Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
160 responses to “Polls closed in Arkansas”
Frist
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First
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Chit
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can we cancel the next 10 pm update and just keep this thread, its getting hard to go back and forth, and we do not have the volume of posts I expected tonight, oddly
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This thread changing BS is stupid and a pain in the ass.
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It’s nice to be able to refer to prior information people post.
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Bitter, GA betting markets are 85-15.
Go ahead and send the money, the dogs are hungry.
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Trump now at 35% to win the popular vote.
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Trump takes the lead in NC. A lot of Red and Blue counties has nothing so it will be back an forth for a while before Trump gets a stable lead much later down the line with the count.
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I agree. I hope we can just keep this thread for awhile. Maybe if it gets to 200 or 250 then we move on
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I cancelled the 9:00 thread.
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Trump is down only 51-46 in RI with 53% of the vote in. I think they count the election day vote first which would explain this result.
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I cancelled the 11:00 thread.
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Do you miss the 2000 post threads from 2020 and 2016?
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NBC Exit Poll – Latino Men
🔴 Trump: 54% (+10)
🔵 Harris: 44%
“Latino men backed Biden over Trump by a 23-point margin, 59% to 36%”
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no, we don’t but we have a lot less posters
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I AGREE WHOLEHEARTEDLY with this…
Tonight is primarily about Donald Trump, and it is well-deserved. We are witnessing one of the greatest American comebacks in real-time. However, for a moment I just want to take a moment to send some flowers to my man @RonDeSantis. Out-gunned, way out-spent, he and his team (along with a hearty group of grassroots activists on the ground) leveraged all of their political capital to stop Florida from becoming California with unlimited stoners and baby murder. And to keep Florida as the reddest state in the union.
True leadership, and true badassery. Give him his propers. He continues to be the most successful GOP governor in the history of the party.
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BREAKING: Decision Desk HQ now gives Donald Trump a 70% chance of winning the election
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Now it comes down to Trump cracking the Blue Wall.
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Texas is +10
Florida is +13.
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We are posting numbers here, so if you just have a new thread every 5 minutes we might as well not post anything.
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I am glad that we are all agreeing that the other threads should be cancelled.
Unity.
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I agree with Jeff P.
I hope he runs in 2028 although if Trump wins you have to give Vance the edge.
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Dems are ahead in PA by 330K which are almost all early/mail vote. Based on early vote most likely they can get this up to 400K or 450K. It can be more if Ind lean Dem. After that it would be about Trump catching up
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Did you start your blog yet?
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“True leadership, and true badassery. Give him his propers. He continues to be the most successful GOP governor in the history of the party.”
-Agreed. Amazing job!
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It will take just a few years for people to understand that marihuana legalization has been a mistake.
Who wants their daughter or son to date a person who smokes weed?
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The only remaining scheduled threads are 10:00 pm and midnight. GFYs
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With an estimated 90% reporting, Trump leads 53% to 46.6% in Baldwin County, GA, a county won by Biden in 2020 by one point. The county’s population is roughly 40% African American.”
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Bitter, what is the logic of new threads if everyone here would just rather use the one that has the information we are posting?
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Ohio + 9
Florida +13
Texas +10
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Bitter is just pissed he has to feed the York Co. ASPCA dogs again.
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Fuck off BL.
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Commas matter.
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10PM and Midnight are great!
Thanks Bitterlaw and DW and VictrC!
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VA and NH called by decision for Harris.
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Will Trump have to win Wisconsin by twice the number of votes from Milwaukee?
The voting counting there seems suspect.
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MSNBC lamenting the Electoral College…….I’ll take that as a good sign.
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PA EXIT INDIE +6 for trump.
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“VA and NH called by decision for Harris.”
-By whom?
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Justice has almost 70%. Maybe Walt is wrong that he wouldn’t get 60%
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Balls and principles matter.
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Blue northern wall will hold. The west will hold. I’m not moved.
But objectively, this is a shitshow for K.
Fuck fuckity fuck
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Because the threads will get too large and you will have to scroll back through hundreds as the map fills in. HHR spoke and got what it wanted. GFY
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98% the senate will be in Republican hands. Over 60% the house will remain i Republican – both decision desk calls.
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Not yet. I will be happy to be wrong but Trump could still lose Georgia.
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NYC – decision desk
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“Shitshow at the fuck factory”
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Seth Keshel: Trump holds lead in Anson County NC at 90% counted. No GOP nominee since Nixon ‘72 has won it. Black rural vote in NC = DOA.
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John Solomon thinks MI’s senate seat will be won by Roger’s.
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Because I can’t drive, I have to take the 4:42 am train to Harrisburg for a Commonwealth Court argument. The 6:30 am train would be cutting it too close. Might as well stay up.
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Solomon thinks NC is on the same track as 2016.
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Wake county (Raleigh) at 76%.
Fulton and DeKalb (GA) almost done reporting too.
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NYT called OH. Gap is 8 and growing
NYT also make NC lean GOP
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Not yet. I will be happy to be wrong but Trump could still lose Georgia.”
He could.
But if you bet $1000 right now and he loses you get $10000
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MI Washtenaw County with 46% in it is Harris 63-34. Back in 2020 it was Biden 72-26. This seems to be the early vote which would make that number very good for Trump and matches some of the suburbs shifts in the Sunbelt
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I am watching Richard Baris on YouTube and Fox on mute. Using X of course. When Trump starts winning a rust belt state switching to CNN & MSLSD for a good laugh.
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Trumps early margins in MI looking good.
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NYC is also shifting toward Trump
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Here Bitter, you can get rich
https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-presidential-election-winner?tid=1730859154648
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I think WI is going Trump by midnight.
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CBS is saying that while Trump is ahead in GA and NC, Harris could catch up. They are sort of predicting it.
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Allegany County, PA has 100% of their mail in votes counted. And, Trump has over performed over 11% from where he was in the last election. PA is looking better and better as the evening goes on, especially with the black vote, acting as a generational shift in election demographics.
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Trump is a lock based on exit polls. LOL.
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Kamala down 4 points with suburban voters in PA compared to 2020.
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NYT is giving Trump 285 versus 281 a few minutes ago. I am guessing that is not based upon states.
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Texas projected +11 and Ohio +9.4 wins for trump
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I guess Jason was right, Youngkin would have flipped VA for Trump, if he doesn’t win it.
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NBC Exit Michigan Under 30
Trump 51
Harris 47
Long form Podcast effect. Musk helps too.
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Not on CNN’s map.
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Bernie Moreno building a 2 Pt lead in Ohio.
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NYT moves Michigan from Harris to even.
NYT – Trump has 77% chance of taking GA
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Ayotte wins. Bitter will be happy.
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shes your friend right Bitter
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Back from doing my poll worker gig during thee election today.
15 hours and 25 minutes today from time I left the house at 5:15 this morning to get to my assigned polling precinct just 5 minutes away to be there by required 5:30 a.m. until I got home tonight at 8:40.p.m.
Now to catch up on what is happening nationally.
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Polymarket was 60-40 for Harris in MI all day, now 50-50.
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I can’t relax until Trump wins a rust belt state.
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Big cities will be the ruin of Trump! We got this. Trump will be retired to prison!!
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Yeah he’s a lock! For prison.
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Good work Walt.
I see Justice and Trump are over 70% in WV.
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In VA Trump has a 1% lead. Now it is a battle of Fairfax vs non-NOVA VA.
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Projection –
Kelly Ayotte Villanova School of Law 1993 and friend of Bitterlaw will be the next Governor of New Hampshire. Not official yet.
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Tom Barrett doing well in the MI house seat, which would be a pick-up.
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Hey Troll, do you need the Suicide Hotline Number? Call now, will be mobbed later.
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Ayotte was called by FOx.
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Trump wins NC! Ted Cruz wins seat in TX.
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Ted Cruz wins easily.
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NYT needle to 287 for Trump. Shades of 2016.
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DDHQ CALLS NC FOR TRUMP
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Yes. She was also a great softball player. Could run the bases holding a beer.
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Trump is trending well in early voting results Wayne County MI. Black males and Arab vote folks.
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This Decision Desk place makes early calls?
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Ayotte will be a great Governor in NH.
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Alsobrooks up over Hogan by 11. Fools Gold.
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DeSantis-Ayotte 2028
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Bill Hemmer is making an ass of himself.
His crap is so confusing nobody knows what he talking about.
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In VA, Loudon and Prince William are at 95%. Fairfax is at 63% and Arlington at 34%. T may take VA!
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Trump’s lead in OH hits 11. I cannot see how this does not start to impact WI and MI margins as well
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I thought Trump was spending too much time in GA and NC at the end.
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It really is LOL
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Well ga is not yet called.
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NYT says Trump has a 77% chance of winning Georgia.
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BREAKING: NEW YORK TIMES HAS FLIPPED WISCONSIN INTO TRUMP’S COLUMN
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How is Iowa going?
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I don’t trust Fannie; hee haw, and definitely rattburger.
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Fox called NH for Harris. Sucks.
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NYT just increased their margins for Trump. Here is where we are CURRENTLY at.
PA: Trump+0.5NV: Trump+0.8NC: Trump+2.1GA: Trump+2.3AZ: Trump+3.5
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GA is a lock for Trump
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Most of the big GA counties for Harris are running out of votes.
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New Hampshire called for Harris
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I thought Musk was smoking something when he said Trump could win VA. He will not win but it will be very close. Musk was not making stuff up.
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jason,
Please write in sign language so Scooter hears you.
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Why does VA keep coming up?
Is it called, or is there still a chance?
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Harris under performing in Detroit.
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Which major network is most liberal? I pick CBS.
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Polymarkets:Trump 80%
NYT: Trump 70%
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CBS is not calling states. They have called fewer states than NYT.
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45% National Hispanic vote for Trump in exit polls.
Black males are 25% in exit polls.
Trump working class coalition is growing.
That could lead to popular vote win tonight.
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Haven’t heard from gleamerboy in awhile. Did mom lock the basement door? Is he on the phone with Elias for new talking points? Should we call 911 for a welfare check? Nah
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”Bill Hemmer is making an ass of himself.
His crap is so confusing nobody knows what he talking about.”
That’s exactly what my wife just said
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Yep my hometown!
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Ok laugh a bit.
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With 58% of the vote counted in VA, Trump remains ahead. I wonder why the decision desk called that state for Harris?
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What was reason for calling VA already? Is there a place to get a clearer picture?
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Glenn Youngkin- “Hold on, not so fast!”
Is this a BOOM!?
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Trump carried a county in NC which hadn’t gone republican since 1876
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janz,
Wish you would wait to share those calls. Seemed a bit early.
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which decision desk because I don’t see anyone calling it yet
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She is performing poorly in Eastern pa (Lackawanna)
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PA Lackawanna County over 95% in Harris 51-48. Back in 2020 it was Biden 54-45. Of course that was based on the Scarton Joe effect
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NEW: @NBCNews Exit Poll in Wisconsin: Trump doubles Black support
This year Trump is pulling about 20% of the Black vote, versus 78% for Harris. Four years ago, Trump won only about 8% of Black voters in the Badger State.
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she has almost 500,000 less votes in Philadelphia,county than demented.
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so far*
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GOP Flip – Congress
McDowell (🔴) wins the election in North Carolina 06
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FLIP ALERT: With an estimated 48% reporting, Trump leads 52.4% to 45.7% in Sauk County, WI, a county Biden won 1.7% in 2020
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Now 79% odds that Trump wins Pennsylvania.
NYC, I’m only posting what I hear. It’s not derived by any personal analysis of mine.
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Alka Selter was wrong about Iowa.
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Trump just took lead in WI
Iowa? Remember that place? Trump +15%!!!
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VictrC, what county in NC?
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Trump is about overtake her in Iowa and Polk County (with Des Moines) has reported 83%.
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Let me find that, they said it quickly and I didn’t make a note
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Tina – Where are you seeing that. It seems impossible. Was 500,000 a typo?
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lol never change Tina. You’re a real one LOL
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Trump is not ahead in IA by 15. Harris is. Of course that is a blue mirage as IA always counts Des Moines first. It will flip back to Trump eventually. Mostly likely a 10 point victory
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Troujbe switch tabulating machines in Depp red counties
“PITTSBURGH, Pennsylvania — Voters in a deep-red Pennsylvania county will get two extra hours to vote on Election Day after widespread problems with voting machines caused confusion and long lines.
The issues with scanning ballots in Cambria County threatened to disenfranchise voters in the critical swing state, a local election official said Tuesday.
Problems were also reported with tabulation machines in Bedford County.
Authorities reassured voters that their ballots will be counted despite the malfunctions.
Former President Donald Trump won the counties with 68% and 83% of the vote a four years ago with 68% and 83% of the vote, respectively.”
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Trump takes the lead in PA
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“NYC, I’m only posting what I hear. It’s not derived by any personal analysis of mine.”
-Got it. Maybe Trust, But Verify is the needed antidote for Decision Desk
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Someone has some explaining to do.
80% of Des Moines is in. Trump is performing better in Des Moines suburbs and Des Moines margins are identical to 2020. Harris will be losing Iowa by 10+ points. And Ann Selzer’s +3 Harris Iowa Poll will soon be a distant memory.
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Maybe Alka seltzer will figure out what is a d and r.
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whoops sorry I turned on MSNBC to see them whine
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I think a lot of people won’t let her forget it
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LOL MSNBC saying Trump is against all the votes being counted and if hes ahead hes going to try to stop the count
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I spotted a new thread
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😂
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NYT model now has Trump 291 Harris 247 in EC
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VictrC,
I’ve had MadCow on the last 2 hours. The amount of lies and misrepresentation of policy is beyond my wildest imagination. It is just a constant stream of incorrect information. I knew it was bad, but not this bad.
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The rules are different for the parties Dems gets penalized 20 yards for offsides and the republicans don’t get penalized. Racist racist racist
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Tell me now and I can delete 10:00 thread. Or move it to 11:00.
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I scheduled 11:30 and deleted midnight.
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You’re the boss
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