University of Houston 1/20 – 1/31; 1502 LV; 2.5 MoE
 | TEXAS |
| Paxton | 45 |
| Crockett | 43 |
Same poll has Crockett and Paxton leading their party primaries. (Paxton 38, Cornyn 31, Hunt 17) and (Crockett 47, Talarico 39, Hassan 2)
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 54.9 | -12.9 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.3 / 50.3 | -4.0 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
New Texas Poll
90 responses to “New Texas Poll”
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First
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Today’s cartoon was an easy one. First thing I thought of when Mamdani started appealing to Muhammed and the Quran in his sermon to us. He should first preach it to all these nations in the middle east who won’t even accept and integrate the fragments of Muslim families left behind by Muslim vs. Muslim violence.
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Saw a Sb crowd shot while bad rabbit was performing. It looked dead.
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I hope Crockett wins.
Of course, I bought into Rush LImbaugh’s theory that nominating Obama was a good idea since he was a weaker GE candidate than Hillary.
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Well, I waited till the next day for comments on the Super Bowl. Like I mentioned two weeks ago I thought that the Seahawks/Rams game was on a different level. In fact, it was probably the de-facto Super Bowl. Yesterday, Seattle put on a defensive clinic. Probably the best defensive showing I’ve seen in SBs. And I’ve watched all 60.
PS-didn’t mind the half time show by Bad Bunny. He didn’t come across as being a rapper but more of what I was call ‘salsa’ music.
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Probably the best defensive showing I’ve seen in SBs. And I’ve watched all 60.
Better than the Eagles leading KC 34-0 into the 4th quarter until they pulled all the starters on defense?
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Jason, Limbaugh wasn’t always right, but I do think HRC would have won bigger than O, just with a slightly different coalition (she holds more WWC, making PA and the rust Belt states bigger wins, for example). She hadn’t completely destroyed herself with things like Benghazi, the Russian “Reset,” and other nonsense from her time as SoS to 44. My guess, given the Kaine pick in ’16, is that she would have opted for a safe moderate like Evan Bayh, who was still a Dem Senator from an otherwise Red state, and made noises about including leading blacks into her Cabinet to appease the Obama crowd. AA turnout would not have exploded as it did, but she still would have won that handily along with other minority groups. White women would have been largely fine with her as a “reasonable” option to a McCain tarred by the GOP scandals, Iraq fatigue, and the economic bust after the Lehman collapse; Palin will offset nothing, he probably desn’t pick her with a woman heading the Dem ticket. My guess is that instead of 53-45, she wins 55-44, might still eke out IN with Bayh on the ticket, and perhaps trades NC for another state like MO and perhaps MT (he won both very narrowly, MT by 2% and MO by just 3,900 votes), although she could have won all three. Maybe even an outside chance at one of the Dakotas since Obama got 45% in each.
Obama in this counterfactual may sense that lackong executive experience is a net minus for him, and runs for IL GOV either in 2010 or 2014 (Blago will blow himsel up at some point, he was always shady), and we have to deal with him later on.
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It’s not about the type of music played during the show.
It is about in the universe of entertainment available, the NFL choice for the halftime show is an America hating Marxist and a band (Coldplay) that makes “f–k America” a standard of their performances.
As pointed out by Jennifer van Laar at Redstate, this selection was essentially a middle finger to America courtesy of the NFL.
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Jason, Limbaugh wasn’t always right, but I do think HRC would have won bigger than O”
I thought so too at the time.’
Now I don’t agree at all, Hillary in 2008 was even worse than Hillary 2016.
I think she would have been crushed by the male vote.
Maybe she could have eked out a narrower win than Obama, but i doubt it.
Hillary was a horrible candidate in ANY year.
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I also don’t think Bayh would have helped her at all, and would not even have carried IN.
Bayh had no appeal outside of IN, and as we later saw, not even very much there.
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Her best bet would have been Obama for VP.
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There is no way Hillary would have had the same minority enthusiasm Obama did, except maybe with him as VP.
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I think Rush was very wrong, and I was very wrong to go along with his analysis.
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She hadn’t completely destroyed herself with things like Benghazi,”
Her main baggage was never Benghazi, never a big issue with voters even though it should have been.
Her main baggage was the “Clinton corruption” perception which was already full blown in 2008.
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Rush’s Operation Chaos was more around the idea of stretching out the DEM primary as long as possible so there would be as much damage as possible to the brand and a possible party split that would be difficult to resolve by the general election. Hillary was behind Obama in the delegate count, so Rush wanted to prop her up and keep her going to damage Obama. I don’t believe Rush ever thought that Obama was the easier out in the general election.
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I lived in TX at the time, Rush very definitely wanted Obama to be the nominee.
He thought Obama was a third rate community activist rabble rouser and a media creation, which of course was right.
Where he was wrong was underestimating the power of the MSM to transform Obama from an obscure unaccomplished state legislator to President in about 4 years.LikeLike
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Rush Limbaugh urged listeners in states with open primaries to cross party lines and support Hillary Clinton.
“I now believe he would be the weakest of the Democrat nominees,” Limbaugh, among the most powerful voices in conservative radio, said on his program. “I now urge the Democrat superdelegates to make your mind up and publicly go for Obama.”
“Barack Obama has shown he cannot get the votes Democrats need to win — blue-collar, working-class people,” Limbaugh said. “He can get effete snobs, he can get wealthy academics, he can get the young, and he can get the black vote, but Democrats do not win with that.”
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sure jason, but I think that was late in the process when it was obvious that Obama would going to be the nominee and Hillary had no path.
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Rush may have been wrong. Parallels can be seen now with quemala and Nuissance. Nuissances numbers look bad because his numbers with blacks Insul.
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K-SHAPED ECONOMY FALLS APART IN RETAIL Morgan Stanley says retail data challenges the K-shaped economy narrative. Spending is rising across income levels, especially at dollar stores, with even higher-income shoppers trading down. Consumers are increasingly seeking value, boosting Walmart and discount retailers while traditional grocers see weaker trends.
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So, last year Messie, claimed he had a “list of 20 men” involved in the Epplestein matter. Now he claims he has no list.
HE IS FULL OF SHEOT
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Lindsey Vonn had a complex tibia fracture. Zzzzzzzzz I also broke my fibula.
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I am hopeful that it will be Talarico to get the nomination. Crockett is no Obama. Talarico is a slightly more white Obama.
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In 2003, when I first started seeing Obama signs in my town in Illinois. I thought to myself, “that’s unfortunate to have a name that is so close to Osama.” However, much of Illinois soon saw that he was very charismatic and attractive and made sense.
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Feds Have Charged 158 Anti-ICE Agitators With Federal Crimes In Minnesota
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US beats prior champ Italy in mixed doubles curling and will play Sweden for the gold tomorrow.
Noon tomorrow don’t expect a lot of posts, sorry.
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Bad Bunny promoted Sugar Cane production in the ht show. Trump and RFK should have been happy with that.
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New poll out shows that more American Fathers would rather have Bad Bunny as a son-in-law than Kid Rock.
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”New poll out shows that more American Fathers would rather have Bad Bunny as a son-in-law than Kid Rock.”
Sure, Jan. Why don’t you link it so we can dissect the cross tabs. I find Kid Rock a little off, to be sure, but Bad Bunny? Most folks don’t want a part time drag queen in their family if they could avoid it.
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Samba tv
Our latest viewership insights reveal:
48.6M U.S. households tuned in to #SuperBowl LX, representing a 13% decrease from last year’s game
26.5M U.S. households watched #BadBunny‘s #halftime performance, down 39% from Kendrick Lamar’s 2025 show
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I knew the game ratings would be down. Big plunge in viewership first the half time show.
nfl officials and advertisers must be livid.
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THIS is the only message the woke Marxists at the NFL would take notice, loss of revenue.
Unfortunately, too many football fans are still willing to passively live with the far left brainwashing engineered by people who actually hate them and hate football.
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I did my part and did not watch the Super Bowl. Of course I have never once watched any Super Bowls because it always conflicts with church and I don’t like football.
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Slate explains it, it was about gentrification.
Bad Bunny has always been good at effective political messaging because he’s not usually striving to be overtly political, but he is aware that he lives an inherently political existence—one in which nostalgia surfaces not only as an effect of time, but because of what gentrification and inequality take from you.”
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who you gonna believe, Samba tv or the Daily Mail ? –
Bad Bunny smashes the record for the most watched Super Bowl Halftime Show in history with 135.4 MILLION views
”Bad Bunny has smashed the record for the most watched Super Bowl Halftime Show in history with 135.4 million views.
The Tití Me Preguntó singer, 31, wowed crowds as he headlined Sunday’s Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show at the Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California.
Puerto Rican star Bad Buddy (real name Benito Martínez Ocasio) brought his Latin roots to the stadium with his catchy hits including NUEVAYoL, DtMF and EoO.
And while ring-wing commentators and President Trump were quick to criticize, it has become the most watched halftime show ever after live viewing figures were revealed.”
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Bitter will agree with this Bad Bunny message…
https://x.com/NFLMemes/status/2020683118450032819
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it always conflicts with church
You need a new church or religion. Judaism has services on Friday and Saturday. Catholic masses are on Saturday night and Sunday morning. No conflict.
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Why is it so hard to count viewers? Maybe it is because of viewers at parties are hard to count. I am sure that Bad Bunny had a negative impact on viewers but the Seahawks-Patriots matchup didn’t help.
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Good morning!
Story out saying that Mitch McConnell will do everything with his last grasp of power to sink the SAVE Act……..just like McCain and his thumbs down on getting rid of Obamacare……..tell me again that they are the real “conservatives”…….
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Friend had both half time shows on separate tvs…..both underwhelming, to be charitable.
Bring back Bruno Mars. That was a show!LikeLike
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National Review also going wobbly on deporting illegal immigrants……as usual, the Bush-type country club RINOS are the ones who bail out at the first sign of ginned-up trouble.
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Hopefully St Patrick’s Day doesn’t bring up any old arguments from 20+ years ago……I told the Irish who overstayed their visas back then they should straighten it out before it became an issue, hope they listened.
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Good to see NYC. And then he’s gone.
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Bad Bunny is right about the Dallas Cowboys. Sue me.
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NYC, Chuck Schumer’s little bitch, who tirelessly campaigned here to elect more liberal Democrats to the US Senate, complaining about RINOS?
Zzzzz……
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CALIFORNIA POLL – Governor (top two advance)
🟥 Chad Bianco: 21%
🟦 Eric Swalwell: 18%
🟥 Steve Hilton: 17%
🟦 Katie Porter: 12%
🟦 Tom Steyer: 9%
🟦 Xavier Becerra: 6%
🟦 Matt Mahan: 5%
Swalwell (Dem) internal | EMC
We need a few more Marxist loons to join the primary to ensure the top two finishers are Republicans.
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Not necessarily the place for it but at least he is honest.
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Steve Hilton is my #1 choice. However, Chad Bianco is someone I would support if he was in the primary.
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We keep tripping a circuit breaker that has several rooms and the Internet router on it. Electrician is working on it now. My wife and I are using my cell phone as a hot spot for our virtual work.
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That Swallowell internal is the warning bell for Dems to start consolidating behind one or two candidates. Thing is, Steyer is now on the airwaves, and he will drown out everyone, other Dems included. Historically, CA DEMS reject millionaires trying to buy their GOV nominations (airline CEO Al Checchi back in 1998 was an early favorite but finished way back behind ultimate Gov. Doofus), but the new crop of Dems is very different, and with so many being hardline enviro whackos, I can see them gravitating towards him since there are not many heavy hitters. Porter was in the lead a few months ago, and she’ll still win a bunch of AWFLs, but by and large, I do expect some consolidation over the next few months.
That said, I’d be thrilled if the GOP managed to serve up a lockout; it almost happened in 2014 for the Controller race (came up just ten thousand short against three Dems, one of them severely damaged by criminal allegations). Dems have done it a few times in very red legislative districts, so they have no right to complain if it does occur.
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If the lockout did miraculously happen, that would create a very interesting race. Bianco is all-in with the GOP, but could have appeal with Hispanics. Hilton seems like the prfect candidate to be a RINO who will distance himself from the national party and start pikcing fights with Trump to earn bona fides with coastal whites even while campaigning against fraud and cleaning up the streets of homeless camps etc. Would begin as a total tossup, but I havr to wonder if Dem turnout would be depressed. The 2016 Senate race was a Dem lockout, but it wasn’t a top of the ticket race, and there was a considerable undervote compared to the snoozer governor election. If, say, half a million Dems sat it out, that could be beneficial downballot.
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Electrician? Damm, those wealthy suburban lawyers sure know how to live.
There are no Amish electricians, so I do all electrical work myself.
I do notice my wife checks the life insurance policy each time to make sure it is up to date, oh ye of little faith.
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That Ca pole was done for Swallowhole. I am sure Fang Fang assisted with the pole, or a pole of some kind.
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Independent US inflation numbers today:
US CPI: 0.74% Y/Y
US goods inflation:0.83%
US services inflation: 0.69%
This year, we are seeing cooling inflation trends across multiple categories, including food, housing, clothing, utilities (esp. natural gas), communications, furnishings, gasoline, and more. Our numbers are derived by aggregating millions of real-time price points from tens of data providers and merchants.
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Representative Correa: Young people are asking me what do I to carry with me so I won’t be deported. Is carrying a passport enough?
Todd Lyons: An American citizen shouldn’t feel the need to carry a passport
Correa: Let me tell you what some of your ICE agents have done. They pulled over a gentleman in a pickup truck who showed his passport. They threw it to the side detained him. What do we have to do to show that we’re American citizens?
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Good question, wouldn’t you agree, Jason?
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Many voters are going think about whether or not they had a WTF moment when they saw the receipt the last time they went grocery shopping.
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But you never mentioned a wtf moment ant the grocery store under demented.
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“If the lockout did miraculously happen”
The problem is even if the top two primary finishers were the two Republicans, some district judge somewhere would just throw it out and command that they do it over, or just change it to the top two finishers for each party.
What’s to stop such a judge?
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DW, legislative election precedent; two Dems locked out a gaggle of Republicans in a dark Red state Senate district recently. There was no court move to invalidate that election. SCOTUS would have to get involved in such a blatant power grab.
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Now, pissy Dems starting a recall attempt? I can see that. But voters would still have to go along, and it’s possible the new governor could have built some goodwill so that it looks like sour grapes white libs are hijacking a legal election by launching a blatant coup. Don’t automatically translate the redistricting referendum on a state level race.
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Zzzzzzzz I absolutely knew prices had gone up.
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You “knew” but never mentioned it.
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Re; inflation and groceries, the only item I’m still peeved about is that beef has remained stubbornly high. Even in CA, with all its attendant costs, that is really the only grocery staple that hasn’t really moved down. Gas is another story, and that’s about to get worse with Valero bailing on the state.
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Our family stocked up on coffee (something like 30 cans) right before last year’s tariffs. We have finally gone through that supply, Everyone in my household drinks a lot of coffee.
I see that coffee which was about $10 a can from my memory is now like $20 at my grocery store.
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GF: Enjoy the Gulf of Mexico. 😉
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GF – I have never been to Savannah but I heard that there is a tour based on the book Midnight in the Garden of good and evil.
I also like to tour cemeteries and ghost tours.
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Zzzzzzzzzz. Nobody criticized Biden, especially on the border, than I did. I just didn’t use stupid nicknames.
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Prickzter wont attend a meeting at the WH. His absence will save us taxpayers on catering.
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Suspect arrested in the Guthrie case.
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Detained I should say.
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It shouldn’t have taken 9 days to come up with that video.
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Couldn’t post on WordPress in flight, for some reason. No trouble getting to other websites, though.
Switching planes to Mobile now.
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15548361/High-school-shooting-Canada-10-dead-shooter.html
Jesus, Mary and Joseph. Carnage moves north.
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Long day. But a GOOD day.
Son came home from work (with my car) before 10 a.m.
I take car and go get gas ($2.55/gal) and go to insurance agent on insurance stuff for son’s car insurance. They say call them and give vin number if we decide to buy today.
Go o bank and transfer $9,000 from savings to checking.
Son and I drive to Baltimore to Hertz used car sales where they sell their rentals.
Find several we like. One we decide on was a 2025 Jetta SE (sun roof, heated seats, etc.).
A 2026 NEW Jetta SE similarly equipped is about $29,000 to $30,000.
OTHER places offer 2025 USED Jetta SEs for sale at $23,000-$24,000 BUT they have 36,000 miles or more on them
The Jetta we want has LESS than 14,000 miles. Price is $19,700
–still has 4 years left of factory warranty
–still has 6 years left on power train warranty
–still has several years left on roadside assistance
–has 3 free months of Sirius radio
–first payment not due until 45 days from now
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SNAG
They will accept up to $3000 of down payment on credit card (GOOD!) BUT…they only accept CERTIFIED CHECK, not just a personal check. So…we cannot close deal today. Have to go back to Baltimore on Saturday to do that.
The whole process was taking an inordinate amount of time, son (who had not had hardly any sleep since getting off work last night) was getting tired and frustrated with all this, etc. They wanted us to finance all except the $3000 credit card, do the loan for 6 years, then suggested that after we drive home with the new car, then go to bank put down $9000 and get another loan to pay off the longer payments and higher payments loans through them.
Then they said, how about if we just finish this tomorrow. Can you come back tomorrow. We said yes, they said they would wash and prep the car, and we would come back to seal the deal tomorrow. Driving home (through rush hour) we talked and decided Wed. is not a good day. Son has to work tomorrow morning 4 til 10, then has class he HAS to attend on Wed. at 5 p.m.–what if we get stuck in traffic and cannot get back by 5 p.m.? I treated son to a great dinner in Frederick MD at the Longhorn steak house.
So I will call the guy and tell him we cannot get back until Sat. (BTW they do not put a HOLD on the car, so someone else could possibly buy it before we get back.)
Between the sale of his car and the Fed and State tax refunds he is getting from last year, son has over $5000 to put into the down payment and wife and I will match that.
So tomorrow, I will go get certified check from my bank for the total price (minis the $3000 I intend to pay by credit card–so we can get more free airline mileage rewards on our credit card), And also get the bank t o start the process of a loan for $10,000 for my son with me as co-signer at lower monthly payments for a lot less years. And go get the car insurance squared away with the ins. agent and run a few more errands.
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In the meantime today, wife has been buying flowers, door prizes, moving furniture around to get ready for FRIDAY’s next soiree here at our house. Son and I helped move tables and insert extra table leaves after we got home this evening.
Let’s see what obstacle will crop up tomorrow that will try to thwart our plans….
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Sadly, it is becoming more clear that the GOP will lose both the House and Senate.
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The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
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