New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +9213222

2026 Senate Forecast

KSIAMEAKMITXMNOHNHNC
Gap+3.9+2.5+2+2+0.5+0.5+0.8+2.5+5+5.5
Count47484950515248474645

***There are no “freepassers” here***

Close in Michigan

According to Fox News

MICHIGAN

🟥 Rogers: 49%
🟦 El-Sayed: 50%

Fox News – 9/24-9/28; 1028 LV

TEXAS

🟦 James Talarico: 46%
🟥 Ken Paxton: 45%
🟨 Ted Brown: 4%

Rasmussen | 9/28-29 | 1,028 LV

Today’s Talking Point: Freedom dies when free people use their freedom to remain ignorant and thereby follow fools or phonies who will enslave them.

26 responses to “Close in Michigan”

  1. First

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  2. Homer on fire today.

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  3. Good poll for Rogers.

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  4. It would be nice to have ONE poll showing Paxton ahead…… sigh…..

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  5. Some really sick people on X

    “Isn’t it funny how they made the guy wear the bloody shirt so Bibi could get his photo op to scream victimhood”

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  6. The Cult was silent on Paxton saying his poll numbers went down after Trump’s convention. Hmmmm?

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  7. This is the month where people start paying attention. -Tina

    What happened to “Paxton will rebound after Labor Day when voters pay attention”?

    Something better happen soon. Really soon.

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  8. Hopefully, the 2 big gubment cons -be itchy and Souter 2.0 rule correctly on this. Beotchy =kenjuh light in the brain capacity.

    @shipwreckedcrew

    The Supreme Court has agreed to hear a case this fall on the question of whether ICE can detain illegal aliens detained in the interior of the country — more than 100 miles from the border — if those aliens snuck across the border and were never subject to “inspection” by border officials. Persons “seeking admission” must be detained pending resolution of their case status. The issue is whether someone who has entered and remained, and take not steps to begin the process of obtain lawful status is to be considered under a statute as still “seeking admission” by virtue of his/her remaining in the U.S. — sometimes for years or decades — and building a life here. Is an illegal alien present in the U.S. “seeking admission” merely by refusing to ever leave on his own?

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  9. Like

  10. “Democrat Gov. Abigail Spanberger’s Virginia JUST RELEASED a CHILD PREDATOR illegal alien from custody — so ICE IMMEDIATELY arrested him”

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  11. AARP has Jackson over Collins in Maine 50/47. But the poll is a bit stale, two others that released earlier have fresher dates.

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  12. also from the AARP poll”

    All (50+)

    🟥 Collins: 55%
    🟦 Jackson: 43%

    ——

    Swing voters 50+:

    🔴 SEN: Collins +53
    🔵 GOV: Pingree +28

    Mainers 50+ are about 62% of the likely midterm electorate. 87% say they’ll definitely vote in November, vs. 72% of younger voters

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  13. Barrett, who was nominated by Trump, is more conservative and more of an expert on law and the Constitution than Tina.

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  14. Sometimes a good way to test the generic ballot accuracy is to look at a few races that are NOT in play but where there is some polling, either a couple of independent pollsters or dueling internal poll releases. We have the latter with NY-23, the Buffalo suburbs and southern tier of NY. Trump won this district +21 two years ago. PPP-D released an internal poll showing the Democrat behind by 17, and Cygnal did the internal for the Republican and they claim his lead is +21. So even if you average the two, +19 isn’t far off from the Trump margin of +21 two years ago.

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  15. “Homer on fire today.”

    Thanks, I thought today’s cartoon was one of my better efforts.

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  16. Here in VA-2 it seems that the Democrat, Luria, must be winning in a landslide over the Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans. I have seen all of one Luria yard signs, but Kiggans signs are all over the place. Listened to a radio station and only heard Kiggans ads.

    So I guess Luria figures she will win because everyone ranks this as LIkely-D and she doesn’t have to spend any money.

    Kiggans is pounding away on Luria who was in congress before when she said she would stop insider trading, but instead did it herself and made millions. But I guess Luria doesn’t have to respond to the very effective ad.

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  17. InsiderPolling

    From Matt Towery: “What we are starting to see in our surveys…R candidates are closing the gap…we find independents leaning heavily Democrat BUT in most states there is a 20 point or so “enthusiastic to vote gap” with independents not motivated to vote. Same with the youngest of voters, while 65 and over are the most enthusiastic. Most of these races are not nearly the blow outs many of the polls suggest. And we have not adjusted our turnout weighting to reflect this as it is too soon and early voting may contradict these numbers.” Stay tuned. More polls coming today.

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  18. Thanks, I thought today’s cartoon was one of my better efforts.”

    Typical, DW tries to hog in on Homer’s kudos.

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  19. I wonder if towery will opine on black vote. Seems like an issue in Ohio and Texas for the Ds

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  20. So here is the sc case that is being taken up. They admit it’s the law but nobody noticed it. Clinton signed a lot of illegal immigration bills in the 1990s.

    https://x.com/ReichlinMelnick/status/2105654950386930106

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  21. Slow news day?

    ‘Happy Days’ star shares ‘disgusting story’ behind the show’s set having only 1 bathroom”

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  22. Like

  23. Illegals should not have due process rights. That is stupid. But we will leave that for Souter 2.0 and beotchy to opine.

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  24. last insider advantage poll of OHIO was brown +5. They just dropped a +1

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  25. Brown 44

    Husted 43

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  26. @Rickisback_ON_X

    So, the Supreme Court of the United States will be answering a burning question in regard to illegal Immigration. 1. Should someone who broke into the Country illegally and NEVER applied for Asylum stayed, be required (if captured) to stay in custody w/o bail until their immigration case is completed. Keep in mind, it is already accepted by the courts that if an alien enters the Country ILLEGALLY and files for asylum, they are allowed to be held in detention indefinitely until their case is adjudicated.

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    946 Views

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