The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +7214221

2026 Senate Forecast

KSIAAKMIMEMNTXOHNHNCGA
Gap+3.9+2.5+1.5+0.5+0+0.8+1+3.7+4+4.5+5
Count4748495051494847464544

Commie Tsunami part two

DW

Historic gaslighting pollster Marist University is back for more, saying its a Dem Tsunami.

They have Talarico up 50/44, and Abbott losing 49/46. The good news is Paxton’s gap is only trailing Abbott’s by 3 in the poll.

But the polls are all over the place. Co/Efficient has the CT Governor race with the Dem up only 48/41.

Siena University (no friend of Republicans) has Hochul up only 50/41 in NY.

CNN’s generic ballot is Dem +8, which is the same as their prior poll suggesting there is not really a sudden shift like some of the others are claiming.

And Quantus just dropped a NC polling showing Cooper in NC under 50 but leading 48/43 over Whatley.

7 responses to “Commie Tsunami part two”

  1. DW Avatar
    DW

    Who do you think will win the Texas senate race?

    🔴 Ken Paxton: 52%
    🔵 James Talarico: 43%

    NPR/Marist | 9/17-20

    This is much like the old “how is your neighbor voting?” question that weeds out fear of telling a pollster what you will do at the polls.

    Like

  2. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    https://nypost.com/2026/09/23/us-news/palestinian-rachel-dolezal-outed-as-white-woman-of-significant-privilege-and-wealth/

    So mixed-race Palestinian Rachel is really a self-hating Jewish woman? Who can you believe in any more?

    Like

  3. J-hole Avatar
    J-hole

    I looked at the dress. At first glance it looked ok, was not too short, but then I saw it was sleeveless.

    I think if she wore any kind of jacket over it then it would be fine.

    While not grossly inappropriate, I think its akin to a male lawyer taking off his coat and wearing a short sleeve shirt in the courtroom.

    I will defer to Bitter and his wife on courtroom etiquette.

    At the llama owner’s convention it would not have raised any eyebrows.

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  4. DW Avatar
    DW

    just not sure what to make of all these disparate polls.

    Another Governor poll just dropped…yougov, showing the Republican Jackson up 3 over Bottoms in GA.

    Georgia, New York and Connecticut make up a decent sized sample of the overall population of the country, and the three governor polls just released for these states do not suggest any sort of coming blue tsunami. Not unless there is massive ticket splitting going on.

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  5. DW Avatar
    DW

    CO-08 is on everyone’s short list of a nearly sure Dem flip. McLauglin just dropped a new poll:

    Evans (R) 48%

    Rutinel (D) 46%

    Like

  6. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    I think if she wore any kind of jacket over it then it would be fine.

    Agreed. GFY

    Years ago, I was in court where the AC was not working in August. The Judge said men could remove their jackets. None of us did since the Judge was still wearing a robe and nobody wanted to be the first to take the jacket off.

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  7. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Can I wear alpaca socks to the llama convention?

    Like

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