The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Republican +3219216

2026 Senate Forecast

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Gap+3.0+2.5+2.0+1.5+1.0+1.0+3.3+6.0+7.0+8.5
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Flurry of New Polls

DW

TEXAS POLL By Emerson

SENATE
🟥 Ken Paxton: 47%
🟦 James Talarico: 46%
🟨 Other: 2%
—
GOVERNOR
🟥 Greg Abbott (i): 49%
🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 45%
🟨 Other: 3%
——

8/9-10 | LV

MAINE POLL By Fox News

Governor
🟦 Pingree: 49%
🟥 Charles: 38%
🟨 Bennett: 9%
——
Senate
🟦 Jackson: 48%
🟥 Collins (i): 46%

8/6-10, RV

MONTANA SENATE POLL

🟥 Kurt Alme: 45%
🟨 Seth Bodnar: 30%
🟦 Alani Bankhead: 15%
🟪 Kyle Austin: 6%

Hart Research | 8/1-4 | 800 LV

KANSAS POLL – Senate

🟥 Roger Marshall (i): 46%
🟦 Adam Hamilton: 45%
⬜️ Not sure: 5%
——
PPP-D for @MajorityPAC (Dem)
8/6-8

OHIO POLL – (Dem) internal

Senate
🟦 Sherrod Brown: 47%
🟥 Jon Husted (I): 43%
🟨 B. Redpath: 4%
——
Governor
🟦 Amy Acton: 46%
🟥 V. Ramaswamy: 44%
🟨 D. Kissick: 5%

Tulchin Research; 7/29-8/4; 600 LV

OH-07 POLL For pro-Pointdexter Group

🟦 Poindexter: 43%
🟥 Miller (inc): 35%
—
Senate
🟦 Brown: 46%
🟥 Husted (i): 43%
—
Governor
🟦 Acton: 44%
🟥 Vivek: 44%
——
The Next 50; 8/7-10; 866 LV

Alaska’s At-Large Congressional District for pro-Hill group

🟥 Nick Begich (i): 46%
⬜️ Bill Hill: 42%

GBAO-D; 8/3-5; 500 LV

21 responses to “Flurry of New Polls”

  1. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    First

    Like

  2. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Welcome to Lupi Llama.

    Like

  3. DW Avatar
    DW

    From Yesterday’s Elon University poll of NC showing Cooper way up:

    “Among voters who have heard a great deal about Whatley, the ballot is a 45%-45% tie, and among those who have heard some, Whatley leads 49% to 46%. Cooper’s overall margin is built on voters who know little or nothing about his opponent.”

    Like

  4. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    https://nypost.com/2026/08/12/us-news/scientists-discover-new-demon-cavefish-in-highly-studied-alabama-cave/

    The demon cavefish? Seems a bit ominous.

    Like

  5. DW Avatar
    DW

    Dem running for Texas Governor admits she’s losing:

    TEXAS GOV POLL – Hinojosa (Dem) internal

    🟥 Greg Abbott (i): 49%
    🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 48%

    GBAO-D | 8/4-9 | 1,000 LV

    Like

  6. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    S&P 500 rises to record after more encouraging inflation data

    Like

  7. DW Avatar
    DW

    okay, this is beyond absurd. Emerson’s Texas poll included a subset of 8 respondents who identify as non-binary, and surprise surprise they are all for the equally insane fruitcake Talarico:

    TX Senate crosstabs (Non-binary voters only)

    Senate

    🟦 James Talarico: 100%
    🟥 Ken Paxton: 0%

    —— Governor
    🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 87%
    🟥 Greg Abbott: 0%
    ⬜️ Not sure: 1%

    Emerson | n=8 LV | 8/9-10

    Like

  8. DW Avatar
    DW

    Have you ever seen a picture of Talarico in short sleeves? They guy literally has no arm muscles. Just skin wrapped around his bones. One of Bitter’s girl’s softball players could best him in an arm wrestle.

    Like

  9. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Damm, that IS a dead ringer for Lupita.

    Well done.

    Liked by 1 person

  10. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Has Tina moved to deport the piranhas yet?

    Stay tuned.

    “According to WGAL-TV in Lancaster, 8-year-old Seamus Coffey and his dad, Michael, were fishing at Ridley Park Lake when the youngster hooked a fish the pair assumed was a bass or a bluegill.

    But once it got to land, they learned the truth. The fish was a piranha — a freshwater fish native to South American rivers, floodplains, and lakes, that, thanks to the movies, is famous for their razor-sharp teeth and powerful jaws.”

    Like

  11. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    She was not insane

    Damn. Not only is Jason a lawyer. Now he is a psychiatrist”

    Damm, Bitter is so anxious to give this murderer a free pass while three small children suffered a horrible death that he even refutes the findings of the psychiatrist who treated her.

    That is really dedication to the new woke mantra that no one is really responsible for their actions.

    “A psychiatrist explained in court why she did not diagnose Lindsay Clancy with postpartum psychosis in the weeks leading up to the deaths of her three children.

    Goodheart testified that she considered Clancy to be a “low-risk” patient when she was admitted. Clancy told her she was experiencing insomnia and numbness, which she attributed to possible side effects from her prescribed medication. She also reported having suicidal thoughts but Goodheart said her patient did not have a plan to act on them.

    “I had no reason to believe she was not a reliable reporter,” Goodheart testified.

    Goodheart’s initial diagnosis was “major depressive disorder, severe without psychotic features,” she told the court. As the days passed, Goodheart said Clancy reported sleeping well and appeared to be improving. She also described Clancy as cooperative, noting that a plan was in place to gradually lower her medication dosage.

    It was ultimately determined that Clancy could be discharged on Jan. 5, 2023, as long as she attended a psychiatric follow-up appointment the next day. “I did not have any concerns about her safety or a risk for anybody else,” Goodheart testified. She also said that Clancy showed no signs of psychosis during her treatment and had no prior diagnosis of the condition.

    During cross-examination, defense attorney Kevin Reddington questioned Goodheart about Clancy’s prior treatment records and medication she was taking. Goodheart said Clancy was not asked to sign a release for her records and that an initial blood test did not identify which medications were in her system.

    “Psychiatry is not based on blood tests, it’s based on the patient who is sitting in front of you,” Goodheart testified.

    Like

  12. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    People who did not think this murderer was insane:

    Her husband

    Her co-workers

    Her relatives

    Her friends

    Her psychiatrist

    People who believe she was insane

    Her lawyer

    Bitter

    Like

  13. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Let me fix that

    Her lawyer doesn’t really believe she is insane either.

    So that leaves Bitter.

    Like

  14. DW Avatar
    DW

    Inside Elections, run by the guy who took over for Toupee Rothenberg, I think his name is Gonzales, has a much more restrained expectation for this fall, not going all in on a huge blue wave like so many others:

    Inside Elections 2026 Forecast

    US Senate

    🟥 Republicans: 52
    🟦 Democrats: 47

    ——

    US House

    🟦 Democrats: 210
    🟥 Republicans: 206
    🟨 Toss-ups: 19

    —— Senate Ratings

    🟨 Michigan: Toss-up
    🟥 Alaska: Lean R
    🟥 Texas: Lean R
    🟫 Maine: Tilt R
    🟫 Ohio: Tilt R
    🟫 Iowa: Tilt R
    🟦 North Carolina: Tilt D
    🟦 Georgia: Tilt D
    🟦 New Hampshire: Tilt D

    Like

  15. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Everyone is just SO concerned about this poor woman, victim of a uncaring society, who just HAD to strangle her little kids, what else could she do?

    The children themselves, whose lives were cruelly cut short by their own mother? Ignore them, focus on giving their murdering mother a free pass. In Bitter’s world and the society we now live in, f–k’em.

    Like

  16. DW Avatar
    DW

    What Gonzales seems to be surprising me the most with is GA and NH both tilt T and not lean D. I completely agree on NC being tilt as once the electorate gets to know Whatley more, that gap will close in a hurry. Not sure if by enough, but its not going to be a blowout.

    Like

  17. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    So that leaves Bitter.

    I don’t know if she was insane or not. I am open to the possibility of proven in court.

    Meanwhile, Jason is a cheerleader for a man who shot his wife as a “mercy killing.”

    Like

  18. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    My niece had a psychiatrist. She had a job. She had a boyfriend. Nobody thought she was insane. Then she tied the belt from a bathrobe around her neck, went into her bedroom closet and hanged herself.

    I think killing yourself is not the act of a sane person. I will wait for Dr. Jason to render his opinion.

    Like

  19. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    I’m still waiting to see if Jason, who is tough on all crimes except murdering Alzheimer’s patients, agrees with me that drunk drivers who kill people should be convicted of first degree murder and spend life in prison.

    Like

  20. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    https://nypost.com/2026/08/13/us-news/jamie-komoroskis-dads-astonishing-words-of-sympathy-in-jailhouse-call/

    Jason probably thinks the drunk driving killer who murdered a bride on her wedding day is being unfairly targeted for having a good time.

    Like

  21. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    How about we put the killer mom, 91 year old killer husband, and drunk driving killer in the same cell for the rest of their lives?

    Deal?

    If you agree, we can then suspend the killer husband’s sentence.

    Like

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