National Research (R) 600 Likely Voters
 | NEW JERSEY – GOVERNOR |
| Ciattarelli | 46 |
| Sherrill | 45 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
National Research (R) 600 Likely Voters
| NEW JERSEY – GOVERNOR |
| Ciattarelli | 46 |
| Sherrill | 45 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
126 responses to “New Jersey Poll”
First
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Not much to be said about this poll that hasn’t been covered (I’ll look for crosstabs and see if anything stands out). This should come down to a three point race either way.
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Agreed GF. The Virginia race is more complex.
The message of Democrats to young people is: You will find happiness if you turn yourself into a freak, drink booze, take drugs, and become a dependent on the federal government who will be your faithful god, spouse, and mother figure.
The message of Charlie Kirk to young people is: You will find happiness if you make something positive of yourself, obey the law, find a spouse, marry, have children and be a good parent.
We will see which message wins at the ballot box.
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I remember when there was little as satisfying as being frist here….ah back in the day…tttiiiiimmmmeee, is on my side…yes it is.
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DW – Any hope that the Evangelical voters in Virginia can set aside their opposition to the gay Lt. Gov. candidate and see that a Republican Governor will be better for them?
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DW in Virginia, because of the peoples republic of North Virginia, it is message A…sadly
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yeah, I think most evangelicals will vote for both Sears and the Lt. Gov candidate, but the more conservative churches will only vote for Sears and Atty General, leaving blank the Lt. Gov race.
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NJ FOP just endorsed Jack; they went for Murphy in 2017 and stayed neutral last time.
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Trump has switched sides and now sees Ukraine as possibly winning the war and taking back Russian-occupied territory. He also called for NATO to shoot down any Russian fly-overs into their countries. Wow, talk about being pissed at Putin!
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Ryan Routh gave his own closing argument.
He mentioned J6 and Trump bad orange man, before being cut off by Judge Cannon, who has to be a favorite for an appellate position.
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Oh my.
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Has Trump abandoned Ukraine yet?
I had read somewhere that it would be shortly after Inauguration Day.
Has the tariff-driven inflation gone wild yet? I see even Powell is conceding it ain’t happening.
Chicon
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Wow, if Trump is abandoning Putin we should have a welfare check on Chicon, Tina and Janzam.
After years emotionally invested in their supreme hero, I don’t know if they could take Trump knifing them in the back.
But that is what suicide hotlines are for.
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, but the more conservative churches will only vote for Sears and Atty General, leaving blank the Lt. Gov race.”
I guess deadender morons will be deadender morons. I suppose they think the Dem Lt Gov will be more socially conservative than the gay Republican.
Good luck with that idiocy.
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Has the tariff-driven inflation gone wild yet? “:
LOL
I will take “things never said” for $5000 please.
Overall inflation is a compilation of prices for items that may or may not be subject to tariffs, and higher prices for some items due to tariffs could be offset by lower prices non-tariff products due to other factors such as deregulation. So overall inflation is not the best place to look for the impact of tariffs.
Tariffs affect the products that are subject to them. Decreases in sales for those products will be reflected in supply chain for those products, and reduced demand could have effects on components of that specific supply chain, for example, transportation, employment, retail space, advertising/marketing, profitability, investments, tax revenues, etc.
The best way to see what the impact on a product that is subject to tariffs is to compare the sales volume before and after the tariffs are actually imposed and all products in the pipeline/inventory have been sold.
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Trump could still screw over Ukraine. Trump will probably switch positions several more times.
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Well, each time he does, Chicon will be to praise him just the same.
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Be here that should read.
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Too late could not find inflation.
Maybe 0-21 and the free passers can?
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Escalator thing could have resulted in someone falling. It was intentionally halted as the other escalator was not stopped.
Moreover, not sure if the secret service acted accordingly.
We no longer need the un given their chronic history and grifting, corruption, and incompetence
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I am not sure why the secret service failed to surround trump,as soon as the escalator was halted by the un trash.
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Pretty sure that is part of the just launched secret service investigation. Not a good day for that agency.
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The UN stopped an escalator on purpose?
Zzzzzzz….
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The US is not pulling out of the UN, you read it here first.
Despite the bluster, Trump calmed down later.
During his bilateral meeting with U.N. Secretary General António Guterres, Trump appeared to temper his address, telling the former Portuguese prime minister that the U.S. is behind the U.N. “100 percent.”
“I think the potential of the United Nations is incredible. Really incredible. It can do so much. I’m behind it. I may disagree with it some times, but I am so behind it,” he said. “The potential for peace with this institution is so great. So I just want to thank you for treating us so lovely.”
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Tina must be an incredibly insecure person. Everybody she dislikes is called fat, a substance abuser, trash, etc….Not exactly mature substantive criticism.
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The UN is completely woke, it is anti-American, and it is invested in world government. It has bastardized its original purpose.
Trump is right to challenge it and to promote change.
But as an institution it is very important because it is really the only forum to bring nations together and resolve issues that affect them.
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We no longer need the un”
Maybe we should just build a 10 mile wall around America, that will keep everyone out and everyone in.
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Air Force One documentary starting on National Geographic
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10 mile high wall.
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Tina needs a Time Machine. She has to go back to prevent the UN from being formed, the airplane from being invented, and steamships from being built.
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Wow, Trump is talking about Ukraine annexing part of Russia now.
Ukraine would be able to take back their Country in its original form and, who knows, maybe even go further than that!”
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What do you all make of this :
NYC TELECOM THREAT FOILED
CACHE OF DEVICES
PLOT TO CRASH CELL NETWORK
The article says these are similar to others discovered recently in CA and in the Midwest.
Who behind it? My 2 cents, it is either Russia (80%) or China (20%).
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But I will be happy with taking back their country in its original form.
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I watched Kimmel’s monologue. Zzzzzzzz
Now I can go back to not watching him.
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Bitter really has a cast iron stomach for wokeness.
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BREAKING: Greta Thunberg found herself off the boat stranded en route to Gaza, her own crew made the decision to kick her off.”
I wonder if Bunu is still on.
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I think China is far more likely than Russia.
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I won’t rely on somebody else giving their opinion of what he said when I can’t watch it myself.
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I don’t follow Twitter/X or Trump’s social media or anybody else’s social platforms. HHR and FB are it for me.
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When I can watch it myself. I miss my edit button.
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So what did he say?
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Heh….
“Kamala Harris may be on the WORST book tour in history.
Admitted she blocked Pete as VP because he’s gay.
Admitted she was too scared to confront Biden.
Tossed Newsom, Shapiro & even Biden under the bus.
It’s not a memoir, it’s a political suicide note.”
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I heart the UN
-freepasser
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I heart the UN
Said by nobody at HHR except Bunu.
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He lied that he did not mean to disparage Kirk or MAGA. He praised Ted Cruz for supporting him. He praised Kirk’s widow for forgiving his killer. He defended the right to free speech. He claimed he has conservative family and friends.
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I think it is not a coincidence that Bubu hacked into HHR and stole handles and the discovery on the electronic network of servers that could shut down all cell phone activity and 911 centers.
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Walt – Do you think that the monkeys are working with the cell phone scheme?
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Like Trump, I support the UN as an institution. I agree with him that the UN has a lot of good potential.
I don’t support how its been turned into a forum for wokeness and world government and anti-Americanism.
Both can be true.
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It’s funny how Bunu supports the UN because it is anti-US and anti-Israel.
Nobody is less inclined to infringe on individual liberties than the UN and its myriad of woke and leftist agencies
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“Three people were injured at a Dallas ICE facility this morning and police are searching for a possible sniper, sources told our sister station, WFAA.”
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This will definitely be the gun’s fault.
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Jimmy Kimmel will probably issue a statement that the sniper was MAGA unhappy with the pace of deportations.
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The headline was exciting, the content less so.
“John Bolton’s Office Raid Bombshell: Classified Documents Related to WMDs, Strategic Comms Found”
“An inventory of the property taken at Bolton’s office indicates several electronic devices, as well as a binder labeled “U.S. Dept of State Diplomatic Security,” containing an “introductory security briefing prepared for the 2000-2001 transition team,” were seized.
Among the other documents reportedly found, according to the inventory, were travel memos labeled “secret” and those labeled “confidential” pertaining to a U.S. mission to the United Nations and the U.S. government’s strategic communications plan.”
“Introductory security briefing prepared for the 2000-2001 transition”? Zzzzzzz…
I hope there is more than that.
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Let’s do a poll.
The United Nations location should
A. remain in NYC
B. be moved to the Gaza Strip land
C. moved to Switzerland
D. moved to Greenland
E. moved to Never Never land.
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my vote is C. Switzerland
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A. Remain in NYC
Moving it will only make it more hostile to the US than it already is.
Plus it contributes greatly to the the local economy.
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I vote A. NYC is not the problem. The anti-American and anti-Semitic members of the UN are the problem.
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Breaking
New home sales exploded in August -800,000 homes.
Small biz confidence is at a 10 year high.
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zerohedge
@zerohedge
·
26m
New home sales 800K, Exp. 650K, Last 664K Building permits 1330K, Exp. 1312K, Last 1312K
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Plus it will be fun to see all those American UN workers paying higher taxes under Mandami.
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I don’t have Trump’s social media. I follow some people on Twitter but I only go there when there is a link to it. I follow Elon Musk and a few other people on topics I am interested in such as guns and food.
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There are about 7000 US employees at the UN out of the 44000 (in NYC, overall the UN employs 140,000 (!) people”.
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Dallas ICE gunman killed himself.
Nobody else had died yet, but 3 injured.
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Polymarket has Spanberger a 95-5 favorite in VA.
In NJ a little better, 85-15.
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Govt shutdown 60% favorite.
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I reject the Tylenol/autism claim because it is being pushed by a radical leftist Democrat lawyer, RFK, Jr.
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I reject not being able to access my 26%th Covid vaccine.
-Freepasser
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Social media is full of videos of liberal pregnant women swallowing multiple Tylenols to spite RFK.
Of course, we do know Tylenol can damage the liver so we might have fewer liberal women and more autistic children.
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Far left Democrat RFK Jr didn’t make Tina’s RINO list yet?
Just a matter of time.
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Ive found that to be the funniest hypocrisy to date, the undying support of RFK, an obvious kook, super far left liberal, all because he is the savior of those who hate “big Pharma”. .. you know those evil corporate people who create life saving drugs/medicine to help people live longer…only to want to kill them with their other drugs.
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Please name anybody at HHR who wants more Covid vaccines. You are embarrassing yourself, Tina.
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I would have died in 1983 without Big Pharma’s insulin.
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Reuters/Ipsos
Crime: R+20
Immigration: R+18
Foreign conflicts: R+12
Economy: R+10
Corruption: R+6
Gun control: R+4
Political extremism: R+4
Environment: D+14
Women’s rights: D+13
Healthcare: D+9
Respect for democracy: D +2
Women’s rights is disappointing unless you think men in women’s sports is a “right”.
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an obvious kook, super far left liberal”
The Cultists will always sell out.
They oppose the “Drats”, the “moonbats”, the “commies”, until Trump appoints one.
Then the become Gods to the Cult.
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I believed everything Fauci said.
-free passer
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Let’s see how the freepassers spin this one.
@JonathanTurley
Classified material was reportedly seized from the home of John Bolton. For politicians and pundits who insisted that classified material found at Mar-a-Lago justified that raid, the goose just met the gander in the narrative surrounding the Bolton raid…
·
67.7K Views
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I am sure Jimbo Kimble and Bits will say it’s Maga that shot up the Dallas Ice.
https://x.com/LauraLoomer/status/1970878100230520849
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The ammunition has anti-Ice writings on them. But the victims are detainees, not agents.
Maybe he is just a bad shot.
Anyway, his name is Joshua Jahn, 29.
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Classified material was reportedly seized from the home of John Bolton. For politicians and pundits who insisted that classified material found at Mar-a-Lago justified that raid”
Right.
But you can’t have it both ways. You can’t say the docs Trump had were irrelevant mementos of his Presidency and then say a binder labeled “U.S. Dept of State Diplomatic Security,” containing an “introductory security briefing prepared for the 2000-2001 transition team,”merits the death penalty.
Let’s see what Bolton really had and what kind of classified info he might have divulged in his book.
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Possible explanation on why those shot were detainees.
The shooter fired at an ICE van, maybe thinking there were ICE agents in it, but the van had detainees being transferred.
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Breaking
Mslsd reports that James Comedy was indicted. Charges include lying to Congress in 2020.
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I am surprised that the auto pen/hunter did not pardon comedy.
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Comey expected to be indicted “soon” over charges of lying to Congress, as the 5-year statute of limitation expires next week.
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Ive found that to be the funniest hypocrisy to date, the undying support of RFK, an obvious kook, super far left liberal, all because he is the savior of those who hate “big Pharma”. ..
J D Vance was called a “moron,” before he was chosen as VP. Currently there are no moronic remarks directed at his performance or conduct as VP. RFK Jr is constantly derided for his chronic disease perspectives. I look at the people delivering such assessments as ones refusing to think out of the box, trapped by senseless consensus thinking, that is doing little to improve our chronic disease dilemma.
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trapped by senseless consensus thinking
Irony Meter explodes as Cult Member complains about “consensus thinking.”
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The left knows no boundaries when it come to assailing a person’s character or reputation. One of their latest assaults has been installing a facetious set of Trump/Epstein statutes in DC.
https://san.com/cc/us-park-police-remove-trump-epstein-statue-from-national-mall/
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Irony meter explodes as consensus thinkers deny their consensus thinking.
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A number of reputable medical research insitutions have found a connection between acetophinomen use in pregnant women and autism in their children. That is not to say that there is conclusive evidence, but it does warrant further research. At a minimum, aspirin use has exploded since it became an OTC drug in 1960, and by exploded, i mean that average annual doses went from 0.5 thehn to nearly 60 now (I think 58 is the number I saw). It’s shocking that we do not have more liver toxicity in this country.
As for the pregnant Tik Tok moms/moms to be, I think it is safe to say that they are demonstrating clear narcissistic tendencies. No one should diagnoze from afar, but the signs are pretty clear. Tylenol itself cautioned against using their products during pregnancy, but these insane Marxists just down a bunch of it to make a point and signal their Resist Sh*tlib virtue. I hope those future children end up ok, though with mothers like that, they are probably screwed even if they don’t end up neurodivergent. Regardless, if I ever meet an alleged “mom” like that who has an autistic kid, I will not refrain from lighting her up and blaming her child’s ailment on her stupidity and vanity.
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The freepassers had no issues with the leftist Fauci.
talk about irony.
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My original post was also Tylenols tweet not to use “any of its products” while pregnant. Does it cause autism? Dunno, but further research is warranted.
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As a general rule, expectant moms should eat healthy anyway.
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Now they are reporting that Latasha James (leticia James) will be indicted for mortgage fraud.
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With respect to Comedy, there are 3 separate GJ investigstions. Two in Va (different districts) and one in an unknown district.
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I would find great pleasure in having that vile woman, Latisha James, enjoying the arms of the law entangling her life and hopefully liberty.
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The Cult had no issues with Trump having Fauci speak at daily press conferences for months.
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The Cult had no issues with Trump having Fauci speak at daily press conferences for months.
Untrue, but you are so enamored referencing cultist behavior that reality and fantasy become blended when it serves your purposes.
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Jan – You lie. Tina’s only issue with Fauci for months was that he endorsed Hillary Clinton. You never complained about Fauci at Trump’s press conferences. Now you are trying to revise history because you don’t want to admit it was Trump who made Fauce the face of his response to Covid.
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The freepassers wanted to give metals to Fraudci. Fell for the origins, the vax, etc.
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Fell for the origins, the vax, etc.
Trump was the one who streamlined and pushed the vaccine. Tina and the Cult leave that out.
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Two CIA assets finally meet
https://x.com/runews/status/1970964573735075898
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Jason must be so excited that Bunu is back.
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Go easy on him. He probably lost 50 lbs barfing on the flotilla.
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Tina hates Drats.
Unless Trump appoints one to the cabinet, then it becomes the best Drat in the history of Drats.
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15131183/Mother-Dallas-ICE-shooter-Joshua-Jahn-hardline-liberal.html
I will just leave this here.
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Bunu cites Russian news. Didn’t Hamas have any good stories today?
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Why does Trump still mention Kimmel? All he does is increase his collapsing ratings and make him seem relevant. He’s not. Let him fade away.
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https://nypost.com/2025/09/24/us-news/arkansas-sisters-who-trashed-charlie-kirk-memorial-beg-for-cash-after-losing-jobs/
Is the DNC hiring?
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New NATO ally!
20 years of US foreign policy in one photo.
https://x.com/runews/status/1971117376868581883
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
·
BREAKING: In a major turn of events, NEW JERSEY 2025 governor’s race is TIED Mikie Sherrill: 43% Jack Ciattarelli: 43% Unsure: 11% MASSIVE… Emerson | 9/22-23 | N=935LV
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Now we know why this loser podcaster was put in charge of the FBI by Drumf
BREAKING: FBI Director Kash Patel agrees to team up with Democrat Rep. Jared Moskowitz to push CENSORSHIP of Americans on social media who share “conspiracy theories” about Israel
https://x.com/LegitTargets/status/1971190450985030057
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2nd quarter gdp (final) came in at 3.8%. This was a big miss by the “experts.” Granted it’s looking in the rear view mirror a bit.
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Meghan Kelly takes down brainwashed student:
STUDENT: “Why do you support a president who contributes to the rhetoric that got your friend Charlie killed?! He said, ‘I hate my enemies.’”
KELLY: “Assumes facts not in evidence. What you said is not true…That’s a blatant lie. It’s a defamatory blaspheme and it’s inappropriate in the setting.”
STUDENT: “That’s not what I said.”
KELLY: “Yes it is.”
STUDENT: “No I said he contributed to the political atmosphere.”
KELLY: “Well then you have no point. Then your point is utterly empty. Contributing to the atmosphere? Let’s just make clear. This guy was motivated by LEFTIST IDEOLOGY. We know it from the bullet casings, from his own mother.”
STUDENT: “Let’s say this guy is a leftist, even if that’s true, does that make it okay for the sitting president of the United States to incite violence against liberals?”
KELLY: “The president of United States has not incited violence against liberals. The president of United States made a joke at the Charlie Kirk Memorial…and by the way, Trump has EVERY RIGHT to loathe his enemies. They tried to put him in JAIL for the rest of his life! Tried to bankrupt him. Tried to put his family in jail. And they tried to KILL him.”
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So that internal NJ poll was for real.
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Trump got a 57% approval rate (overnight) in Rasmussen.
Prolly due to the strength of the economy and signs of lower inflation.
Muh stagflation is wiped clean.
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More GOP than Dem ads in the Philadelphia market for the NJ Governor’s race. The only problem is that more NJ voters will see ads from the New York stations and I don’t know how that is playing out.
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3.8% GDP?!? Can’t be. I blame tariffs.
Chicon
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Also, prolly due to his fight on crime and 2 million illegals gone.
Still 18 million illegals to go.
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Yikes.
Eric Daugherty:
BREAKING: The White House is planning for “MASS LAYOFFS” if the government does indeed shut down, using the opportunity of a funding lapse to remove more federal employees.
LMFAO! Chuck Schumer is losing BIG right now! – Shut the government down, Trump fires bureaucrats – Keep the government open, cave to Trump “The memo from the White House Office of Management and Budget directs agencies to consider firing employees working on any program that is not funded by another law, such as Republicans’ One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July, and which does not align with the president’s priorities.
Once government funding is reinstated after a shutdown, agencies should revise their plans to keep only the smallest number of employees necessary to legally operate, the memo says,” WaPo reports This is what plan and adapt looks like!
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Trump didn’t break Kimmel; he energized him. Viewership of Kimmel’s monologue has already broken records. Already 7 million people have viewed it on YouTube. That’s by far the most watched Kimmel video on YouTube in the last 6 months. The median Kimmel video gets ~240k views.”
So CNN admits nobody watches.
The truth will set you free.
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jason and Trump will be watching the Ryder Cup tomorrow. Trump is less busy than I am, so he will attend in person.
“On Friday, President Trump is heading to Farmingdale, New York, to attend the Ryder Cup.”
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I blame tariffs.”
I will bite on the stinky bait.
You shouldn’t, since most were not even implemented until way into the 2nd quarter and any effects would not show in 2nd quarter numbers.
And, of course, just like inflation, GDP measures the overall economy.
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These people are really deranged…
Amanda Marcotte
“His empire was built on videos promising sexualized humiliation of liberal women — really, girls — for MAGA men.”
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I am accepting betting recommendations on the Ryder Cup. No, I won’t share the winnings but anyone contributing will get a rising vote of thanks.
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https://x.com/MargoMartin47/status/1970997782258516426?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1970997782258516426%7Ctwgr%5E40e31d31a55f1812d94d02e3e51d1f6ea3af6c30%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftownhall.com%2Ftipsheet%2Fmattvespa%2F2025%2F09%2F25%2Ftrump-saw-the-marine-corps-silent-drill-platoon-on-the-south-lawn-heres-what-happened-next-n2663937
These Marines now have challenge coins that are worth their weight in gold.
They won’t ever have to buy a beer again.
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New Thread
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