Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Republican closing fast in NJ

According to Quantus Insights.

NEW JERSEY GOVERNOR
Sherrill48.1
Ciattarelli45.8

Sept 29–30, 2025

A lot of good crosstab data in the link.

77 responses to “Republican closing fast in NJ”

  1. First. His ads are appearing more than hers on Philadelphia tv.

    Like

  2. hopefully settling into a good mix of poll threads and where is this? threads. I still don’t see any setting to explain why people are getting posts eaten. Getting by, but not a word press expert.

    Like

  3. At least I am doing better than the Mets, but that’s a low bar.

    Like

  4. DW is doing a great job for free. The Mets couldn’t make the playoffs with a $340 million payroll.

    Like

  5. 26 dead from the Philippines earthquake, so far…

    Like

  6. @EricLDaugh

    BREAKING: In a massive development, Republican Virginia governor candidate Winsome Earle-Sears NARROWS the race with only weeks to go Spanberger: 48% (+3) Earle-Sears: 45% Unsure: 6% GOP should VOTE SOON, this is winnable… A2 Insights | 9/26-28 | N=771LV

    Like

  7. But will enough voters stay home because of the gay Lt. Gov candidate to cost the GOP the win for Governor? DW?

    Like

  8. Cash Cow has been very busy researching and tracking 3I/ATLAS through the cosmos. She is very concerned.

    She says it looks like a giant turd.

    Like

  9. Heading toward Mars at 60 kilometers per second….

    Like

  10. Any update on the monkeys?

    Like

  11. Fox says the D ahead by 8 in NJ. Bummer.

    Like

  12. So 3 Dems voted to avert the shutdown. Fetterman, Masto and King. A little dissension in the ranks.

    Of course Rand Paul voted with the Dems

    Like

  13. Yankees lose. Oh well. I can’t stand the Red Sox fans. Almost as vile as Mets fans.

    Like

  14. 3I/ATLAS is the third known object coming from outside our part of the galaxy.

    It is sending off regular transmissions. Then pauses in what it is sending. As if it is perhaps receiving transmissions from elsewhere…

    Like

  15. First object outside our solar system was spotted in 2017. Named Umuamua (meaning “scout” in the Hawaiian language)…

    2019, the second one is spotted…2I/Borosov comes racing by…

    NOW, they have discovered 3I/ATLAS B (sometimes referred to as SWAN) which is coming behind 3I/ATLAS… Both will pass around the sun within a few days of each other.

    Like

  16. Oct. 21, R2Swan will pass by earth….

    Like

  17. Bitter,

    This is far bigger than monkey news.

    Like

  18. A2 Insights says the VA-Gov is a 3 point race. Make of it what you will.

    48 Spanberger45 Sears

    Alas, the down ballot races are also Dem wins;

    LtGov; 49-44AG; 49-46

    26-28 SEP, 771LV. MOE 2.5%*

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1JvPZonTcgsIQub-iPybVRibDE2HtiNV8/view

    Youngkin slightly underwater in this sample, so if you accept that, the numbers sound perfectly. I wasn’t aware that he sunk into negative territory, it seems all along he was looked upon at least somewhat favorably while National Republicans and particularly Trump were frowned upon.

    Like

  19. I see Bunu is back to stealing handles.

    We know it’s not you, Tina.

    Like

  20. Thanka, Bl. I cannnot believe bubu is stealing handles again.

    Like

  21. The clue is only Bunu talks about Israel committing genocide.

    Liked by 1 person

  22. Jason Cohen 

    @JasonJournoDC

    ·

    NEW: Former “Liberal Democrat” Alan Dershowitz *GOES SCORCHED EARTH* on Dem Party “I’m going to be supporting the Republicans in the midterm election!” “The Democrats have not only lost my votes — but they have made me an enemy!” “I’m not a Republican — but I am a very anti-Democrat. I’m against the Democratic Party.”

    @DailyCaller

    Like

  23. Jack Poso 🇺🇸

    @JackPosobiec

    ·

    8h

    POSOBIEC: “That was the best speech the military has heard since General Patton” “A fat general can’t march and a fat admiral sinks the ship”

    Like

  24. Who said this?

    No cheating

    “People say, why can’t you stop illegal immigrants from coming here?”

    “The number one answer we give our constituents is when they come here, they can get jobs, get benefits against the law because of fraud.”

    Like

  25. Ok, I will make it easier:

    a. Joe Biden

    b. Chuck Schumer

    c. Angus King

    d. Mark Warner

    Like

  26. Like

  27. okay, I take that to mean I get a second guess, so will go with Chuck U. Schumer

    Like

  28. Winner, winner, chicken dinner.

    Like

  29. 1996.

    Like

  30. Okay, I am inclined to agree that the Hegseth speech was the best since Patton. Just with fewer expletives and a suit instead of a flamboyant uniform.

    Like

  31. What is the most popular name given newborn boys in the US in 2024?

    Oliver– in ME, VT, WV, OH, WI, IN, IA, MO, KS, NE, ND, MT, ID, WA, OR, WY, UT, Alaska

    Theodore–NH

    Noah–MA, PA, MI, SC, NM, HA

    Liam–in every other state of the union

    Like

  32. And like Patton, Hegseth did not need the teleprompter. You see the teleprompter behind him, but he walked around freely and looked right at the leaders before him.

    Like

  33. EXCEPT it is WILLIAM in AL, and MS

    Like

  34. What is the most common female name given at birth in 2024?

    Charlotte–in ME, NH, RI, VA, SC, GA, MS, AL, KY, OH, IN, MI, WI, IA, NE, KS, ID

    Emma–WY

    Mia–CA, NM, CT, NJ

    Ava–MS

    Amelia–Alaska, SD, MO, TN, WV, VT

    Olivia–all the remaining states

    Like

  35. EXCEPT it is EVELYN in ND

    Like

  36. The Dems voting to shut down the government locks in the illegal aliens’ votes.

    Like

  37. InsiderAdvantage

    Trump Approval:

    Approve 52, Disapprove 46

    Like

  38. Government shut down.

    THUS, government HUTS, are SHUT. for the UTHS.

    Like

  39. AOC tells Rs to “negotiate” with her regarding Schumah shutdown

    Like

  40. I read that everyone stationed at Camp Pendleton watched the Hegseth speech live, and they were cheering wildly throughout.

    Like

  41. In the English language, these are silent letters in various words.

    A, B, C, D, E, G, H, K, L, N, P, R, S, T, W , and U.

    Your challenge is to show OTHER letters not listed above that are silent in some word.

    Like X as is “faux” (except that is not an English word).

    Like

  42. The vowel i is silent in many words like “lain” which is pronounced the same as ‘lane’

    Like

  43. Thanks Walt for being the tenured professor of word wizardry.

    Liked by 1 person

  44. Walt did invent all languages.

    Liked by 1 person

  45. lol

    Like

  46. Chase Delauter, formerly a baseball player from Hedgesville WV, (my hometown) and WVU has been called up to the majors to play for Cleveland in the playoff game. He is batting 7th.

    Go Chase!

    Like

  47. Good luck to Chase and Cleveland. Sorry, JG.

    Like

  48. I have no issue with female fighter pilots. Phoenix was the best pilot other than Maverick on the mission to blow up the nuclear weapons site.

    Like

  49. Women have as good as if not better hand eye coordination on the mean than men, and that’s a critical skill set for a dogfight. They also tend to have better night vision, something the Soviets took advantage of when they sent women in rickety open cockpit planes up against the Luftwaffe during the Stalingrad engagement (look up the “Night Witches”).

    Like

  50. When the AI is corrupt

    Like

  51. Update on the guy at the Rescue Mission that we have been helping for years…

    He called and needed a ride to doctor appt. so I go get him to take him there. He says, “this shouldn’t;t take long.” An hour or so later he returns to car. Then he wants me to take him to McDonalds where he uses his debit card to buy a $11.18 meal. Then he wants me to take him to WalGreen where he comes out with a bag of stuff. Then he wants me to take him to the bank. He says “I want to give you $20 for taking me around today instead of the usual $10.” So we then go to bank. He says “have them check my balance first. He gets $1200/mo from soc. sec. His balance is $4.36. So I get 0 dollars from him for transportation today. Then he wants me to take him to Senior towers to get an application to get an apartment there. I say “Charles, I have to be in Inwood in 15 minutes. I do not have time to take you there.” so I took him back to rescue mission.

    He has $4.36 in his account and wants to put in application to get an apartment where he will have to pay security deposit and first months rent (instead of living FOR FREE with zero spent for fools or housing at Rescue Mission.) The guy is nuts.

    Like

  52. $ for illegals is actually no big deal – translation below:

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1973367513250476177

    Like

  53. Cleveland had a nice revenge today, not to mention San Diego shutting out Chicago. Yankees just got a two run homer in the bottom of the 1st; I’ve never liked either New York or Boston, hard for me to root for either, so hopefully they can beat up on each other and wear themselves down.

    Like

  54. Of course, Dodgers bullpen giving up 5 runs to that anemic offense last night not great, but having scored 10 runs, they could give up a little and not have to pull out all the stops in order to save some firepower for today. You can get away with that in a Best of 3, but not 5 or 7.

    Like

  55. Walt – He had 2 at bats. No hits. But he played!

    Liked by 1 person

  56. And a walk.

    Liked by 1 person

  57. GF – The Dodgers bullpen is why I want the Phillies to play them. Phillies won’t score much against the starters but if they can keep it close for 5 innings they can win.

    Like

  58. That’s a fair point, BL; if this was July and August when our bats were silent, I’d easily lay a tidy sum against LA. Right now, their offense has found its mark for the past few weeks. Whether the streak continues is another thing, of course.

    Having now said that, watch the Dodger bats go quiet into the night…

    Like

  59. We play with the bullpen we have…not the one we want!

    Like

  60. GF – Did you mention the night?

    Like

  61. Phillies can score 13 or 0 runs.

    Like

  62. Jane Goodall, probably the only person in the world who knew more about apes than Walt, dead at 91.

    Liked by 1 person

  63. Oh, I’m well aware! I heard it on the radio driving down to San Diego, it was bad enough hearing it, I was thankfully spared from the viewing spectacle!😂

    Like

  64. Worried, huh?

    “Democratic Rep. Jared Golden  (Maine) criticized “far-left groups” for demanding Democrats vote against a Republican-backed proposal to fund the government.

    “This government shutdown is the result of hardball politics driven by the demands far-left groups are making for Democratic Party leaders to put on a show of their opposition to President Trump,” Golden said in a Wednesday statement

    Golden was the lone Democrat to vote for the GOP funding bill, which passed the House 217-212 on Sept. 19.”

    Like

  65. Trump’s library will be in Miami.

    Who wouda thunk.

    Like

  66. Once again, Walt outlives an expert.

    Liked by 1 person

  67. Hamas signalling they will reject the peace deal

    Like

  68. Yankees tie it up. Let’s see if the Reds can make it 1 All for each grouping.

    Like

  69. OK, Bitter; you got your wish, see you Saturday!

    Like

  70. GF – I never want to see the Phillies play anybody in the playoffs. They can beat or lose to any team. Should be a 5 game series. I will predict Phillies win it but every game will be stressful.

    Like

  71. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    the M is silent in mnemonic.

    that’s another one.

    Like

  72. @realDonaldTrump·

    I have a meeting today with Russ Vought, he of PROJECT 2025 Fame, to determine which of the many Democrat Agencies, most of which are a political SCAM, he recommends to be cut, and whether or not those cuts will be temporary or permanent. I can’t believe the Radical Left Democrats gave me this unprecedented opportunity. They are not stupid people, so maybe this is their way of wanting to, quietly and quickly, MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!

    President DJT

    Like

  73. Like