% * Black voters: DEM 70% — GOP 16% #GenericBallot #Rasmussen #Midterms2026 #USPolitics #Election2026 #Polling #Politic

    Like

  83. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Despite the fact Paxton is a train wreck, Cornyn should encourage his supporters to vote for Paxton. Something along the lines of “Yeah. Paxton has a lot of baggage but he’s not crazy.”

    Like

  84. janzam Avatar
    janzam

    I don’t “whine” about anything, let alone about those working against a candidate. Paxton is a better fit for a state like Texas, has strong support from those who actually work campaigns, is dull not charismatic, but is not afraid to challenge unpopular governmental policies. I don’t regret my support for him. So, go pound sand Jason!

    Like

  85. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Paxton is a better fit for a state like Texas

    Do the voters know that? Somebody better tell them. Soon.

    Like

  86. DW Avatar
    DW

    that poll came out a few days ago

    Like

  87. GF Avatar
    GF

    They don’t show the Asian figures, though I assume they’re about 60-40 for the Dems. It’s really about that margin with AAs; if they make up fifteen percent of the sample, then a 54 percent margin in that group gives a Dems an overall lead of about four points assuming whites at 60% and Hispanics around 20%. If black turnout drops even a bit, and those other numbers are remotely correct, it’s a lush going into Election Day, and turnout will be what matters.

    Like

  88. GF Avatar
    GF

    The Indians are sticking it hard to the Sox again, at this point, they’re just Cleveland’s happy Sox (6 runs in just the sixth inning).

    Like

  89. DW Avatar
    DW

    Yep….called it Charlie toupee Crook saying that the Washington Post might show Collins in the lead….so when they didn’t he could be surprised. They have Jackson by 4

    Like

  90. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    test

    Like

  91. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    This morning a weird box appeared to put the post in.

    Like

  92. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    We see your posts, A-hole.

    Like

  93. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    https://x.com/DemsForMike/status/2108218019390582929

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  94. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    WOW. A Black Michigan voter tells News Nation that Obama campaigning for Abdual won’t change anything.

    “We love Obama. I love Obama. But listen, a pig (Abdul) by any other name is still a pig. You can put lipstick on a pig, as they say. It’s a pig.”

    Like

  95. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    OW. A Black Michigan voter tells News Nation that Obama campaigning for Abdual won’t change anything.

    “We love Obama. I love Obama. But listen, a pig (Abdul) by any other name is still a pig. You can put lipstick on a pig, as they say. It’s a pig.”

    Like

  96. DW Avatar
    DW

    the weird box was pushed by word press. no changes were made administratively.

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  97. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    Ok having issues this am with WordPress. Things look diff here

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  98. DW Avatar
    DW

    New thread

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