Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
135 responses to “The thread was too damn long.”
First but have no idea what to do with it.
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Claiming the first post is its own reward.
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First is nice, but a C is better.
An M is Grand (SWIDT?), but I don’t think I’ll ever see one of those again this new format.
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Jeff, I let you get the first. You’re welcome !!! Don’t expect it to happen often.
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PENNSYLVANIA poll
🔴 Trump: 49% (=)
🔵 Harris: 49%
Last poll: tie
CBS/YouGov | 10/22-28 | N=1,273LV
Sorry I didn’t get a new thread up…literally 100 polls today I estimate.
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Trump says Apple CEO AND Google have called him 👀-FOX NEWS.
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From what I understand according to Fox News over 250,000 people have cancelled their subscriptions (probably online) for the Washington Post because of their non-endorsement.
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I am sure Rogan is now going to jump up and say YESSIR!
Alexander S. Vindman
@AVindman
So the sitting Vice President and likely the next President of the United States should fly over to see you? Respect for the office of VP as well as the fact that she has a competitive race to run, suggests you get your ass on a plane and talk to her wherever see is.
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Tie vote won’t do it in PA. Too many VBM ballots floating around, the Dems will count them until they get ahead in a tight race.
Trump needs a 100k cushion minimum.
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This could end the “Dumbest Post Of The Day On X”, award.
Lisa Guerrero: “I think Joe Rogan is afraid to interview Kamala Harris because that would require a great deal of research and preparation that he is not equipped to do.”
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End up being
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Earlier today NY Post and Fox business reporter Charlie Gasparino said that CEO’s are lining up to talk to Trump, not necessarily endorsing him, but starting ‘kiss the ring’. Already, CEO’s of Apple, Google and JP Morgan, who are not Trump supporters, have called him and talked to him (Trump).
Gasparino said that these people have insights in polls and information (possible inside) not unlike the standard polling fare we get as regular people but highly paid specific polls that all point to not only a Trump victory but a convincing Trump victory.
The CEO’s are trying to get on Trump’s good side while the going is good.
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My husband’s cousin just touted on Facebook she cancelled her WaPo subscription because “principles matter.” 8 of her friends chimed in saying they also cancelled their subscriptions because “democracy dies without a light being shone in the darkness.” My reply was the 9th comment….she, however, won’t be pleased with my perspective,
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Just hear Newt Gingrich on Hannity.
He says Trump will win all 7 swing states plus VA and NH, maybe NM.
He says he listens to Halperin, who has “a lot of sources”.
Halperin has quite a following of people who think he has sources. I guess they never stopped to think why anyone with knowledge would share it with Halperin to disclose.
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I cancelled my WAPO subscription.
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No, democracy dies without a vote being cast for a chosen candidate.
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Vindman has always been an idiot, and continues the trend in maintaining the idiot title.
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My husband and I have been outliers in our political beliefs, with both family and friends, for a long time. Normally we just don’t discuss politics, but that has been changing a little bit lately.
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I wanted all the members of the PA Llama and Alpaca Husbandry Association to know that if the WAPO won’t endorse Kamala the only way to punish the paper is to vote for Trump.
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Lake making a little run at Predictit
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8070/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-Senate-election-in-Arizona
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Looks like doltz referred to all trump rally attendees as “nazis.” He is the gift that keeps on giving.
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My wife just wished me a happy anniversary. Reminded me it was a year ago today I had a heart attack. No permanent damage but my doc kept telling me I was a lucky man. Guess it was a closer call than I felt at the time.
How does AtlasIntel end up giving NC to Harris but has Trump taking PA, MI, WI, GA, AZ and NV? NC is the lower hanging fruit. ?????
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It may be difficult to pole nc given the disaster that occurred. Just my 2 cents.
In other news, job openings have plunged to a 1/2021 low. The economy js bad.
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Yikes, bad answer and she looks unhinged.
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Seen on the Internet
“If the Access Hollywood tape didn’t sink Trump, a comedian’s joke won’t either”.
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What happened to I was raised middle class.
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MICHIGAN poll
🔵 Harris: 49% (=)
🔴 Trump: 49%
@QuantusInsights
| 10/26-28 | 844 LV
Looking like a redo of a 2016 election…barely a win and pray they don’t steal it, because its not going to catch them by surprise this time.
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ok, there are several videos of shenanigans with early voting in pa. wtf is lil Shitpiro doing?
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CNN Headline:
Major cudgel against Democrats evaporates”
Claims gas prices are going down.
You can’t make this sh-t up.
What about the high cost for years, are the Dems giving it back?
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Marco Rubio brought in as a speaker at the Allentown rally. It’s the first time I’ve seen him as a surrogate for Trump. He gave a hybrid speech – mostly in English but also switched to,Spanish as well. It went over well, IMO.
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Jan, he gave a coherent response to Muh comedian. Not gop-e like.
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I wish Trump would trot Nikki Haley out before the end of the week.
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RIP, Teri Garr…
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Let it Ride was a fun movie with Richard Dreyfuss and Teri Garr
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Haley was on a conservative radio show today in Philadelphia. 50,000 Watts to Philadelphia and suburbs. plus internet streaming
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trafagar has Trump up only 6 in Ohio. Either Trafalgar has lurched left or we are in trouble
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Good. Maybe she can attract a few wine sipping women.
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Brain completely fried…
https://x.com/WesternLensman/status/1850920976587895226?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1850920976587895226%7Ctwgr%5E8be6a4da5ca5ec250b24655157c84c4f3dce90a6%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fhotair.com%2Ftree-hugging-sister%2F2024%2F10%2F29%2Fthe-joy-must-be-gone-were-bad-to-angry-joepa-again-n3796439
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Walking to the train at 6:00 I saw a line 1/2 block long to vote by mail in ballot. Strange system. You ask for your mail ballot, fill it in, seal it, and hand it back. If I have to stand in line, I am doing it on Election Day.
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That guy is President.
Let that sink in.
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This is for people who had already requested mail in ballots.
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Walking to the train at 6:00 I saw a line 1/2 block long to vote by mail in ballot.”
It’s an illegal system according to the state constitution.
Since PA does not have EV, they bastardized the absentee ballot system and came up with this monstrosity.
Unfortunately the Rs in the PA legislature got shocked and awed by COVID and voted for it.
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Never forget that this gift was brought to us by the leader of PA Deadenders – Doug Mastriano. He allowed Shapiro to appear moderate by running on prohibiting abortion and focusing on defending J6. And what did the GOP get in exchange for absurd vote by mail? The end of straight ticket voting. That’s all. Now people have to vote for each candidate rather than pushing the big D or R button.
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Harris just said that Trump sent an armed mob to attack the Capitol. I guess he sucked at telling them to armed since they weren’t.
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Doug Emhof says the NYC rally was “antisemitic”
News to everyone there.
https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1851017020248084778/photo/3
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Why would Quemala give a speech from the swamp?
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I just watched an interview with an Israeli pilot who shot down 7 Egyptian MiGS in 2 days in the Yom Kippur war. He looks ready to get back in the cockpit and fight some more. Israel survives because of people like him.
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something is wrong when Trafalgar has Trump 1 point worse in OH than Morning Consult
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The Rs won washoe county mail.
Also, on another note, aren’t we do for the Alka Seltzer pole (Iowa)?
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Trumps supporters are all garbage (demented)
trumps supporters are all nazis (quemala and Doltz).
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Watching the closing comments by Harris. This is so sad. Either Trump is bad or her history is torn apart from others.
Folks, the Harris campaign looks like a sad, pathetic message tonight. They are really, really off the rails. Blame Trump. Blame others that may have wronged you. But, no way in hell, blame yourself for the condition that America is facing….open borders, inflation that will not go away and perhaps most importantly and possible Third World War.
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So who is going to play the role Polaris did in in 2008 and 2012 to convince everybody the GOP is headed for a landslide EV victory? I can’t remember if he was still selling it in 2020.
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Note to the Trump campaign….please use Nikki Haley….she is an absolute asset to your team.
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agree on Nikki Haley
No, Polaris was gone after that. I don’t remember if he lingered into the 2016 election but I don’t think so. Unfortunately he was humbled by 08 and 12 and moved on. I do know he wasn’t right at times, but he was a good poster, a nice person and I liked him.
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Bitterlaw, I think the GOP gets it…..20,000 at MSG, polls trending towards Trump, betting markets trending Trump, CEO’s calling on Trump to open communication, and the standard polls for us minions say the same.
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He told people what they wanted to hear. When he was wrong, he blamed voters for not doing what he expected.
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I guy that would be fun to have back is dblaikie
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I haven’t seen mnw on RRH, but I hardly ever go there.
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Yeah, Polaris was funny. His predictions WOULD have been right if the voters just voted like they were supposed to.
Kind of like Bunu who claimed Ron Paul would be President if not for the voters.
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landslide is crazy talk. This is 2016 redo only this time Dems are not taking it for granted
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Nobody is claiming a landslide.
you state that trump will lose because it’s abortion 24/7.
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How did Az independents vote in 2016 or 2020?
Their numbers appear down for 2024.
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i am feeling good about a six point Trump win in AZ, but probably 4 points of fraud there at least
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You live in a state where Harris probably doesn’t even run ads. Where I live, every Dem ad from State Rep to President is abortion abortion abortion.
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1 vote more in Michigan than she has, 1 vote more in Pennsylvania than she gets, 1 more vote in GA, AZ, NV, etc etc
I don’t care by how much. I just want him to win and stave off four more years of this madness
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I don’t watch tee vee and I don’t like campaign ads in general.
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Dodgers off to a great start tonight; Freeman continues his Hr streak with a two run shot in the top of the 1st inning
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The ev is important in Arizona. Maricartel county could go down. That was blatantly done costing our side.
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Really good answer by Jd here.
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2016? No. Trump lost the popular vote by over two points vs Hillary. He will win the popular vote by one or two this time. Big difference…..but no, won’t be a landslide in the traditional sense. I’m thinking 312 electoral votes or so….a very comfortable margin.
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Trump supporters are garbage. What an unforced error by camp quemala.
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Quemala broke it, we will fix it
Trumps closing message.
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President Joe Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is [Trump] supporters.”
THAT is a mistake.
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Rachel Madcow:
Damm good speech by Kamala.
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There is starting to get into Reggie Jackson territory….five home runs and eight rbi’s in the final three games of the WS 1977. And Freeman has four home runs in four games….I’l let baseball history sort this out but I don’t I’ve seen that feast before…I’ve seen the shutouts by the Orioles in ’66 and the numerous comebacks but 4 four homers in four straight games that mean that two of those homers means the team wins….wow.
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Quemala will need to address this asap. Bad night for her
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Comedian jokes about Puerto Rico being a floating island of garbage.
MSM claims should be end of Trump’s campaign.
Biden, very seriously, calls 50% of Americans garbage.
MSM?
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Yankees just scored a bunch of goals.
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John, Freeman has six consecutive games with home runs (2 games as a Brave and now 4 with the Dodgers).
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My thoughts on the supposed shenanigans in PA of election workers telling people to go home, come back tomorrow…
If there is a big line (inside and outside) of 400 people (and growing) and they can process 200 people and hour to vote and it is 2 hours until the 5 p.m. closing time…then the poll workers by law can put up a sign after potential voter #400 in line outside and tell others who come after that to get in line that they have to come back tomorrow as they will not be able to vote before the 5 p.m. deadline for that day.
As an election day poll worker in WV, when the polling time ends that day, and if there is a line out the door, we have to go outside to the end of the line at 7 p.m. and announce it is 7 p.m. and the polls are closed. Then we give the last person in line a slip of paper with the Number 1 on it, next to last person in line we give a slip of paper with #2 on it, etc.
We explain that everyone already inside or IN LINE outside before the 7 p.m. voting deadline and who gets a slip of paper with a number written on it will certainly get a chance to vote that night. But anyone who shows up to vote after the person at the end of the line who has the paper with #1 written on it will be denied the right to vote. If someone comes and gets in line AFTER the 7 p.m. deadline they will not be allowed to vote. They came too late and arrived after the polls closed. If you are AT the polls and in line before the 7 p.m. deadline you will get in and be able to vote.
That is the process set up in State code for election day voting.
I am sure there are similar things for early voting days.
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Clean up on aisle 4.
WH claiming Biden “meant” supporter not supporters.
Won’t fly.
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@Shem_Infinite
I was thinking earlier today that the only thing that could change this election would be if President Trump was on hidden camera saying what Joe Biden just said on purpose live to an audience.
That’s what you maniacs get for having a fake senile puppet President
·
1,312 Views
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I gave a logical explanation about 20 posts above on why the election workers were telling people to come back tomorrow in PA early voting places.
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It may be logical but there is a five alarm fire now with camp quemala.
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BTW, if you go over to see what DRUDGE has posted the election is all over, she wins all the swing states, etc.
Kamala surging, Trump has lost his mind, his campaign in disarray, etc.
Alternative universe from what I am seeing posted here.
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How many glasses of wine and how much pot is being smoked tonight by quemala?
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Bucks County Government
@BucksCountyGovt
·
Contrary to what is being depicted on social media, if you are in line by 5 p.m. for an on-demand mail-in ballot application, you will have the opportunity to submit your application for a mail-in ballot. (1/3)
Bucks County Government
@BucksCountyGovt
·
That ballot will then be mailed to the voter or can be picked up by the voter later this week. (2/3)
@BucksCountyGovt
We are aware that, due to a miscommunication, individuals in line to apply for an on-demand mail-in ballot were briefly told they could not be accommodated. In fact, these voters were given the opportunity to submit mail-in ballot applications today. (3/3)
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I have.comment in moderation
GFY
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I gave a logical explanation about 20 posts above on why the election workers were telling people to come back tomorrow in PA early voting places.”
I think the. law is different in PA.
If you are in line by 5 PM you should get to submit the mail in ballot.
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Contrary to what is being depicted on social media, if you are in line by 5 p.m. for an on-demand mail-in ballot application, you will have the opportunity to submit your application for a mail-in ballot. (1/3)
Bucks County Government
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Good luck getting it back. Bl must be asleep and Vic is awol.
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So which is it….are we deplorables or garbage? I’m confused.
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I cut and pasted from it to get the Bucks Co. explanation.
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MSNBC’s @NicolleDWallace on 2024: “The stakes literally are life & death for every woman in America … it’s not hyperbole, it’s not an exaggeration”
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They are probably watching baseball.
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And if you attended Trump rally at MSG you could be deplorable Nazi garbage. The Big Trifecta!
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Thank you demented. Joe is likely upset because the nurse hid the choka chip ice cream, causing him to lash out.
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https://x.com/real_robn/status/1851299562386063760?s=42
The last sentence makes me really trust this person. Simple, yet effective.
Let’s get to it.
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Too bad Trump can’t get the vote of the wine-sipping A-hole.
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Lol, I am sure the turd estate/ the pundits with por ratings will rationalize all of this.
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Lol, check out trumps response to the garbage remark:
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Probably none. You are the one pushing the substance issue.
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Jason’s post has been approved.
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“President Joe Biden: “The only garbage I see floating out there is [Trump] supporters.”
THAT is a mistake.”
Jason, I’m starting to believe that these Biden moments are not mistakes.
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Joe Biden: “Earlier today I referred to the hateful rhetoric about Puerto Rico spewed by Trump’s supporter at his Madison Square Garden rally as garbage—which is the only word I can think of to describe it. His demonization of Latinos is unconscionable. That’s all I meant to say. The comments at that rally don’t reflect who we are as a nation.”
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Chris Cillizza: “Biden’s verbal gaffe (if that’s what it was) is an absolute nightmare for Harris campaign.
This is getting more attention than Harris’ closing argument speech.”
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Walt, Thanks for the info about voting procedures.
Never understood such a concept about voting lines, especially now with early voting days.
When it used to be one day Election Day in NY, I would arrive between 5:55-6:15AM to vote, then go to work.
This year, my wife and I strolled up to the Early Voting site this past Saturday around 2:30PM, and we were in and out in about 10 minutes. Probably saw 30-40 people there, and the worker said it had been steady all day.
One other note: when I was done, the poll worker said “Thank you for voting!”. I replied “I’ll see you tomorrow.” Without missing a beat he smiles and quietly says “I didn’t realize you were a Democrat.”
I love Brooklyn!
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They know they are in trouble.
NEW from Gov. Josh Shapiro, reacting to Biden comments on CNN:
“I’m giving you my fresh reaction to it. I would never insult the good people of Pennsylvania or any Americans even if they chose to support a candidate that I didn’t support.”
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Lol
CNN: “Biden may have done some pretty significant harm to the Harris campaign”
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not awol. Had to take shoes and school clothes to the young one LOL. Back at my post 😉
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For Jason
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Looks like the Yankees are going to take game #4. 😟
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get this. CNN is now trying to sell people this swampland in Florida: “CNN data reporter Harry Enten warned on Tuesday that election polling could be underestimating Vice President Kamala Harris…by as much as 4%, which will lead to her sweeping the election and winning 319+ electoral votes”
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Jan. I can’t hear you. la lalalalalalala. i can’t hear you. lalalalalala
btw, I have to take a shower each night rooting for the Dodgers. But if its between a team you don’t like, and Satan…well…
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Question, when Kamala Harris says this, “”Unlike Donald Trump, I don’t believe people who disagree with me are the enemy. He wants to put them in jail. I’ll give them a seat at the table.” Why doesn’t the media “fact check her.”
They took time out to “fact check” his speech as MSG, but they let her repeat this lie over and over and over and over again. He WILL NOT be putting people who disagree with him in Jail. He already has a record that shows he will not. Yet the media never fact checks this?!?!?!
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What’s going on with these news stations talking about “underestimated votes” for Harris! Harry Enten is normally a straight forward analyst isn’t he? Is there some kind of trick Dems have at the end they’ll pull out of the bag?
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I’ve noticed some of Harris’s latest ads are just jam-packed with lies about Trump. She is throwing as much disgusting fiction as she can in these final days before the election. I hate to think how the Dems will act post election, especially if Trump narrowly wins.
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They are claiming that in 2022, in the swing states, Democrats were underestimated in the polls by 4% and its Donald Trump who’s being overestimated, not Harris, and that when the votes are counted, she will win easy victories in WI, MI, PA, NC, GA, AZ and Nevada, and make it close in Florida and Texas.
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https://twitter.com/JackPosobiec/status/1851461448888619066?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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Trump should make this into a campaign ad and run it non stop in PA, MI, WI, AZ, GA, and NV until the election.
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Normally, I would give Biden a pass on the garbage comment, there is a lot worse being thrown around.
But the Dems tried to make a 30 second joke by a comedian at a rally 5 hours long with such speakers as Elon Musk THE campaign issue of week and falsely claim Trump is a racist because of this one joke.
So now they deserve to be hoisted on their own petard so to speak.
Karma is a bitch!
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exactly Jason. And to then not apologize, but say, oh…there was an apostrophe, he was only talking about one person. BS. Biden meant exactly what he said, because that is EXACTLY what Dems think of trump supporters and voter.
Guess “puerto rico” is off the front page. This is that on steroids. No offense. Americans aren’t stupid, they know what he meant, and no amount of media twisting is going to change it.
Let’s see the media apologize and ignore this. You know they will try, but I think the cat is out of the bag.
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NV 10/29 evening update
R+42,796
R+5.6%
Clark D+3,998
Washoe R+6,280
Total Votes 774,026
Turnout 39.2%
2020 Total early + Mail 1,235,000 (D+55,082)
2020 E-day 157,000 (R+15,732)
With three days of early voting to go, it looks like the early + mail turnout will be down significantly vs 2020. The big question is will election day turnout be larger and significantly more Dem than back in 2020 to help make up the current Dem deficit? I will be shocked if E-day is D+ any number of votes.
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The “Garbage Gaffe” is worse than we thought. Fox News was preparing to call Arizona for Harris today at 10 a.m. Now?
Call is postponed until noon.
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NT
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