Sheehy up 2 in this new Emerson College poll taken August 5-6 against 1000 RVs:
 | MONTANA |
| Trump | 55 |
| Harris | 40 |
| Five Candidates: | |
| Trump | 54 |
| Harris | 39 |
| Kennedy | 5 |
| Stein | 0 |
| West | 0 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Sheehy | 48 |
| Tester | 46 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 41.0 / 56.0 | -15.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 45.1 / 53.1 | -8.0 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +21 | 207 | 228 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
39 responses to “Trump up 15 in Montana”
First!
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Sheehy has to beat Tester. If Trump loses, this Senate race will decide whether a full-fledged Marxist agenda gets through Congress.
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Let’s hope that detested loses.
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Jack Poso
@JackPosobiec
Hearing that when Walz visited the 133rd Airlift Wing in July of 2021, he told them that he had earned the Combat Action Badge, while making small talk
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3,499 Views
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Rasmussen is teasing its next poll release on X with the headline: “Today — Changes Ahead”
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Jeff G, do you have a link? I don’t see it on Mark Mitchell’s page.
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DW, I’m not sure how to copy over a link from X. If you search Rasmussen Reports, it’s the third item down.
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Here it is:
https://x.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1821522451030843606?t=S88QBlln6vgt3dTG9eWJ7g&s=19
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Thanks, the context helps, as he was showing the RCP list of recent polls that were all blue, so that is the change the uninterrupted string of blue polls is about to be changed. That matches what Mark Mitchell was saying a few days ago.
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Heh
“Trump has been shot at more times than Tampon Tim’
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Fetterman real excited about Walz too…
“I just don’t understand why we’re talking about a choice that was already made. I was very clear that the vice president is perfectly capable of picking whoever they want. They have effectively unlimited funding. She has access to every Democratic expert, and she made her choice. And that’s where we’re at right now,” Fetterman said.
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Ouch..
“Minnesota National Guard Leaders Expose Tim Walz for Stolen Valor, Lying About His Rank, and Quitting When His Unit Was Deployed to Iraq. “As soon as the shots were fired in Iraq, he turned and ran the other way and hung his hat up and quit,” said Tom Behrends, a retired command sergeant major who replaced Gov. Tim Walz on a deployment to Iraq. When he was a congressman, you know, he bragged that he was a retired command sergeant major: “I’m the highest-ranking person ever in the House,” and, you know, all this lie that he was telling the state of Minnesota came out after 2018. After this was exposed, they said, “Well, he can say that he served as a command sergeant major, but he can’t say he’s a retired one because he’s not.”
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2024 GE:
@CNBC
🟥 Donald Trump: 48%
🟦 Kamala Harris: 46%
@POStrategies (R) | Hart Research (D)
N=1,001 | 7/31-8/2 | MoE: ±3.1%
https://cnbc.com/2024/08/08/trump-holds-2-point-lead-over-harris-with-a-big-advantage-on-economy-cnbc-survey-shows.html
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2024 GE:
@Rasmussen_Poll
🟥 Trump: 49% [=]
🟦 Harris: 44% [=]
🟪 Other: 4%
—
🟥 Trump: 49% [+3]
🟦 Harris: 44% [-1]
🟨 RFK Jr: 3% [-2]
🟪 Other: 2%
[+/- change vs July 28-31]
—
1,794 LV | August 1 & 4-7 | MoE: ±2%
https://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/election_2024_trump_49_harris_44_rfk_jr_3
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Think Kamala might be thinking “I should have picked Shapiro”?
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This poll from Rasmussen Reports also confirms what I have been saying. RFK is done. Over. Finished. The topline numbers are the same when they asked “Other” or “RFK and Other.”
And Oliver, Stein, and West will be lucky to combine for 1.5% when its all counted in November. I am not sure RFK will end up even reaching 3, more likely he will struggle to get 2.
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Kamala couldn’t pick Shapiro, because she is a spineless ‘leader’ who can’t lead. She bowed to the radical antisemites in her party and picked a moron who is the captain of his own swiftboat.
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Walz really is a piece of work. No offense to those who serve in the national guard, it’s an important function, but to tout the Command Sargent Major rank as if he’d done his 24 years as an active duty Marine or Army guy (even regular service Navy or Air Force as well) who went to the balkans, first gulf war and then Iraq or Afghanistan is total BS.
he did one weekend a month and two weeks a year for 99% of the time he was in, with one 9 month stint as a base security guard in Italy.
The guy is really a piece of work.
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Dammm… “Captain of his own swiftboat”.
Eloquent.
I wish I would have thought of it….
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thanks Jason, just trying to fill in for our resident wordsmith Walt until he’s back to full form after his trip.
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The Dems sites keep mentioning that Walz was “in the military for 24 years’.
This is BS. The National Guard is not active duty. You are under the command of the Governor, not the President. You train one weekend a month and 2 weeks a year. Yes, you can be called up for training or deployments but it is a part time occupation.
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As I said before, I was skeptical about what Shapiro brought to the table too, and I didn’t believe he would deliver PA. Because Dems have such a weak bench I thought the best they could do was do no harm, and Shapiro fit that bill. So did Beshear and Kelly.
But none of them would be answering questions on stolen valor or tampons in boy’s bathrooms.
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I thought this never happened…
On Wednesday, Governor Glenn Youngkin issued an executive order on election security, which, among other things, identified 6,303 non-citizens who had been identified and removed from Virginia’s voting rolls between January 2022 and July 2024.”
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amen Jason. It pisses me off. I read an NPR article about his “Ribbons” for marksmanship and grenades….DUH. Every single Army service members gets those in basic training based on the number of points scored in their marksmanship and grenade testing. Wtf!!!!
Again, as I said above, guardsman serve a function and thank you for your service, but don’t play a military man just because you stayed in the guard holiday inn express
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Michael Whatley @ChairmanWhatley
HUGE WIN: 90,000 inactive voters have been removed from the rolls in Clark County, Nevada as a result of our efforts to Protect The Vote.
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Biden ‘won’ Nevada by about 34,000 votes in 2020. We all know how those 90,000 inactive voters would have ‘voted’ had they stayed on the registered voter lists.
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It is important to remove these “voters” because of VBM.
Every one of these people receive a ballot (or request for one) and anyone can fill it out and mail it in.
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Agreed jason. It’s huge. As it was, some voters were mailed THREE ballots, not one. The aim 4 years ago was just get as many as possible blank ballots out there on the ground, setup drop boxes everywhere, and then let ‘nature’ take its course.
But with 90,000 fewer ballots to mail out, harder for them to fill those drop boxes. This news today about Nevada is far more important than all the polling we have seen, and enough to make this state firmly Lean Trump in my opinion.
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That’s 30,000 more votes than Trump lost NV by in 2016 and 2020 combined.
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Of course the left will accuse the GOP in Nevada of RACISM! for getting those non-voters off the list.
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The CNBC poll also has R+3 on the generic ballot.
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Here is your vile, corrupt, dishonest mainstream media at work:
SEE BS NEWS: “The Trump campaign is criticizing Gov. Tim Walz for supplying free tampons in schools. But advocates say it’s essential for many students.”
No, the Trump campaign criticized Walz for supplying them to BOYS.
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exactly. I saw the video from the “hearing” they had in Minn where they talked about the absolute need for “menstruating individuals” to have access to tampons in the boys bathroom. It was critical healthcare and right wing fanatics were trying to deny access to menstruating persons
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What Liz Cheney used to think about Kamala Harris
https://x.com/BasedSavannah/status/1821306840501924336/photo/1
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Vox Pravda beclowns itself
Calls Walz a “non-leftist”….
“The left loves Tim Walz. Can he unite the Democrats?
As a non-leftist beloved by the left, Walz is ideally suited to expand Harris’s appeal across the ideological spectrum’
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Jason has provided us with valuable information regarding how radical a Harris/Walz Administration would be. Unfortunately, he will accept it by not voting in a critical swing state.
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I guess the cup is always half full.
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PA is a critical state.
I also think the way we conduct foreign policy and defend our interests around the world is critical.
Both can be true.
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Maybe Vance will abandon Ron Paul’s foreign policy before the election, in which case I can vote for the ticket.
I think the chances are slim to none, but hope springs eternal.
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NT
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