New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrat +7214221

2026 Senate Forecast

KSIAAKMIMEMNTXOHNHNCGA
Gap+3.9+2.5+1.5+0.5+0+0.8+1+3.7+4+4.5+5
Count4748495051494847464544

Commie Tsunami

According to Marist and Suffolk

IOWA – US Senate

Turek 50%
Hinson 42%

Marist University

MICHIGAN – US Senate

El-Sayed 47%
Rogers 40%

Suffolk University

TEXAS – US Senate

Talarico 47%
Paxton 46%

Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center

FLORIDA – US Senate

Nixon 42%
Moody 49%

InsiderAdvantage

74 responses to “Commie Tsunami”

  1. First. Trash this poll because Tina won’t like it.

    Like

  2. Bitterlaw

    September 22, 2026 at 7:30 am

    Jan said that MAGA would not support Cornyn in the GE if he was nominated. Now she is mad conservative Republicans are not thrilled to support Paxton.”

    I thought she said people in Texas would be paying attention after Labor Day.

    Here is what happened.

    Paxton is still a weak, unpopular, baggage ridden candidate who is not able to unite even Republicans against a creepy commie weirdo like Talarico.

    Labor Day did nothing to change that.

    Like

  3. I think Paxton will pull it out in the end. The above pollster last had it Talarico +2. Now they say +1, and the evidence suggests Talarico is at his high water mark. Cornyn would be way up. Too bad we had to waste money on this one.

    Like

  4. Bongino report keeps bragging about the huge cash advantage the GOP has…but are they going to spend it? October is almost here, and Economist/You generic ballot just dropped a brutal GOP 38 / Dem 52.

    Like

  5. .@ScottJenningsKY from the top rope obliterates MSNOW and walks his fellow panelists on CNN NewsNight into a “bUt FoX” trap. Jennings: “I actually think there’s a difference between, truthfully, CNN and Politico and MS NOW. You watch MS NOW for ten minutes, it’s like total alternate reality. I actually think there’s a difference. Left wing panelists: “Well some people may say that about Fox.” Jennings: “Yeah, Obama, he said that about Fox.”

    Like

  6. I think Paxton will eke out a win too.

    But at what cost to other races?

    Cornyn would have won by 10 without all the angst and cost.

    Like

  7. DW- Be careful. Tina used to call Wissing a squish for not posting only cheerleading Trump polls. Just post them all.

    Like

  8. Yeah, NYC used to be very angry if Dave posted any polls he didn’t like.

    Hilarious.

    Like

  9. The only bad poll there is IA.

    The MI poll with 13% missing is worthless.

    Like

  10. Lenin, Stalin and Pol Pot.

    Mt. Proletariat will be enlarged to include other luminaries.

    Mao, Ho Chi Minh, Marx, Rocket Man and Fidel will need to be included.

    Like

  11. yeah, and even with IA its Marist, and its RVs not LV, and its got a large 4.4 MoE

    Many other pollsters have Hinson winning that seat including Trafalgar, Co/efficient, emerson, and suffolk

    Like

  12. October is almost here, and Economist/You generic ballot just dropped a brutal GOP 38 / Dem 52.”

    We are ok if the missing 10% are all GOP.

    Like

  13. Well some people may say that about Fox.” Jennings: “Yeah, Obama, he said that about Fox.”

    Great answer, I bet he came prepared with that line.

    Like

  14. I guess RCP figured the brutal polling is enough for today, so they have already started posting Wednesday polls.

    Like

  15. What is going on with log-in? I had to create another account because old one (janzam) I’ve had for years didn’t work.

    Like

  16. sorry about that Jan, no issues on this end.

    Like

  17. Zelensky cancelled Janzam’s acct?

    Probably did it from his yacht.

    Like

  18. Marta Havryshko

    6h

    In June, Zelensky floated the idea of elections at a closed-door meeting with his inner circle—then dropped it after Zaluzhnyi and Budanov supposedly confirmed they would run. 

    Why, do you think? 

    Because our “Churchill” and ever-“popular” “leader of the Ukrainian resistance” could lose to either of them, according to all existing polling, especially commissioned by his own camp. 

    So Zelensky continues to publicly insist that elections cannot be held during wartime. 

    He simply fears losing power. 

    Because for him, losing office could mean losing everything — influence, money, the standing ovations from his Western brothers and sisters in crime, and, perhaps most inconveniently, the presidential immunity from having his “genius leadership” examined without the flattering lighting. 

    Nothing ruins a Churchill cosplay quite like an actual ballot box😂

    Like

  19. I intend to continue posting the truth about the growing corruption in the Zelenskyy regime….with my new account.

    Thanks for checking it out DW. If I get played with again then maybe I won’t be posting here again. Jason & Bitter will then have to find someone else to fight with…

    Like

  20. ”Nothing ruins a Churchill cosplay quite like an actual ballot box😂”

    After his landslide defeat in 1945, Churchill was offered the Order of the Garter by George VI. He turned it down, quipping that he could not accept the Order of the Garter when the people of England had just given him the “order of the boot.”

    Like

  21. growing corruption? so you admit there was a time when he wasn’t corrupt?

    Like

  22. Jason & Bitter will then have to find someone else to fight with…

    I have been fighting with posters since 2004. I won’t stop if you leave but I don’t want you to leave.

    Like

  23. When is Putin going to hold a real election?

    Like

  24. Putin just did! And he summoned up the ghost of Jimmy Carter who says it was a free and fair election.

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  25. growing corruption? so you admit there was a time when he wasn’t corrupt?

    DW, Ukraine has long had a reputation of government corruption. Zelenskyy’s anti-corruption campaign message and promise to end it was why he was elected with over 70% of the vote. However, he did little about it, with early NYT reports of government officials participating in siphoning off funding meant for the war effort and its people. So, yes, initially he was seen as an ethical reformer. Now, however, he has grown into a Putin- like dictator who most of the Ukrainian people fear and hate. I think some here are so consumed by their Putin hatred, they are either unable to see or maybe admit that Zelenskyy has evolved into someone no different from the Russian tyrant they consider evil.

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  26. who most of the Ukrainian people fear and hate.

    Zzzzzzzz Then why is he still President? They can’t find somebody who wants a coup?

    Like

  27. Zelenskyy has evolved into someone no different from the Russian tyrant they consider evil.

    No different than Putin? Back to work. Jan has lost it.

    Like

  28. so lets take Haiti. A corrupt country if there ever was one. Its a cesspool. So if a hostile neighbor decided to invade and take it over, killing men, women, and children, then Haiti deserves it because they had corruption in their government.

    Liked by 1 person

  29. GOP 47.2
    DEM 52.8

    Activote Generic ballot.

    Like

  30. RIGID

    R.I.G.I.D.

    Stands for

    Radical

    Individuals

    Gridlocking

    Important

    Decisions

    I claim right to this acronym

    R.I.G.I.D Voters emect R.I.G.I.D Primary candidates.

    the R.I.G.I.D ca didayes go ontonwin in November.

    *******

    RIDGID voters do not ascribe to the word compromise (which gave us the constitution, postponed the bloody Civil war, etc. ). To them, Compromise is an evil and dirty word.

    the RIGIDs would rather have babies killed in the womb until the moment of birth rather than adopt a compromise position of allowing abortion due to rape, incest, life of the mother and to allow if the fetus in the womb has succumbed and is no longer living.

    RIGIDs detest those elected to office of their OWN party if they only agree with the RIGIDs 19 out of every 20 times and will work hard to see them defeated and replaced with some unknown alternative.

    Due to their belief that Trump is an idiot (no arguement here) the RIGIDs on the D side automatically oppose anything proposed by Trump.

    Their #1 goal is not to take action that benefits the country and makes it stronger. Their #1 goal is to stop Trump and replace him with one of their own tribe. It is about power and gaining control of the levers of government that will benefit them and their fellow travelers (friends and voters) Fina cially and that will keep them in control of the levers of government coffers and policy making.

    The D side RIGIDs main trigger to use to motivate people to support them is FEAR.

    “Republicans will end social security.”

    “Republicans want to tqke away rights of women.”

    “Republicans are xenophobic and hate foreigners and want to take away their rights.”

    “Republicans want to turn the clock back on civil rights for Blacks.”

    “Republicans want to limit rights of LBGTQEIEIOs.”

    Republicans do not believe in massive action to control man made climate change and love dirty air and dirty water and do not care if oceankevels are going to rise 500 feet and flood the coasts.”

    Like

  31. The D side RIGISs would rather see the destruction of the country than Rs in power do things that preserve the nation.

    the D side RIGIDs ranks are also filled with people with big hearts and little brains who act on emotion rather than rational thought.

    “We must have open borders to save the destitute people of the world.”

    “We must force people to believe the way we D RIGIDs believe because we are trying g to save eveything.”

    “We must create a society where everyone has free stuff and equal outcomes to keep people from feeling bad about themselves and having psychological problems.”

    “Women should have the right of abortion, because ‘their body, their choice’ “…but the D RIGIDs ignore ‘my body my choice’ when it comes to CROVID vaccines.

    The D RIGIDs cannot see that when govt creates racial quotas, etc. to overcome and correct past racial discrimination, then that action itself creates new reverse discrimination problems.

    Same with laws to allow guys pretending to be girls into girls ocker too.s and ontongirls sports teams, then that helps the fake guys, but hurts the girls.

    *****

    On the R side, the R RIGIDS favor ‘life, liberty, property’ but any and every action by govt is in some small way a chipping away of ‘life, liberty property’ so they just oppose and vote against everything, and nothing gets accomplished to rectify any problem. For to the R RIGIDs, they are 100% fixed in beliefs and do not accept any compromise of any kind pn any issue–ever.

    Like

  32. I propose that the election laws be changed to allow every U.S. citizen to vote–as long as they can prove they have A MINIMUM AMOUNT OF SENSE to vote.

    If they cannot name the three branches of government, no ballot for you.

    If you cannot correctly write in the names of the a majority of the 7 continents and 4 oceans of the world on a blank map, no ballot for you.

    If you cannot correctly write in the names of at least 8 states on a blank map of the U.S., no ballot for you.

    if you cannot correctly answer a few very basic rudimentary economic questions, no ballot for you.

    If they do not know that they live in a country that is a representative democratic republic, then no ballot for them.

    if you are in the nursing home and lost your mental faculties and cannot name who is president or the last name of your current governor, or what year it is, no ballot for you.

    The people who can do all the above will stay on the voter rolls. The others will be removed until they can show a minimum amount of intelligence on said minimum amount of sense tests.

    Like

  33. Translated from Ukrainian

    ”Some Ukrainians are surprised at how Russians, thanks to their government’s propaganda, support or turn a blind eye to the murder of another people. But at the same time, these same Ukrainians, under the influence of their own government’s propaganda, justify or prefer not to notice the killing of hundreds of Ukrainians by units of the TCC at the hands of their own army. It turns out to be a strange paradox: when crimes are committed by a foreign government, people see the propaganda and the crime. When similar accusations concern their own state, part of society suddenly starts looking for excuses. Principles either work for everyone, or they are no longer principles, but convenient political loyalty. It seems to me that this part of Ukrainians, who even dare to call themselves patriots, has no right to condemn the Russian people.

    This reminds me of how the German people turned a blind eye to what was happening to German Jews.

    Like

  34. so Jan is now comparing Ukrainians to German people who were Nazi enablers and sympathizers?

    Like

  35. DW – the Ukrainian Elites – Zelenskyy’s fan club who are never asked to go to the front lines, who still have food, money & loved ones – are his enablers. The common Ukrainian wishes Zelenskyy was gone.

    Were elections to be held today, three key metrics suggest that Zelensky would suffer a devastating loss. 

    The most obvious is recent polling. Only 28 percent of Ukrainians say they want to see Zelensky remain president after the war. Other recent polls show that only around 21 percent of Ukrainians would vote for him in the next election—putting Zelensky just one point ahead of his rival, former Commander-in-Chief Valeriy Zaluzhny—while other polling suggests that Zelensky would lose to Zaluzhny. Meanwhile, a number of “closed polls,” those commissioned by the government for internal use only, apparently show that he would probably lose to Kyrylo Budanov, the former intelligence chief and Zelensky’s current chief of staff.

    The second metric may be even more important. Current polling shows that no candidate would win the required majority in the first round, thus necessitating a runoff round. Since he has the highest number of Ukrainians who say they would not vote for him under any circumstances, one can infer that Zelensky would be soundly defeated in this round under any scenario. A recent poll indicates that Zaluzhny would defeat him by a margin of 66 to 34 percent; Budanov would defeat him by 60 to 40 percent; and even the recently fired minister of defense, Mykhailo Fedorov, would beat him by a whopping 64 to 36 percent.

    The third metric is trust. In an ever-shifting field of hypothetical candidates, how much Ukrainians trust their candidate may be the most important question of all. And here, Zelensky does even worse. When the question is trust, Zelensky places a distant sixth.”

    https://www.theamericanconservative.com/given-the-chance-ukrainians-would-give-zelensky-the-boot/

    Here in the U.S. Zelenskky has a higher approval rating than Trump. So, the western apologists would still refer to him in Churchillian reference. Those living under him would not.

    Like

  36. how do you know that poll is not propaganda? So you believe that most Ukrainians would rather be Putin’s slaves? Those are the options.

    Like

  37. oh the link to that poll goes to pravda.com. Oh my.

    Liked by 1 person

  38. In The Iron Broom the author pointed out how everyone LOVED to receive Pravda free every day. How else could they afford to buy toilet paper, sandwich wrappers, paper towels, etc. They used it for everything they could and it never went to waste.

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  39. I’m kind of surprised by you DW, in your lack of awareness or empathy in being shown the conscription brutality (similar to Putin’s), and the stripping of rights from common Ukrainians, and yet treating such violations with nonchalance, indignant about Putin’s evilness while giving Zelensky a pass. IMO, tyranny and publicly terrorizing one’s own people deserves equal condemnation, no matter who the leader is.

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  40. So you believe that most Ukrainians would rather be Putin’s slaves?

    I believe most Ukrainians want the war to end. I believe most Ukrainians don’t want to fear being on the streets because they might be picked up by conscription goons. I think most Ukrainians want a normal life, not one being bombarded by drones and missiles. BTW, much of the billions being sent to Ukraine is unaccounted for, and certainly has not been spent on the general population, with lots of rumors circulating about graft and theft by those in Zelenskyy’s inner circle and staff.

    The American Conservative is now Pravda???

    Like

  41. If you look on the donation page for the poll you referenced as Pravda, the news paper is located in Kyiv and describes itself in the following way:

    “Everyone fights for the state as they can. The editorial board of Ukrainska Pravda (“Ukrainian Truth”) does what it does best – it searches, checks and publishes information. And this work objectively helps to change life and influence the course of events.

    Analytics shows that during the first days of the war Ukrainska Pravda was the most popular website in Ukraine after Google. Today we are being read by nearly 8 million people around the world.

    Like

  42. One final comment: the Ukrainian Constitution only says the Parliament can’t have elections during wartime. It says nothing about presidential elections restricted from happening. The reason for this is they didn’t want a sitting president to be hiding from the ballot box because of having to comply with Marshall Law requirements . So, Zelenskyy could be having elections if he wanted to.

    Like

  43. I believe most Ukrainians want the war to end.

    Then tell Putin to give them their wish and get the F out of Ukraine.

    Like

  44. don’t act surprised. Russia is the enemy here.

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  45. even if it were true that both Russia and Ukraine were equals in corruption and immorality, one of them still invaded the other.

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  46. Let’s say Jan gets her wish and Zelensky is tossed out, convicted of crimes and shot. How fast before she would turn on his replacement if they did not immediately surrender to Putin?

    Liked by 1 person

  47. I am sorry this is happening to Janzam:

    “A newly released clip shows one of Moscow’s most advanced strike drones getting picked out of the sky, in a major embarrassment for President Vladimir Putin.

    The video shows a Ukrainian military crew deploying a new 3D-printed interceptor drone to hunt down and destroy a high-speed Russian Geran-5, one of Moscow’s jet-powered attack drones.

    Built by the Ukrainian defense company Wild Hornets, the lightweight quadcopter slammed directly into the Kremlin’s prized target, another sign of how fast Kyiv is adapting to Russia’s evolving arsenal.

    Full technical specs on the Sting platform are still under wraps ahead of mass production, but early models have posted an 80- to 90-percent hit rate, a range of up to 23 miles, and a top speed above 196 miles per hour, according to the Kyiv Post.

    The shootdown marks a turning point in a rapidly escalating arms race in the skies over Ukraine. Russia upgraded its Geran drone line from slower piston engines to jet propulsion specifically to outrun Ukraine’s air defenses, but Kyiv’s cheap interceptors are closing the gap fast.

    Wild Hornets confirmed the STING S is now in active combat trials, and it has already knocked out roughly 10 jet-powered Geran-4 drones along with multiple Geran-5s.

    Much of that success comes down to a remote targeting system called Hornet Vision Ctrl, which lets Ukrainian operators connect to ground stations from secure, far-off locations and steer interceptors straight into incoming threats.

    “We expect this will allow us to quickly scale the use of the new interceptor after mass production begins and deliveries to combat units start,” the company said.

    Ukrainian forces have already used Sting-series interceptors to take down more than 11,000 Russian drones across the Shahed, Geran, and Gerbera families, including an August intercept that set an altitude record above 24,000 feet. By pitting cheap, 3D-printed drones against Moscow’s far more expensive hardware, Kyiv keeps carving out a tactical edge in the air war.”

    Like

  48. he news paper is located in Kyiv and describes itself in the following way”

    I thought there was no freedom of the press in Ukraine?

    Janzam is a mindless Putin brainwashed clown.

    Like

  49. oday we are being read by nearly 8 million people around the world.

    LOL

    Probably 7.9 million are outside Ukraine.

    Like

  50. the Ukrainian Constitution only says the Parliament can’t have elections during wartime. It says nothing about presidential elections restricted from happening”

    Wrong. More BS propaganda.

    What the Constitution REALLY says:

    Statutory Ban: Article 19 of the Law of Ukraine “On the Legal Regime of Martial Lawbans presidential, parliamentary, and local elections during martial law. Article 20 of the Electoral Code of Ukraine similarly orders the suspension of all electoral processes.

    Article 108 of the constitution states that the incumbent president keeps exercising powers until a newly elected president takes office, preventing a power vacuum.

    Like

  51. The ban on Presidential elections is during Martial Law, not during “wartime”.

    No Constitutional Changes: Article 157 of the Constitution explicitly prohibits amending the Constitution of Ukraine under conditions of martial law or a state of emergency.
    Prohibition of Elections: The legal framework—tied to constitutional provisions on the continuity of authority—prevents holding national or local elections while martial law is in effect, ensuring leadership stability during a national security crisis. For instance, Article 108 mandates that the sitting president exercises power until a newly elected successor takes office.

    Like

  52. Here is some good reading for Janzam that explains clearly why Ukraine should NOT hold elections for legal and security reasons.

    https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/ukraines-presidential-elections-amid-war-political-legal-and-security-challenges

    Like

  53. So you believe that most Ukrainians would rather be Putin’s slaves?

    Did you read Janzam’s answer?

    It was a YES!

    Like

  54. Why does Janz feel the need to continue to deluge HHR with articles that support her pretty singularly held views (among posters here) about Ukraine (and one might surmise her wish for the Russians to prevail in Ukraine)?

    Does she think she will convince all here to change their minds and come over to her way of thinking? That won’t happen.

    Even if it did, it would not make a whit if difference in what the actual eventual outcome of that war might be.

    Once a poster says their piece on. Subject, I say just move on.

    Same with the back and forth about the hung jury in the Clancy triple murder of her children case.

    Nobody is going to change anyone else’s view….

    You just wast your time.

    Liked by 1 person

  55. I think most Ukrainians want a normal life, not one being bombarded by drones and missiles. “

    I agree.

    But who is bombarding the Ukrainians with drones and missiles?

    Who has invaded their country?

    Who is committing atrocities on a daily basis?

    Like

  56. You just wast your time”

    Sniff…

    Walt loves to rub it in that he has a life.

    Cruel.

    Like

  57. This year the first year in 110 years that no hurricane has formed in the Gulf of Mexico prior to Sept. 21.

    **Does this have anything to do with “glowbull warming?”

    **Should Trump get credit for this?

    Like

  58. Also..

    **how disappointing will this be to Dems that there were no hurricanes before Sept 1?

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  59. Go Phils! Nice 8th inning to knock the Brewers down a notch.

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  60. GF – I think the Dodgers can still get the No. 1 seed so I appreciate your support of the Phillies. They are trying to chase down the Padres and Cubs for the top wild card.

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  61. Going to be tight, Brew Crew will probably sweep St. Louis, so the Phils will have to hammer them the next two games while LA has to take at least two of the three against San Diego. We just swept the Giants at LA, I think we can do it again in SF to close out the regular season.

    Like

  62. Cubs are tied with Marlins for now, though Miami just got out of a bases loaded jam in the 6th. Still, they’re playing in Chicago, I’d have to give the edge to the Cubs. Wild card is basically a three way tie with Arizona nipping at the heels for a slot, should be fun down to the wire.

    Like

  63. Diamondbacks are playing the Rockies, can probably sweep them. IF LA sweeps San Diego, they’ll close it up nicely and slug it out for a WC slot.

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  64. I was going to post that.

    The fact that there are still people who think everyone needs to be masked in a bar is scary.

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  65. with lots of rumors circulating about graft and theft by those in Zelenskyy’s inner circle and staff.

    Janzam really is a clown.

    Like

  66. I think that if somebody truly had a weak immune system (for example somebody undergoing chemo), the last place they would go is a public bar whether they were masked or not.

    Like

  67. Yep, don’t tell me brainwashing doesn’t work.

    You must assume that people remove their masks to drink or eat or smoke at the bar.

    Nobody there is protected from anything.

    Like

  68. https://nypost.com/2026/09/23/us-news/texas-lawyer-mariah-medina-called-out-by-judge-for-inappropriate-dress-in-front-of-entire-courtroom/

    Here is a major rule of practicing law. When in court, the Judge is right. Even if the Judge is wrong, the Judge is right.

    Other rule. Do not go on social media if you will ever be in front of that Judge again.

    Liked by 2 people

  69. sounds like in this case the judge is right. The jury’s attention needs to be on the evidence

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  70. DW – My wife agreed with me and the Judge. Most of my Hearings have been virtual since COVID started – not because of fear of infection but Judge’s and many attorneys were happy to work remotely. I miss the in-court Hearings and billable travel time.

    Like

  71. Like

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