No surprise AtlasIntel was again #1, and is now clearly the GOLD standard of polling. But AtlasIntel is not alone in the collection of pollsters that kept their average miss below 2.0, well within the margin of error. In fact, there are nine who met this standard and should be considered the go-to pollsters in the future.
Near the bottom of the list of the worst pollsters include all the usual suspects like CNN, Quinnipiac, NY Times/Siena, Marist, and FoxNews. The new pollsters with the names everyone made fun of, The Bullfinch Group and FocalData lived up to their faked names. And Charlie Cook’s first venture into polling also spectacularly failed.
Morning Consult and Redfield & Wilton shifted Trump in the last release to avoid a bad score.
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
150 responses to “Which battleground state polling was the best?”
well researched Dw.thanks.
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/11/08/indefensible-slow-counting-nv-az-ca-undermines-confidence-democracy/
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great job DW
and HHR was the best aggregator. Better than RCP
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The head of 538 blocked the ceo of atlas intel on Facebook apparently.
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Vic, we need to make sure that Nebraska changes to winner take all. I don’t know why they failed to change it.
Also, Ben Shapiro, raised an argument that Florida was cheated out of 2 extra Evs. They undercounted the state in the census and admitted to doing so.
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on Twitter not facebook*
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I was surprised to see how poorly TIPP did. They were once a good pollster.
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538 had also banned Rasmussen. Too funny. They claim to be a polling aggregator site, and yet they rejected the #1 and #9 battleground state pollsters apparently because they don’t like the results they show.
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Lol, Baris referee to 538 and others as the polling mafia.
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I think Ras was dead on re the national #. He never wavered.
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Nice work. Just at a glance it appears AZ was the toughest to poll.
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And wow, had AtlasIntel not missed GA….
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Thanks, DW.
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DDHQ currently has Kari Lake at a 34.2% chance to win. Margin down to 1.5% with 78% in.
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It always amazes me how “red” the country really is!
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Great job DW.
I think Atlas Intel is a Brazilian company?
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Gallego is about 40k votes ahead but the margin is now only 0.5%.
Trump is now an astounding 6 points ahead (another polling error), I would certainly have bet he would pull Lake through with that margin.
But she is trailing him by an also astounding 6.5 pts.
A lot of ticket splitters who don’t like her. Or that didn’t vote in the senate race.
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Yes:
AtlasIntel
R. Dr. Virgílio de Carvalho Pinto, 445
Pinheiros, São Paulo – SP, 05415-030
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And the thing with AtlasIntel, is the rapid turnaround. Poll SEVEN battleground states, with large samples, over two days, and release at the end of the second day.
And they are dead on accurate. Amazing.
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Pelosi now whining there was no mini-primary.
Zzzzz….
She does not want to be blamed, lol.
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DISTRICT % Margin VOTE DIFF % Reporting
REP LEADING
CA-22 Valadao +10% +10,257 votes 79%
AZ-2 Crane +7% +24,112 84%
AZ-1 Schweikert +4% +15,306 89%
AK-1 Begich +4% +10,277 77%
CA-45 Steel +4% +9,360 74%
CA-41 Calvert +3% +7,455 >95%
NE-2 Bacon +3% +8,331 >95%
CA-13 Duarte +2% +2,773 >95%
CA – 27 Garcia +1.4% +3,240 >95%
CA-47 Baugh +0.22% + 616 90%
IA – 1 Miller-Meeks +0.19 + 796 >95%
DEM LEADING
AZ-6 Engel +0.06% + 200 votes >95%
OH- 9Kaptur +0.33% +1,193 >95%
ME-2 Golden +0.36 +1,380 >95%
CO-8Caraveo +0.81% +2,359
CA-21 Costa +1.1% +1,476 58%
CA–9 Harder +1.4% +2,013 78%
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3 arrested in plot to kill Trump….
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It would be nice to get rid of Kaptur.
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I am trying to pat myself on the back for saying many times here that these thing move in tandem and that the blue wall would probably go one way or the other together.
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Does Begich have to go to some sort of ranked voting if he doesn’t get 50%?
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Or Golden?
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Begich does, I do not know about Golden
In Begich race hes at 49.5% and the person in 3rd at 3.5% is from the Alaskan independence party. Have to believe they will choose begich over the Dem.
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Jared Forrest Golden*incumbentDemocrat192,503+50.02%
Austin TheriaultRepublican191,121+49.66%
I don’t think there is any vote left, or not enough to change the race so he wins
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Ciscomani might win.
He is losing Pima by 10, I estimate Engels will net another 7000 or so.
But his best county is only 43% in and he has a 9k lead, should net another 9k.
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still a path to 223 in the house.
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Looks like lake is below 40,000.
758000 ballots left.
https://apps.arizona.vote/electioninfo/BPS/47/0
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Arizona and Nevada are ridiculous. CA too.
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Dozens of monkey on the loose in SC!
Walt will get right on it.
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CNN says Biden needs to appoint Kamala to SCOTUS.
I didn’t even know there was a vacancy.
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Can you imagine confirmation hearings for Kamala?
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Megyn Kelly has an interesting “take” on Kamala:
From The Washington Examiner:
“She’s not the leader of her party,” Kelly told the Washington Examiner. “She’s not respected in Democratic circles.”
The SiriusXM host of The Megyn Kelly Show called Harris an “avatar” for the Democratic Party and said the vice president’s political future is likely bleak.
“She will be disposed of,” Kelly said. “She will be blamed. Her many, many deficiencies will be discussed ad nauseam. There will be an endless amount of magazine and newspaper articles written about how bad she was.”
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“CNN says Biden needs to appoint Kamala to SCOTUS.”
Why does there need to be a vacancy? CNN would be thrilled if Biden just packed the court by fiat.
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McCormick’s lead just grew to 37,335. CNN not giving up the fight!
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State POSTUS vote in tandem with State U.S. Senate vote EXCEPTL
AZ R potus and D Senate
NV ” ” “
WI R ” ” “
MI R
CO D POTUS and R senate ” ” “
_________________Did I miss any?
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jason,
I HAVE been tracking the monkey story but working on other things so have not posted about that.
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AZ-06, Ciscomani back in the lead by 435 votes
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From the WSJ —-> an excerpt from Trump’s plan to resolve the Russia/Ukraine war:
”[…] “One idea proposed inside Trump’s transition office, detailed by three people close to the president-elect and not previously reported, would involve Kyiv promising not to join NATO for at least 20 years. In exchange, the U.S. would continue to pump Ukraine full of weapons to deter a future Russian attack.
Under that plan, the front line would essentially lock in place and both sides would agree to an 800-mile demilitarized zone. Who would police that territory remains unclear, but one adviser said the peacekeeping force wouldn’t involve American troops, nor come from a U.S.-funded international body, such as the United Nations.
“We can do training and other support but the barrel of the gun is going to be European,” a member of Trump’s team said. “We are not sending American men and women to uphold peace in Ukraine. And we are not paying for it. Get the Poles, Germans, British and French to do it.” (link)”
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Arizona
Battleground
TOO EARLY TO CALL
Candidate
Party
Votes
Pct.
Ruben Gallego
D
1,318,630
49.7%
Kari Lake
R
1,277,741
48.2%
Eduardo Quintana
I
54,416
2.1%Total2,650,870+ view all candidates
78% expected votes in (Est. remaining 770,000)
Keri Lake has been slowly shrinking the gap between herself and Gallego. I think she has a reasonable chance of catching up and winning the seat.
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Cambria county must be dropping ballots. They are,Ike the Fulton county, but for us.
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I didn’t mean that they are cheating, I meant to say they are like fairfax county but for our side, They held back, but really they held back because of the scanning issue. I believe voting was extended for 2 hours thrrr
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Case should concede, if he has not already done so.
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The final AtlasIntel poll of AZ did have Lake ahead by 1.
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DW. I believe your math is incorrect.
As an example for OnMessage you have their average as 0.98. If you add the 6 states they polled you get 12 and divide by 6 would give an average of 2.00.
Atlas Intel adds to 14.1 divided by 7 equals 2.01
Patriot adds to 8.9 divided by 7 equals 1.27.
Bubba
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DW. I believe your math is incorrect.
As an example for OnMessage you have their average as 0.98. If you add the 6 states they polled you get 12 and divide by 6 would give an average of 2.00.
Atlas Intel adds to 14.1 divided by 7 equals 2.01
Patriot adds to 8.9 divided by 7 equals 1.27.
Bubba
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Why the did Ds lose the presidential election?
Pundits and D insiders and TV commentators HAVE said and ARE SAYING:
–racism of voters
–sexism of voters
–It was the men
–it was the emotion of the women’s vote
–stupid voters who did not understand the issues and that she was better then Trump
–not big enough ground game
–it WAS the economy and inflation and people were upset over that
–Biden’s fault A. not campaigning harder for her and
…………..B. he waited too long to drop out, giving Kamala too little time to walk away from the Biden (adm. and all its failures)
–Kamala bad candidate and bad campaign
–Kamala had too little time to develop her positions, plans, etc.
–Kamala never could get her MESSAGE out of what her campaign was about (messaging)
–Kamala’s VP pick of Walz
–Kamala’s bad campaign staff
–low voter turnout
–people sadly just don’t care any more about the moral turpitude of the candidate
–Kamala and Ds did not do enough to get their message out (Cripes Sakes, they spent over a BILLION DOLLARS!)
–Trump lies that deceived voters
–Kamala failed to hold the Biden coalition together
–interference in social media, etc. by foreign governments who pushed Trump
–Kamala did not go negative on Trump enough/long enough
(feel free to list others…)
___________________
NONE–NOT ONE–of the commentators or D pundits or talking heads has EVER said th4 below things.
NOBODY IS EVER SAYING Kamala and Dems lost BECAUSE of:
–NEVER SAY POLICIES: Bad Dem POLICIES that turned a significant slice of voters away from the D candidate
–NEVER SAY PLATFORM: Bad Dem party PLATFORM far-left platform that slices away too many voters who cannot swallow all that left wing tripe
–NEVER SAY PERFORMANCE: bad D PERFORMANCE in office and obvious failures of the Biden administration in everything form soup to nutz
–NEVER SAY Trump stole the election, it was rigged
–NEVER SAY THE MEDIA WAS TOO PRO TRUMP and unfair to Kamala
NEVER SAY it was the complicit, left wing, pro Democrat MSM that helped cover up Joe Biden cognitive decline that caused him to NOT drop out of running many months or years earlier than he did.
–NEVER SAY The American voters SEE that the Dems are the party of big government and the party favoring taking away various right of people (but do want to provide and expand ABORTION rights); pro-open borders and pro-illegal aliens; pro-Hamas; anti-Israel; pro-taking away parents rights and parents say in education; pro-transgender; pro-pushing “there is no definition of what a woman is” and pro pushing transgender-ism on children; anti-male; anti police; pro-crime; pro DEI; pro-equal outcomes rather than equal opportunity; anti-fossil fuels and pro spending billions to end man-made GlowBull warming; anti-cow (and cow farts); pro- cancel culture; pro-“I have an economic plan to make everything better and the ivory tower economists agree with me but you, the public, are not smart enough to understand it all so I will not even bother to try to explain it to you–just trust me and you will feel the joy, HAHAHAHA!”;
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/11/08/nolte-failed-iowa-pollster-now-claims-she-helped-trump-win/
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So the alleged plan to solve the war in Ukraine would allow Putin to keep all territory seized. If true, it sucks.
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“–it was the emotion of the women’s vote”
should be
It was a portion of the women’s vote that slipped away from the Dems
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LOL
“Kamala called Hitler to congratulate him. Biden invited Hitler to lunch at the seat of US power then instructed his staff to help Hitler takeover the country. Seems odd.”
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So the alleged plan to solve the war in Ukraine would allow Putin to keep all territory seized. If true, it sucks.”
I said what Trump’s “plan” was many times here.
If I was Zelensky I would tell Trump to f–k off and keep killing Russians.
There are enough votes in the House and Senate to keep sending aid to Ukraine. Let’s see if Trump has the balls to veto it.
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[****] Trump and Vance.
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“Keri Lake has been slowly shrinking the gap between herself and Gallego. I think she has a reasonable chance of catching up and winning the seat.”
Can;t see that happening.
BEst she can do is close the gap by a net of 20,000-30,000.
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”I helped trump win the election”
-ann seltzer
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Watch it, Paul, and take your meds.
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Bubba, thanks but I don’t add and then divide by the number polled. I have a separate part of the excel sheet not shown here that simply has a positive number for each state polled that represents the miss in either direction for each state. I then simply average the miss for each state the pollster polled, and display the average miss.
So for OnMessage, they missed AZ at 2.9, NV at 0.5, GA at 0.8, WI at 0.2, MI at 1.4, and PA at 0.1. Average these misses, and the average miss is 0.98.
Of course this is the preliminary chart. The final chart will be slightly different because they are still counting votes.
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And Lake is behind by 40,000
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Just to get back to who is getting fired question?
I think the failed generals resign or retire before trump takes office.
I don’t think he fires or attempts to fire the fed chair. He is gone in 18 months.
Wrong Wray will resign imo, or be fired.
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Can someone wake up Mr Bl from his cream soda break and ban Paulie? I mean that comment is quite toxic.
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Keri Lake needs to be [*** *** **** ****].
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I think Lake’s support dried up.
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Paul,
Seriously, you need to stop.
You are going to get yourself a visit by FBI.
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Paul, I edited your comments to remove your calls for violence. Please do a better job of posting. I know you can do it.
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Paul – I started deleting your posts calling violence. I don’t need HHR getting identified as a platform for threats. Take it to DKos. Don’t get the Bunu treatment. You can do better.
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
#NEW: Trump team is readying a “slate of executive orders” slashing climate change directives, bolstering fossil fuels – NYT This includes: – Pulling out of the Paris climate agreement – Shrinking national monument size in the west to allow more drilling, mining – Ending every office in every agency that works to end pollution on the basis of diversity
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Paul, if you really are a business owner you will be much better off under Trump. I never really understood why you supported Marxism anyway.
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Trump now ahead by 150k and 2 full points in PA. Amazing.
McCormick lead now 40k.
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Florida’s Voice
@FLVoiceNews
·
16m
JUST IN: Trump transition team eyes moving EPA headquarters out of Washington, D.C. (NYT)
AWESOME! Maybe there is hope for Virginia!
Trump is going to MVGA – Make Virginia Great Again by moving all those people in Fairfax County back to California where they belong.
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161,000 lead in Az now
47,000 in nevada
****recent ap updates. Strangly, ap and faux has not called Nv, while Cn and n nbc, cbs, abc have.
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lol (abc)
Pelosi blames Harris’ loss on Biden’s late exit and no open Democratic primary
She also blasted Bernie Sanders in an interview with The New York Times.
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I guess demented is no longe going on mt. Rushmore.
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I want to kiss Elon Musk and all people
fixed it
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Paul hope someone doesn’t see these threats of assassination. They will be coming after you.
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I fixed Paul’s post.
Seriously, Paul. go take your meds. This happens when you don’t and you really need to chill on this stuff
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PAUL–STOP!
You are going to get yourself in trouble with the law.
You do not want that.
TAKE YOUR MEDS! and chill.
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Ralston declares his predictions “pretty good”
Jon Ralston
@RalstonReports
With Jacky Rosen headed to victory, that means I called 5 of the 6 federal races in Nevada correctly. Pretty, pretty good. Can’t recall what the 6th one was…. Makes me want to throw a chair, tbh.”
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I don’t think Paul is going to get into any trouble here, nobody cares what a guy (?) named Paul says, but this is not the right forum for that kind of unhinged rhetoric.
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I guess demented is no longe going on mt. Rushmore.”
Why not?
Big tourist spot.
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Shrinking national monument size in the west? Damn. I haven’t gone past Cleveland. No reason to go now.
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All the cool stuff is in the East anyway. Going to Ireland next year.
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McCormick is now .56 ahead of Casey – outside the automatic recount. Call it.
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now the Republican is up 943 votes in AZ-06!
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https://x.com/jarvis_best/status/1854924606744019063?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1854924606744019063%7Ctwgr%5E4b4c2d931feb23590904014a7f3316f0b86ac05f%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Finstapundit.com%2F683336%2F
h/t Instapundit
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Not sure who the bald bearded guy is, but what a tool! Jennings laughing at him is great!
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
·
54s
BREAKING: Kari Lake wins PIMA COUNTY drop.
She requires 52.78% of the remaining ballots to win the election.
The next Maricopa update will play a huge role here.
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“Trump is going to MVGA – Make Virginia Great Again by moving all those people in Fairfax County back to California where they belong.”
-Start with 1 Department and then go to 2 and 3 and 4. Let’s Go!
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“She requires 52.78% of the remaining ballots to win the election”
-I hope she wins, but doubtful.
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yeah, she’s losing Maricopa now 47/51. So not sure why that would turn around.
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Lake now trailing by 36,748
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Trump now leading in Arizona +6.2!
165,774 vote advantage.
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the second to last Atlas Intel poll of AZ was Trump +6.8. They should have stuck with that one. Their final poll was just Trump +5.1
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This is outrageous and any officials need to be fired.
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Maricartel is incoming later? The drop in the lead was due to thr following:
Yavapai has posted 6,695 votes to US Senate. Here is how they broke down: Lake 75.7% Gallego 22% Lake nets 3,596 and now trails Gallego by 36,748. Yavapai estimates 45,897 uncounted ballots. 1,187 of which are provisional.
(Garrett archer)
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36,748 gap with 718,000+ ballots remaining.
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I forgot I went to Nashville and Las Vegas. So that is the extent of my travel westward.
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AZ total votes so far:
2,750,000 president race
2,650,000 senate
2,650,000 in all combines house races
All R House candidates get 1,431,247 (Lake at 1,285,088)
All D House candidates get 1,225,410
***********
So about 100,000 POTUS voters stop there and do not go and vote down ballot.
Also, Lake is getting about 150,000 LESS votes than all the Rs running for House seats
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Crazy can only take Lake so far.
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I KNOW it does not always happen this way,,,,BUT if Lake wins the SAME % of outstanding/uncounted ballots in AZ counties where she is winning and the D gets the SAME % of outstanding ballots ion counties where he is ahead…
By my calculations the D will add 34K and Lake will add 31K.
IF SO…..then Lake loses by about 39K statewide.
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UPDATE: Israeli soccer fans attacked in Amsterdam in antisemitic incidents…
Rioters ‘actively sought out’…“
See.
This is what soccer does to people.
Soccer should be banned.
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https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ar-AA1tKrj4
Dems pushing for SC Justice Sotomeyor to resign so Biden can appoint replacement before Jan. 20 , 2025 while Dems still have Senate control.
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Also, Lake is getting about 150,000 LESS votes than all the Rs running for House seats
*********
So, for whatever reason, a lot of people split their ballots.
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So far, the PLUSES of Trump winning the election:
2. migrant caravan in Mexico heading toward U.S. has shrunken considerably
3. the country has breathed a collective sigh of relief and the hateful talk has subsided. I don’t think I have heard anyone on TV call Trump “Hitler” in 2 days now. M maybe we are heading back to Americans being more civil…
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headline saying that Trump win shows polling industry broken.
but it really isn’t. The top nine pollsters in the grid above were solid. What is broken is the media and their lies and their propaganda polling.
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if she retires and he appoints a new SC justice, I can’t see how there is time to confirm her (you know its going to be a woman). There is just not enough time with Thanksgiving and Christmas, Not even the Dems would be able to pull this stunt
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That clip from earlier with Scott Jennings, the bald bearded unhappy guy is Pete Dominick……..supposedly a comedian……
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I watched that live last night. He was the angriest comedian I ever saw. He was also cursing too fast to get bleeped.
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The Guardian and MSNBC now claim Trump is a Russian spy! Zzzzzzz
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Sotomayor is only 70. Are Dems worried they won’t win the White House and Senate any time in the next 20 years?
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The wise Latina is in poor health. I am guessing her remaining life expectancy is about 50% of the average Latina.
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Washington Times, by Kerry Pickett Original Article
Posted by JoElla Bee — 11/8/2024 6:37:41 PM Post Reply
As Jan. 6 defendants anticipate pardons from President-elect Donald Trump, there are indications that the FBI is winding down any further investigations of the attack on the Capitol in 2021. According to sources at the FBI, Jan. 6 cases still being investigated “are dead.” “They’re not going anywhere. They’re dead. They’re going to be closed, because they still have some in the pipeline,” an FBI source said. “Basically, right now, everyone [is asking], ’Why the hell are you prosecuting?” another Bureau source said. “They’re all going to be pardoned anyway, so it’s an informal shutdown.”
That would be Justice served.
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I looked up the latest CDC US life expectancy table and a 70 female Latina has an average of 16.8 years remaining.
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I hope he does not pardon any of them. Commute the sentences of those already convicted (except those who attacked law enforcement) and have the remaining ones plead to minimal sentences.
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So far, the PLUSES of Trump winning the election:
2. migrant caravan in Mexico heading toward U.S. has shrunken considerably
3. the country has breathed a collective sigh of relief and the hateful talk has subsided. I don’t think I have heard anyone on TV call Trump “Hitler” in 2 days now. Maybe we are heading back to Americans being more civil…
ADDED:
4. all the lawfare court trials against Trump are being tossed out (reduced cost of government…)
5. Kamala and Biden are no longer calling Trump “Hitler” and the “biggest threat to democracy” since Attila the Hun, and I have not heard Trump call Kamala and Biden bad names since the election–so at least THEY are now toning down the volume of the hate speech and being more civil.
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“if she retires and he appoints a new SC justice, I can’t see how there is time to confirm her (you know its going to be a woman)”
*********************
NOT NECESSARILY!
Biden wants to create a LEGACY in his final weeks. I think he might appoint the first TRANSGENDER to the SCOTUS.
–maybe that old guy from PA in his administration (something about health?) who dresses as and thinks he is a woman and has long hair–maybe he/she/it will get appointed to SCOTUS
–or if not him/her/it, the I think he will pick lesbian wh press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre (KJP) I am not sure she is an American Citizen, but I am not sure that would disqualify her from serving on there SCOTUS,
Or maybe Joe Biden will appoint Kamala to the SCOTUS to replace Sotomeyor.
Or what about appointing Beau Biden to be on the SCOTUS?
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With those images of possible SCOTUS appointees in my head, now I will not be able to sleep tonight.
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Walt, that’s a story to tell around the fire on a camping trip.
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DW, BL, and whoever else helps moderate this site, thank you for the great work. Dave Wissing was awesome, but you made HHR even better.
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DW and Vic truly made the site excellent.
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South Carolina MONKEY ESCAPE UPDATE
“The report found that the first eight months of 2022, six monkeys were placed in wrong enclosures – one animal was found dead from “trauma caused by the resident animals in the enclosure,” and four animals required subsequent veterinary care.
WTOC also reported that in that same time period, there were six separate occasions that monkeys escaped their enclosure. After those escapes, the company repaired the chain link and got rid of some of the cages that were breached, the station report.
Alpha Genesis was most recently inspected by the USDA in May 2024, and did not receive any violations. That report shows that at the time of the inspection, there were at least 6,701 monkeys on the property, WTOC reported.
Anna Schecter contributed to this report.More from CBS News”
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Of the 6,701 monkeys, they cannot say how many may have voted in the 2020 presidential election.
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Bitter,
I sent you a Facebook instant message….
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NolteNC
Supporting Trump went from being smeared as a racist nine years ago to cool and rebellious today, a finger in the eye to the uptight, humorless squares and fascists and scolds like Joy Behar and Jake Tapper. People like RFK Jr. and Tulsi paved the way and now the social stigma is gone and the Justine Batemans and Michael Rappaports and Megyn Kellys and Chris Cuomos are being liberated. Never seen anything like it.
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DW
November 8, 2024 at 6:05 pm
Lake now trailing by 36,748
********************************
With 82% counted in it now Lake down by about 33,000
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DW – Walt sent me a secret message. He ran the numbers and calculated the prediction winner. However, he thinks you should you should have the honor of announcing it. I am sure I was last. I can’t hold off the crazy immortal forever. Did you get a chance to run the numbers and declare a winner yet?
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Election time bomb threats that were called in:
The FBI said in an emailed statement Tuesday that “many” of the threats “appear to originate from Russian email domains.” Some additional threats appeared to have been sent from a French service, a U.S. official briefed on the matter told NBC News. Anyone with unrestricted internet access can sign up for email services in other countries, making it difficult to deduce who actually sent the threats.”
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Walt’s not a son of a witch.
Chicon
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Bitter, I just add some flavor. You are the glue that holds us all together, and DW the brilliant content provider.
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AZ SEnate
83.5% counted
Lake behind by 32,300
She is somewhat cutting the difference from 36,000 when 83.1% was counted.
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I mean behind from 33,000 when 83.1% was counted.
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Maybe Lake will overcome????
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She won’t.
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CA–POTUS
Trump and JFK together have 40.3%
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Ironically, Orange-Man Trump is currently behind in the county in ORANGE county
by 550K to 536K with 72% in.
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NV – Senate
Jacky Rosen*Democratic 671,302 47.8%
Sam BrownRepublican 652,659 46.5%
None of These Candidates No Party Designation 41,071 2.9%
Janine Hansen Independent American Party 20,227 1.4%
Chris Cunningham Libertarian 19,676 1.4%
*Incumbent
95.2% votes counted
Latest result 32 minutes ago
********************************
Rosen ahead by 19,000*****
41,071 chose to mark NEITHER CANDIDATE
Libertarian nut jobs: 19,676*****
ALL THE VOTERS in BOTH these groups COULD have decided the election for Brown. Instead they would rather have Rosen be elected.
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AZ
Trump ahead 52.7% to 46.3%
6.4% margin
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CA now has 63.2 % of votes counted.
I think they plan to have it all finished by Christmas.
th
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will start a thread tomorrow announcing the winner
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Genocide universal.
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All RED states have 98 or 99% of ballots fully counted, except Utah and Alaska.
Of the bjue states, under 90% counted are WA, OR, CA, NE-CD2, IL, NJ. NY, MD, NH.
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Genocide
____________
coin edge
dice gone
cee dingo
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Of the blue states, under 90% counted are WA, OR, CA, NE(-CD2), IL, NJ. NY, MD, NH.
AND Colorado.
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election trivia”
State with biggest % of votes for Trump?
Wyoming (72.4%) WV was next at (70.1%)
__________________
Two states where EVERY county went for Trump?
Oklahoma and West Virginia
___________________________
State with biggest % vote for Harris
VT, at 64.4%
MA and MD were tied for next at 61.3% each
HA was next at 60.6%
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NV was formally called by ap and faux at 644 am est. Trump won it by over 46,000 votes, or by 4% (rounded).
Az will be called next as trump leads by almost 182,000.
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The absurdity of Fox not yet calling AZ, but calling it election night in 2020 with a much closer race is “chef’s kiss”
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