If my math is correct, and if in the uncalled races everyone who is currently leading goes on to win, then the new House will be:
223 Republican
212 Democrat
Here is the list of uncalled races according to CNN (who is VERY slow to call anything), showing who is currently leading and it it would be a flip if the lead does not change:
AK-01 R (flip)
AZ-01 R
AZ-04 D
AZ-06 R
CA-09 D
CA-13 R
CA-21 D
CA-22 R
CA-27 R
CA-39 D
CA-41 R
CA-45 R
CA-47 R (flip)
CA-49 D
CO-03 R
CO-08 D
IA-01 R
MD-06 D
ME-01 D
NC-01 D
NE-02 R
NV-01 D
NV-03 D
NV-04 D
NY-04 D
NY-19 D (flip)
OH-09 D
OR-05 D (flip)
OR-06 D
PA-10 R
TX-34 D
WA-03 D
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
148 responses to “What’s left in the US House Races?”
Excellent. (Sigh of relief)
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Will Senator Casey concede today?
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I heard he voted for trump.
Alex Berenson
@AlexBerenson
·
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I don’t know if they ate the dogs or the cats, but they sure ate the Democrats
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From my last post-where did the 13 plus more million that voted for Biden in 2020 go?
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Has anyone noticed that in California, that as the votes keep trickling in (its only 60% in according to CNN), that Harris has won the state by ONLY 17.2? Biden won it in 2020 by over 29!
And CA is her HOME state.
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“13 plus more million that voted for Biden in 2020 go?”
Did they ever exist?
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Hi DW
great analysis on the other page, and I am so glad you looked at the house races.
I went over them one by one last night and looked at the outstanding vote in each district and where it came in. I got 225-210, but I could be off as well…I think 2 seat margin of error is ok!!! There were a couple of really close races I wish we had flipped (MD), but a 15 seat majority, or 13 seat, is going to be necessary to negate some of the crazies like the Gaetz-like nutjobs of the party who believe 100% compliance with their views or you’re an enemy.
Regarding the “13M votes”, after crunching numbers last night, it will most likely be about 7M-8M short of Biden when the counting is done. She will end up in the 73-74M vote range (could be as low as 72M, but I doubt it). So yes, where did those 8M go because Trump will exceed his vote total from 2020.
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oh, and yes, it certainly makes one wonder how Joe Biden…yes, Joe Biden, got the most votes in US history be nearly 10M more than anyone else, including Obama.
hmmmmmm….harvest me, harvest them, harvest the dead….
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Rich Baris The People’s Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
·
2h
Iowa was not a response bias.
She was either totally full of sh[**] OR she has lost her ability to remain impartial. Maybe, it’s both.
I’m not sure which, and I don’t really care.
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COVID caused a black swan election. the risk is they to try to replicate that going forward.
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Vic, if you see any mistakes in my work above, please correct me. There’s 435 of them, I might have missed something.
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Voting results in my COUNTY in WV:
50,000 votes cast
52% turnout (only 17% turnout in May primary, and lowest turnout in the state)
**********************
Results in the TWO precincts where I worked:
2350 registered voters in ONE precinct, not sure of how many in the smaller precinct.
about 700 votes cast in the TWO precincts
**********
Approx. voting breakdown by age:
65 and Over–20% of voters
50-65–25%
35-50–35%
18-35–20%, including about 20 first time, new voters
_______________________________
breakdown of the @ 700 voters in the TWO precinct: (and turnout was a lot lower than the 52% turnout in the county)
–More younger people turned out than I expected
–about 15% AA
–about 20% Hispanic/Puerto Rican, West Indies islands,etc. (a fair number who spoke broken English or very little)
–about 8 Chinese/oriental most who spoke no English
Awful lot of people with mobility issues using canes, walkers, crutches, wheel chairs, etc
–about 10 voters were clearly somewhere on the worst end of the spectrum and seemed to have cognitive issues
–about 10 provisional ballots (not registered in WV, just moved here from CA, not voted in 15 years, etc. The PROVISIONAL voters ballots are not signed by the poll clerks when they give them the ballot and the voter is supposed to come back and give THEM their ballot to be put in envelope. They are not supposed to take their completed ballot to run into the vote tabulator machine. One slipped by and their PROVISIONAL ballot inadvertently got run through the vote tabulator with other votes.
About 5 spoiled ballots that could not be read by the vote tabulator. New ballot had to be issued. One spoiled ballots was almost torn in half by the 4 year old daughter of the mother who brought the girl with her to vote. It JAMMED the tabulator machine and caused big backup for about 10 minutes until they came and fixed it.
One early voter–big guy about 240 pounds full beard, about 28-30 yrs old, wearing a shirt he had bought that had TRUMP in HUGE letters on it, informed he could not wear that in the polling place as it was considered electioneering and a violation of voting code. He went ballistic, yells F this, F that, blah blah blah…
I start to call “authorities” to come deal with this. Older woman right in front of him in line turns and yells at him to “STOP THAT! and that language. I am a Christian and it is offensive.” Woman loudly says to her husband “Maybe we ought to change who we are planning to vote for.” Guy settles down. Takes his shirt off, puts it back on inside out. and finishes processing and voting. He actually quietly apologized to the woman who chastised him as he left–but no apology given to us poll workers.
I earned my $300 for my 15 hours and 25 minute day.
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“Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
@Mark_R_Mitchell
·
4h
So basically let me get this right. The ENTIRE election industry is rabidly left biased.
Except for the 4 people most accused of bias.
That’s orwellian”
And I trusted these four, and it won me a win on the HHR polling aggregator.
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those looking for good news…McCormick’s lead just increased a bit up to 31,460 ahead
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DW, that $300 would make a nice initial contribution to the GoFund Me to help pay down Harris’ 20M debt.
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“13 plus more million that voted for Biden in 2020 go?”
This is generating a lot of twitter posts by left wing posters.
They are asking the same thing but implying THOSE votes were now stolen.
Some are blaming the CIA!
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So Walt what were the results in your area, do you have how many voted for Trump and Justice and the governor’s race?
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DDHQ shows the House is currently R+1, so some race was recently called as a flip to the Dems. Any idea which race? Currently they project R’s with 221 seats.
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here is a nice tool for tracking it:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/06/us/elections/results-house-races-tracker.html
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Update Cambria county has 50% of its vote to still count.
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I have added the actual results to the HHR polling aggregator, with AZ and NV still to come. But my formula was EXACTLY correct predicting Trump’s win in NC at +3.3 and Harris’ win in MN at 4.2.
I can already see that were I was just slightly off a bit in some states, it was because I included too much of a share in the calculation of newer GOP pollsters who lacked sufficient track record.
But overall, I think it was a success.
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DW on the house final tally, I would probably assume yours is correct and not mine. I ran numbers at 3am last night and a couple could have been wishful thinking. In AK he’s still under 50% and who knows, maybe all the second choice ballots go to her and she wins. Doubtful, but you never kjow
anyway 223, 224, 225 those are all good numbers and mean we win the house. I was very concerned we would lose it after hearing all night how the Dems were gonna win it
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This is still up. I wonder if she killed herself.
https://x.com/ImMeme0/status/1854511654332981519
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Dems steal another senate seat in NV….
Rosen “wins” by 13k votes
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R’s also tend to piss Senate seats away as well.
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That delusional woman. So many of those
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“Reproductive freedom is what it is all about”
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
·
4m
JUST IN: California Governor Gavin Newsom has called a special session to “Trump-proof” the state.
“We are prepared to fight in the courts, and we will do everything necessary” – Newsom
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Newsom might wanna consider that over 40% of the people in his leftist utopia cesspool voted for TRUMP.
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Jill Stein got 33000 votes in PA.
Chase Oliver got 32000.
It didn’t cost Kamala the election but it could have.
And Chase Oliver did not take votes from Trump, believe me.
“It should be simple for those who wish to come here to work and build a better life to appear before immigration officials at an accredited port of entry, be given medical and criminal checks to assess their safety, and receive a visa allowing them to immediately find employment. This is a process that should take, at most, days – not months or years.”
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JUST IN: California Governor Gavin Newsom has called a special session to “Trump-proof” the state.”
Basically telling every illegal that is a criminal in the US to go to California.
Brilliant.
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“Reproductive freedom is what it is all about”
Sure, they are free to reproduce whenever they want. And there is this wonderful thing called biology. And in biology it is scientifically shown that if you do X, there is a good chance that conception will happen, resulting in reproduction. And so if you want to do X without conception and reproduction happening, then there are easy steps to take to do so, short of killing babies.
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they are already running for cover…
Rich Baris The People’s Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
·
3h
David Plouffe deleted his X account so he didn’t have to answer public questions about the FAKE data he was peddling to media in the final week, which unsurprisingly, they didn’t even both to confirm.
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Harris’ pick of Walz will go down as one of the most epic fails. In 2020 Biden won Minnesota by over 7 points. Harris picked Walz, and went on to win the state by only 4.2.
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From the verbal alleged gaffes to Jills red pantsuit and dress Joe’s energetic and giddy speech, does anyone here doubt that the Biden’s voted for Trump as they burnt all down on the way out?
https://x.com/FunkmasterAmp/status/1854080481555284341?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1854080481555284341%7Ctwgr%5E4a800a589aaf9a80560dacc8161fc9b81faa505f%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Face.mu.nu%2F
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I have not heard anyone mention it yet, but Trump has two years for sure to get Thomas and Alito replaced on the SCOTUS with brilliant conservative judges 30 years younger.
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Conversely, Trump won OH by 8 in 2020 and picked Vance and won OH on Tuesday by over 11. I get it that this increase might have happened anyway, but Vance was clearly not the dud that Walz was.
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My congressman Scott Perry, who is too conservative for the district (includes Harrisburg and some liberal enclaves) and even votes against funds for veterans almost lost this time, only won by 6k votes and it hasn’t been called yet. I doubt they can find 6k votes in Cumberland and York counties, the election boards are controlled by Rs, but he won’t survive next election unless he can sell himself better. Dauphin is Dem, but that is a lot of votes to conjure.
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Conversely, Trump won OH by 8 in 2020 and picked Vance and won OH on Tuesday by over 11.
He had a better percentage in 48 states than in 2020 from what I see. So I would put that more on Kamala/Walz than on Vance.
But even though I don’t like Vance’s policies, I am not trying to discredit him. He rose to the occasion, didn’t let the MSM get the best of him, worked his ass off, and did well in the debate. While I don’t think he got Trump any extra votes, I don’t think he hurt him either, which is the cardinal rule for VPs. On the other hand, I think Walz did hurt Kamala with veterans and people with school age children.
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I have not heard anyone mention it yet, but Trump has two years for sure to get Thomas and Alito replaced on the SCOTUS with brilliant conservative judges 30 years younger.”
More like 18 months.
You cannot underestimate how huge this win for Trump and GOP senate is. Another 4 years of Dems filling the federal bench and you would wipe out Trump’s first term gains on these courts.
Now Trump will have the chance to undo Biden’s damage, which was significant. 90% of his picks were really far left and mostly unqualified DEI picks. l
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I should say win for the judicial system.
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“He had a better percentage in 48 states than in 2020 from what I see.”
So far, yes. Plenty of ballots still being counted, and the single county she flipped, Pacific in WA, looks likely to flip back when it’s all done.
Tapper was shocked when shown the map that she basically improved over Biden’s margins nowhere. Some movement in the ATL burbs, and a few small pockets here and there, but on the macro, fewer votes.
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DW, did Mitchell actually mention HHR in that tweet??
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Andrew McCarthy thinks there is some “package” being brewed to get Trump and Hunter Biden off the hook.
I would not oppose a deal where Biden pardons Trump and Trump pardons Biden or even all Bidens.
Quid pro quo?
Yeah. Hunter is a POS and pathetic loser, I actually don’t care if he doesn’t go to jail. He will still be a POS and pathetic loser.
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Humas now wants a peace deal with Israel because of trumps election.
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I am glad that we are not waiting for nevada and Arizona to decide this election.
Nv has stupid 3 day rules (illegal).
Az is just a mess with Rinos and Ds to blame. Maricartel in particular.
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I realize that DDHQ has called both for trump.
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PA-08 house race has been called for the Republican.
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Vic, no, Mitchell didn’t mention us, but he could! Notice carefully where I put the quote marks. The last line was mine:
“Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
@Mark_R_Mitchell
·
4h
So basically let me get this right. The ENTIRE election industry is rabidly left biased.
Except for the 4 people most accused of bias.
That’s orwellian”
And I trusted these four, and it won me a win on the HHR polling aggregator.
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My point was I trusted Rasmussen, Atlas Intel, Trafalgar and Insider Advantage because they were the most accurate in the past, and I was rewarded for it by having an average of the battleground states closer than that of RCP.
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Breaking: Keep an eye on Maine 2, The Dem led by 7,880 and it just updated to a lead of only 1,990. Don’t know if there is enough left to close the rest of the gap.
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we also just got closer in CO-8
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now Maine-2 down to 1,704
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DW, I said it before, and I will say it again, you did an amazing job, and I think its worthwhile ot start getting the word out there. I am going to email you and bitter about some things…shhhh we won’t tell Jason 😉
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jason,
Precinct totals are not yet available , but in My COUNTY the finals were:
STATE% ……….my county (Berkeley)..Jefferson county just east (Harpers Ferry, Charles Town)
70% Trump …………..67% ……………………. 57.9%
69% Justice ………….64% ……………………..57.6%
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@MichaelAvenatti
Congratulations to President Trump on his unprecedented, dominant result. There is no denying his instincts, toughness, and resiliency
·
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Listened for a while to CNN on car radio while running errand.
–Trump is going to put tariffs in place that will drive up the cost of everything we import and cause big inflation
–Trump is going to fire 100,000 fed govt civil servants and replace them with Trump supporters
–Historians are taking a second look at Jimmy Carter and giving him the credit for beginning the deregulation of lots of industries like the airline industry that in the next ten years showed up and led to a boost in the economy that people falsely give credit to Reagan.
–Biden’s major spending in the infrastructure bill he passed will do the same thing to boost economy like what happened with Carter, but people will falsely give Trump the credit.
****************************
AND you can BET that on the morning of the second day after Trump is sworn in in Jan., 2025 the headlines from MSM will be ll about
“Trump Lies”
–“Trumps fails to stop Ukraine/Russia war on day one.”
–“Trump fails to depart all illegal aliens on day one”
–‘Trump fails to have border wall completed on day one”
–etc., etc., etc.
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What are the the second and third columns?
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Bl/other admins, I have a comment in moderation. A tweet from avenatti, the Russians hoaxers bff.
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AND…the moment Trump is sworn in, once again, America will have a HUGE and heartbreaking problem of homelessness, hunger, poverty, and its all the fault of the president.
We have seen this movie over and over and it always ends the same.
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McCormick now up to 31,529 ahead
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“Trump is going to fire 100,000 fed govt civil servants and replace them with Trump supporters”
That would be tremendous!
The GOP needs to get serious and move a bunch of the federal jobs out of DC and to a number of rural red states. There are plenty of R’s already there to staff those positions.
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On car radio, I heard that in NV there are 10s of THOUSANDS of mail in ballots that need to be “cured” due to the voter not signing their mail in ballot, etc.
They will contact the voter and the voter has X # of days to come in and cure the ballot and verify it was theirs. BUT, many will not do that because their candidate lost, or won big, of whatever…. Could THAT swing the close Senate election.
***********************
And Tina, I mistakenly clicked “Like” on your comment that they called the NV Senate race for the D. Sorry I clicked like… 😦
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The Cambria votes are majority McCormick.
The problem is Philadelphia, nobody has an answer how many votes are left.
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jason,
first column of numbers on left is STATE total, second #s are Berkeley County #s and 3rd set of numbers are from Jefferson county–the farthest easternmost county in WV in the DC ex-burbs.
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Jason – excellent point on judges. They matter. Bigly.
On the SC, I wonder if Sotomayor is feeling strong enough to go four years…..
Chicon
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Ballot measure to outlaw mountain lion and bobcat hunting in Colorado fails with 55% against.
Also Colorado passed a measure that some crimes require 85% of sentence served before parole and increases jail time for a bunch of other crimes.
The tide seems to be turning on crime, with Gascon losing, Price recalled and the anti-crime bill passing in CA.
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I am sure the Philadelphia mayor has plenty of ballots stored somewhere.
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And in NV Senate race, most of the ballots still not counted are in deep blue county.
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Thanks Walt.
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MD
CD 6 84% counted
(R) Parrott down 350 votes out of 320,000 counted so far. Would love to see this flip to red.
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Here is the Nevada results by county. It does look like a very slight win by Quemala in Clark county (Vegas) ; trump winning Washoe (reno); trump winning Lyon county (third largest county – Dayton city.) and Carson City county (4th largest- Nv state gubment); and racking up in other rural areas.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/nevada-president-results
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Tina – Your pending post was approved. See above.
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“Trump is going to fire 100,000 fed govt civil servants and replace them with Trump supporters”
I’d prefer it if he just eliminated their positions and saved the taxpayers 100,000 and bloated pensions and benefits packages.
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Why I think Walz actually cost Kamala votes.
“Harris failed to carry the county that was home to Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, her vice presidential running mate, for 20 years.
Before being elected governor, Walz lived in Mankato, which is in Blue Earth County. Trump defeated Harris there 49.6% to 48.3%.
In 2020, Biden won the county, beating Trump 50.8% to 46.4%.”
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Alka seltzer thing to take credit for her fake Iowa pole. See, it energized Rs.
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1854617892546830726?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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Trump lost MN in 2020 by 7.
In 2024 he lost by 4.
Maybe Walz “saved” MN, without Walz it would have been worse?
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What a crock. I don’t think she was paid, I think she just figured she would use her reputation to help Harris, and there was always a chance it would turn into a self fulfilling prophecy.
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She knew her numbers were fake. Bet on it.
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I kept saying Doltz was the gift that kept on giving. They basically iced him the last week. He was in mn a lot it seemed.
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something changed on the NY Times page, they had the GOP leading or won in 223 house seats, and now they show 224, but I don’t see what changed.
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Thursday morning Casey’s campaign released a statement saying the following:
“The count in Pennsylvania is still continuing. Yesterday, the vote margin shrunk by 50,000 votes and this race is now within half a point, the threshold for automatic recounts in Pennsylvania. With tens of thousands more votes to be counted, we are committed to ensuring every Pennsylvanian’s vote is heard and confident that at the end of that process, Senator Casey will be re-elected.”
Thursday afternoon McCormick’s campaign in a statement seeming to claim victory in the race:
“McCormick is up 30,679 votes with more to come, as ruby red Cambria County is still outstanding. While votes continue to be counted, any way you slice it, Dave McCormick will be the next United States Senator from Pennsylvania,”
Pennsylvania’s Secretary of State must order a recount by 5:00 p.m. on November 14. The recount would have to be completed by November 26.
McCormick (R) has a nearly 30,000-vote lead, which decreased overnight from roughly 31,000 Wednesday night. Many of the ballots came in from democratic strongholds like Philadelphia and its suburbs.
Thursday though, most ballots have been counted with outstanding ballots largely remaining in Cambria County where McCormick holds a roughly 24-point lead in the vote.
Cambria County faced issues on election day that saw a court-ordered extension of voting from 8 to 10 p.m. on election night. Any ballots cast past 8 p.m. were counted as provisional votes, which need to be verified by election officials before being counted.”
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Looks like it will be hard to avoid a recount.
But if it stays around 30k unlikely a recount will help Casey, but McCormick will have to watch Allegheny and Philadelphia counties like a hawk.
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Mastriano where he belongs…the PA senate
Doug Mastriano (R)* 69%
69.2%
97,384
Cameron Schroy (D) 31%
30.8%
43,347
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AP DECLARES MCCORMICK THE WINNER. CASEY LOSES.
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Champagne for everyone!
We got rid of 2 fake moderates who voted with the radicals 100% of the time.
Good riddance to Casey and Tester.
And if Amoral Scumbag was here I would give him a rare kudos, McCormick WAS a better candidate than Oz.
But of course the reason Amoral Scumbag didn’t like Oz was that Trump endorsed him, there is that.
And since McCormick ran very close to Trump, almost getting hit by the same bullet, Amoral Scumbag would have hated him this time around too.
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Sweet!
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Congrats to you PA folks. From the beginning the conventional wisdom out of the three rust belt states was that MI was the best shot, given the Dem wasn’t an entrenched incumbent. Then WI was second, because its the smallest state and its always close. Then Casey was seen as the most safe. In the end the reverse played out, with Casey going down instead of either of the other two.
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I don’t know how AZ will turnout.
But it looks like Rs will lose MI, WI and NV by less than 20k votes each.
Could have been a massive blowout and ensured a majority no matter what happened in 2026
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Could have an astonishing 57 seats
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If someone told you after that debate that Fetterman would beat Oz and the McCormick would take out Casey you would have bet the farm against it. I would have.
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Hey Bitter, were the York ASPCA dogs happy with the donation?
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So Bitter, are you ready to acknowledge that maybe abortion was not such a winning issue for Dems in PA and just maybe the Dems spent too much money on it?
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Has fetterman commented on the presidential election. I think he knew in advance how pa would go.
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2% race now between lake and the cartel. Looks like over 1 million votes remain
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Too bad Amoral Scumbag is no longer here.
If he was, I would ask him about something he said for years.
Trump’s win in 2016 was a fluke.
I always disagreed. And I think his solid win in 2024 proves I was right.
Trump is no fluke, like him or not.
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Karma?
Leila Hazou the far leftist Green candidate got double the margin between Casey and McCormick.
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I keep waiting for Democrats to define “fair share.” The IRS would need an exact percentage.
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I didn’t send it yet. I will. GFY
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No. Was it a winning issue. Obviously not. Did it add votes to Dems and reduce the margin of victory? Probably. I think that if 90% of Casey’s ads were not about abortion we would not be hoping McCormick can hold on to a 30,000 vote lead. It would have been a blowout win.
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“But it looks like Rs will lose MI, WI and NV by less than 20k votes each.”
And somewhere in a dark, smoke filled room, Pelosi, Schumer and their diabolical team are toasting each other as they drink their congratulatory champagne for a job well done!
Their mission of replacing Biden with Harris was not to win the Presidential election, but rather to rescue these and other senate seats, and keep house losses to a bare minimum.
They achieved their goals, and got all they could out of this election.
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CNN is soldiering on in PA, not calling it.
McCormick now 33,212 ahead
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Was part of their plan to lose the Senate?
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https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/pennsylvania-senate-results
This has the updated Casey-McCormick count.
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On abortion….I think Bitter and Jason are both right. Call it splitting the a-hole. The Dems had to try to make abortion the issue because they were way underwater on everything else. So, it was smart to focus on it.
But, the fact that abortion was their best option in this environment shows they were screwed. It was a losing bet all along, but it was their best option.
GFY.
Chicon
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Susie Wiles to be trumps cos. She was the campaigner manager.
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Hi, Tina. Wiles has shown loyalty and is unlikely aa Administrative State plant.
Chicon
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they couldn’t stop from losing the senate given WV and MT. But they were trying to limit the damage, which largely they did, though I am sure they were trying to save Casey for sure, but failed.
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Hi chicon, a great choice.
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So Pelosi and Schumer proffered a sacrificial lamb, choosing a female POC to be made a fool of? (Not that I’m complaining.)
I say that tongue-in-cheek knowing they had little choice, as Harris held the only key to the 250 million in the Biden/ Harris war chest.
It all makes sense though.
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I think that’s what they were thinking. After the Biden debate debacle Trump was polling with LEADS in NJ, MN, and VA. They had to act or risk an epic wipeout down the ballot
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Can’t wait to see Wiles on the covers of Time, Vogue and Newsweek, being hailed as the first female COS.
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Wait a minute …… a woman Chief Of Staff ????
I thought Trump hated women ????
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I didn’t send it yet. I will. GFY”
No hurry you can wait until you win the next big case.
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Call it splitting the a-hole.”
Sounds really painful. I need another martini.
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BREAKING: New York City Mayor Eric Adams has announced that the city will end food vouchers for migrants.
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Do we know who won the prediction thread yet?
No matter who won, it still won’t top my Garbage Truck prediction.
Suck It, You Bastards !!!!!
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Abortion was definitely a good issue for Dems, that was not my point.
But Bitter said most of the ads in his area by all candidates wer about abortion in an expensive media market like Philadelphia. The Dems spend half a billion dollars on abortion ads nationwide.
Given that the data shows suburban women went for Trump by a small margin and that Trump improved his vote in Philly and surrounding counties it seems like the Dems overspent on that issue.
This is borne out even in states where abortion was on the ballot… even where approved, many people voted pro abortion rights AND for Trump.
My point was never that abortion is a motivating force for Dems and some independents and R women, the question is how many votes do you get from the issue that you would not get otherwise. I have argued that the percentage of people who ONLY vote on abortion is very small and already vote Dem anyway.
Bitter said well maybe it motivates people who would otherwise not vote at all. No way to know if that is the case, but it certainly didn’t decide the election.
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BREAKING: New York City Mayor Eric Adams has announced that the city will end food vouchers for migrants”
No problem, Newsome is “Trump proofing CA”.
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My point was never that abortion is NOT a motivating force for Dems and some independents and R women”
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Do we know who won the prediction thread yet?”
We need wait for the AZ senate and President
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yep… maybe will have the contest results tomorrow
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Ousting Bob Casey was a great accomplishment.
Casey just got a little too comfortable thinking he could never lose and thus could just keep voting with the far left in the Senate without any pushback, including late term abortions when he used to call himself pro-life.
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BREAKING: Trump does not want former generals on his national security team and prefers businessmen and CEOs, per Axios
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DDHQ has now called 216 House seats for the R’s. They still project to 221.
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I think we may get to 225. Call me hopeful and crazy
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please watch. Worth it to see the meltdowns
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Can someone explain to me why it takes Arizona this long to count ballots? This is ridiculous. I hope Trump pushes for some kind of election reform. No way Florida can count all their ballots in a day, but Arizona can’t.
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there’s absolutely no reason. Whatever Florida does should be mandated in each and every atate
the problem is allowing votes to come in days and weeks later like Arizona, Nevada and California
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“BREAKING: Trump does not want former generals on his national security team and prefers businessmen and CEOs, per Axios”
-If picks any former military, should be people who actually had been in combat.
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“I would not oppose a deal where Biden pardons Trump and Trump pardons Biden or even all Bidens.”
-Agreed, but in return I would look to get a complete transparency on all dealings by the Biden family with foreign governments.
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“I have not heard anyone mention it yet, but Trump has two years for sure to get Thomas and Alito replaced on the SCOTUS with brilliant conservative judges 30 years younger.”
-While I do agree with this comment, it will make me weepy-eyed to see those 2 step down.
Maybe Roberts would like to retire as well…..
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Dems are now putting their hopes in getting the Senate back in two years
“Ossoff probably wins. Conceivable we win NC in two years against Tillis. Conceivable Tester runs in two years and wins in MT. Conceivable the ranked choice AK vote elects a Dem. So there’s four seats. If Rosen and Gallego hang on, it’s 53-47, and there’s your Dem Senate in two years.”
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The problem with Thomas is he wants to be the longest serving Judge ever, and doesn’t get that until year 3 of the Trump administration and who knows if we hold the Senate in 26
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““Ossoff probably wins.”
-I looked at him as the best pickup.
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“The problem with Thomas is he wants to be the longest serving Judge ever..”
-I hadn’t heard that. I kinda understand his thinking after everything the Dems put him through.
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“Conceivable Tester runs in two years and wins in MT.”
-I do not see him defeating Daines at all.
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“Conceivable we win NC in two years against Tillis.”
-Tillis probably won’t have his opponent implode this time around. He better be working hard.
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I think it would be foolish to not have military people as part of the national security team.
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Trump said “generals”. You wrote “military people”.
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Trump should hire Colonel or lower rank, preferably one passed over due to bad behavior or bad attitude, but who stayed in military for life despite not getting the promotions.
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We will need to genocide the GOP.
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Easy does it, Pablo.
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We can keep Romney around.
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What is something I can destroy without getting into to much trouble.
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NT
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