Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
39 responses to “Polls closed in AL, CT, DE, FL, IL, ME, MD, MA, MS, MO, NH, NJ, OK, PA, RI, and TN”
Frist
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Hillsborough flipped, which means that Pinellas will as well once they report. Author must be p*ssed.
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Trump surging on Predictit, over 60%
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WTF was the female Fox announcer smoking when she said that Scott was having trouble in Florida, hes up over 10% and the race has been called.
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Did Fox call Arizona for Biden yet?
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Kamala wins this! The blue wall will hold
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Better bet quick.
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Moreno 82-11 on Polymarket, Brown is done.
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Enough threads leave it alone geezus.
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I like the MSNBC map guy but then Maddow shows up.
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i agree, we shulld keep this thread running for at least a couple hours
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Trump FL margin is 13% ???? !!!!
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Maybe I was right that Trump wasted too much time in GA.
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Jesus, Trump may win Florida by 13%. Remember those 2% and 3% polls!!!
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Trump is behind only 51-47 in VA with more of NOVA in than the rest of VA
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I said 10 for Trump in FL
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You’re not watching faux News? You should stick to your team
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Abortion was so important it didn’t pass in Florida.
Neither did marijuana btw.
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The Dems spent a ton of money on the ditzy blonde against Scott in Florida, getting crushed.
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GA Cobb County 61% in Harris 57-42. In 2020 it was Biden 56-42. This count is early vote mail vote heavy. Mostly positive for Trump.
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Georgia has a small shift to Trump, but thats enough to get the electoral votes and make up the 10,000 he was short last time
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Why are they not calling TX yet. Given how Dallas and Fort Worth look like so far it is a for sure a easy Trump win.
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I am not worried about GA.
The 25% male black vote for Trump or anything close to it is fatal.
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We agreed with DW on this. Stay the course.
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NYT now has GA as lean GOP
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Drumf underperforming his 2020 margins in GA. Time to panic rethugs. This will be a long night for you
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‘I think looking at the data GA is shaping up to be a close win. Texas is going to be about 6-7%
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Copium
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Harris is doing better than Biden in some Dem strongholds in GA and NC.
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So NY has Trump ahead in terms of EV at 276-262. So their median scenario must be Trump flips AZ GA and one of (PA WI MI). We will need more data out of Midwest but the VA count so far is very ominous for Harris
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NYT has VA as just lean Dem. I think the underperformance of of Harris in NOVA is behind this. So NYT feel the chances of a Trump win in GA is the same as Harris win in VA. Shows how much the math has shifted.
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i dont see the same data Bitter. I think Trump is doing marginally better in most places, 1-2%
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NYT shifted it EV to Trump 278 Harris 260
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Trump takes the lead in VA AND more of NOVA vote is in than the rest of VA. Harris will win but Trump will gain a swing in VA. If Trump gets a swing in VA I do not see how he loses NC.
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Not on CNN’s map.
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Yup the early GA vote margins in the ATL area are similar to the final 2020 margins. The election day vote should move the margins a few points to Trump. At that point, Harris will need an increase in total volume of votes to overcome the loss in margin.
Big Joe
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Dallas and Travis (TX) counties are mostly finished counting. Many red states have not even reported yet.
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bj, what about Baldwin county ga .
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Tina, Looks like Baldwin county has shifted 3-4 points to Trump. It’s a small county so probably nets 1500 votes give/take some.
Big Joe
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