Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.0 / 56.0 | -15.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.1 / 53.1 | -8.0 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.0 / 56.0 | -15.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.1 / 53.1 | -8.0 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
104 responses to “Happy Debate Eve!”
Frist!
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Highest Trump has been on Predictit since the Kamala coup.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
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Nate Silverhack:
“This morning’s NYT/Siena poll contained a pair of questions on whether voters think Harris is too liberal/progressive3 and whether Trump is too conservative. The numbers were lopsided in Trump’s favor. Only 32 percent of voters said Trump was too conservative, while 47 said Harris was too liberal. The demographics on this question are about what you might expect. Harris is faring poorly among white voters without college degrees, rural voters, and older voters: the types of voters who are plentiful in Blue Wall states like Pennsylvania.”
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More Silverhack:
“Harris also blew one big opportunity to tack to the center with her selection of Tim Walz rather than Josh Shapiro: that a tiny minority of progressives objected to Shapiro was an argument in Shapiro’s favor, if anything. I think Walz was a decent enough pick on his own merits, but given an opportunity to offer a tangible signal of the direction her presidency was headed, she reverted to 2019 mode.”
Shapiro was no “tack to center”. I am not really convinced Shapiro is not ideologically as left wing as Walz. He is, however, much more careful in what he says about the issues and he avoids black and white statements of the type Walz constantly makes. Shapiro would sign any anti-gun legislation that came across his desk, no matter how radical or unconstitutional, but you won’t catch him saying he wants to confiscate guns for example.
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Can Jason do a wellness check on Dave McCormick? I have seen a few anti-Casey ads by PACs but I have no ads with McCormick speaking in months.
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There is a ad running here where McCormick speaks directly to the camera and basically calls Casey a liar for saying he profits from fentanyl. He says Casey is trying to run away from voting with Biden to allow illegals and drug dealers to enter the country at will. Good ad.
That been said, both of them seem to be running fewer ads. I don’t watch football so I don’t know if any ran during the games yesterday.
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Babylon Bee:
Trump preparing for debate by going into bars and arguing with drunks.
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Babylon Bee:
Harris campaign admits Tim Walz was the only one who answered their Craigslist ad
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Babylon Bee:
Kamala assures voters any communism will be transitory
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Babylon Bee:
Kamala quietly asks aides if she should just try sleeping with the economy
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miller destroys mark cuban
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/ex-trump-senior-advisor-stephen-miller-destroys-kamalas/
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I did not see one political ad last night on Naked and Afraid or Air Disasters.
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Maybe McCormick could run a few of those ads in the Philadelphia market because Casey is hammering him on fentanyl here.
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Maybe they ran between the black national anthem, “it takes all of us” and “end racism”.
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Maybe McCormick could run a few of those ads in the Philadelphia market because Casey is hammering him on fentanyl here.”
Maybe they think Casey is wasting money on that. I find the accusation that somehow McCormick is responsible for fentanyl ridiculous. But maybe it works with low info voters.
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Awww……let’s all feel bad for “conservative” Billy
Bill Kristol
@BillKristol
Distressing—depressing—alarming. After everything—after January 6th, after clear evidence a second term would be far more authoritarian than the first, after the ever-increasing radicalization of MAGA world—Trump now has more support than he had in 2016 or 2020.”
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Maybe someone could remind Billy that people care more about inflation, mortgages, cost of living, etc. than they do about Jan 6.
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Time for Biden’s beitch to promote an amnesty bill.
Jack Poso
@JackPosobiec
I’m surprised Natl Review hasn’t published “The conservative case for eating your neighbors pets and local waterfowl”
·
I24.3K Views
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Heh…
Storm Paglia
@storm_paglia
Trump had to hit a straight flush to beat the democrat lawfare before the election, and by God the magnificent son of a bitch did it.”
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The conservative case for eating your neighbors pets and local waterfowl”
Hmmm….Amos doesn’t have any pets, but he does have some tasty heifers and delicious goats.
I do have geese that leave large turds everywhere. I call it fertilizer, my wife thinks its something I should pick up and bag. An obvious difference of opinion.
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I do not think the nation every debated the Jan 6 event.
Was it “an attempt by armed individuals to overthrow the government of the U.S. and prevent the peaceful transition of power?”
Or was it “an attempt by mostly very patriotic people who care deeply about their country to ensure that the actual significant (real or imaginary) voting irregularities that happened in November were fully investigated to ensure that the will of the actual voters in November was not being overthrown by people who believe in winning at whatever costs and by all means necessary and regularly employ underhanded (illegal?) tactics to win and subvert the will of the people?
*********************
I guess that in about 100 years some journalists will research, write and produce such a thing and present to the American people in a way that gives both sides of the story.
But it took months for the media to actually print how many people were at the J6 rally, how many people actually committed crimes to break in the capitol, how many went inside, how many were arrested and convicted of crimes.
And VERY LITTLE effort by the press to actually investigate the huge number of charges of voting “irregularities” that had been brought forward by various normal citizens who were taken aback by what they witnessed. To their credit, some state legislators did conduct hearings months after Jan 6.
If the press and the government would have done their job between Nov election and Jan. 6, we may not have had a Jan 6 event.
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I have heard flocks of geese flying overhead. If they are headed south now, does that mean anything about the upcoming winter?
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Thats an interesting fact Walt, that I bet many people do not know. I don’t. How many people were at the rally. I bet it was in the high tens of thousands if not more than 100,000.
how many actually entered the capital building. I think it was in the low hundreds…meaning less than 0.1% of the people attending, yet, it was an “armed insurrection.” Oh, and could someone tell me which of those who entered the capital was armed, and when they used those arms. Last I heard the only one shot and killed was an unarmed woman by capital police.
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BTW, that is the lefts latest attempt to manipulate Americans via their state run media, “mainstream Republicans voting for Kamala”…and “country over party, being unselfish”
Hmmmm seems to me Cheney is coming out against Trump because of a personal vendetta, Trump trashed his pathetic daughter. So not so much, country over party there.
And which “mainstream Republicans” are voting Harris besides Dem who ran as a Republican Kinzinger and Im pissed because I didn’t become Speaker so ill get Trump Cheney?
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Kamala’s numbers in the mid-west look pretty shaky. Given that the mid-west will decide the electoral college results (the only results that matter) it looks like Democrats have run out of options. Lawfare is a no go. The Russian BS has already been tried. The January 6th card isn’t working any longer. the Kamala sugar high is fading. Looks like the only thing left is to circle back on assassination. Expect another try and especially if tomorrow’s debate doesn’t go well for Kamala.
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Kristol Meth is having a bad day.
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All j6ers need to be hung.
-free passer
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Vic,
There was another woman (unarmed protestor) who died in a tunnel entrance on Jan. 6.
I do not absolve those who broke windows, attacked police officers at the Capitol and did property damage, etc. inside the Capitol. But the number who did that was a wee percentage of everyone who was there.
I remember I saw a live shot of what was happening at the capitol and when some were trying to break windows, etc. one taller guy in the crowd rushed in to pull that guy away (he was attacked by others in the crowd). Never saw that clip of the Jan 6 activities again.
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Russia hoax
Russia bounties.
loon and the rinos have supported these lies.
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I am glad I don’t live in Phil’s dark world.
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Very good article here. Fake flapper and his fake outrage. Cn and n trotting out “little McCain.” Pole does not wilt trump for attending. Blames quemala for he Afghanistan debacle.
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/09/09/nolte-poll-shows-59-approve-of-trumps-arlington-cemetery-visit/
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Ah yes, Little McCain. The son no one has ever heard of. LOL Big endorsement for Harris. Right up there with Liz and Romney. Big I say!
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I wonder if little McCain knows that his dad “photographed” in Arlington. He should apologize to the families of the 13 killed.
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I’m concerned about Robbie. Did the guy die?
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Supposedly a million people showed up at the Eclipse for Trump’s speech on January 6th. From journals and articles written afterwards people described that event to be peaceful and polite. The Capitol building fiasco attracted some people just walking back from the Eclipse. By the time they arrived at the Capitol the barricades had been removed and people were streaming unopposed into the building. So, some just filed in behind them and have later been arrested.
In the last 3 plus years bits and pieces of this 4-hour protest have been revealed and pieced together, indicating the event was more of a distraction to avoid congressional debate over a collection of election irregularities, guaranteeing a quick, decisive confirmation of Biden as president. Pelosi was even recorded as owning the reason security was poor. Also, the damage done in the Capitol building was but a fraction (some estimates to be $2 million) to the $2 billion cost incurred during the Summer of Love lawlessness – people who Harris activately bailed out while J6ers were incarcerated without due process, bail, sometimes in isolation for years. The cost for a J6er just released from prison, for one window he did not break was levied at $12,000. There was so much injustice done to those participating in what is more clearly seen as an election filled with fraud and manipulation.
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Wobbles is sulking in Bogo Pogo hoping for a Kamala win so he can come here and celebrate her win.
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I have heard flocks of geese flying overhead. If they are headed south now, does that mean anything about the upcoming winter?”
I think it means winter will happen.
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he cost for a J6er just released from prison, for one window he did not break was levied at $12,000″
Hmmm…. how much for the window he DID break?
Wait, don’t tell me. Deep State broke the window?
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https://www.mediaite.com/news/nate-silvers-latest-forecast-has-trump-winning-every-single-swing-state-in-electoral-college-blowout/
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lso, the damage done in the Capitol building was but a fraction (some estimates to be $2 million)”
Wow, janzam admits the “peaceful protesters” did $2 million worth of damage to the Capitol?
Baby steps, baby steps.
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Actually it was FBI agents disguised as MAGA nuts that did most of the damage on 1/6. Shame on the real MAGA folks who got caught up in the excitement.
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Gameboy is back. The Deep State didn’t get him yet, but give’em time.
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James Hohmann
@jameshohmann
Kamala Harris just went to Penzeys Spices and bought Creamy Peppercorn Dressing Base, Fox Point Seasoning, Trinidad Lemon-Garlic Marinade, Turkish Seasoning, and Tuscan Sunset Salt Free Italian Seasoning”
I think this must mean something.
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Actually it was FBI agents disguised as MAGA nuts”
I wonder if the “real MAGA folks” stupid enough to “get caught up in the excitement” would have taken up the invitation of some bank robbers outside a bank saying “come on in, money for everyone”.
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Penzey’s a big Pinko, but one of the siblings apparently isn’t, and has their own spice shop. The guy is also a rabid anti-Semite, but the press won’t ask Kumalot about that.
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https://thefederalist.com/2024/09/05/rnc-launches-pennsylvania-supreme-court-appeal-over-decision-scrapping-requirement-to-properly-date-ballots/
The reformed RNC is being a lot more proactive in immediately responding and appealing court decisions that weaken a fair election from happening.
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Zzzzzzz “Caught up in the excitement” is the new definition of “commit crimes.”
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”Wow, janzam admits the “peaceful protesters” did $2 million worth of damage to the Capitol?”
I didn’t phrase it that way, instead said “the damage done in the Capitol building was but a fraction (some estimates to be $2 million) to the $2 billion cost incurred during the Summer of Love lawlessness.” Like gameboy posted it was others dressed up as Trump supporters doing the damage. Audio recorded has people calling out those vandalizing property. Video has Trump people picking up trash or turning upright overturned trash containers. This entire event has been mischaracterized – a tendency that is a hallmark of how the Dems roll.
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Just as I said……”shame on them” for not smelling a rat.
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Come on. Let’s be real.
All the above are true
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/watch-kamala-harris-brags-about-allowing-tens-thousands/
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Harvard/Harris presidential poll just released (September 4-5)…
Trump 50
Harris 50
https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/HHP_Sep2024_KeyResults.pdf
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#s 2,3 and 4 are true. #1 is not. While I am not doubting some of the Trumpies who got caught up in the moment did some damage. The evidence points to the fact that the initial tearing down of the barriers and window breakage were done primarily by the actors. 3 out of 4 aint bad 🙂
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The Harvard Harris poll is D+1
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Like gameboy posted it was others dressed up as Trump supporters doing the damage.
Objection. Assumes facts not in evidence.
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Gameboy – Maybe, and I think its a very small possibility, that there were actually some government actors who “tore down barriers”, it was Trump supporters who went past those barriers and broke into the Capital. There is no excuse for what they did. They should have been charged, but they were not “an armed mob” nor did they do extensive damage anywhere near the level of the left wing protestors, so they were overcharged and used as scapegoats.
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Vic – Don’t bother. People who believe in conspiracies view a lack of evidence as proof of the conspiracy.
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There is no excuse for what they did. They should have been charged, but they were not “an armed mob” nor did they do extensive damage anywhere near the level of the left wing protestors, so they were overcharged and used as scapegoats.“
Exactly.
But Janzam will continue to find excuses for law breaking, attacking police officers, vandalizing public property, trespassing, and stealing.
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”Wow, janzam admits the “peaceful protesters” did $2 million worth of damage to the Capitol?”
I didn’t phrase it that way, instead said “the damage done in the Capitol building was but a fraction (some estimates to be $2 million)“
LOL
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People who believe in conspiracies view a lack of evidence as proof of the conspiracy.”
Damm, those slick lawyers have a way with words.
I wish I had thought of it.
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it was Trump supporters who went past those barriers and broke into the Capital”
Not sure.
I read on Gateway Pundit that they were all Deep State actors.
They are being sacrificed spending years in jail to make the conspiracy look good.
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Thanks for the poll, John.
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I see a bobcat slinking around here on occasion. I never though of him as a meal before but….
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I don’t ever shoot at him because I figure he keeps the rabbit population in check. Plus you can only kill one a year in PA and it has to be reported. I think foxes eat more rabbits than the bobcat, there are so many more of them around.
In general, my wife and I have different ideas of wildlife management on the property. She thinks of it more as a wildlife refuge and I think of it more as a meal source.
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Don’t worry the Rinos and Biden’s Beotch will demand amnesty for the illegals.
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Piglosi, who is a criminal for keeping the capitol minimally defended on j6, says trump won’t show up,for tomorrows debate.
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Gird your loins…
Maricopa Co board chair Jack Sellers: “Obviously, the two-page ballot is going to impact tabulation time.” The board, election staff have been warning for months that it could take longer to finish counting all ballots in November, given ballot length, potential complications.
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“Complications”
Translation: Difficulty in determining how many votes Kamala is short.
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Pelosi also says she didn’t want Biden to quit.
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Maricartel county at it again and the r sheep put up with it.
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She should get a room with Billy…
bettemidler
@BetteMidler
Who bought #NateSilver and how much did he go for?
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Another ‘tied’ poll…Pew Research
Trump 49
Harris 49
https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/20/2024/09/PP_2024.9.9_harris-trump_TOPLINE.pdf
According to these polls this race, in the terms used by Dan Rather, is as tight as ‘white on rice’.
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So according to Liberals, if the data says something, it should be ignored if it doesn’t align with their desired outcome. Ignore the facts. Ignore the science. Ignore everything because facts, science et al are all biased if it doesn’t agree with their dogma.
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IF the race really is tied nationally, in Registered Voter polls, then its not tight. Trump wins going away.
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Harvard Poll
Among Urban voters
Harris 57% (+20)
Trump 37%
Among Suburban voters
Trump 48% (+3)
Harris 45%
Among Rural Voters
Trump 59% (+25)
Harris 34%
This is much better for Trump in the suburbs than Sienna yesterday, but worse with rural voters but a lot also
That is why it is a wash.
If Trump had been ahead by 35 with rural voters like in the Sienna Poll he would have about a 3 point lead
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Even worse for Harris a. it was a mostly online poll b. Same poll same period in 2020…Biden 52, Trump 42. 2016 Hillary 46, Trump 42.
OUCH!
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A suburban +3% win by Kamala means a Trump landslide. 320 electoral votes landslide.
He has to just not blow it tomorrow night.
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In my view, a tied national poll means Trump wins AZ, GA, PA, MI, and WI, maybe NH.
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Like Hillary and Biden, Kamala is going to “waste” about 8 million votes in CA, NY and IL.
A tied national poll means Trump will make up those votes elsewhere.
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I read here that there was no peace proposal.
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Still, I think Trump needs to win PA, NV, WI, MI, AZ by +2 each to prevail over the MOF
GA BY +1.
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Elect Trump
Save the cats from the illegals
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/trump-camp-dismantles-kamala-harriss-campaign-policy-page/
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WOW!
Pro Russia and Putin stooge “professor” Katchanovski spewing more Russian propaganda.
Wow indeed.
I love how the Putin stooges love quoting each other and saying “wow”
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I read here that there was no peace proposal.”
There wasn’t, but thanks for more of your Putinista propaganda.
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The peace deal agreement included withdrawal of Russian forces from all territory of Ukraine, with exceptions of Donbas & Crimea, whose status was to be determined at meeting of Putin & Zelensky, in exchange for neutral status & demilitarization of Ukraine.”
This was a “good” deal?
What country would think giving up its sovereign territory and “demilitarization” is a good deal.
This was not a “peace agreement”, it was total surrender and effectively a complete annexation of Ukraine. Without a military, Putin would just engineer a coup and install his own government at will.
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If the US advised Ukraine against such a “good deal”, they were more than right.
But take anything this Putin stooge “professor” says, he has been lying for years about the anti-Russia revolution in 2014 and pretending the Ukrainians, which have been dying on the battlefield for 2 + years defending their country, wanted a pro-Russian govt.
This is propaganda straight out of the Kremlin, but Tina laps it up like manna from heaven
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“Neutral and demilitarized” means Ukraine would be a permanent vassal state of Russia like Belarus.
The Ukrainians don’t want to be “neutral” and “demilitarized”.
They are a sovereign nation that wants to pursue whatever alliances it chooses and it has every right to defend every inch of its territory from invading forces.
Maybe Tina the Putin Stooge can explain why Ukraine should give up its sovereign territory, its right to alliances of its choosing, and its military? This should be good.
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Evidence shows people streamed onto the grounds of the Capitol building after flimsy barriers had been removed by an unknown man (filmed doing so), going thru a heavy front door whose magnetic locks had been magically opened from inside the building. Most of the initial vandalism (breaking of windows) was photographed as being instigated by men in dark clothing and shouted out by Trump-garbed people to “stop.” This info is not derived from conspiracy theories but by photos taken during the protest. This was such a flagrant “set-up,” concocted to interfere with any election clarity that may have been achieved through reviewing, reading and debating the problems/election issues witnessed in the 2020 election —-> full stop.
I find it troubling, though, some of you take the single one-day event, breaching the Capitol building, by people protesting the legitimacy of an election, more “criminal” than the many weeks of burning, looting, rioting done for weeks because of the George Floyd arrest and death. How many Summer of Love people were arrested and held indefinitely without bail and due process? Zero. In contrast over 1300 J6ers have been prosecuted – some still held without bail or a trial – with misdemeanors turned into felonies to lengthen jail time, and are continuing to be hunted down by swat teams even today. What’s “spooky” is those who don’t have the backs of activists being vilified for not staying on the sidelines, and just letting a questionable election slip by without a strong protest to the contrary.
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So, multiple sources confirm a peace proposal, but certsin folks here still deny one
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To elaborate on “demilitarization”: The largest producers of weapons, tanks and military aircraft in the old Soviet Union was Ukraine. After they were freed from Soviet subjugation they consolidated all of those elements into one company Ukronboronprom. They have a massive military operation and its long been the Kremlins goal to recapture the capacity that it has, to help feed the Russian military.
Giving up Donbass and the “defense manufacturing capabilities” of Ukraine was NOT a good deal.
Regardless, saying we will not give up our sovereign territory and defense capabilities is not permission or reason to invade a sovereign country. PERIOD.
The Russian attack on Ukraine was unjustified, immoral and illegal.
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Tina, there was most likely a proposal with details similar to those noted here presented to Ukraine, but it was a bad deal, and should not have been taken.
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https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/08/europe/ukraine-military-morale-desertion-intl-cmd/index.html
”Two and half years of Russia’s grinding offensive have decimated many Ukrainian units. Reinforcements are few and far between, leaving some soldiers exhausted and demoralized. The situation is particularly dire among infantry units near Pokrovsk and elsewhere on the eastern front line, where Ukraine is struggling to stop Russia’s creeping advances.
CNN spoke to six commanders and officers who are or were until recently fighting or supervising units in the area. All six said desertion and insubordination are becoming a widespread problem, especially among newly recruited soldiers.”
Consensus, from the bottom-up, is that Ukraine’s foot soldiers are fatigued and not as into this war as the top-down politicians, and those profiting from the continuation of this war, are.
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https://pjmedia.com/caskeet/2024/09/09/the-utterly-worthless-cheney-endorsement-n4932372
“Because the MINUTE it became clear in 2016 that Trump was our nominee, you turned on us, and with a vengeance. And it had nothing to do with Trump. It had everything to do with the conservative base no longer taking marching orders from the party elite. You showed us then and ever since who you really are and what you really think of us. At least Hillary was honest about it with her “deplorables” remark.”
-The true “Deadenders” are those, like Cheney, who now support Kamala Harris, after voting for Joe Biden in 2020.
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And why are they demoralized and exhausted, Jan? Because Putin ordered a brutal invasion of their of their country. You always leave that part out.
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Zzzzzz Hitler offered England a peace proposal. Fortunately, they told him to F off.
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C
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blast you got the 100 GF,. way to go
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new thread coming…new polls out. Enjoy the laugh
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I post about the current state of affairs in Ukraine after 3 years of brutal combat, unknown casualties and deaths, villages being crushed . What was understood earlier was that Russia invaded Ukraine. But, what you never address is how the military is faring now, or the people themselves, after such a long period of conflict. You either dismiss reality or just want to return to your more comfortable argument of “more war because Russia is bad.” What’s always missing, though, is empathy for those on the ground actually dealing with or dying for that war.
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New Thread
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