- Friday – Alaska house poll
- Thursday Thread with no new Polls
- Paxton it is in Texas
- Primary Run-off Day in Texas
- Memorial day
 | GOP | DEM |
| Republican +1 | 218 | 217 |
Paxton it is in Texas
59 responses to “Paxton it is in Texas”
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First.
Ending the filibuster to will doom the country and be celebrated by Democrats as soon as they get a 1 vote majority in the Senate or a 50-50 tie plus the White House.
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Scorecard for TX run-off (64/36 final result, +28 for Paxton):
SoCal Strategies: Paxton +22 (A)
GSG (D): Paxton +12 (C)
Remington (R): Paxton +11 (C)
Quantus Insights: Paxton +10 (C-)
University of Houston: Paxton +3 (D-)
Peak Insights: Cornyn +1 (F)
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Time for the freepassers to push the ppp pole.
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Zzzzzz
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Nobody except Paul wants Paxton to lose. The non-Cult members believe Paxton will have a more difficult race because of all of his personal baggage. Both can be true.
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The Clinton-Bush-Obama-ABC-NBC-CNN-MSNOW-NYT coalition is freaking out today. They all wanted Cornyn to win in Texas. Why? The answer explains everything.
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Bitter, I am not as convinced it its true that Paxton will have a more difficult time or that the GOP will have to spend more money to win TX. I could be wrong, but my instincts tell me that it really probably would work out about the same. And this is from someone who was hoping Cornyn would hold on and advance to the general.
a) Polling showed over and over how the difference between Cornyn vs Fruitcake and Paxton vs Fruitcake was negligible.
b) I am not sure the kind of baggage Paxton has will matter as much as it used to matter 25 or more years ago.
c) Despite all the fighting between Paxton and Cornyn and their camps, Fruitcake couldn’t pull out into any sort of substantial lead in the polling, meaning he has already been at his high water mark.
d) Cornyn immediately endorsing Paxton will help unify the GOP.
e) Any true “independent” in Texas will not be warmed by the thought of a gun-grabbing, no beef eating, open border, six gender nut who believes children should be trans-ed out of their genitals.
f) Fruitcake comes off as a sanctimonious, arrogant, pompous, condescending sort of person who thinks the people he speaks to are always more stupid than himself. This was illustrated by his immediate reaction to Paxton’s win, when he “welcomed” Cornyn supporters to his campaign, as though they were that stupid.
I would expect in the end a high-single digits or low double-digit win by Paxton in November. About what Cornyn would have gotten.
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I don’t see how Paxton does better than Cornyn against Talarico, that would defy all logic unless you buy into the theory that the deadenders would not vote for Cornyn in higher numbers number than Indies who would vote for Cornyn but not for Paxton.
Again, Talarico is a horrible candidate and ANY R should be able to beat him.
Still, I would have taken the sure bet on Cornyn.
Polymarket says the race is 53-47.
I bet had Cornyn won it would be more like 85-15.
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DW -We shall see. Paxton will have to run 2 ads:
1. I am a terrible husband but you don’t have to marry me.
2. Talarico is a terrible candidate because….
Cornyn would have only needed to run the Talarico sucks ad.
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Paxton has a lot more baggage than being a terrible husband….
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Fruitcake comes off as a sanctimonious, arrogant, pompous, condescending sort of person….
Nah. James Talarico preaches a false Christianity.
https://mereorthodoxy.com/james-talaricos-gospel/
Mr. Talarico has said that the conversation between the angel Gabriel and Mary (Annunciation) proves the biblical justification of abortion rights.
Mr. Talarico stated in a sermon from the Gospel of Thomas, a book not in the King James Bible, to support his belief that Jesus was a feminist.
And of course, according to Mr. Talarico that God in nonbinary. This is just some of his beliefs.
He has already spread his falsehoods while speaking at St. Andrews Presbyterian Church in Austin, Trinity United Church of Christ in Chicago, Covenant Presbyterian Church in Lubbock, the University United Methodist Church in Austin.
James Talarico preaches a false Christianity thus has become a false prophet.
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“Still, I would have taken the sure bet on Cornyn.”
So would I, had I lived in Texas so I could vote.
I didn’t say Paxton would do better, I said about the same…which is what the polling has shown.
Often there are statewide candidates who have one belief/policy position that is out of alignment with that state. Sometimes they have to fight against a belief/policy position that is REALLY out of alignment with the state.
Fruitcake has THREE that are really out of step, No guns, No beef, Open border with welcome mat. Those three alone should easily sink him in Texas. And then there is the six genders, Jesus loves abortion, removing genitals from kids, and so on.
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“Fruitcake comes off as a sanctimonious, arrogant, pompous, condescending sort of person….
Nah. James Talarico preaches a false Christianity.”
Sure John, but my point still stands, because he doesn’t preach his false Christianity with any sort of humility. He is a false prophet, sure. But for listeners who do not embrace Christianity he sounds like an arrogant blowhard, wise in his own eyes and condescending. A self-appointed expert who has finally figured out “Christianity” after 2000 years of stupid people have failed to do so.
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Now Jasmine Crockett is nutty in a different way, but had she won the Dem nomination I would be really worried about the general election with Paxton as the GOP candidate.
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DW is full of bs on the ‘no beef’ beef.
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Talarico has a lot of issues.
Yet tearing the other guy down may drive up his negatives, but it doesn’t increase your positives, that has been proven many times over in elections.
I bet both Paxton and Talarico are underwater with TX voters.
Paxton has huge structural advantages. Red state, incumbent, R machine in TX.
This should not be close.
Rs are going to spend a lot of money to elect Paxton. In my view, it would have cost like 3 times less to elect Cornyn.
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“During a 2022 animal rights fundraiser, Talarico announced that his campaign would no longer purchase meat, opting only for vegan products from local businesses. He called the reduction of meat consumption an “existential” matter for fighting climate change.“
When you call beef an “existential” threat in TX, you have to live with the consequences.
Sorry, Paul, DW is not full of BS.
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As someone said online, what is an existential threat in TX is running out of brisket.
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Talarico is going to be forced to be filmed eating BBQ on his campaign stops.
It will be as fake as John Kerry’s duck hunting pix.
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Jason idiot:
He was lying about that so the animal rights group would give him money.LikeLike
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Talarico said cutting meat was “the right thing to do” and the “moral thing to do”
Pretty clear what he meant.
Even Paul can’t sugarcoat this.
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He was lying about that”
LOL
So Paul, could you please let us know when Talarico is lying and when he isn’t?
It might be confusing to us here, so we will appreciate the clarifications.
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Cook Political Report shifted its rating of the Texas Senate race from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican”
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The steaks could not be higher!
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Once again Paul spoke first before educating himself. Just a simple AI search returns this:
“James Talarico, the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Texas, said Americans need to reduce their meat consumption to fight climate change and pledged that his local reelection campaign would only buy products from vegan businesses.”
Of course now that he is the nominee he is trying to walk that back, but that’s where his heart is…its what he believes. Trying to say otherwise now is simply his attempt to avoid his past to fool enough voters and win an election.
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Cook Political Report shifted its rating of the Texas Senate race from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican”
Not surprising.
Paxton is a weaker candidate than Cornyn for the GE.
The Paxton crowd can talk themselves blue in the face that it isn’t, but he has much more baggage and is less popular with a majority of Texas voters than Cornyn was, so deal with it.
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Paul’s defense of Talarico is that he is a liar.
You know what, I am going to accept the characterization.
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“Talarico the liar” is just one more thing to add to the pile of his negatives.
The guy is a cheap dollar store holiday fruitcake.
At least Jasmine Crockett was a holiday fruitcake from an upscale grocery store.
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Just how far left is today’s Democratic party? This below from RRH elections:
The Dem Frontrunner in NJ-12 primary Adam Hamawy worked for Al-Qaeda.
https://x.com/i/status/2059649569890177439
This primary really is a test of how captured the Democratic Party is by antisemitic Islamist. Hamawy is literally a terrorist sympathizer. He was a character witness for the World Trade Center bomber & he flew to Gaza AFTER 10/7 to help Hamas.
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we have a population in Berkeley County of about 175,000 people.
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Trump just announced he “doesn’t care about the midterms”.
Since the Cultists don’t care either, I guess it is unanimous!
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The delinquent tax list came out in the newspaper today.
Of the 175,000 County residents, 20,000 are kids in the school system, and another 5,000 are less than 5 years old. Add to this list the people who rent and do not own a home.
Many who rent an apartment or live in subsidized housing do not own a vehicle so they pay no property tax on a car. NY guess us the number of foresters with a vehicle are 4,000 or 5,000.
Si out of an estimated population of people who own either a home and/or vehicle on which they have to pay property tax is about 130,000. These people live in about 45,000 homes.
For 2026, there are about 17,180 property owners on the delinquent list.
For 2025, add another 3,800 nes
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Walt is lucky he is hard to find in the sticks of West Virginia.
Evidently Mesopotamia is still looking for him for a 278,000 shekels unpaid tax bill.
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the number of foresters with a vehicle are 4,000 or 5,000.”
There are a lot of foresters in Berkeley Co.
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Did I mention how I hate typing on phone and how I hate auto correct which usually changes the spelling to some other word that makes no sense and does so without knowing i????
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So my point is with the roughly 45,000 homes, about HALF OF THEM are delinquent in paying their yax bill this year…
I am rather stunned by that…
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The Pentagon has just released some previously classified UFO (UAP) files and videos, one in particular showing infared footage from 2023 over Lake Huron that appears to show a US F-16 shooting down a diamond shape object.
My question is if this was actually true….
Was the diamond shaped object identified? Was it deemed a threat? Was there communication from the pilot to object to identify itself? And who authorized the shooting down of the object?
There’s got to be documentation, evidence, a record of account or some kind of paper trail for this.
It might not be a good idea to provoke an intergalatic war with something we can’t identify or communicate with.
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“You can’t call yourself a Christian and destroy God’s creation with greenhouse gases.”
-James Talarico
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Rs are going to spend a lot of money to elect Paxton. In my view, it would have cost like 3 times less to elect Cornyn.
Paxton crushed Cornyn in the primary with significantly less funding – said to be 9-1. Paxton already said he expects little to no help from the DC establishment, depending, like he did in the primary, on private donations and the get-out-the-vote work done by volunteers. Had Cornyn won, he would have been the one to cost republicans tons of money, as the grass roots volunteers would have disappeared. Also, the baggage others are always loading him down with will be offset by his work with helping groups aiding trafficked women/children, being behind the opening of the 1st detransitioning clinic in the country, and filing multiple lawsuits during Biden’s term to thwart some of his horrific policies. What has Cornyn ever done during his 24 years in congress, other than being a good partner to establishment republicans?
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“But you CAN call yourself a Christian and destroy God’s created genitals on little children.”
-Cheap Dollar Store Holiday Fruitcake running for U.S. Senate.
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Jan’s grassroots heroes accomplished their goal of defeating a conservative. Their enthusiasm will diminish between now and November. She better hope that the Republicans she hates step in to take up the slack.
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“A flying object shot down in 2023? That explains it. Now we know what happened to Robbie.”
Did DW just say that Robbie was a diamond?
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https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-14572245/satan-devil-demon-bible-lucifer-666-meaning.html
I thought Jerry Jones was the devil.
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Jan’s grassroots heroes accomplished their goal of defeating a conservative.”
Yep, a conservative who spent 24 years defending conservative causes.
Don’t tell Jan the dirty little secret.
While Cornyn was in the senate fighting for conservative causes and conservative judges, Trump was funding the Democratic Senate Committee, Harry Reid, Chuck Schumer and Planned Parenthood.
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Also, the baggage others are always loading him down”
Huh, I think Paxton loaded himself down with a lot of baggage.
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She better hope that the Republicans she hates step in to take up the slack.
The hate being expressed is from establishment republicans like Cornyn and Thune. Cornyn was the one running an expensive hateful campaign against Paxton. Thune, OTOH, didn’t listen to his Republican constituency who wanted bills passed that would help the integrity of our elections. Thune also stonewalled the president’s appointments by refusing to let any recess appointments happen. The MAGA movement is responsive to the people, which is why it’s comprised of volunteers vs the elite donor class. Again, it’s David vs Goliath type of confrontation that’s going on, between powerful Republican leaders and those who want something more than empty words and promises never honored.
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MAGA and the Democrats both want to end the filibuster. The Cult doesn’t see the danger in that.
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Janzam lives in an alternate universe where Zelensky invaded Russia and Cornyn and Thune express “hate”.
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I guess it pays to work for the government…
“An ex-government official with top security clearance has been arrested after federal agents found hundreds of gold bars in his Virginia home worth at least $40 million, according to court records obtained by USA TODAY.
During a search of Rush’s Virginia home last week, FBI agents found 303 gold bars that each weighed about 2.2 pounds and are estimated to be worth more than $40 million, Special Agent Matthew Johnson of the FBI wrote in an affidavit outlining the case against Rush.
The FBI seized the gold bars from Rush’s home, as well as about $2 million in cash and 35 Rolexes and other luxury watches, Johnson wrote. But the current charge that Rush faces isn’t related to the gold or money seized at his home.”
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New thread
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The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
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