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2026 House Forecast

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Strange Arizona Poll

The race for Governor of Arizona has been a blowout according to the media and university polls with incumbent Democrat Hobbs ahead usually by double-digits. The only highly rated pollster here is Quantus:

Arizona State: Hobbs +13
Noble Predictive Insights: +13
Higher Ground: Hobbs +16
AARP: Hobbs +8
Quantus: Hobbs +6

So Hobbs has released an internal showing that she’s actually nursing only a 4 point lead

🟦 Hobbs 49%
🟥 Biggs 45%

GQR – D 9/30-10/5; LV

IOWA

🟥 Hinson: 45%
🟦 Turek: 43%

CNN/SSRS (F) – 9/29-10/5; 801 LV

OHIO

🟥 Husted: 43%
🟦 Brown: 49%

CNN/SSRS (F) – 9/29-10/5; 760 LV

20 responses to “Strange Arizona Poll”

  1. First

    Like

  2. when they design stadiums, what’s so hard about putting in an 32 inch barrier between the front seats and the top of the fence?

    Like

  3. more on that AZ poll from one of the x pages:

    ARIZONA POLL (Hobbs internal)

    Governor

    🟦 Katie Hobbs (inc): 49%
    🟥 Andy Biggs: 45%
    🟨 Other: 3%

    ——

    Pollster: Undecideds break for Biggs 2:1, and Republicans are often undercounted in Arizona polls

    GQR | 9/30–10/4 | 600 LV | ±4%

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  4. Freako has not campaigned since 9/27. He claims he has the flu.

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  5. Would Trump have to go to Texas if Paxton didn’t suck?

    Like

  6. No, Trump is in Texas because Paxton stinks.

    He has to be dragged across the finish line.

    I hope he makes it.

    Like

  7. battle between incompetent lunatic communists:

    LOS ANGELES POLL – Mayor

    🟪 Nithya Raman: 35%
    🟦 Karen Bass (inc): 33%
    ⬜️ Not sure: 19%

    (Was Raman +4 on 9/28) —— * FM3 Research

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  8. That high undecided vote in the LA mayoral race is because nobody likes either candidate. It’s an impossible choice between 2 undesirables.

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  9. Freako has actually missed the last 12 days of the campaign.

    Like

  10. Putin had a beach side view of this Russian shadow fleet tanker burning right off the coast of Sochi.

    Evidently, he was at his beach house at the time.

    I hope he enjoyed the fireworks.

    https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-says-tanker-crew-rescued-black-sea-after-attack-set-ship-ablaze-2026-10-06/

    Like

  11. Interesting. If we weren’t now a banana republic, Leticia would recuse herself or be thrown off the case.

    Gillio Lopes, one of the seven men accused in Jane Doe’s civil lawsuit, has filed an Article 78 challenge looking to REMOVE NY Attorney General Letitia James as special prosecutor in the criminal investigation. His attorneys argue James showed bias toward Jane Doe in a Sept. 28 social media post, three days before Gov. Hochul appointed her to lead the reopened criminal investigation. Lopes wants the appointment overturned and a different prosecutor assigned. A judge has not yet ruled. 

    This is what the AG posted 3 days before her appointment. I guess there would be no “presumption of innocence”.

    “What this young woman has been forced to endure is horrific and unacceptable. I’m holding her in my heart and in my prayers. To her, and to all survivors: you’re not alone. We stand with you.”

    Like

  12. Hey DW, I have a post in moderation.

    Like

  13. strange, the queue is clear of comments in moderation

    Like

  14. Did you check the Qu’chua filter?

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  15. It cleared on its own somehow.

    Like

  16. Puck: Democratic insiders name the party’s worst 2026 candidates — even as Democrats look set to retake the House, and maybe the Senate.

    🔵 Troy Jackson
    🔵 Abdul El-Sayed
    🔵 William Lawrence
    🔵 Matt Dunlap

    The problem isn’t the map — it’s the candidates.

    Essentially a point I have been making for a while. If we can hold on in SC, KS and IA, then MI and ME get us to 50 before talking about our chances in AK, TX, OH, or MN.

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  17. if we had nominated Cornyn in Texas, then right now the Dems would have almost no path to the senate.

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