Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

No contest in Virginia

According to a PPP poll done for the Democrat Governor Association taken Oct 7-8 against 558 “Virginia Voters” which could mean anything.

VIRGINIA GOVERNOR
Spanberger 52
Earle-Sears43

Maybe black women in Virginia are just not ready for the first black female governor.

14 responses to “No contest in Virginia”

  1. WTF does “Virginia voters” mean?

    2021 exits had the gender split at 52/48 M/F. This poll has it at 53/47. There’s two points right off the bat. Then the internal modifier, then lack of a LV screen. I think Sears is behind, but I don’t buy nine points.

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  2. At least in my past whenever the candidate who would have been the “first” of any kind of characteristic happened to be on the losing, and Democrat side of the ballot, I have always been lectured that we just weren’t ready for the first of that kind.

    So that should swing both ways. Virginians were just not ready for the first black female governor.

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  3. Mayor:

    Quinnipiac

    Mamdani 46

    Cuomo 33

    Sliwa 15

    Mamdani perhaps not the lock to win.

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  4. QUIZ:

    300 Million – What does this number refer to?

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  5. Shipwreckedcrew

    @shipwreckedcrew

    ·

    The Attorney for Oregon just said that protesters bringing a guillotine to a protest is First Amendment protected speech.

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  6. “The Attorney for Oregon just said that protesters bringing a guillotine to a protest is First Amendment protected speech.”

    And Tim Kaine still supports the protesters.

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  7. PPP-D?

    It’s probably like 5 pts closer than that.

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  8. Who will be the first Dem to defend him. You know there will be one.

    “North Carolina state Rep. Cecil Brockman was arrested on Wednesday and is facing multiple felony counts related to sexually abusing a 15-year-old child.

    Brockman, a Democrat serving his sixth term in the state House, is accused of engaging in a sexual act with a minor on August 15, according to BPR

    The records say that Brockman, 41, engaged in a sexual act with a 15-year-old. He faces two counts each of indecent liberties with a child and statutory rape of a child who is 15 years old or younger.

    A magistrate’s order denying Brockman bond in the case says he is a state representative and has “attempted to use his status to gain information on the whereabouts of the victim.”

    The order also says that Brockman made attempts to contact the juvenile victim, including in the hospital.”

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  9. I think Schumer made a big mistake with his “every day that passes it gets better for us” statement.

    He should know better, even if he thought it was true he should not have said it out loud.

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  10. Hope springs eternal for Jake Tapper…

    CNN’s first reaction to the historic Gaza peace deal secured by President Trump:

    “This is not a larger peace deal, right?”

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  11. BREAKING: New York Attorney General Letitia James HAS BEEN INDICTED on charges of MORTGAGE FRAUD in Virginia by a grand jury.

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  12. Cygnal says Sears down by 4. Salt to taste.

    Abigail Spanberger: 49% (+4) [Was +7 previously]Winsome Sears: 45%

    10/6-7 | N=600LV

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