Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

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Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
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I won’t jinx it but this morning is better than I hoped. So far,

205 responses to “I won’t jinx it but this morning is better than I hoped. So far,”

  1. Here’s a crazy fact. New York might actually be closer in margin than Florida. Insane

    Like

  2. What is going on with AZ counting. It seems they just counted the early vote and then just went home ?

    Like

  3. 170,000 third-party votes could still cost McCormick a victory.

    Like

  4. Ironically, guess who the individual is who gets to certify Trump’s win?

    Hint: She had a looooong night

    Like

  5. gleaming6fea010b1d Avatar
    gleaming6fea010b1d

    Congrats rethugs.
    Still, fuck you Bitter

    Like

  6. To whom do the Shell-shocked Dems turn in 2028? Beshear?

    Like

  7. I love the smell of soreass in the morning!

    Chicon

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  8. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I went to bed and Rodgers, Slotkin and McCormick looked like locks.

    Like

  9. Shapiro v. Vance in 28.

    Chicon

    Like

  10. Nope not progressive enough. Notwit Whitmer is the favorite…unless they are okay with a Jew in Shapiro from PA.

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  11. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Michael Steele tries to explain to the MSNBC panel that normal Americans think Democrats don’t care about them. Molly Jong Fast then jumps in “but isn’t that a disinformation problem, isn’t that a disinformation problem”

    Like

  12. I don’t see Whitmer as POTUS material. I know she does. VP is best she should hope for.

    As far as Beshear not being progressive enough, you’d think after yesterday the Dems would do a lot of navel gazing. But how likely is that?

    Like

  13. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Last night Dumbchuck posted a cogent post analyzing why Kamala lost.

    If he stops talking like a troll and wants to contribute and doesn’t mind being challenged he is welcome here.

    We have Democrats like Big Joe who don’t come here to regurgitate talking points or call people “rethugs”.

    Like

  14. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    170,000 third-party votes could still cost McCormick a victory.”

    Well, Hazou has 67,000 votes and she is a leftist. I don’t know who the guy who got 80k is, wtf?

    Like

  15. So, we have nevada, Michigan, and Arizona not officially called? I realize that in nv, DDHQ called it.

    Az is a disgrace. It should have been completed.

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  16. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Last night they said Philadelphia only had 31000 mail in ballots left.

    Like

  17. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I don’t see how Trump loses MI, outside the MOF.

    But Slotkin is up by 5000, she won’t lose.

    Like

  18. gleaming6fea010b1d Avatar
    gleaming6fea010b1d

    Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

    Like

  19. kudos to Bitter for always reeling us in when we are tempted to say, if it’s this close in THIS state then THAT state is a lock.

    had we known Illinois was 4 points we would have said Virginia, Minnesota and New Hampshire were red

    Liked by 1 person

  20. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Decision Desk HQ has called the state of Nevada for former (and now future) President Donald Trump.”

    But Brown won’t survive the mail in ballots dumps

    Like

  21. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Hey Bitter, have you fed the dogs?

    Like

  22. gleaming6fea010b1d Avatar
    gleaming6fea010b1d

    Even I wouldn’t vote Whitmer. No personality.

    Beshear? Idk… bland. I would vote Tester though!

    Like

  23. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Hogan got 46% in MD, not bad.

    Like

  24. gleaming6fea010b1d Avatar
    gleaming6fea010b1d

    Hispanics are now Republican. Congrats Biden and the Transgender brigade.

    Like

  25. gleaming6fea010b1d Avatar
    gleaming6fea010b1d

    Passaic county,NJ goes Republican. WOW

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  26. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Kamala only won IL by 4 points?

    Jesus Maria!

    Like

  27. gleaming6fea010b1d Avatar
    gleaming6fea010b1d

    Hispanics could change the map in 2028. Dems up by just 4 in IL

    Like

  28. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Trump will declare himself dictator and rule until 2032.

    • Moonbats

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  29. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    See, Dumbchuck can de-troll himself when he wants.

    Like

  30. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I hope Paul is still alive.

    Liked by 1 person

  31. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    The AK referendum to remove ranked voting is close, repeal 4k ahead

    Like

  32. Michigan should be done this am.

    yeah, 5000 may not be enough for brown to survive the Nv dumps.

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  33. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    So Kamala got like 20 million votes less than Biden?

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  34. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Brown is not up 5000 he is up 1000

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  35. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Slotkin is up 5000

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  36. maybe closer to 15 million less? Further proof that 2020 was rigged imo.

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  37. It is also a historical election. First president to win non consecutive terms since Grover Cleveland.

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  38. Another stunning fact that is playing out: Trump is now going to win all of his states except the battlegrounds by ~10 points or higher. Yes – Ohio, Iowa, Florida, Texas, Alaska. The entire map shifted red.

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    4,520 Views

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  39. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Morning Joe:

    Kamala lost because Rs ran 30000 transgender ads and Dems never responded that that was Trump’s policy.

    Zzzzzzzzzz….

    Claire Skyqueen:

    Fear and anger won.

    zzzzzzzzzz….

    Like

  40. Lol, I don’t remember trump running any ads on that. He mentioned it in his rallies, but the focus was always illegals and the economy.

    what a lie by the morning Mika and Scarfarce.

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  41. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    ss

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  42. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Why is Fox only showing Rs with 51 seats?

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  43. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    It is at least 52, 3 pickups MT, OH, WV

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  44. Lol, Maricartel to “fix” ballots.

    ”According to State Senator Wendy Rogers, Maricopa County officials decided to quit counting ballots at 9 PM on Tuesday night. No reason was given.” (Fox)

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  45. faux just declared the mt race. Perhaps, they don’t have an intern to update the site?

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  46. ###################

    PROGRAMMING NOTE!!

    ###################

    I have started the 2024 Polling Grades page, with two initial entries that were particularly easy to grade:

    https://hhrphoenix.com/2024/11/06/2024-polling-grades/

    Much more will be added over the coming weeks.

    Like

  47. ”Why is Fox only showing Rs with 51 seats?”

    Because they’re Fox News.

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  48. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Who won the prediction, DW?

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  49. Like

  50. For the Senate you can chalk up PA for the good guys putting us at 53. WI, MI & NV appear to be gone. Believe or not Lake in AZ is the best shot at 54. She has been gaining slowly but surely.

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  51. TDS is very real. Ann Selzer just threw away her career because of it.

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  52. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Sheehy trailed Trump by a lot but still won by 8.

    After Casey, Tester was the fake moderate I most wanted to get rid of

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  53. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Dow up 1300

    LOL

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  54. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    OMG it is crashing…. now only 1200.

    SELL, SELL.

    Like

  55. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Sean Parnell: McCormick won. The senate race in PA is OVER.
    The votes are not there for Casey.

    Call the damn race already!

    Like

  56. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Good Morning Fellow Patriots !!!!

    Congratulations To President Trump !!!!!!

    Like

  57. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Lol, I don’t remember trump running any ads on that.”

    Here the ad ran incessantly, and it had a creepy of picture of the luggage stealer and the “admiral” and ends with “she is for them, I am for you”.

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  58. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    I’m going to spend the next couple nights watching the CNN and MSNBC election night coverage. That should be extremely entertaining.

    Liked by 1 person

  59. it was early in the morning, but I think I heard an analyst say the Dems spent half a billion on abortion ads.

    Like

  60. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    McCormick is up by 55k, might be outside the MOF.

    Even in Philly he was getting 20% so they would have to “find” like 90k votes.

    Last night there were only 31k ballots left and many had issues.

    Like

  61. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    it was early in the morning, but I think I heard an analyst say the Dems spent half a billion on abortion ads”

    The gender gap didn’t change. The “older white women” vote didn’t change.

    In PA the Dems lost 2 house seats and every statewide race.

    At least in PA, abortion ads were a waste.

    I made the point often that the polls did not justify this strategy, so I pat myself on the back.

    Liked by 2 people

  62. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Heads are exploding this morning. These people will never get it.

    Harry Sisson: “I really thought better of America. I thought we wouldn’t elect a criminal, sexual abuser, fraudster, and bully to be president. I was wrong. I’m so sorry.”

    Bill Kristol: “The American people have made a disastrous choice. And they have done so decisively, and with their eyes wide open. After everything, the American people liked what they saw [in Trump]. At a minimum, they were willing to accept what they saw.”

    Like

  63. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Even where the abortion referendums passed, Rs still won, showing that people separated the issues.

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  64. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Bill Kristol made a disastrous choice when he abandoned conservatism to endorse Marxists.

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  65. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Liz Cheney was somewhat less vitriolic. She said he won we have to respect the decision.

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  66. TSLA now up 12%. What a gamble by Musk and its going to pay off huge for him.

    Eager to see what this means about the EV industry going forward.

    This is why you never sell big names, regardless of political environment.

    Big Joe

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  67. and in the end, jason was right that DEMS couldn’t successfully replace Biden with anyone else and win.

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  68. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    ” I really thought better of America”

    The American people have made a disastrous choice”

    This is typical of leftist intelligentsia thinking.

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  69. Just looked up the phrase ‘smoke and mirrors’ – it said “see the 2024 Harris campaign”

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  70. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Trump won Erie Co.

    Won Berks by 12.

    You are not losing the state with those results.

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  71. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    I would hold off on taking any International flights for a couple days if I were you. There’s gonna be a lot of Celebrities that are gonna be needing seats.

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  72. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    and in the end, jason was right that DEMS couldn’t successfully replace Biden with anyone else and win”

    Thanks, but my point really was that the Dems had no bench to replace Biden with BEFORE the debate.

    The debate was an unforeseen circumstance. If not for that, they would have run Biden.

    But yes, the fact Kamala lost illustrates the “no bench” theory.

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  73. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I would hold off on taking any International flights for a couple days if I were you. There’s gonna be a lot of Celebrities that are gonna be needing seats.”

    I guess the A-hole only flies first class…

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  74. I guess the ‘non-voters’ weren’t listening to Michael Moore and his begging them to vote.

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  75. Like

  76. Like

  77. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    “I guess the A-hole only flies first class…”

    I’m definitely a first class A-hole……but that has nothing to do with air travel.

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  78. NC was not close… over 200k.

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  79. Okay I am ready for DeSantis to become Attorney General. He would clean house like a boss.

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  80. Another bit of propaganda that was shot down. Several pollsters in Michigan were pushing that RFK would still grab 4 to 7 points there. He got 26,549, 0.5%.

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  81. Ok would quemala “underperforming,” (no doubt she did), would that translate into 15 million less votes, when compared to 2020?

    Seems like 2020 was rigged.

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  82. These Brit’s are having so much fun mocking these US media idiots.

    Like

  83. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Race Call – Senator Baldwin won re-election in Wisconsin

    But sounds like McCormick is about to win.

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  84. They are taking it well over at DKos

    “Florida will not survive, all that FEMA money is going to be redirected into someones pocket. Floridians will have to fend for themselves and buy a boat as they will be washed away soon.”

    “you talk like there will be elections in the future….I do not foresee any mid-term or presidential elections in the future for this country. It’s not America any longer

    “As Ben Franklin said, “It’s a Republic if you can keep it.“ Well Ben, we lost it. 

    “There had better not be a single Drumpf voter b$%tching and complaining when grocery prices double what they were at their highest, when NO ONE will be able to afford a home, car, or basically anything either made overseas or from parts overseas, or when uncle Joe rapes their 10 year old daughter and gets her pregnant, and now she has to risk her life and carry that baby to term.”

    Liked by 1 person

  85. Salena Zito just announced the fat lady sung for Casey.

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  86. Michigan should be called soon. 98 percent is in and trumps lead is over 91,000.

    Liked by 1 person

  87. Joe Biden will now step down Kamala ascends to presidency.

    FIRST WOMAN PRSIDENT!

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  88. err, president!

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  89. I don’t think Ralston Purina and the Clark county mafia can “find” 60,000 votes.

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  90. Trump won MT by 20. Sheehy by 8.

    Tester’s BS still worked for some people.

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  91. RFK Jr and Tulsi have been working on the Transition Team for several weeks.

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  92. GWB releases classy statement congratulating Trump and Vance and commenting on how it was a clear win.

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  93. Makes Dick Cheney look like an even bigger a-hole.

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  94. Kamala to speak at 6PM

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  95. Jon Stewart:

    ALL POLLSTERS CAN BLOW ME

    “I don’t wanna ever f**king hear from you again.

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  96. Jeffp, what a very diverse group of people that supported trump. Lots of classical liberals/libertarians upset with the freedom of speech taken away.

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  97. Classy

    @JeffBezos

    Big congratulations to our 45th and now 47th President on an extraordinary political comeback and decisive victory. No nation has bigger opportunities. Wishingall success in leading and uniting the America we all love.

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  98. 2 of the House races in IA Seltzer said Dems would win are close but Rs ahead.

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  99. Just added the pollsters who only polled Florida. Only ONE decent grade there. Its going to have to wait a while on most states until we have a final margin. I could do Florida right away because DeSantis knows how to count votes.

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  100. Kaptur might lose in IA.

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  101. OH

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  102. Kamala and Biden are going to call Trump – NBC

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  103. Latinos

    Abortion important issue: 13% (probably at least half of those are pro-life)

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  104. Kasich on MSNBC.

    Fitting.

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  105. JUST IN: Donald Trump wins white suburban women by 4 points, white suburban men by 24 points – NBC

    ·

    4,265 Views

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  106. ELECTION LOOKBACK

    Lots of non/anti Trump angst today on social media and everwhere.

    Lets focus on why the American voters fairly convincingly voted to return Trump–with a HUGE train load of HUGE flaws–to the white house?

    By the numbers nationwide, I submit that had the R primary voters used their brains and chosen, say DeSantis/Haley combo as their team of candidates (with NO TRUMP baggage) they would have also won VA, MN, and Illinois and possibly NJ and other states to make an even LARGE Republican blowout.

    Why the people opposed to Trump are more upset today than they should be nd why they ARE that way today:

    –Bad (corrupt?)  polling that was pulling for Kamala and led many down the rainbows and unicorns path.

    –Bad MSM coverage which was 78% Positive for Kamala and 80-some % negative regarding Trump, leading to real concerns about a fair press.

    –Biden was TERRIBLE as president–for Pete’ sake please admit that!: He and his policies ran the country into the ditch big time. Biden’s EOs war on fossil fuels and big spike in gas and energy prices; Afghanistan debacle withdrawal, Ukraine/Russia, Hamas/Israel war; massive inflation brought on by massive federal spending; wages and saving being eroded by inflation; massive ushering in of 9-11 million MORE illegal aliens and all the THAT forced federal, state and local spending to accommodate these illegals at the expense of providing for American citizens as well as big strain on the healthcare system; Biden push for the LBGTQ transgender nonsense and being pro boys in girls bathrooms and in girls sports; Biden made a bad choice for VP; a series of things that showed the federal government was simply not working the way it was supposed to–(highlighted by the poor federal response to the hurricane and flooding damage in western NC); Post-2020 election real news that the Hunter Biden laptop was real (another case of Americans being lied to and for a while snookered); Biden minions and press absolutely lying about Biden’s mental and physical decline and inability to lead or handle duties as president; Kamala switcheroo after all primaries were over; Kamala was a terrible candidate–no plans; Kamala bad VP choice; Kamala had over a BILLION dollars but ran a bad campaign with lots of ads that absolutely distorted the abortion issue and other issues.

    And the D coordinated LAWFARE targeting Trump to ruin him politically and financially did not help them to win.

    You have to be REALLY, REALLY BAD  to cause so many voters to abandon you and vote for the despicable guy with a train load of bad baggage.

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  107. Licthman is looking for his keys….

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  108. Walt what do you think of the WV results?

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  109. Fox says 50% increase in Jewish vote for Trump

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  110. Hey Walt, your man Parrot is only 300 votes down in MD.

    Liked by 1 person

  111. Good analysis Walt, tks for the Election Lookback

    Liked by 1 person

  112. I think Trump being the top of the ballot will cause the good R Senate candidates to lose in MI and WI, possibly VA. PA and AZ are out there too.

    Why? Voters splitting votes and saying to themselves Biden/Harris/Walz is looney toons awful and definitely wrong path and hjuring me and my family, so have to hold nose and vote Trump. But they don’t trust Trump so will vote to send Ds to Senate to check Trump’s power.

    Let the arrows fly.

    Cash Cow has the shield up.

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  113. Yeah, Parrott is at 50%-50% last I saw. He is a good candidate in a gerrymandered D district in MD.

    I TOLD you before the election it was a race to watch and he had a good shot.

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  114. Wow what a night. Stayed up to watch Trump’s speech and enjoyed that. Thank goodness Trump won the EV handily and the PV as well. Those Dems who would yell he is illegitimate if he lost the PV can pound sand. Really want the house to stay R, and rue the close Senate losses. But overall it was a great night.

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  115. Trump gets more votes than the R senate candidates but causes them to lose. The mathing doesn’t appear to work.

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  116. “Walt what do you think of the WV results?”

    ***********************************************

    Have not dug in too much into all the races.

    –Kind of surprised Justice was at 69%. I thought he would be about 10 points lower. He will not last 6 years in the Senate. Bad health.

    –Morissey win bigger than I thought. Had heard there was lots of behind the scenes opposition to him in the R party.

    –Most races appear to have gone handily to the Rs. No surprise there

    The person who fairly narrowly won the State House of Delegates race in the district where live….He is pretty far, far right and has made public statements about how he is opposed to public education, does not believe in compromise on anything and instead promises if elected to bring constant controversy.

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  117. This election proves:

    1. Kamala Harris’s anti-semitism causing her to not pick Shapiro was a big mistake;
    2. The Lawfare abuse of our judicial system only pissed people off and exposed the deepstate corruption;
    3. Even the most militantly pro-abortion white suburban MOTHER doesnt want her son grouping up in a world that believes that little boys should be able to have their genitals cut off even with parental consent nor have their daughters compete in sports against men/boys; and
    4. Social media has allowed all of us to find alternative sources of information and people are falling for big media lies anymore, except for a few.

    God did save Trump for a purpose. So far, it appears he willl have a good senate and a GOP majority in the House although that is in air. Now CLEAN HOUSE!

    So thankful for God’s continued blessing of our country!

    Liked by 1 person

  118. “Trump gets more votes than the R senate candidates but causes them to lose. The mathing doesn’t appear to work.”

    ********************

    Different groups of voters vote funny ways and for reasons that to them make sense. looking at just numbers does not tell the whole story. When you did deeper, if an R Senate candidates loses by 4,000, can you find 4,000 voters (or 2001) out of 3,000,000 who voted Trump but also voted for the D Senate candidate? I think you can, and will.

    I stick by my theory.

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  119. No arrows, Walt. The campaign is over we can rest for a day.

    I think McCormick wins, I agree that Rs will probably not win WI, MI, AZ, or NV by very close margins.

    Was it Trump? I don’t think so. Baldwin and Rosen are incumbents, makes sense they would run ahead of Kamala as did Casey. Lake is not a good candidate. Leaves Rogers, could be local issues.

    Like

  120. But 53 seats is good. Waters down the power of Collins and Murkowski and is insurance.

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  121. Bonchie

    @bonchieredstate

    ·

    Follow

    Embracing Liz Cheney as a closing argument will go down as one of the dumbest decisions to ever be made in politics. It alienated everyone. There was zero upside.

    Like

  122. NV and MI senate seats will have close margins, making a win or loss difficult to assess. AZ has only counted a little over 60% of its ballots and already its dem county recorder has conceded, giving up to a freedom caucus Republican. People on the ground are still saying Keri Lake has room to win.

    Like

  123. NV and MI senate seats will have close margins, making a win or loss difficult to assess.”

    I am calling MI for the Dems. Rogers is behind over almost 30k in a blue state with 98% counted..

    Toast.

    NV the Dems will find the votes to beat Brown but I won’t call it yet.

    Hovde in WI is toast too.

    Unfortunate.

    Like

  124. That Vindman jerk is up in VA but there are still votes to be counted.

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  125. Trump got 6.6% in DC.

    No wonder they want to make it a state.

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  126. The GA vote was a lot closer than I thought so Bitter gets credit for that.

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  127. mbracing Liz Cheney as a closing argument will go down as one of the dumbest decisions to ever be made in politics. It alienated everyone. There was zero upside.”

    I agree it didn’t get her one vote. But it got headlines.

    Like

  128. Steele and Valadao seem to be safe in CA.

    Like

  129. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    The lawfare waged against Trump is one of the biggest reasons that Black Males voted for Trump in larger numbers. I can’t tell you how many YouTube videos/interviews where black males said, “they trying to do to Trump, what they do to us”.
    Sorry in advance for this, but many of them said, “ he is more of a nigga than she is”.

    In my opinion all the lawfare waged against Trump was a major tactical mistake by the Dems.

    Like

  130. Hovde was a great candidate, but unfortunately (and surprisingly) didn’t make it. The other senate ones not called yet I’m still hopeful can somehow pull it out.

    Just musing over last night’s decisive results it seems to me that not only did Trump win, but the cancel culture, leftist media took a big hit last night. Also, with Harris’s big money advantage, it was the ragtag novices, grass roots, volunteer groups representing “the people” who really won. Identity politics also was overcome by all classes, ethnicities, genders voting on issues rather than skin color and nationality differences.

    Like

  131. ugh. Vindman is a weak pos scumbag a disgrace to the uniform. A fake soldier

    Like

  132. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    But quite frankly, the most important development was the acquisition of Twitter by Elon Musk. It allowed Trump to get his message out in a way that would have been otherwise impossible.

    Like

  133. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Fox call MI for Trump.

    And after trailing all night, Bacon was saved in NE.

    Liked by 1 person

  134. Acquiring Twitter allowed for a broader conversation from everyone, not just ones approved by the Biden government. I really believe people will feel more empowered, less intimidated to openly voice their opinions, after this election – a big boost for free speech.

    Like

  135. Glad to hear Bacon made it. However I still don’t like him.

    Like

  136. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    If you told me earlier Trump would get within 4 in NJ and IL I would have said he would win NH and NM and VA.

    Like

  137. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I like any type of bacon.

    Liked by 1 person

  138. Charlie Kirk’s TPUSA group was a big component in aiding and abetting a Trump/Republican win. Kirk’s focus on the youth, going repeatedly to campuses, made definitive inroads in compelling young people to at least listen to and consider republicans as a political choice. As it turned out Trump won the white youth demographic – something earlier unheard of.

    Like

  139. Harris did not over perform in any county- not one!

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  140. The Republican transition team is meeting today going over policy and staffing considerations. They’re not wasting any time!

    My personal recommendation is the new administration review all J6 abuses/convictions, Tina Peters incarceration, and those jailed for praying in front of an abortion clinic. Execute punishments on criminals not political opponents.

    Like

  141. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Garvey is getting a respectable 43% in CA.

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  142. So there is a lot to digest and take away from this. Will post later all the crap that Liberals are saying, like the NYT –

    America’s democracy is likely to be put under tremendous strain. Trump will be a president who has already whipped up political violence and who promised to use the United States military against his domestic opponents, a prospect that may chill public resistance to his boundary-breaking ambitions.

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  143. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Execute punishments on criminals”

    People who attacked police officers, trespassed and destroyed public property and stole public and private property ARE criminals.

    Some were overcharged and treated badly and subjected to a double standard.

    Both can be true.

    Like

  144. Ironies:

    –Many on the left who want to lock up Trump and all his supporters (or at least not allow them to vote) are believing and worrying that Trump will come and lock them up when he is president. Four years from now they will unexpectedly, to them, still be living in the U.S. and not in some jail or reeducation camp.

    –Many on the left who support left-wing, hard tilt MSM big media that are controlled by billionaire liberals are livid with Musk and his control of X.

    –Many of the anti-Trumpers will give Trump no credit if he does in fact somehow wind down and end the chaos and warfare in Ukraine and Middle East.

    —Many people will now bring up again how the 2020 election outcome must have been due to fraud by the Ds.

    –Rumors will persist that either Biden will step down before the end of his term so Kamala can become the first woman president, or that Kamala will trigger the removal of Biden as president due to his cognitive state and become the first woman president.

    –In the next 4 years, Trump policies had better loser gas and energy prices, and inflation rate and groceries prices and insurance costs, etc. of else there will be a lot of upset voters. voters.

    Kamala tonight at 6 p.m. SHOULD give a conciliatory speech, concede and wish Trump well, denounce any violence, stress that her side is 100% behind a peaceful transition of power and urges everyone to be peaceful and work to get over their differences, she pledges to work together with Trump to solve the myriad problems facing Americans and do her part to unite the country.

    Sadly she won’t and will instead blame lack of understanding by the voters and hint at racism and sexism as contributing to her loss. And a late start… Probably saying things, like “the election shows that America is, sadly, not YET ready for a female president, especially one of color.” There by stirring the race card pot. And that she hopes Trump will work to ensure fairness to all minorities (race, women, illegal aliens, transgender, LBGTQEIEIO, etc. )and as president that Trump works within the confines of the sacred constitution [that she herself does not believe in]. And that Trump is inheriting a strong Biden/Harris economy that she hopes he won’t ruin.

    ********************

    And Trump SHOULD somehow get Michele Obama to appear with him and to say that for the second time in her life, she is proud to be an American.

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  145. I think he has much more pressing issues than J6 trespassers, to be honest. I think he should pick someone to review sentences, and commute those who were over sentenced, but if they committed a crime, they deserve to be punished. Entering the Capital that day is a crime.

    It’s time to put J6 to bed…on both sides. This should not be a retribution Presidency, Trump has a very unique opportunity in history to make a difference, and find some sort of uniting message. He reached a group of people that were not traditionally Republicans, he needs to help make them permanent, while stopping the alienation of traditional conservatives and Republicans. There’s space for all, we just have to get rid of the “100% of my agenda or you’re my enemy” mantra.

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  146. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Kamala only won 8 PA counties.

    That is even worse than Hillary who won 11 and Biden who won 13.

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  147. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I think he has much more pressing issues than J6 trespassers”

    Yah thinks?

    He should appoint a commission to study case by case and determine which ones deserve a pardon or commutation and make recommendations.

    I don’t support any blanket pardons.

    Liked by 1 person

  148. Walt – I truly hope she doesn’t go in with all the BS she spewed the last month of the campaign. She was obviously told she was losing and needed to attack, but it only turned more americans off, even in Blue states. Who would have thought he would have won the popular vote.

    ” ‘Rumors will persist that either Biden will step down before the end of his term so Kamala can become the first woman president, or that Kamala will trigger the removal of Biden as president due to his cognitive state and become the first woman president.’”

    Turns out She is the real life incarnation of the TV character in VEEP.

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  149. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Hovde loses by 28k votes, bummer.

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  150. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Angus King only got 52% in ME, but it was a 3 man race.

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  151. So Trump should better his vote total from 2020 (nationally) by a shade (74,200,000), maybe hell hit 75,000,000. BUT…Kamala, at best, will end up about 10,000,000 votes less than Biden in 2020.

    LET THAT SINK IN

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  152. BREAKING: DOJ moving to wind down criminal cases against Donald Trump before he takes office – NBC

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  153. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    McCormick’s 55 k lead now 35k…. getting dangerous.

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  154. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Hope Salena was right when she said there weren’t enough votes.

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  155. Kari Lake is down 2.7% with a Green party candidate taking 2%. She is underperforming even worse than I originally thought.

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  156. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Looking forward to a postmortem of VA from DW.

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  157. Like

  158. Jason, I noticed the same thing. The spread keeps getting thinner and thinner for no apparent reason. Looks like McCormick’s lead at 3AM was just under the margin of fraud.

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  159. ”People who attacked police officers, trespassed and destroyed public property and stole public and private property ARE criminals.”

    Two police officers attacked and killed 2 defenseless women and were not charged. Very little public property was vandalized or stolen, especially when compared to the BLM 2 billion dollar riots where rioters entered and burned federal buildings and small businesses. Furthermore, “trespassing” is a disingenuous charge, when there are numerous photographed instances of people being waved/let into the Capitol building and were escorted around by the Capitol Police. The uncensored story of that protest has been on hold and covered up for years – withholding video footage, altering clips of Trump’s speech, conducting an unconstitutionally biased J6 Select Committee to investigate and judge the actions on that day. Finally, sending swat teams around the country to terrorize and prosecute people, years after the 1-day protest. is more of a Soviet tactic not an American one. Such abuse extends itself to those sitting in detention or isolation for almost 4 years without sentencing. Yeah, I think a lot of pardons are merited…..

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  160. The Nv Margin is now 65,000+ with 85 percent in.

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  161. but they didn’t update the NV brown numbers when they updated the POTUS numbers.

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  162. oh there it is…Brown over 6,000 ahead now

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  163. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I see Janzam is big on irrelevant garbage and “what aboutism”

    Two police officers attacked and killed 2 defenseless women and were not charged.”

    If those are the facts, they should be prosecuted

    Very little public property was vandalized or stolen, especially when compared to the BLM 2 billion dollar

    Irrelevant what the “ratio” was. BLM should be prosecuted. So should the J6 rioters. The fact BLM had a different standard doesn’t justify ANYTHING. It’s like saying I can kill my wife because my neighbor killed his and got away with it. Asinine argument.

    Furthermore, “trespassing” is a disingenuous charge.

    Huh, no, trespassing is trespassing and nothing “disingenuous” about it. Now should trespassers receive draconian penalties if they just trespassed and nothing else? No.

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  164. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    oh there it is…Brown over 6,000 ahead now”

    Wow… great.

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  165. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I didn’t call it for Brown. Just for Baldwin and Slotkin.

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  166. quoting ralston, 6,034 ain’t nuthin’

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  167. lol


    Jon Ralston

    @RalstonReports

    Has AP not yet called Nevada for Trump? It’s over, my wire service friends. Even the Culinary Union can’t save Harris, and the union’s efforts probably won’t save Jacky Rosen, either.

    ·

    135.3K Views

    Liked by 1 person

  168. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I think Nye County headfaked the Dems. They held 20k votes and now the Dems in Clark don’t have enough to overcome them.

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  169. An earlier tweet, where he admits that Clark county was a draw. That is a big surprise because it’s likely that he got some crossover, union, and Hispanic vote. I did not see where washoe ended up (last I heard it was plus 5); and the rurals ran wild.


    @RalstonReports

    For those crazy enough to be awake, Clark updated with 167K votes and it’s over for Harris in NV. What Trump did was remarkable and I couldn’t have (didn’t) predicted it: He played her to a draw in Clark w/900K votes counted. These indies are not who we thought they were.

    ·

    1.4M Views

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  170. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Of course, it is pretty sick that any “union” could help anyone win after the election.

    Banana republic.

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  171. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Washoe +5 is fatal.

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  172. Lol, nye county did a Fairfax and held back.

    seems like they had some legit reporting problem. Not sure if those 20,000 votes have been tabulated, but ralston said it could cost Rosen her seat. lol

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  173. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Biden invites Trump to WH.

    Classy since Trump did not invite him.

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  174. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    If we can usher a new era where they are not calling each other crooks and Nazis, I am all for it.

    Liked by 1 person

  175. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Trump won white suburban women by +4.

    Maybe 500 million in abortion ads was not the right strategy.

    Liked by 1 person

  176. Essentially getting a draw out of Clark and washoe at r plus 5 (if correct), and letting the rurals run wild, is wh pay trump won.

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  177. Decision desk hq declares trump the winner in nevada. Almost +66,000 Martin with 92% in. The nye drop must have been brutal.

    Liked by 1 person

  178. Yes, trump,should go to the wh.

    the nurse wore red yesterday. You know she hates quemala.

    Trump should bring some choka chip ice cream and give Biden a signed MAGA hat. Remember, he wore the guys Maga hat and apparently took it.

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  179. Nv margin is +65000*

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  180. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    My first inclination was to laugh. But in reality it is scary people really believe this sh-t.

    “First you’re going to need a large purse and a loose brick. Wouldn’t hurt to stock up on empty glass bottles and absorbent rags either. Next you need is good running shoes and an affordable lawyer. I promised my Grandparents if we ever went Fascist I’d risk my life like they did. I guess I have to prove it when they start arresting people.”

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  181. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Flores got 49% in TX house seat again. Too bad.

    Like

  182. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    ”These indies are not who we thought they were.”

    With 70% of the Country saying the Country was on the wrong track, they were exactly who I thought they would be.

    Liked by 1 person

  183. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Sonny Hostin says Trump will deport the Latino men who voted for him.’

    You can’t make this sh-t up.

    “EW: “The View’s Sunny Hostin wonders why “uneducated white women” and “latino men” aren’t smart enough to vote in their own best interests: “Black women tried to save this country again last night.” “What we did not have is white women — who voted about 52%. Right? For Donald Trump — uneducated white women. It’s my understanding you have Latino men actually voting more for him.” “So why do you think that uneducated white women voted against their reproductive health freedoms? And why do you think Latino men, voted in favor of someone that’s going to deport them.”

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  184. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Wow Rodgers only lost by 18,000 votes.

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  185. I will feed the dogs.

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  186. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Piers Morgan: Donald Trump should complete his stunning common sense dismantlement of the woke mind virus brigade by announcing he’s now identifying as a woman and will therefore become America’s first female president…

    Liked by 1 person

  187. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Ralstonhack cost a lot of people money in the betting markets.

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  188. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I will feed the dogs.”

    They are good dogs and always hungry.

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  189. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Barr was just on Fox.

    He said all charges need to be dismissed.

    He said it is the prerogative of the prosecution to decide whether cases are viable or should be prosecuted in light of new information.

    He said the cases are not going anywhere before Trump is inaugurated and they are so weak anyway there is no point in trying to keep them “alive”

    I found his arguments compelling.

    Liked by 1 person

  190. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    and will therefore become America’s first female president…”

    Why female?

    Go for broke. Non-binary.

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  191. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Hirono, dumbest senator in the Senate, wins with 65% of the vote.

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  192. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Trump at about 38% in Hawaii.

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  193. I don’t understand yesterday’s concern about Indiana. Trump won it by 16 points in 2020. He did 2 points better, and she did 4 points worse. That is a +6 net change. I also watched an idiot on the Charlie Kirk program raise similar concerns even though he failed to mention the other part of the equation (her).

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  194. new thread in a few minutes

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  195. Hispanics are racist according to Joe Scarfarce, and other media comments:

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