MINNESOTA poll
🔵 Harris: 50% (+3)
🔴 Trump: 47%
🟢 Other: 2%
🟡 Undecided: 2%
@Rasmussen_Poll
| 10/24-26 | N=959LV
NEW HAMPSHIRE poll
🔵 Harris: 48% (+1)
🔴 Trump: 47%
🟢 Other: 3%
🟡 Undecided: 2%
@Rasmussen_Poll
| 10/24-28 | N=901LV
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
108 responses to “Mid-Afternoon Rasmussen polls”
1st
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GF – You A-hole.
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apparently NOT cannibalizing election day vote:
Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
This is APOCALPYTIC for Democrats in Nevada!
The GOP holds an 8-POINT EDGE among the lowest propensity voters, and an 11-POINT edge among low-to-medium propensity voters.
The gap is closest among the partisans… only R+4… meaning the GOP’s momentum is not just election day partisans switching over but a LOT of new voters compared to Dems.
Sheet from
@MichaelPruser
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so all they are left with, is all these people hate Trump so much, they just had to register as Republicans to vote against him.
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WTF?
ABC: How can Kamala find “common ground” with President Trump’s supporters when she’s simultaneously smearing them and insulting him?
WALZ: “The vice president’s rhetoric is the rhetoric that a president of the United States gives.”
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WALZ is right. Biden called half the people in our country garbage.
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Trump is off four today at PredictID from 60 down to 56. Not sure why. Harris has a Pennsylvania problem. Despite polls dropping from CNN, Susquehanna, CBS/YouGov and Quinnipiac, NONE could give her a lead, and in fact she is down 2 in Quinnipiac.
Here is more news you can use: You have to go back 34 (THIRTY-FOUR) polls to find a Harris lead in PA from any pollster that is not in this list of far left pollster: Redfield/Wilton, Morning Consult, Washington Post, and NY Times/Siena
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
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17m
Seeming like the increasing consensus for Trump winning Pennsylvania will require him to win the election day vote by 11 points or more.
Quinnipiac poll has him +17 on election day in PA…. Harris better hope that’s wrong.
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WHOOPI: I don’t get why Trump supporters are so upset Biden called them garbage!”
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I guess she doesn’t believe Biden’s “explanation”.
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Trump is off four today at PredictID from 60 down to 56.”
I think its the CNN polls of MI and WI, he has taken a hit on MI at Polymarket too.
People might think it reflected some major change.
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Not much change in this market
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election
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Jason, it was at 58 before the CNN polls dropped, so maybe the last two points are these polls.
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Back to 57 now.
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66-34 at Polymarket, down from 67-33 yesterday.
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That is about the average at all betting sites on RCP, they don’t include Predictit.
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Ouch..
Harris said in Ann Arbor on Monday night, “I was just in Georgia. You know they passed a law that makes it illegal to give people food and water for standing in line to vote?”
“The hypocrisy abounds. Whatever happened to ‘love thy neighbor,’ right?” she added as the supportive crowd jeered.
The remark also got pushback from Republican Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp, who mocked Harris’ short-lived 2020 presidential bid.
“Sounds like Kamala Harris just can’t handle the truth,” Kemp wrote on X on Tuesday. “We made it easier to vote and harder to cheat in Georgia. As a result, more than 3 million Georgians have already voted — that’s 3 million more votes than the Vice President got in the 2024 primaries.”
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Was this before or after the garbage comment?
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Today’s Rasmussen national tracker is THE LAST for this election, hoping its a good one.
Rasmussen Reports
@Rasmussen_Poll
·
5m
Reader Alert: New Results Are Coming For Today AND They Will Be Our Last For This Trump v Harris Daily Tracker.
Too many state polls to do vs too little change in this long term national trend.
The final daily data will not surprise any of our many loyal readers. Thank You All.
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Looks like a trump +2. Ras has mentioned this over and over again and everyone seems to be grouping toward him
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It would be pretty awesome for Trump to enter one of his events, while riding on the back of a garbage truck. It would make the MSM heads explode. And it would be awesome coverage, while keeping the garbage comment in the news cycle a few more days.
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Guessing Trump will be +1 or +2 in Ras final.
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Rasmussen Reports
@Rasmussen_Poll
·
30m
State Release Update
New Hampshire & Minnesota are out.
Tomorrow Morning –
Arizona, Georgia and – surprise – New Mexico!
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Ras final national Trump 48, Harris 46, other 3
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Could the October Surprise be a Rogan endorsement? I doubt it, but he sure doesn’t sound like he’s voting for Harris.
“Liberals and progressives want the War in Ukraine to be funded. They want to censor speech online. They want to give the World Health Organization, which is deeply influenced by Big Pharma, control over what we take and don’t take. That’s crazy!
That’s not what the liberals were when I was a kid. My parents were hippies. We lived in San Francisco during the Vietnam War. The liberals always wanted education and open-mindedness. The liberals at the ACLU let the Nazis talk and have a rally. They said you can’t infringe on people’s free speech because if you infringe on the free speech of people you disagree with, you’re being a hypocrite.
The only solution to bad speech is better speech. We’ve always known that. Everyone has to be able to talk, and we have to figure out who is right because you might be wrong, and you might be clinging to this idea that you are right, and you’re going to do the whole thing a terrible disservice.
When you have people who are supposedly progressive and liberal, and they are opposed to the idea that free speech is an absolute right as an American citizen. It’s very, very important because too many people can decide what you can and can’t say.
Like when Tim Walz was saying, ‘Free speech doesn’t apply to hate speech and misinformation.’ Of course, it does. But first of all, you said misinformation. If that is the case, where is all the punishment for people who spread misinformation during COVID? Where’s the call for accountability?
It doesn’t exist. It’s not real because they don’t really care about misinformation. They care about controlling information.”
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I really like seeing NH, MN, VA, NM in play. This is definitely setting up well for Trump to win Tuesday night or early morning….right?
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Final NEW HAMPSHIRE poll by St. Anselm
🟦 Harris: 51% (+5)
🟥 Trump: 46%
——
Last 3 polls
9/12 – Harris +8
10/2 – Harris +7
10/28 – Harris +5
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https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-2024
Baghdad Bob Ralston putting a smiling Dem face on what appears to be a Dem disaster in Nevada. He never mentioned that chart showing the GOP is doing far better on low propensity votes, which puts the lie to his hope that in person election day voting might not be as strong for the GOP, making a possible path full of ifs and buts to get Harris to the lead. Read his update, just chock full of ‘Let’s say’ and ‘lets use,’ and ‘if,’ ‘if,’ and ‘what if,’ and bingo, there is HOPE!
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He and the Ds have a problem as washoe and Clark counties offset, while There is a rural firewall.
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Faux new poles
trump plus 1 in pa and nc.
Michigan tied
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The cn and n mi pole looks like an outlier.
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For kicks and grins and cackles, a reminder that Ras final 2020 had Biden +7.
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Nate Silver: “The Blue Wall being Harris’s best path, but PA lagging a point or so behind WI and MI, is pretty much exactly the scenario where She Shoulda Picked Shapiro.”
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Jeffrey and don’t forget Ras has used D+2 weighting all year
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Looks like Trump might be doing it . Lol
https://x.com/danscavino/status/1851749868760404017?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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Fox poll out totally contradicts CNN Michigan poll.
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Rofl
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And more….
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Ok, isn’t anyone going to give the hearing impaired guy a few points for calling the garbage truck stunt?
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Media q and a from the garbage truck:
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Unfortunately, i dont think the garbage truck being driven by Trump himself is such a wise move. May by his team or his supporters.
I get they are trying to force the media to cover Biden’s comment. But the narrative being driven by Trump doing this is that both Trump and the DEMS are getting in the gutter. And that view of Trump as being a nasty, crude man is also highlighted by this gimmick. He did better with his positive rallies, McDonalds, barber shops, etc.
In my opinion.
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The garbage truck stunt is brilliant. It wins the news cycle. It will be plastered all over every news cast & publication tonight, and all day tomorrow. It’s already blowing up all over X. It’s not gutter politics at all. It’s freaking brilliant.
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https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1851759942719459619
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LMAO. Absolutely brilliant with the garbage truck stunt. Absolutely brilliant.
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CNN actually cut away from their regular scheduled programming to show Trump in the garbage truck. Exactly what Trump knew would happen.
https://x.com/trumpwarroom/status/1851752299607027737?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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Puerto Rico comment is long gone
calling Americans garbage will dominate the last week of the campaign
I agree this is brilliant, but it should be a one time and one time only thing. He got the message across and tens of millions of Americans will see this
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This may even top Mcdonald’s.
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Wtf?
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Piers Morgan: “didn’t think anything could beat the McDonald’s stunt but this does… 👏👏👏
Trump is doing his entire speech in his garbage collector outfit.
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CNN spinning that Ted Cruz may lose. Phil?
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lol. No bitter. Not a chance in hell. No dem has won statewide in 40 years and a liberal from Dallas is not going to be the first. Beto was the closest and you heard about him non stop for a year here. He was everywhere. Allred…you don’t hear much
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there hasn’t even been a poll that could get him closer than down 4% or above 46% which is where he will finish. 52%-46%. And anyone else but Cruz and it would have been 10%
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“I have to begin by saying – 250 million Americans are NOT GARBAGE.”
-Trump
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oahodges, Trump was not driving the garbage truck. He was sitting on the passenger side. I laughed when I saw the stunt, as did many others I assume. Kudos Scooter! Apparently the garbage truck was a last minute gimmick devised 30 minutes before landing at the WI airport. It also gave Trump some new entertaining material to talk about with the rally audience.
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Trump has 250 million supporters? Well, I guess this election will be a landslide since the total U.S. population is about 345 million.
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Vic – I momentarily forgot you live in Texas. That devotion to the second rate NYC baseball team makes it easy to forget.
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r+9 to 10 in Az
https://x.com/MichaelPruser/status/1851770677692346446?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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I tuned in to C-Span 2 to hear a lecture about Canadian participation in the American Revolution. They are showing different rallies. I liked one of the singers but after she stopped singing she started talking about Harris.
Fortunately, I recorded a lecture about the election of 1800 so I can watch that.
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If Trump loses, I worry most about Jan.
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did they test the baby yet for rabies?
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Where is the nurse?
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I forgot Jefferson was such a hypocritical d-bag. I have always liked Adams better.
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Yanks up 5-0. Three homers.
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Not a fun 5th game for a dodger fan. Yankees seem to have the wind at their backs.
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Sloppy defense by the Yankees has let the Dodgers back in it.
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Trump and Vance must be defeated at the polls or in another way.
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passed by the Tesla plant in Austin on way to practice. It’s. Friggin HHHUUUGGGEEE
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You are walking a very thin line with “another way.” I have the delete button.
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Score is tied, 5-5, at the bottom of the 5th. Dodgers benefited by a number of fielding errors.
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Yanks scored after a bunch of walks, Dodger bullpen sucks tonight.
Hey, Paul, care to elaborate?
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“Trump and Vance must be defeated at the polls or in another way.”
Care to explain yourself, moron?
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RAS: I’ve heard the internal polling is to the right of us.
Make of that what you will.
Comment section: What states? In pa, Harris has trump up 4 and trump has himself up 3.
RAS: That’s what I’ve heard also (+3)
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RAS: Also, FYI, according to the poll I just finished in PA…
Women only go Harris by 3 points.
Men for Trump by 9 points
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WS champs again!
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And in Georgia….
According to Capital B Atlanta ‘Black Georgians’ turnout has slowed down to about 25% turnout after 29% turnout in the opening days. The Democrat party leaders were targeting at least 30% of Black turnout.
https://atlanta.capitalbnews.org/ga-democrats-low-black-voter-turnout/
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Congrats to the Los Angeles Dodgers-World Series Champions. After miscues in previous to the Padres, Diamondbacks in previous years etc…..they finally get the ring.
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Why am I reading more and more that the Harris campaign is pulling their money out of North Carolina. I read that two or three times yesterday in various pubs and now today….
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🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
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Brutal game.
Picked the wrong day to watch my first game of the year!
Congrats to the Dodgers, my Dad is probably celebrating “upstairs”.
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Lots of hopium in that Capital B article. Today was a better day for the Dems in GA, as the white vote dipped to 56%. Currently the White-Black difference is 33.1% compared to 28.8% in 2020. Only two more days of early voting. Below I am posting all racial categories rather than lumping them as others:
10/29 early + mail
White 56.0%
Black 25.9%
Other/Unk 10.0%
Hispanic 4.1%
Asian 3.2%
Native Am 0.7%
2024 early + mail
White 59.1%
Black 26.0%
Other/Unk 9.2%
Hispanic 2.7%
Asian 2.5%
Native Am 0.5%
2020 total early + mail
White 56.5%
Black 27.7%
Other/Unk 10.5%
Hispanic 2.6%
Asian Am 2.6%
Native Am 0.1%
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What a way to finish. Nothing better than watching the Yankees implode and lose a world series. Another year and their crappy fans can whine.
Sorry, but the idiots yesterday who tried to take the ball out of Betts glove epitomize the typical Yankee fan. They make me wanna vomit. I think they must all vote blue LMAO!!
25 years, only 1 championship and none in 15 years. Ahhhh I am sipping the sweet wine.
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Latinx Adjacent Doctor PhD
@TonerousHyus
In Georgia early voting: 2020: Black – 1,110,567 Now: Black – 874,603 You can argue about the implications but there’s still 260k missing Black voters. And they will not come out on Election Day either
·
8,846 Views
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I felt for NY during the 2001 series; they endured 9-11, and looked to be the favorites, only to be upended by the Diamondbacks, of all people.
But then, I remembered that they were still the Yankees.
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I’ll never forget the 2001 series. I jumped so high in the air when the dbags got the hit to beat the evil empire. I had to explain to the girl I was dating why I was so happy. Lol
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Updated Nevada…..GOP now has a 44.4 K lead.
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what was their lead five days before the election last cycle
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pretty funny. He did a great job with off the cuff comments
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What’s with all the Yankee hating on here? But I have to say, despite all of the pin-stripe loathing, no one resorted to characterizing them as garbage, deplorables or Nazis. Had they won, that’s another story.
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25 years, only 1 championship and none in 15 years. Ahhhh I am sipping the sweet wine.
Irony Meter explodes as Mets fan (who last saw a Championship in 1986) rips Yankees for only 1 WS Championship in last 15 years (ignoring 5 since Mets last won it all).
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I was a Yankees fan growing up. Pre-ESPN, there were 2 choices to watch – Yankees or Mets. Almost nobody was a Mets fan in New Jersey before 1986.
I college and law school I became a fan of the Phillies. Their losing and futility fit my soul. My favorite team in any sport was the 1993 Phillies. Damn you, Joe Carter.
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Mi news pole, trump plus 1.
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Vic, I believe it was drat plus 20,000+ last time. I may be off. If you click on the link from Pruser, he indicates that the final electorate is trending r +2 to r+4 in Nevada.
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Tina:
I keep hearing the name Pruser, but I am totally unfamiliar with him except I see him mentioned here regularly. Does he have a Youtube channel or a website that I could visit?
thanks!
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Albert, he is with decision desk,com
https://x.com/MichaelPruser?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
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Trump plus 3 national pole – 49 to 46
Jl partners/ daily mail.
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I college and law school”
Me learn English on the Altiplano.
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Nice….
“Journalist Irin Carmon has a compelling profile of Usha Vance in The Cut, and it sketches out a woman who on her face seems ill-suited for the role of political spouse to a MAGA maniac.
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I would give Vance some points if he was an A-hole.
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NT
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thanks, Tina!
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Trump’s garbage truck press conference has over 20 million views and 2.3 million likes on TikTok.
Trump knew exactly what was going to happen.
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