The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Republican +1218217

2026 Senate Forecast

IATXMEOHAKMINHMNNCGA
Gap+3.5+2.0+1.0+1.0+1.0+1.8+2.0+5.0+6.0+6.5
Count48495051494847464544

Lots of Dem Internal polls

DW

Michigan Governor 2026

(Likely voters)
🟦Jocelyn Benson 52%
🟥John James 43%

US Senate Michigan 2026

🟦Abdul El-Sayed 50%
🟥Mike Rogers 45%

MSU/YouGov (C- 5.5 skew in 2024) | 8/10-8/20

SC SENATE POLL

🟦 Annie Andrews: 42%
🟥 Darline Graham: 39%
🟨 Kasie Whitener: 6%
⬜️ Not sure: 13%

Impact Research-D (Andrews internal) | 8/14-22 | 900 LV

US Senate New Mexico 2026

🟦Ben Ray Luján 53% (incumbent)
🟥Larry Marker 38%

Research & Polling poll | 8/21-8/28 LV

FL-13 POLL For @HouseMajPAC (Dem)

Full field
🟦 Leela Gray: 44%
🟥 Anna Paulina Luna (i): 43%
🟨 Tony D’Arrigo: 7%

Hart Research-D | 8/25-27

10 responses to “Lots of Dem Internal polls”

  1. DW Avatar
    DW

    and remember that today is the day that a new polling firm is supposed to drop a Texas poll, and they were bragging about the results they were going to show even before finishing the poll, so it’s going to be open gaslighting, probably Talarico up 10 would be my guess

    Like

  2. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Six R deadenders were trying the give Dems a big win on the rules vote.

    Rs were saved from a big embarrassment by 2 Dems.

    The Dems are not happy.

    Pass the popcorn…and screw the GOP deadenders

    Democrats shocked after 2 members cross aisle to help Republicans

    Speaker Mike Johnson nearly lost control of the House floor — again — because of a group of disgruntled conservatives.

    Then a pair of Democrats stepped in to help.

    Two centrist Democrats, Reps. Jared Golden of Maine and Marie Gluesenkamp Perez of Washington, took the unusual step Tuesday of rescuing GOP leaders’ own agenda in the face of a conservative rebellion.

    Those Democrats backed a key GOP procedural vote that needed to succeed for Republicans to later bring several bills to the floor.

    The reason? It helped pave the way for a priority bill for Golden supporting lobstermen, according to two people familiar with the discussion. The bill already has White House support, and Golden and others hope it can become law this year.

    But their vote also allowed Johnson to proceed with messaging votes that Democrats oppose, including a resolution to condemn socialism that Republicans hope to use against Democrats on the campaign trail.

    The defection of those two Democrats quickly enraged members of their own party — including some party leaders, who were shocked by the two members’ votes, several people told CNN.

    Asked whether he’s disappointed in those members, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries told reporters: “The two Democrats who voted for the rule did not give any member of House Democratic leadership a heads-up, and as a result, blindsided the entire caucus and created a significant breach of trust.

    Jeffries said it’s “under discussion” whether the two lawmakers will face repercussions.”

    Like

  3. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), who was known for her iron-fisted leadership while in power, expressed surprise that a rule was allowed to fail.

    • “Voting for the rule is something that I, as Speaker, we never — we didn’t even consider that anybody would do that,” she told reporters.

    Awwww…

    Like

  4. DW Avatar
    DW

    Jeffries is desperate to appear tough in his flailing attempt at regaining control of the party.

    Like

  5. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Tne MSM is in a tizzy.

    The Hill: “2 Dems, in highly unusual move cross the aisle to save GOP…”

    Axios: “House Dems left reeling…..”

    Politico ” 2 House Dems vote to salvage GOP agenda”

    CNN: Dems Shocked after 2 Dems cross aisle..”

    Bloomberg; Two Dems Spare Speaker Johnson…

    Like

  6. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    The Dems also screwed the GOP deadenders.

    Win-win

    The conservatives who voted against the rule did so to protest a measure not included in it, the Senate-crafted continuing resolution (CR) to fund the government through Dec. 11, which contains provisions a number of House conservatives opposed. But the CR passed under suspension of the rules, depriving them of the opportunity to block it.

    Harris, Higgins, Norman, Roy and Sessions were the GOP holdouts.

    Granstanded for nothing.

    Like

  7. DW Avatar
    DW

    I am never one for failing to admit when I was wrong. I thought this new pollster was going to gaslight the Texas senate race. Still not a lead for Paxton, but certainly a path for him to win, given the context:

    Overton Insights poll | 8/24-8/26 LV US Senate Texas 2026

    🟦James Talarico 44.0%
    🟥Ken Paxton 43.4%

    ——

    Leaners pushed

    🟥Ken Paxton 50.0%
    🟦James Talarico 50.0%

    Like

  8. DW Avatar
    DW

    GOVERNOR

    🟥 Abbott (i): 46.9%
    🟦 Hinojosa: 45.8%

    With leans

    🟥 Abbott (i): 51.2%
    🟦 Hinojosa: 48.8%

    Like

  9. DW Avatar
    DW

    And I greatly doubt that Abbott is only barely ahead.

    Like

  10. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    The freepassers assured us that talrico was well ahead.

    Like

Leave a comment