New Book:

2026 House Forecast

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Republican +1218217

2026 Senate Forecast

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Close in Alaska

Alaska Senate

🟦 Mary Peltola: 50.6%
🟥 Dan Sullivan: 49.4%

Alaska Survey Research (2024 C grade for being off 5 points toward Harris)
August 20-23, 2026
N=1,495 LV’s, MOE +/-3.0%

US Senate Kansas 2026

🟦Adam Hamilton 44%
🟥Roger Marshall 43% (incumbent)
🟨David Graham 5%

GSG-D poll | 8/12-8/16 LV

TX-35

🟦Johnny Garcia 44%
🟥Carlos De La Cruz 45%

Normington, Petts & Associates poll (D) | 8/27-8/31 LV

76 responses to “Close in Alaska”

  1. I am sorry this happened to janzam and Tina.

    OSLO, Norway (AP) — Norwegian authorities seized a Russian vessel in the Arctic archipelago of Svalbard on Wednesday at the request of Ukraine’s Naftogaz as part of a global effort to enforce a $4.22 billion arbitration award.

    Naftogaz is trying to recover the multibillion-dollar arbitration award stemming from Russia’s 2014 illegal annexation of Crimea and its seizure of Ukrainian energy assets, including gas fields and pipelines.

    In 2023, an arbitration tribunal in The Hague ordered Russia to pay the $4.22 billion to the Ukrainian state-owned energy company for unlawfully seizing its assets in Crimea.”

    Btw, Putin called seizure of the ship an “act of terrorism”.

    Like

  2. Thanks for the Paxton Rally summary last night, Harry.

    Depressing to know that besides being baggage ridden and unpopular, Paxton is also a boring speaker and even worse, serves bad tacos (a no-no in Texas).

    However, hope springs eternal with your last sentence.

    “Hopefully, Paxton can inspire enough people to vote for him, or at least not vote for Talarico.”

    Like

  3. janzam and Tina might be posting light today, they are going to busy protesting at the Norwegian consulate with their “SAVE THE SHIP” posters.

    Like

  4. I read here that Hormuzzle was closed.

    Like

  5. Oil via ship through Hormuzzle is dated. It’s now via pipeline. But the freepassers fell for Iran is winning and hi muzzle is closed.

    Like

  6. I checked out the website of the KS libertarian who supposedly is at 5% (won’t happen).

    He has some really hot issues he is concerned about. Might be a contender.

    3) Make our strong national defense smarter by abolishing use of the pseudo-scientific polygraph for security clearances.

    Like

  7. But the freepassers fell for Iran is winning and hi muzzle is closed.”

    What did the tooth fairy and the Easter bunny do?

    Like

  8. LOL…Close hmmm

    It’s going to be a woke commie Dem blowout in November. Trump is over his head with Iran just as he was with Covid. Hopefully the GOP will keep the Senate.Trump is a much better cultural warrior than governing executive.

    A DeSantis presidency would have been so much better.

    Until we have chain of custody in mail in ballots, proof of ID and only citizens voting we are done as a functioning republic anyway.

    Like

  9. I hope Paxton wins. I can’t believe I am reduced to hoping for a Republican to win in Texas. Texas?!?

    Like

  10. I wouldn’t worry too much about what JeffP says.

    How is his theory that the Norwegians and the CIA blew up the Russian pipeline evolving.

    And his theory that Trump would never survive all those very credible indictments against him and that DeSantis was a lock for the nomination?

    Poor bastard has the worst case of TDS in history, it is terminal.

    Like

  11. Tina is going to be unhinged today due to the seizure of the Russian vessel.

    I will take that into account.

    Like

  12. I hope Paxton wins. I can’t believe I am reduced to hoping for a Republican to win in Texas.”

    Candidate quality matters, even in Texas.

    Paxton has provided a bunch of loaded guns to Talarico and said “shoot me”.

    Talarico may be a weirdo commie creep, but he is smart enough to take Paxton up on it.

    Like

  13. Like

  14. Anyone besides me profoundly inspired on the platform of the KS libertarian to end polygraphs for security clearances?

    Could be a game changer, Marshall should be worried.

    Like

  15. Stupid to even have foreign ownership.

    Like

  16. https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2095492316916056268

    My last post pertains to two fioreugn companies having ownership.

    Like

  17. Stupid to even have foreign ownership.

    Of what?

    Like

  18. Catch 22 in Texas. Paxton is loaded with baggage weighing him down in the GE. Cornyn doesn’t have the baggage but is viewed as a squish by the base in Texas and because of that Baris said he was a loser in the GE. Base wouldn’t turn out for him. Ridiculous that Texas is in play with a woke, communist nut on the other side of the ballot.

    Like

  19. Like

  20. Hormuzzle closed is like the weapons to sniffy are free.

    Like

  21. I’m waiting for Trump to give Israel the thumbs up to kill the scum running Iran into the ground. The Israelis are quite good at targeting individuals in high places whether it be an ayatollah, Hamas leaders or Iranian scientists. Masad is very efficient. They have shown that over and over and over. Who knows. Maybe Trump already has given the go signal..

    The two month pause Trump gave Iran was an obvious mistake with the ridiculous MOU. He was played. However, the economic squeeze he’s now putting on Iran is brilliant and the right course. Strangle their economy. At least The MOU fiasco finally convinced Trump to not play their game any longer. Unfortunately, that road takes time and it will bleed into the November elections. At this point it can’t be helped. I very much like the strategy of hitting an Iranian tanker for every commercial ship they attack in the strait. That is where they are storing their oil. They are truly running out of storage capacity. They would have already reached that point had we not lifted the blockade for seven weeks. That said, he’s doing what needs to be done to facilitate extreme economic pain which will eventually pay off I believe in the collapse of the regime. That collapse is the ONLY way to solve the Iranian problem. It’s clear they can’t be trusted even if they signed an agreement. We tried that.

    Like

  22. NEW HAMPSHIRE – Senate

    🟥 Sununu: 37%
    🟦 Pappas: 36%

    Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
    8/27-8/30 |600 LV

    Like

  23. ”RIP, Gloria Steinem.”

    I hate to say it, but good riddance, she permanently damaged a lot of women. Christian Bale will be relieved, though, she was an awful stepmother.

    Like

  24. Hormuzzle closed (not said at HHR) is like the weapons to sniffy (no evidence of drug use by Zelensky) are free (Weapons slated for destruction but sent to Ukraine instead).

    Like

  25. You can rearrange the letters of both “William Lawrence” and “James Talirico” and i both cases spell

    “NUTTY AS A FRUIT CAKE”

    Liked by 1 person

  26. I had a repairman come by yesterday to fix my dryer. Got to talk to him a bit. Turned out he was from the Ukraine, and we had a very interesting conversation. His family is still in the Ukraine and living right in the war zone. Putin is an absolute war criminal…..and idiots like Tucker are delusional.

    Liked by 1 person

  27. Gloria Steinem….

    …immortalized by that classic rock song

    G-L-O-R-I-A

    Like

  28. https://nypost.com/2026/09/03/us-news/15-colleges-now-cost-100k-per-year-and-almost-none-of-them-are-worth-it/

    Retired Poster Hellbelly’s son attended #15 Haverford.

    Haverford is a very small school a few miles from my house. I think it is or was affiliated with Quakers.

    Like

  29. A poll that misses 27% of the electorate is BS.

    However I will take BS with Sununu ahead.

    Like

  30. I left my HEART in San Francisco…

    Georgia on my MIND…

    Got my TOES in the water, ASS in the sand…

    Cold SHOILDER in Chicago

    EYES of a New York Woman (BJ Thomas)…

    HANDS over Mississippi ((Ted Nugent)

    BACK to Chicago ((Styx)

    BACK in the USA

    Ocean Eyes(Billie Eilish)

    Like

  31. I agree jason, normally Fabrizio would do better than putting out a poll with so many undecided…but this was a full ballot poll, and they had these as well:

    Lopez 1%
    Harris 1%
    Day 1%

    But that doesn’t explain what everyone else thinks.

    Even so, that is TWO New Hampshire polls in a row with Sununu in the lead.

    Like

  32. Give my STOMACH to Milwaukee if they run out of beer

    Like

  33. I said earlier that Tucker was delusional. I should have said insane.

    Like

  34. Give my SPLEEN to Abilene

    Give my LIVER to Riverside,. CA

    Give my ears to Iroquois

    Give my BALLS to Souix Falls…

    Ok, I’ll stop.

    Like

  35. Like

  36. LOOKING BEYOND THE NOVEMBER ELECTION…

    IF… the whackjob D and D socialists candidates do NOT DO WELL in November, what will the D party do going foreword?

    –nominate even more whacked out, anti American candidates?

    –purge themselves of the whack jobs and decide to not have such a big tent.

    –make no change to their whackadoodle internal primary and D rules system.

    –take it to the streets.

    Like

  37. Et tu, Reuters?

    The mullahs have lost Reuters, luckily they have plenty of other propaganda outlets.

    DUBAI, Sept 3 (Reuters) – A U.S. campaign to throttle Iran’s economy by blockading its oil exports and stopping sanctions evasion is growing increasingly difficult to withstand, three senior Iranian sources said.

    Washington has in recent weeks sought to ratchet up the economic pressure on Tehran, in an effort to extract concessions in any future negotiation that six months ‌of conflict have so far failed to secure.

    Although Iran’s clerical rulers managed to bypass sanctions for decades, the latest U.S. moves have left them in a far more sensitive position, with few remaining ‌channels to secure foreign currency or buy goods, the sources said.

    In particular, the effort to stop Iran accessing international financing networks in other countries it has long used to keep its economy functioning poses a real and urgent threat, the sources said.

    Any sign the economic campaign may ​break a months-long deadlock in the conflict will likely cheer U.S. planners, though Iran has also warned it could respond to the pressure with military escalation, raising the stakes at a key moment.

    PETROL STOCKS LOW AS CURRENCY COLLAPSES

    The war has erupted back into open fighting this week, with U.S. attacks along Iran’s Gulf coast prompting retaliatory Iranian strikes at U.S. bases in Arab states.

    Neither side has signalled yet it is ready to make the concessions demanded by the other, leaving the war in a costly stalemate – though one that may be shifting.More in Worl

    While more energy is flowing to international markets through the Strait of Hormuz despite Iranian efforts to continue disrupting the seaway, the U.S. blockade of Iranian oil exports has ‌entirely cut off Tehran’s main source of revenue.

    Adding to Iran’s problems, the economy ⁠was already deep in crisis before the conflict, with a cratering currency and spiralling inflation, while months of bombing have run up a massive bill to rebuild damaged industry and infrastructure.

    Meanwhile, the country’s financial squeeze is itself biting into Tehran’s efforts to get around the sanctions regime, leaving less cash to pay the high premiums required to skirt ⁠sanctions illicitly, the sources said.

    The rial has fallen to record lows over recent days and one senior source said Iran only has another two months’ supply of gasoline, which has to be imported despite domestic oil production because of limited refining capacity.

    “They are under very, very severe economic pressure. They’re losing control ​of ​the Straits. It’s really a question of if they choose to negotiate and I think they’ll have to,” said Ali Ansari, ​modern history professor at St Andrews University in Scotland.

    The war is also entering a new ‌phase, with each side trying to influence each other’s politics.

    Iran hopes the threat of inflation will deter the U.S. administration before midterm elections in November, while Washington aims to push Iranians to revolt, a senior Iranian official said.

    BLOCKADE AND SECONDARY SANCTIONS SQUEEZING TEHRAN

    The latest U.S. measures expanded secondary sanctions that target countries doing business with Iran in a bid to stop it clearing dollar transactions needed for both oil sales and to finance crucial imports of goods and raw materials.

    That effort is making Iran’s existing sanctions evasion networks – front companies, unregistered tankers and smuggling – too expensive to use, the three senior sources said.

    Iranian crude loadings have fallen this month to about 260,000 barrels a day, from about 1.7 million a year earlier, according to data from commodity analytics firm Kpler, with only a trickle still moving off terminals for distribution by truck, train or smaller boats over the Caspian Sea.

    Tehran says it ‌still has tens of millions of barrels stored in tankers outside the blockade zone that it can sell, but the new ​sanctions mean intermediaries are stepping back or demanding more money, one of the officials said.

    Total trade has fallen between 25% and 35%, ​with imports hit harder than exports, President Masoud Pezeshkian has said, one of several top officials warning ​in recent weeks about Iran’s rapidly deteriorating situation.

    U.S. pressure and Iran’s own attacks have meanwhile disrupted one of the main conduits for Iranian trade – the United Arab Emirates, which said ‌on August 19 that all commercial exchange and financial dealings with Tehran were halted ​until further notice.

    “If those channels stay closed, a supplier wants ​cash, a deal is routed through another country and a shipment arrives later and dearer,” said an Iranian trader in Tehran who deals in imported goods.

    The currency has collapsed in value from around 1 million rials to the dollar a year ago to over 2.2 million rials now.

    The internal impact is very painful. Official figures put 12-month average inflation at 69.9% with food, beverages and tobacco prices rising at ​nearly twice that rate.

    Official unemployment rose to 9.1% in the spring, while the ‌number of those in work fell by about 450,000 from a year earlier amid a wider fall in labour force participation.

    Even for those still in work, the average monthly salary of around $125 ​a month comes nowhere near meeting basic household spending requirements that come to around $450 a month according to official data.

    “We are getting poorer every day,” said Mahnaz, a 34-year-old private-sector employee in ​Tehran who asked that her family name not be used.

    Like

  38. Will the Ds become less emotional and more rational in foreign policy beliefs and attitudes regarding domestic policy? Or will they retain totally anti American values, anti Jewish/pro Mooselimb, radical sexuality there are no genders, anti Christian religion, anti capitalism, anti rule of law, etc. trajectory?

    Will they adopt a more cooperative approach to work WITH Rs for the good of thebcointry, or stick with slash and burn, fight Rs on everything and in all ways-legal and illegal?

    CAN the Ds ditch their radical agenda toward all things radical?

    Like

  39. Those are stark numbers. Oil sales down 80%, almost 10% unemployment, 70% inflation, 140% food inflation, average wages 25% of minimum requirements, currency lost 60% of value.

    But Iran is still winning according to most of the MSM and the Democrats, or do I repeat myself.

    Like

  40. Or, rock ribbed believing in radicalism and their prime believe that stirring the emotions of voters is the way to win elections and thst the bigger the government and the higher the taxes and that bigger government hanfouts are great, will the D party just double down and find more ways to rile up the emotions of the American voter?

    Like

  41. Will the Ds become less emotional and more rational in foreign policy beliefs and attitudes regarding domestic policy? Or will they retain totally anti American values, anti Jewish/pro Mooselimb, radical sexuality there are no genders, anti Christian religion, anti capitalism, anti rule of law, etc. trajector?

    No to the first, yes to the second.

    This genie is not going back into the bottle. Hard core marxists do not “moderate” views because of elections.

    The future is a populist party (R) against a Marxist party (D).

    That replaces conservatives (R) against liberals (D) as we knew it.

    Like

  42. Punchbowl News: Hakeem Jeffries said he spoke with Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D-WA) after she voted for the GOP rule. Jeffries said they had a “productive forward-looking conversation” and called her “an important member of the House Democratic Caucus.”

    In other words, Jeffries is still kicked out of the Democratic Party Big Tent, as it is ruled by the DSA and whacky candidates.

    Like

  43. Wow. That Reuters article is brutal. Iran really has lost Reuters. Never thought I’d see that. Things in Iran must really be awful.

    Good.

    Like

  44. so at least that gives Trump the angle that we are winning, and doing so without boots on the ground that would result in huge American casualties.

    Like

  45. Like

  46. I am so sorry this is happening to Tina and Janzam.

    Someone do a quick welfare check on them.

    Vladimir Putin’s subjects (including Tina and Janzam) have had a dreadful summer, and it’s all thanks to him.

    Ukraine flipped the focus back onto the invader after four and a half years of war on its territory.

    The Ukrainians are terrorizing Russia with drones and helping to paralyze its economy through sabotage and targeted bombings. Millions of Russians are facing both the threat of death and long lines for gas.

    Putin is now on the back foot at home, where he is becoming increasingly insular and paranoid, as well as abroad, where the death toll has soared past half a million.

    Ukraine’s onslaught of drone attacks has become a tsunami. Analysis conducted by the Associated Press using Russian figures shows that the military was forced to intercept 43,000 drones over annexed Crimea in the last three months alone. In all of last year, that number was just 7,700.

    Ukraine’s drones have targeted an array of critical infrastructure nodes; attacks on Russia’s oil refineries have been particularly damaging. Oil and gas are the spine of the Russian economy, and refineries turn its vast fossil fuel reserves into exports sold worldwide.

    Ukraine sees Russia’s oil industry at the heart of the war: gas is either sold abroad to finance the war, or it ends up directly in the Kremlin’s tanks.

    The crisis has forced Russia—a titan of the global oil trade—to seek help from abroad. Kazakh Energy Minister Yerlan Akkenzhenov said last week that Kazakhstan had begun importing Russian crude oil, which it would then refine before returning 70 percent to Russia, Radio Free Europe reports.

    Meanwhile, rumors have spread that after the elections, the government plans another mass mobilization.

    The move to drag hundreds of thousands of additional fighting-age men into the Ukrainian meat grinder would be hugely unpopular, and hard to do. The Conversation estimates that around 700,000 potential recruits have already fled the country.

    Western officials now estimate that Russia is losing around 6,000 troops per week. Whether Moscow can keep up with that demand remains to be seen.

    For Russians, quality of life may be about to get worse after Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky issued a chilling warning: close Russia’s airspace to commercial planes.

    “Although the Russian authorities are not properly informing people about this, Russian airspace will effectively be closing—the war started by Russia is closing its skies,” he said. “For now, the skies over Russia are for drones—not for civilian aviation.”

    Like

  47. Faces with all that, maybe Janzam can go to fake news Gateway Pundit for another story on Zelensky’s yacht.

    Like

  48. LOL

    Putin is experiencing Karma big time. What a dunce. Worse, he keeps digging. What the hell is he thinking?

    Like

  49. Putin’s war in Ukraine has turned out to be his Vietnam —- ten times over!

    Like

  50. Outside of nuking Ukraine, how in the world does he expect to win militarily?

    Like

  51. This is similar to when the Persian king Xerxes decided to start a senseless war with Greece, and the invasion was initially successful, Athens was destroyed along with the old Parthenon, but then the invasion stalled out and the Persians had to withdraw.

    It left the Greeks very embittered, and years later they exacted revenge when Alexander the Great wiped out the entire Persian empire in just three years. No word on whether or not Alex had a Yacht.

    Like

  52. He can’t nuke Ukraine after claiming that everyone there is Russian and wants to be part of Russia.

    Plus the fallout would affect Russia and Russian held areas too.

    Before this started Crimea was a done deal. Now it is back on the table. Half a million Russians have died.

    Russia has gained another 10% of Ukrainian territory in addition to the 10% they already had. Not a lot to show for.

    Like

  53. But there is no doubt that the US investment in Ukraine allowed them to survive the initial onslaught. Whether it was $100 billion or $200 billion, that was money well spent despite the whining about “audit” and “fraud” by the Putinistas.

    I guess that is why Putin toadies like Tina and Janzam hated the aid packages so much. They worked!

    Like

  54. estimates that around 700,000 potential recruits have already fled the country.”

    Meanwhile, Janzam is posting propaganda about Ukraine’s “conscription” issues.

    Like

  55. Putin’s war in Ukraine has turned out to be his Vietnam —- ten times over!”

    6000 casualties a week.

    The worse week of the Vietnam War for the US was the TET offensive when 500 Americans were killed and 2500 wounded.

    For the entire war, the average American KIA rate was 57 a week.

    Like

  56. Like

  57. But Iran is winning.

    Said by nobody at HHR. Why does Tina even post here anymore? She doesn’t even follow the discussions.

    Like

  58. Tina, I can help you out. I can set up a filter so that each time you type “freepassers,” the site will automatically flip it to “freepassers at RRH Elections” so that whatever you say the freepassers said will actually align with someone who said it.

    Like

  59. This obese slob is comparing Iran to Vietnam.

    Like

  60. Tina’s free passers reference is no more off-putting than those of you who have fun bringing up mocking comments about cultists,Putin Toadies,”Yacht references” etc. I think if you want to have fair play in posts then play fair yourselves.

    Like

  61. John Solomon

    @jsolomonReports

    ·

    As a Stanford researcher,

    @DrJBhattacharya

    got in trouble for showing COVID had spread much further than authorities claimed. Yet a Pfizer board member was privately estimating spread so high that herd immunity would beat vaccines.

    Like

  62. “Holy Bouncy Boiler Plate Batman!”

    The defense attorney for Lindsay Clancy just told the court that just one juror is keeping from Clancy and a NGRI (not guilty by reason of insanity) verdict.

    And not only that, but asked that this one juror be removed and replaced because they can’t follow the Commonwealth of Massachusetts legal definition of what it means be beyond a reasonable doubt.

    And of course, the judge sent the jurors back in for deliberations.

    Like

  63. Jan – YOU posted the false yacht story. You and Tina continually criticize Zelensky for defending Ukraine but also minimize or ignore Putin’s war crimes and corruption.

    Tina literally makes up things nobody said so she can argue with posters who don’t exist.

    Like

  64. Do students who are studying to be lawyers ever have a beauty contest where they select Miss Trial?

    Like

  65. I wanted to make one more comment about yesterday’s bombshell Harvard-Harris generic ballot poll. This is a real pollster with a real track record. It’s not some fly by night org being run by one person out of a basement. By my count there are only 11 pollsters who have done regular generic ballot polling in at least three out of the last four cycles. Harvard-Harris is one of those eleven. In 2024 they skewed 4.7 points to the Dems. In 2022, they were 3.2 skewed in favor of the GOP, while in 2018 they were 0.6 skewed to the Dems…essentially spot on. Compared to the other 10 pollsters who regularly do this, they ranked sixth for accuracy with a slight lean to the Democrats.

    Like

  66. The defense attorney for Lindsay Clancy just told the court that just one juror is keeping from Clancy and a NGRI (not guilty by reason of insanity) verdict.

    That lawyer should be asked how he knows that by the Judge. Jury deliberations are supposed to be secret. If that lawyer contacted court staff or a member of the jury, the lawyer should be suspended or disbarred. I don’t know why this jury is not sequestered.

    Like

  67. had the same thought bitter, but of course couldn’t articulate how to say it like you did. But I recall once when I was a juror, the prosecutor said something about the defendant’s past that was not related to the case and the judge immediately stopped him, called him up to the bench and grilled him for a couple of minutes, very angry, and then sent him back and told us that what we heard could not be used in our deliberations. So yeah, I doubt this attorney has access to info in the jury room and if he did, would be stupid to tell the judge.

    Like

  68. According to “experts” it was revealed in the note that had the judge in ‘sidebar’ conversations with both councils right before they wheeled up Clancy to the judge.

    Like

  69. “Do students who are studying to be lawyers ever have a beauty contest where they select Miss Trial?”

    Walt, did SSQ put you up to that? 😉

    Like

  70. JG – IF the jury informed the Judge of the status of deliberations, that would be different. I don’t know Massachusetts law but I suspect you can’t ask a judge to remove a specific juror to get the result you want. The prosecutor can probably ask for a mistrial based on that request.

    Like

  71. now the sort of generic ballot silliness that goes on is represented by a poll that just dropped from UMASS/YouGov. They sampled 1000 Adults. Not even Registered voters. And they got Dems at 42, the GOP at 34. Absolutely worthless trash. What about the other 24%?

    Like

  72. Duh, Johnny. Lombardo is cooperating with Ice and it’s not noticeable when there is such cooperation.

    Like

  73. Like

  74. Violent Storm Inflicts Catastrophic Damage At Toronto’s Rogers Stadium — Photos & Videos Are ShockingFull story in comments. 👇

    Canada better learn bot to mess with Trump.

    I hear it was a cruise missile….

    Like

  75. https://www.dailymail.com/crime-desk/article-16102259/lindsay-clancy-tuey-rodriguez-instruction-trial-jury-husband-live-updates.html

    Here is the story. Interesting that the prosecution agrees that the Defendant is mentally ill but knew what she was doing was wrong. I think Jason left out the “mentally ill” part in his comments.

    The issue is that the jury must be unanimous. 11/12 isn’t enough.

    Like

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