Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.0 / 56.0 | -15.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.1 / 53.1 | -8.0 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Republican +1 | 218 | 217 |
Friday is Here
103 responses to “Friday is Here”
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I would put up a “fresh veal wanted” sign outside to catch the perpetrators, but I don’t want all the Amish around here knocking on my door
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NBC explains the UK elections
It’s in place like this thatyounger liberals have become frustrated with Starmer’s efforts to chase the right-wing vote by acting tough on immigration and pursuing a cautious economic agenda.”
In other words, Labour lost by being TOO TOUGH on immigration and not left wing enough on economics so young communists didn’t vote for it.
You can’t make this sh-t up.
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and not in the American interests”
Nah, Iran armed with nuclear weapons is in OUR interest?
You really are a imbecilic idiot.
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jason, I removed Paul’s post as spam because he didn’t use a real email address. Its not the same Paul who posts with the picture of the fern he is smoking.
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Confederate states are rushing through rigged maps to erase Black districts off the map.”
Was VA a confederate state?
A friend wants to know.
And what is a “black district”?
Another friend wants to know.
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That was a quote by Gavin Newsome.
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Was VA a confederate state?
Yes from 1861-1865. What did they teach in that one room schoolhouse?
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I haven’t looked in the UFO files, yet, but my prediction was that it would just be more testimonies of things people say they saw, and nothing “new” like photos inside the warehouse where the gov’t keeps a fleet of inter-galactic spaceships that came here.
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NEW: Lynnwood, WA councilmember Isabel Mata: “To me, a pride flag is way more relatable than an American flag. I would not raise an American flag at my house because I wouldn’t…I wasn’t even born here. But I would raise a pride flag.”
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Was VA a confederate state?
Yes from 1861-1865. What did they teach in that one room schoolhouse?”
You misunderstood that.
Gavin Newsome said the “Confederate states” are gerrymandering in favor of Rs.
I asked him if VA was a confederate state.
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My prediction is that the UFO files will contain the same things the JFK files, the RFK files, the MLK files.
Nothing burgers.
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Someone on the last thread was questioning my judgment on the Dem+5 current house forecast.
Well, the last three generic ballot polls show D+2 (Forbes/HarrisX), D+3 (Economist/YouGov) and D+3 (Morning Consult). That, along with TN, LA, and FL flipping 6 seats (a swing in numbers of 12) explains why it went from D+21 down to D+5.
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I didn’t question d+5, I certainly questioned D+21.
Unfortunately, Bitter didn’t take my bet offer at the time
It’s tough making money without working.
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Note to the NYT.
“Accused” people aren’t sentenced to life in prison.
“Guilty” people do.
Breaking News: The man accused of carrying out an antisemitic firebombing in Boulder, Colorado, was sentenced to life in prison”
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Dems to try to pack the SCOVA in 3, 2, 1….
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In this case, the Commonwealth submitted a proposed constitutional amendment to Virginia voters in an unprecedented manner that violated the intervening-election requirement in Article XII, Section 1 of the Constitution of Virginia. 31 This violation irreparably undermines the integrity of the resulting referendum vote and renders it null and void. For this reason, the congressional district maps issued by this Court in 2021 pursuant to Article II, Section 6-A of the Constitution of Virginia remain the governing maps for the upcoming 2026 congressional elections.”
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The vote was 4-3. Pretty shameful.
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It is huge, but don’t get carried away…its not that these seats were all GOP locks. Jen Kiggans was already going to be in a fight for her seat in VA-02 (largely VA Beach) that I had flipping blue. VA-01 could also be in play on the original map.
But it does mean we probably get at least 3 of the 11, perhaps 4 of 11, rather than 1 of the 11.
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Happy VE Day!
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Notice I have updated the House Forecast and now it is GOP +1. And this is not just cheerleading. 270 to win is not a GOP site and they have the needle dead in the middle of the tossups and they have not yet applied the TN and LA changes. They did already revert back the VA map.
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Hakeen Jeffries: “F around and find out” Virginia Supreme Court: The Democratic position “ends poorly.”…
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Has anyone checked on Temu Obama?
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I see one MSM headline “VA SC votes along party lines”.
I find it hard to believe there are 4 Rs on SCOVA.
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The newly released UFO files (now called UAP) will show unexplained lights out in space from both the Apollo 12 and 17 missions as well as some grainy pictures taken out in the ocean by the military. This is the first batch to be released as I understand.
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GF – VE Day is 5/9 in Russia because Stalin made Germany surrender again.
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“unexplained lights out in space from both the Apollo 12 and 17 missions”
This will be fodder for the moon landing deniers. They will say that these lights were mistakes made in the studio where they faked the landings.
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Virginia Dems can look in the mirror if they want someone to blame. Had they not been greedy and only grabbed two seats, going with 8-3 instead of 10-1, there wouldn’t have been anywhere near the outrage, and the vote would have been more like 60/40, and the court more likely to uphold. But they couldn’t help themselves going 10-1 and then rubbing our noses in it.
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new polls by co-efficient that seem to balance well with the HHR projection page:
ME-02:
(R) Paul LePage 50% (+10)
(D) Joe Baldacci 40%–
(R) Paul LePage 50% (+10)
(D) Matt Dunlap 40%
WA-03
(R) John Braun 41% (+7)
(D)* Marie Gluenkamp Perez 34%TX-34
(R) Eric Flores 41% (+1)
(D)* Vicente Gonzales 40%NC-01
(R) Laurie Buckhout 41%
(D) Don Davis 41%NM-02
(D)* Gabe Vasquez 43% (+2)
(R) Greg Cunningham 41%Conducted by co/efficient
April 26-28LikeLike
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Governor Nuissance (who cannot read) claims that the “confederate states” are gerrymandering.
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i saw a Doug Mastriano sign yesterday. He is running again?
After I left the GOP I don’t follow the primaries very much, but he should get decimated by Stacy Garrett.
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“unexplained lights out in space from both the Apollo 12 and 17 missions”
Where’s the beef?
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I want to see the autopsy reports on the alien bodies. I want to see ET devices removed from alien spececraft.
“Unexplained lights”? “Grainy pictures”?
Zzzzzz…
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DId Jay Jones threaten to kill the children of the SCOVA justices yet?
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I don’t think he is running. Maybe it is an angry protest vote. Mastriano is the reason we have mail in voting in PA.
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The justices in their decision answered the question of why they didn’t rule this referendum unconstitutional BEFORE the vote.
They say the General Assembly specifically requested they wait, presumably (their view) because it would give it an “upper hand” in case of approval.
For this reason, they say the result (and the margin thereof) were immaterial in their decision.
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You are right. It is a write in campaign.
Good luck with that.
HARRISBURG, Pa. (WHP) — Pennsylvania Sen. Doug Mastriano (R-Adams, Franklin) isn’t running for governor in 2026, but a group of supporters are organizing a grassroots campaign to get him on the ballot this May.
Organizers said they want to “return integrity, courage and conservative leadership to Pennsylvania,” according to the campaign’s website.
Treasurer Stacy Garrity is currently the only Republican on the ballot going into the primary.
Garrity has been endorsed by the Pennsylvania GOP, as well as president Donald Trump.“
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Since they did not get him on the ballot, they are advocating a write in vote.
Let’s see how many deadender votes he gets.
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I guess this is not good enough for the deadenders.
“Republican Stacy Garrity won reelection as Pennsylvania Treasurer in the November 5, 2024, general election, defeating Democratic challenger Erin McClelland. [1, 2]
2024 Election Results
- Stacy Garrity (R): ~52.1% of the vote.
- Erin McClelland (D): ~45.6% of the vote.
- Vote Total: Garrity received over 3.48 million votes, setting a new record for the most votes ever cast for a candidate in a Pennsylvania statewide election.
Garrity, a retired U.S. Army Reserve colonel, was first elected in 2020 and her second term runs through 2029″
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Let’s write in the guy who got 2.2 million votes and got 42% of the vote against Shapiro’s 56%.
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FAFO..
Feb 2026. The Virginia redistricting plan is so critical to House Democrats, that Hakeem Jeffries says they’ll spend “whatever it takes” to win. “We will spend tens of millions of dollars.”
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Nigel Farage is doing well in the UK elections!
”So far, Labour has lost 204 councilors, while Reform UK has gained 311, set for a win in the next General Elections.
With around one third of the local councils having reported results, it’s difficult to know what is more relevant: the unprecedented losses by the incumbent Labour party, or the astounding surge in votes for Nigel Farage’s Reform UK.
Failing Keir Starmer had no alternative but to take responsibility for Labour’s catastrophic local election results.”
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Sometimes it seems the Dems have gone certifiably “crazy!”
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“The splashy one-two punch of Citadel CEO Ken Griffin and Apollo Global Management honcho Marc Rowan pledging to expand outside New York City has been coupled with a silent wave of businesses ‘quiet quitting’ the city over its hostile environment, insiders told the Post,” the outlet said, noting that Medallion Financial Corp. founder Andrew Murstein has launched a campaign called Operation Boomerang to bring the wealthy back to the area.
City Hall officials are also aware of the situation, and one city business leader told the Postofficials are trying to tone down Mamdani’s rhetoric.
“They’re in a pickle because he’s hearing all the business leaders are looking for exit strategies now and Mamdani needs money and needs to keep his base happy. This might be an inflection point because NYC is already a welfare state supported by very few people at the top who can leave,” the unnamed individual explained.”
Time for some NYC angst.
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The night is so far proving to be one of substantial success for Reform. They are currently winning more than half of the seats that have been declared.
In contrast, Labour, who have been defending most seats this evening, have lost four in five of the seats that they have been trying to defend.
These figures reflect the fact that in the key wards where the BBC have collected detailed voting information, so far Reform have been averaging around 30% of the vote, whereas Labour have so far won just 16% of the vote.
The other challenger party, the Greens, are performing creditably; their average of 15% of the vote is up 10 points on average compared to 2022. However, it is not enough for them to be picking more than the occasional gain. So far, just a net gain of eight seats.
The Conservatives are also losing ground; their vote is on average down by 14 points and the party is losing more than half the seats it is trying to defend.
The Liberal Democrats’ hopes of making notable net gains of seats are not being realised.
So far, the party has seen little change in its net tally. Moreover, the party’s share of the vote is down on average by 5 points since 2022, a drop that is shielded by the fact it is less than the drop of the Conservatives and Labour.
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Cr@P! My post got eaten, for some reason, my clipboard had one from last night on it.
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- Reform UK 1,2171+1215
- Labour 784 -1,082
- Liberal Democrat 718 +93
- Conservative 641 -469
- Green 402 +287
- Independent 123 -28
These are the current numbers as of 1122 PST, Jan’s figures are form last night.
Bascially, almost 1,600 seats have changed hands, and over 75% have been won by REF. Their votes tracks with an area’s BREXIT vote e.g. in the Old Labour North, REF is seeing swings of 40-66% to the AWAY form LAB, truly astonishing. Down south, while they are winning many Tory seats, REF is taking in more in the teens and twenties elsewhere, though they are winning some seats in London, too. Beeb says that REF is “underperforming, but by whose metric? It’s the Greens that are underperforming, they are getting decent vote hauls overall, but they shoud be on 500-600 seats at least, but they are coming in second and third in too many contests where LAB is just holding on against them and the LDs. Despite taking their share of losses, the Tories have actually flipped a number of LAB and even a few Lib Dem seats, they are just getting decimated on their right by Reform.
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that woman reminds me of Sally in Peanuts having a conversation with the brick wall of her elementary school.
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Thanks for the Uk update GF!
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Eeyores at RRH Elections saying that the ruling in Virginia is a case where we win the battle but will lose the war because if it. Fools.
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If RRH Election had been responsible for running the American War for Independence we would still be flying the British flag and complaining that we don’t get adequate representation in London.
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It’s always the same three or four of them, too, DW. I explained that maybe VA comes back in 2028 with a riduclous map, but by then, FL, AL, MS, and maybe GA and SC will have done their work, making it a wash at best.
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I get that Dems are angry, but those of them the MOST angry where their anger will boil over are Dems living in congressional districts that are already going to vote 80% Dem or more. They are not going to transfer their anger to independent voters in Virginia who voted NO on the referendum or were sympathetic to NO because they want to have real choices in November.
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Regarding VA SC ruling….I’ve heard it has energized the grass roots conservatives everywhere. It has given them a pulse, where if enough push and effort is exercised they can compete with the Dems unorthodox ways of creating wins. Even though the ruling was based on the unconstitutional methods applied in the VA referendum, the fact the grass roots “Nos” came so close to winning, with just a fraction of the money the “yes” side had, has given credence and energy to non-establishment groups to take a stand and be more aggressive in their efforts to win. I think this might even give the Paxton campaign more wind at his back to beat Cornyn.
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and don’t forget in Virginia that conservatives are upset at Spamburgler’s gun grabs too. That is a huge motivator to show up and vote.
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https://www.reformparty.uk/policies#policies-parallax
Here is the Reform site listing its policies
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The Va demented lady may be related or the same person from the 2016 trump wins meme. (I always thought this was the Russian Hoaxer or the Clinton Groupie (CG,) the fake r.
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I ran the extrapolated vote totals for the locals through Electoral Calculus’ prediction map;
National Prediction: Reform short 3 of majority
CON 50
GRN 87
LAB 37
LIB 81
Plaid 6
SNP 45
OTH 6
N.Ire. 18
Reform 323LikeLike
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Its too late to save the UK. Its like a rescue ship showing up at the side of the Titanic just before the bow slips under the water. The stern already broke off and is half way to the bottom.
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not only is the 270 to win page showing the needle at the dead center, they show the GOP with a larger likely R collection compared to Dems, indicating that even if the Dems take control, there is a limit to the damage they can inflict.
https://www.270towin.com/2026-house-election/
But all it would take for the GOP to be favored to retain control is a bit of good news like gas prices dropping once Iran is wrapped up.
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I guess the Dems don’t think parents shioud “advise” their children.
Maryland Governor Wes Moore says he would let his son go through gender mutilation as a minor if he wanted to. DAVID: “Would you advise him to wait until he’s 18?” MOORE: “I’m not going to advise him on something that he feels…”
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Looks like the bigfoot sightings recently in Ohio is gathering steam….NY Post, Tik Tok, BFRO, Fox News, Cryptozoology etc.
Question. What will be disclosed first-extraterrestrials or Sasquatch?
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I guess you shouldn’t advise your children not to do heroin, if they feel like they should do it.
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Playing with loaded guns? Skating on thin ice? Drinking Clorox?”
Nah, he feels like doing it.
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DW,
At the annual event where we are you sign up to go on a pilgrimage where you follow the tour leader and drive 30 or more miles to get out and spend hours looking at wildflowers and nature things. I found a small clump of ramps plus a big pool full of tadpoles. we left this morning at 8 something and got back at 4.
Cell service where we travel is rare. That’s why I didn’t comment about your cartoon related to the cownapping.
I give you two thumbs up. And Cash Cow gave you four hooves up, and promptly fell over
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Question. What will be disclosed first-extraterrestrials or Sasquatch?”
Wait in line.
Let’s find the Oak Island treasure first.
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Did you bring some tadpoles home?
Your Big Kahuna fish could have them for dinner, and if he doesn’t like them you could have frog legs soon.
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The US Supreme Court has long held that state Supreme Courts have the final word on the meaning of State Constitutions. VA Dems appeal is going nowhere.
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Time for Illinois to make their districts 17-0 for 2028. Just give each a portion of Chicago.
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That would be fair. After all Trump only got 44% of the vote in IL and only won 87/102 counties.
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No one cares about fairness in war.
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“Over three million Virginia citizens cast their votes in a free and fair election, yet the State Supreme Court has chosen to invalidate their voice, disenfranchise them and violate their due process rights. The decision to overturn an entire election is an unprecedented and undemocratic action that cannot stand. “
I guess no one would have been disenfranchised with a 10-1 map when the vote on the referendum was 51-49.
Democrats are clowns.
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No one cares about fairness in war.”
Fine.
So if that is the case, don’t word the referendum as being about “fairness”
Just say it is a dishonest power grab.
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Fairness is anything that fucks up Republicans. And I an in favor of that 100 percent.
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Sorry this happened to you Paul..
“The ruling even has some lawmakers questioning the wisdom of Democrats spending $62.5 million to push the Virginia redistricting referendum — including nearly $40 million from Jeffries-aligned 501(c)4 House Majority Forward.
‘I feel like this is a colossal waste of resources that will further erode our politics,’ a sixth House Democrat told Axios, referring to the entire nationwide redistricting battle.
‘How many millions of dollars are we spending on this when the DNC is in debt and we have 40 frontline races to win?’”
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Democrats are good at self sabotage.
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Yeah, 10-1 in a 53-47 state is Democrats version of “fighting for democracy” LMFAO
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I want Trump to bring out a perp walkout of at least 6 various diverse aliens from other universes. PLUS some medium sized UFO space ships, and some other neat things that will shock people. Maybe a space and time portal demonstration.
But of course the Ds would say it is just a trick to divert the public’s attention from the Epstein investigation, the building of the Trump ball room, Trumps obvious medical issues. Trumps war against Iran, the primary election. The Rs gerrymandering, high price of gasoline,etc. etc., etc.
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the 7 p.m.evening program is about to start. Besides the program, ( last night it was a half hour talk by a falconer who had a big assed falcon on his arm).We will also get to hear a recap ny group leaders of highlights experienced by pilgrims on the 14 different trips/pilgrimages that took place today. We will also hear where the 12 tours tomorrow will be going and what they will probably see.
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Utah’s recent gerrymandering gave the Dems one seat. However…..
“Last month, it was revealed that Utah Supreme Court Justice Diana Hagen had an inappropriate relationship with a man named David Reymann, a leftist redistricting attorney who helped the Democrats take a congressional seat amid the gerrymandering wars.
Utah Governor Spencer Cox and other state officials launched an investigation into Hagen’s relationship with Reymann.”
Friday, Supreme Court Justice Diane Hagen submitted a resignation letter, effective immediately.
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Conflict of interest much? Dems play dirty, then dirtier.
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No party cares about fairness in gerrymandering. That is why they gerrymander.”
Maybe, but a 10-1 map in a state the Dems have maybe a 5 pt advantage and saying it is in the name of fairness went over the top.
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Even the liberals on the VA SC couldn’t stomach it. Well a majority anyway.
The Chief Justice wrote a long dissent trying to convince everyone that there is only one election day, after the Dems have been saying there are months of election days for years.
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tonight ‘s program now over.
The 45 min. presentation and slide show was good.
The rest of ot was hearing reports for each of the 25 tours today. Wat too long.
Door prize drawing at the end . They give out about 30 door prizes each night
Tonight I won a piece of pottery. Nice bowl.
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No one cares about fairness. Why should they?
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No one cares about fairness. Why should they/”
I thought Communists were all about equality and fairness.
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Looks like the Justice who wrote the majority opinion was appointed by Kaine
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The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
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