Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Virginia not close

According to Emerson/The Hill

VIRGINIA GOVERNOR
Spanberger52
Earle-Sears42

9/28 – 9/29, 725 LV

23 responses to “Virginia not close”

  1. First. Unfortunate news.

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  2. I don’t think its the final word on the race…obviously not a good poll for Earle-Sears. As a whole, the polling of this race was essentially the same leads that Warner had over Gillespie at this point in the race. Gillespie nearly won.

    I also wonder about the Charlie Kirk effect in two ways. The rural voters responding by turning out in greater numbers than normal for a Gov race, and other voters not wanting to tell a pollster of a vote for Earle-Sears out of fear of being shot.

    Some of the best ads against Spanberger are only now coming out. A month to go, a lot can happen.

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  3. better news….Generic ballot:

    RMG Research**
    Democrats 45, Republicans 46

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  4. One of the biggest takeaways from the Hegseth speech:

    Testosterone is not evil, and it belongs to men, not women.

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  5. This # is still “too high.”

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  6. “University In Texas Cancels TPUSA Event Featuring Transgender Detransitioner, AG Paxton to Intervene”

    When Dems cannot win an honest debate they kill and silence free speech.

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  7. Not a joke.

    Maxwell House coffee, after 133 years, rebranding to Maxwell Apartment.

    I guess apartment dwellers weren’t buying it because they thought it was only for houses?

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  8. Very good start to post season MLB. Except for the Reds/Dodgers series these games have exciting. Looking forward to watching all three today….

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  9. okay, Won’t ever buy that coffee again, because I don’t live in an apartment.

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  10. “Starbucks” Coffee is too toxic masculine and should be renamed “Stardoes”

    Liked by 1 person

  11. “Hills Brothers” should be renamed “Hills Sisters” or better yet, “Hills Gender Unspecified”

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  12. “Folgers” sounds like its for old codgers. Should rename it to “Fyoungsters”

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  13. MacDonald’s could be in trouble. There might not be enough Donalds to sustain the brand.

    Same with Wendy’s.

    And to eat at Burger King, do you have to be a subject, or can you be a citizen. Could get murky.

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  14. Looking forward to watching all three today….”

    Damm, I would rather watch paint dry than watch 3 baseball games.

    Or even 1 game.

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  15. Wait…

    Firing an illegal alien that faked his resume and doesn’t have any of the degrees he claimed was a difficult decision?

    I wonder what that Des Moines School Board would consider an easy decision?

    “Des Moines Public Schools Chair Jackie Norris has confirmed that Superintendent Ian Roberts failed to provide proof he was legally eligible to work for the district — and the board has now moved to accept his resignation. Norris: “He did not provide the board with the information we requested. The school board made the difficult but right decision given the circumstances.”

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  16. Same with Dennys…not enough of them, and they are all but out of business.

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  17. And how many people are named “Roy Rogers”? No wonder that chain flopped.

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  18. Maybe Coke should be changed to Fentanyl Cola. Do people still use cocaine?

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  19. And back in the mid 1980s when the Mets were good, they had TWO high caliber players for 3rd base. They were so good, each had their own hotel chain. Howard Johnson’s was higher class, as he was the better player, and Ray Knight had Knight’s Inn, a lower budget chain.

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  20. Cash Cow and I have learned quite a lot about the Charlie Kirk assassination.

    –Kirk was not really there, it was a hologram of Kirk. He escaped into a trapdoor that that directly under the tent.

    –a man standing behind Kirk pulled a zipper on his sleeve that ignited a device in the shirt Mike Kirk was wearing to shoot a bullet in him. Of course, the trigger mechanism would cause an explosion sound so it would also have to have a second trigger to make the sound of a rifle fired from the roof.

    –Kirks own people assassinated him.

    –The FBI released the footage from the security camera showing the shooter running on the rooftop, BUT why did they not release 5 seconds earlier in the footage that would show the shooter laying on the rooftop and taking the shot???

    –The note and text messages allegedly from shooter Robinson were all contrived by the FBI

    –three separate witnesses say they saw a female with the shooter

    –the FBI standard procedure in such a case would have secured the crime scene and done a reinactment mock up of the shooting but they never did it after Kirk shooting.

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  21. Walt, you got me. I checked right away to see if that was bunu impersonating you.

    Liked by 1 person

  22. I have now made fun of Charlie Cook’s toupee for more than a decade. But I just noticed his initial map for the US house race in 2026 is pretty favorable to the GOP.

    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

    Just need about 1/4th of the tossups to get to 218 house seats and a majority.

    Like