The Hedgehog Report – Phoenix Edition

HHR lives! Sort of.

New Book:

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Republican +5220215

2026 Senate Forecast

METXAKIAMIOHNHNCMNGA
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Count48495051525347464544

Hope for CA-22?

DW

Republicans figure on being left with only four seats in California. The one expected to be the closest that they fail to get is CA-22. But a Dem polling firm poll for a Dem political action group just produced results closer than I would have expected:

CA-22 POLL For @HouseMajPAC (Dem)

🟦 Randy Villegas: 48%
🟥 David Valadao: 44%
——
Net Favs:

  • Randy Villegas: +9
  • Rep. Valadao: -6
  • Pres. Trump: -15

Tulchin Research | 800 LV | 6/15-21

Another poll of the Montana Senate Race:

🟥 Kurt Alme: 45%
🟦 Alani Bankhead: 30%
🟨 Seth Bodnar: 15%
——
H2H
🟥 Kurt Alme: 49%
🟦 Alani Bankhead: 46%

🟥 Kurt Alme: 50%
🟨 Seth Bodnar: 43%

Commissioned by @NRSC (R)

30 responses to “Hope for CA-22?”

  1. DW Avatar
    DW

    Cash on Hand as of June 30 (latest FEC filings):

    🔴 MAGA Inc: $400M

    🔴 RNC: $128.5M

    🔴 NRSC: $55.9M

    🔴 NRCC: $92.7M

    ——

    🔵 DNC: $16.3M ($18.5M in debt)

    🔵 DSCC: $41M

    🔵 DCCC: $79M

    —— Total

    🟥 Republicans: $677M

    🟦 Democrats: $136M

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    https://nypost.com/2026/07/21/world-news/sgt-michael-emmanuel-swinton-idd-as-third-us-soldier-killed-near-iran/

    I read these stories because they deserve to be remembered. Even though casualties have been thankfully low, every one matters.

    Liked by 3 people

  3. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    fetterman to become an r?

    Like

  4. txphil1 Avatar
    txphil1

    He won’t, Tina. Just be glad he’s a sane Democrat. Those seem to be in short supply. He’s possibly the ONLY one left.

    Liked by 1 person

  5. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    Sad story about Sgt. Swinton. We can pray for him and his family.

    Liked by 1 person

  6. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    https://x.com/kyledcheney/status/2079578592283914635

    A Marxist judge erred here?

    Like

  7. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    Starting a company called Supreme Ice Cream. Only sell one size: Supreme Quart”Taste it–you be the judge”

    Like

  8. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    SECOND PART SUPREME ICE CREAM CO. ideaOnly selling Supreme Quarts…

    ***************************

    ●”unanimous DECISION: it’s delicious!”

    ● “Supreme is supreme! You’ll get no BAIL IFF you disagree”

    ●”All 9 of us from the vanilla white to the nutty left, agree on Supreme Quart ice cream”

    ●”Get Supreme quart ice cream. We will not be HEARING any ARGUEMENTS to the contrary.”

    ● “the Supreme Quarts are rated higher than our competitor, the Superior quarts”

    ●”Supreme Quart ice cream–never run OUT OF–ORDER today”

    ●”Social Democrats hate the Supreme Quart and want to abolist it. Don’t be like them”

    ●”What is the best flavor of ice cream to put on your BANANA? SPLIT DECISION. The majority favor neopolitan where while, black and red flavors can coexist peacefully while the left judges favor rocky road”

    ●”The Supreme Quart–supporting your constitutional RIGHTS to have and eat the best ice cream possible”

    ●”Don’t make us hold you in CONTEMPT–buy the Supreme Quart”

    ***************

    If Trump as president can sell prrsidential watches while being president then let’s let the U.S Supreme Court start this business a d the profits could help fund the court system…

    Like

  9. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    AND now to come up with a commercial venture to cover the governmental operational costs of ICE……

    make and market and sell ICE cream!

    A brand of cream called ‘ICE’…

    ***********

    ●”All patriotic Americans love ICEcream” (?)

    ●”You will like ICEcream–unless you have liberal tastes”

    ●”even illegal aliens love ICEcream” (?)

    ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

    I think this will be harder to sell than the Supreme Quart Ice Cream…

    Like

  10. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    And what about starting another new CANDY company called PRESIDENTIAL?

    We could make a new box of candy called “Mail In Ballots”.

    In the box of “Presidental Mail In Ballots” would be lots of tasty little candies in the shape of chad’s and hanging chads.

    The outside of the box would be covered with a replica of a REAL ballot used in U.S. elections.

    *******

    ●”You can get Mail In Ballots all year long–not just at election time”

    ●”Everyone can get Mail In Ballots!–kids, felons, people in prison, illegal aliens and other alien residents, get them even if you are dead!”

    ●”Flood the workplace, the schools the court houses with Mail In Ballots”

    ●”Get as many Mail In Ballots as you want. Heck, get them by the case!”

    ●”Presidential Mail In Ballots are so satisfying!”

    Like

  11. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Fetterman is 98% progressive. He just doesn’t hate Ukraine or Israel.

    Like

  12. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    “If we all use the cream from ICE the color in our collective cups will be a shade lighter in color”

    (too harsh of a an advertising slogan?)

    Like

  13. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    For the ‘Presidential Mail In Ballot ‘candy we could EASILY get the official endorsement from the Democrat Party and become their official candy.

    That will be HUGE!!

    Like

  14. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    Is this thing on….?

    Like

  15. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    The Supreme Quart ice cream box on the outside will have a picture of all 9 current U.S. Supreme. Court judges and each will have a bowl of Supreme ice cream in front of them and a spoon (not a gavel) in their hand.

    Like

  16. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Boooooooooo

    Liked by 1 person

  17. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    I am sure the freepassers are fine with this:

    https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2079654938259656838

    Like

  18. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    ByronYork

    ·

    8h

    Oops. New Jersey Democratic Gov Mikie Sherrill announces the state mistakenly registered 6,600 non-citizens to vote in 2023 and 2024.

    ——————

    Fake Flapper said this never happens,

    Liked by 1 person

  19. Bitterlaw Avatar
    Bitterlaw

    Where is GF? We are eating dinner at The Red Dog Saloon. He has probably been here.

    Liked by 1 person

  20. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    The more lengthy videos I see of computer experts looking at 2020 election analysis in GA, AZ, CO…the more troubled I become. They tell what happened during, and since then, by election officials that really make you wonder..

    Sworn testimony about big batches of hundreds of numbered mail ballots (each mailed out mail in ballot has a number printed on the ballot (like 1372699) and all the mail in ballots in the big batch were IN SEQUENCE NUMERICALLY, HAD NO FOLD, 985 WERE ALL FOR BIDEN, AND THOSE BATCHES OF MAIL IN BALLOTS WERE ON PAPER THAT FELT DIFFERENT FROM OTHER BALLOTS. Many looked like they had been marked by a machine.

    In GA (or was it CO?) there is a picture taken of every ballot when it is cast and put in the voting casting machine. And another picture of each ballot later on when it is fed thru vote counting machine. Election laws says both sets off ballot pictures must be kept and if there is any election audit that has to be done later, you can put both ballot pictures side by side to verify they match. They also showed HOW a bad actor could gain electronic access to the machine and switch/alter the original ballot photo before it goes into counting machine.

    Anyway, despite the law saying these two sets of electronic pictures must be kept, this state now has NONE of the pictures of the original cast ballots cast–only has pictures of each ballot as it was put thru vote tabulator machine. Now, no way to do forensic audit comparing the two different pics since one set of pictures are gone…

    Also, in GA and other states election officials, when it was all over, could not reconcile the number of ballots cast with the number of people who voted. More ballots cast than people who came in to vote early, plus on election day, plus the number of people who returned mail in absentee ballots.

    Off by tens and tens of thousands…more than one state had big populated county where this happened….

    And one state had more mail in ballots RETURNED than the number of total number of ballots county clerks mailed out…

    And one county clerk accepted returned and completed mail in ballots days BEFORE the date they were logged in as having been mailed out to them.

    Like

  21. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    So we have had a big spate over the last several months of earthquakes across the world, no doubt caused by Trump…

    Then we get all those Trump caused fires in Canada and the big Trump smoke that has beset the Eastern U.S.

    AND we are just about to enter the Trump hurricane season…

    And we have had huge Trump rain dumps in central WV this evening that has caused sever damage and conditions.

    I hope people are happy they elected Trump as president.

    You KNOW that these kinds of things would not be happening if Kamala was in the White House…

    Like

  22. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    If a deaf person is missing a finger, is that considered an acce t or a speech impediment?

    Like

  23. retllaw Avatar
    retllaw

    🚨BREAKING: Three candidates have officially qualified for the ballot at the Maine Democratic Party’s July 25 special nominating convention to replace former U.S. Senate nominee Graham Platner.

    • Troy Jackson

    • David Costello

    • Saundra Pelletier

    Dan Kleban also qualified but has ended his campaign and endorsed Jackson.The convention will be held Saturday in Bangor, where Democratic delegates will choose the party’s new U.S. Senate nomine

    Like

  24. jaichind Avatar
    jaichind

    Are you sure about your call of Texas 28th for GOP?

    Like

  25. DW Avatar
    DW

    tentatively yes, there is a poll showing an 8 point lead. Too optimistic, but likely signalling a narrow win for the GOP

    Like

  26. Tina Avatar
    Tina

    @EricLDaugh

    ·

    🚨 BREAKING OVERNIGHT: In a stunning blow to leftist judges, the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals rules that illegal aliens LACK the constitutional right to be let loose into American communities while pending DHS deportation HUGE WIN FOR ICE 🇺🇸 Activist judges will NOT be allowed to block the deportation machine and cause more harm to Americans!

    Like

  27. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    Last time I saw jaichind here he was trying to convince us the early vote in Hamilton Co Indiana meant Kamala was going to win.

    Like

  28. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I am sorry this is happening to Janzam, Tina and Chicon.

    https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/07/22/8045256/

    Like

  29. jason yupanqui Avatar
    jason yupanqui

    I am surprised someone named Bankhead hasn’t been cancelled by the Dems yet.

    Like

  30. DW Avatar
    DW

    New Thread

    Like

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