Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:41.6 / 55.6-14.0
Pollsters right in 2024:45.5 / 52.1-6.6

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +21207228

2026 Senate Forecast

MEOHTXMIGANHMNNC
Gap+2.0+1.4+1.2+1.8+1.4+4.5+7.0+12.6
Count5051524847464544

One week to go!

Trump up one in Michigan according to Emerson

MICHIGAN poll

🔴 Trump: 49% (+1)
🔵 Harris: 48%

Emerson | 10/25-27 | N=1,000LV

176 responses to “One week to go!”

  1. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Suck it Scooter

    Like

  2. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    What happened to 1939?

    MSNBC:

    Trump’s Sunday rally sounded a whole lot like the one hosted by white supremacist in 1968

    Like

  3. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Babylon Bee:

    MSNBC Condemns Trump For Holding Rally On Planet Earth Where 66 Million Years Ago An Asteroid Caused Mass Extinction

    Like

  4. Will it be day 2 of Muh comedian here?

    Like

  5. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Babylon Bee

    Trump Bribes Voters with Offer of “Prosperity, Freedom and Safety”

    Like

  6. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Trump in trouble

    Babylon Bee editorial board endorses Kamala Harris for President!

    Why?

    • As a young San Francisco lawyer, broke into politics by using her stunning intellect to win the favor of 60-year-old Mayor Willie Brown
    • Ran for President in 2020 and earned zero votes, proving beyond a shadow of a doubt that she was in it purely for the love of the game
    • After Joe Biden announced he would select a woman of color as VP, she was a woman of color
    • When Mike Pence was trying to turn America to fascism, bravely intervened by saying, “I’m speaking.”
    • Was such a popular Vice President that over 12 million people hiked thousands of miles from South America to come meet her
    • She is brat, which we believe means that she is as cool as a bratwurst
    • So beloved that she became the first person in history to win a primary without receiving a single vote

    Like

  7. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Worried. Babylon Bee endorsement could be a game changer.

    Like

  8. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Moving endorsement:

    We are grateful that when America is on the brink of losing its democracy and probably everyone becoming Nazis, the person standing strong against the forces of darkness is Kamala Harris. We at the Bee are proud to stand behind her. We will not be like the Washington Post, destined to be a byline in democracy’s requiem, should the nation fall. No — we stand with freedom, joy, and the ever-twerking figure of Megan Thee Stallion. We stand with, and we proudly endorse, Kamala Harris.”

    Like

  9. Nineveh News:

    Washington: The Biden administration released an executive order today declaring that Kamala Harris simply be certified the winner of the 2024 election. “The economy is tight, due the damage done by former President Trump, and you all know we are going to just steal it anyway, so we might as well cut out all the lawyer fees and suspense. This will be much better for the mental and emotional health of everyone,” Biden’s spokesperson said.

    Like

  10. Melania on fox and friends. I am glad she is doing evens and interviews again.

    Like

  11. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Et tu, USA Today?

    USA Today has announced that it, too, is choosing not to endorse any candidate in the 2024 presidential race, following other high-profile newspapers like The Washington Post and The Los Angeles Times.

    Like

  12. Like

  13. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    If Kamala loses, the moonbats are going to be blaming the MSM for not being sufficiently anti-Trump.

    Pass the popcorn.

    Like

  14. Gayest post of the day?

    Like

  15. Trump moving up in polymarket; quemala reaches a low

    Like

  16. Our “leader” has returned, or I do not remember Bl being active here. I missed some posts, however.

    Like

  17. I don’t buy any of the moonbat outrage. If they were really that worked up, its pretty easy to buy a one way ticket out of the country. Russia even promised to wave some of the requirements. Venezuela is an easy flight. I am sure there is plenty of room in the People’s Cesspool of Haiti, where leftists can live in the environment they wanted to create here.

    Like

  18. Trump to give presser today. Wonder what he will say?

    Like

  19. For sure, Rosie o dumbbell and the hyenas on the view promised they would leave the country, but they failed to do so.

    Like

  20. The good news is that Trump will win, and we will have sane policies. The bad news is that the cities will burn the first night after he is declared the winner.

    Like

  21. Maybe the Washington Post and LA Times were afraid of losing their Republican reader. He subscribes to both.

    Like

  22. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Don’t listen to him…

    If progressives have a politics that says all white people are racist, all men are toxic, and all billionaires are evil it’s kinda hard to keep them on your side. If you’re chasing people out of the party, you can’t be mad when they leave.”

    — Van Jones

    Like

  23. We will have Inauguration Day riots, like in 2017. Additionally, like in 2017, the rioters will go free and collect damages.

    Like

  24. So, I guess Muh Hitler is not working. Quemala needs a re set.

    Like

  25. NORTH CAROLINA poll by Survey USA for WRAL News

    🟥 Trump: 47% [+1]
    🟦 Harris: 47% [-2]

    [+/- change vs 9/4-7]
    ——
    Already voted: Harris 50-47%
    Certain to vote: Trump 48-45%
    Probably will vote: Harris 46-37%
    —— 15 (2.8/3.0) | 853 LV | 10/23-26

    https://surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7ddb5308-26ff-4f6a-92f1-80d09e31c6ee

    Like

  26. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Good news for my enemies:

    If Kamala wins, I may go back to where I came from.

    Bad news:

    They have installed Internet on the Altiplano.

    Like

  27. That doens’t sound that great for NC.

    Like

  28. Although the Dems probably were hoping for a better ED than 50-47

    Like

  29. Does it say what the percentages of each group are?

    Like

  30. I’m not the leader. I just keep the lights on.

    Like

  31. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    BREAKING: HARRIS DROPS BELOW 40% ODDS IN ALL BETTING MARKETS TRACKED BY REAL CLEAR POLITICS, MARKING A FIRST THIS ELECTION

    Like

  32. Jason can open an Internet cafe at Machu Pichu.

    Like

  33. She is still at 44% at Predictit.

    But now 33% at Polymarket, that IS a new low.

    Like

  34. Jason can open an Internet cafe at Machu Pichu”

    You think them Incas and tourists will go for shoofly pie and scrapple on a stick?

    Like

  35. I’m not the leader. I just keep the lights on”

    Modest A-holes are the best.

    That is why I am I am such an exalted A-hole.

    Like

  36. Keep in mind the NC poll by SUSA was an improvement over their last poll as is this new one below…so the direction in both is toward Trump:

    NORTH CAROLINA poll by
    @elonuniversity

    🟥 Trump: 46% [+1]
    🟦 Harris: 46% [=]
    🟪 Other: 4%

    NC Governor
    🟦 Josh Stein: 52% [+3]
    🟥 M. Robinson: 31% [-4]

    [+/- change vs 9/4-14]
    —— 38 (2.5/3.0) | 800 RV | 10/10-17

    https://elon.edu/u/elon-poll/elon-poll-october-29-2024/

    Like

  37. bl sounds like the old Motel 6 commercials.

    Like

  38. When did Musk open a University?

    Like

  39. Susquehanna used to be a quality pollster of PA. For some unknown reason they started polling other states, and doing so with absurd sample sizes of only 400 in a large state like Michigan.

    MICHIGAN GE:
    @SusquehannaPR

    🟦 Harris: 51.7% (+5.1)
    🟥 Trump: 46.6% 66 (2.3/3.0) | 10/23-27 | 400 LV | ±4.9%

    Like

  40. Josh Stein: 52% [+3]

    M. Robinson: 31% [-4]

    This tells me a lot of people are embarrassed to admit voting for Robinson.

    He won’t lose by 20.

    Like

  41. Vance to do rogans podcast tomorrow.

    Like

  42. lol, Jason

    Like

  43. polling flood right now…

    VIRGINIA poll

    🔵 Harris: 54.1% (+8.2)
    🔴 Trump: 45.9%

    ActiVote | 10/2-28 | N=400LV

    OHIO GE:
    @ActiVoteUS
    (with leans)

    🔴 Trump: 54%
    🔵 Harris: 46%

    OH Senate
    🔴 Moreno: 51%
    🔵 Brown : 49%

    400 LV | 10/5-28 | MoE: ±4.9%

    Like

  44. Updated Nevada tallies….GOP has expanded the lead to 38,000

    Like

  45. According to Joe Rogan the inteview with Harris is not completely off…but there are inssues lile he would have to travel to meet her and more specifically, she only wanted to do just one hour and that was it.

    Talk about being entitled.

    Like

  46. Quemala pulling $2 million in ads from North Carolina

    Like

  47. Updated forcasts, predictions and simulations…..

    538 Trump 54%-46%

    The Hill Trump 54%-46%

    The Economist Trump 56%-44%

    Slight uptick in a couple these for Trump over the last 24-36 hours.

    Like

  48. RCP betting average….

    Trump 62.7-36.0

    So far with this and the other before mentioned forcasts it looks more and more likely that the PR joke furor was media driven on steriods-as I suspected all along.

    Like

  49. According to the Free Republic Harris is pulling money out of North Carolina and possibly putting it into Virgina.

    Could mean two things…she is giving up on NC or sensing a loss in Virgina OR both.

    https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4274248/posts

    Like

  50. Like

  51. Here is a link to the EV in NC….

    https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/2024-general-election-early-vote-north-carolina/

    Still researching how it compare with 2020 or 2016.

    Like

  52. The joke was stupid and didnt impact anything except to give bedwetters angst and to agitate obnoxious loudmouths who arent content unless they can rob joy from others.

    Like

  53. John was Nevada revised this am? It was @ pinch over 40,000. Want to make sure. I did not see an update.

    Like

  54. And the gift keeps on giving. “Serial”

    Like

  55. These people are vile.

    Like

  56. to give bedwetters angst and to agitate obnoxious loudmouths who arent content unless they can rob joy from others.

    Please provide names. There are points at stake here.

    Like

  57. new wi pole insider advantage trump plus 1

    Like

  58. FINAL WISCONSIN poll

    🔴 Trump: 49% (+1)
    🔵 Harris: 48%

    Senate:

    🔴 Hovde: 49% (+1)

    🔵 Baldwin: 48%

    InsiderAdvantage | 10/26-27 | N=800LV

    GO HOVDE!!!!

    Like

  59. Like

  60. A comic’s ill-advised Puerto Rican joke has provided more fictional, negative fodder for the Dems to throw at the Trump campaign. However, maybe like many uncomfortable issues exposed the last 8 years – media bias, surveillance of Americans, social media censorship, weaponization of government departments, lawfare. —— a light will be shone on problems plaguing Puerto Rico for years that remain unaddressed.

    https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/environment/tueinsensitive-joke-aside-puerto-rico-does-have-toxic-garbage-problem

    “Long before a comedian’s joke about Puerto Rico lit up headlines and triggered the left, the U.S. island territory was grappling with the toxic issue at the heart of the joke: contamination and pollution.

    For decades, Puerto Rico has been saddled with microplastic pollution on its beaches, contamination of drinking water from industry, and air pollution and coal ash contamination from the plants that powered the island’s electricity.”

    Like

  61. Tina, here’s the link for Nevada…

    https://x.com/RalstonReports/status/1851251159497159057

    Like

  62. New Mourning Compost poll has Trump inching closer….Harris 50%/Trump 47%

    Prediction….if they another poll prior to the ED look for Trump and Harris to be tied (just to save face)

    Like

  63. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    I don’t believe Harris is +5 in Michigan.

    Susquehanna: Harris +5

    Harris has retaken the lead in the RCP Avg by 0.3%

    Like

  64. Absurd that they would include a poll of only 400 sample size.

    Like

  65. Mollie

    @MZHemingway

    ·

    Follow

    I just read a bat guano insane NYT op-ed that said four ways to stop MAGA had failed (hoping it loses, banning the GOP/Trump from ballot, having GOP overturn its voters, establishment resistance) and now recommends what sounds like a color revolution.

    https://archive.is/2024.10.27-145428/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/24/opinion/democracy-defense-us-authoritarian.html

    Like

  66. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    I thought her campaign had like a Billion dollars? Why would they be needing to move around money?

    Election Wizard- “I’m hearing from a couple of sources that multiple Democratic consultants are now advising Harris to quickly reallocate resources from North Carolina and potentially Nevada to shore up her position in Virginia”

    Like

  67. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    UPDATE: SCOTUS is moving quickly on Virginia’s emergency application regarding the removal of non-citizens from the voter rolls. The Court requests a response from the those opposing the voter purge by tomorrow at 3pm.

    Like

  68. when you lose Reuters/IPSOS, you don’t have much left.

    NATIONAL POLL by Reuters/Ipsos

    🟦 Harris: 47% [-1]
    🟥 Trump: 46% [+1]

    [+/- change vs 10/15-21]
    ——
    Trends (lvs)
    9/23 – Harris +6
    10/21 – Harris +3
    10/27 – Harris +1
    —— 19 (2.8/3.0) | 10/25-27 | Likely voters

    Like

  69. She is hemorrhaging and the $$$ is drying up. She had to pay Beyondadunce $2 million just for the endorsement (appearance). If she wanted her to sing, it would have been even more. .

    Like

  70. JUST IN: Puerto Rico Senator Zoraida Buxó is endorsing Donald Trump today in Allentown, Pennsylvania

    Like

  71. Election Wizard- “I’m hearing from a couple of sources that multiple Democratic consultants are now advising Harris to quickly reallocate resources from North Carolina and potentially Nevada to shore up her position in Virginia”

    Sorry, I don’t buy any that. Scooter is right. Harris has limitless funds. And what would be the point? If she is giving up on NV and NC, she knows she has lost the election, so what would b the point of moving anything around?

    Like

  72. The joke was stupid and unnecessary. Don’t try to justify it.

    Like

  73. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    RAS

    My polling is starting to show they aren’t cannibalizing election day turnout. Trump is still winning the election day vote in the states I have polled this week (VA, NH, MN, and TX).

    Like

  74. They had to use funds for their entertainers,

    bus people in /out to get a crowd.

    etc and etc.

    Like

  75. Early voting has started in Philadelphia at City Hall. Right across the street from my office. Music and bands to entertain those on line. All day. Being on the 16th floor does not diminish the sound.

    Like

  76. poor wine chicks

    Like

  77. I have been watching the FL early vote and it seems that the lid has finally been reached. The GOP lead has been stable for several days at around 11.5. More ballots keep pouring, but the lead doesn’t change much.

    Like

  78. Hitler

    muh puerto rico

    these are the battle cries from a winning campaign.

    Like

  79. NEVADA poll

    🔴 Trump: 48% (+1)
    🔵 Harris: 47%

    CNN/SSRS | 10/21-26 | N=683LV

    ARIZONA poll

    🔵 Harris: 48% (+1)
    🔴 Trump: 47%

    CNN/SSRS | 10/21-26 | N=781LV

    Someone should have shown CNN the Arizona early voting data.

    Like

  80. I guess CNN is setting it up so that when the Banana Republic of Hobbs steals Arizona, they have cover from this poll.

    The excuse will be that all these Republicans naturally hate Trump and loved John McCain and Mitt Romney, and that’s why the disparity.

    Like

  81. Ok trump pulled a rope a dope of sorts or a bait and switch in Cn and n’s eye.

    The presser was supposed to be about Muh comedian. But trump has it focused on illegals and the economy. Jim Acosted is upset and said it was supposed to be about Muh,comedian.

    they are butt hurt.

    Like

  82. The joke was typical of this guy. He actually toned it down for the rally. It was not even racist, the context was the trash problem in PR which is real.

    My problem is not really with the joke, it is handing a loaded gun to the Dems and saying shoot me.

    It gave the MSM and the Dems the opportunity to define the rally as racist. That was the mistake.

    However, it is done, the damage I think has been contained, and the narrative cannot be sustained.

    Like

  83. Just a programming note…as expected, just drowning in new polls and so I have temporarily suspended the updating of the Senate polling pages. There is only so much one can do.

    I will so that the vast majority of state polls I am documenting are showing movement toward Trump compared to each pollster’s prior poll.

    Like

  84. The damaged is contained,

    maybe, but not with Bl and the wine chicks. .

    Like

  85. Ok trump pulled a rope a dope of sorts or a bait and switch in Cn and n’s eye”

    CNN cut away from Trump’s presser several times to “fact check his lies”.

    You can’t make this sh-t up.

    Like

  86. We get a day 2 of Muh comedian here. Yippie.

    Like

  87. DW, that cash is not limitless. Yes, Harris raised $1B, but she burned through over 70% of that in two months. She doesn’t have a significant cash advantage for the home stretch as a result, and has to prioritize where the remaining ad funds are spent while saving money for post election antics like Marc Elias et al.

    Like

  88. Trump has some tall and strong looking secret service at MAL Event. The pony tail brigade is not present.

    Like

  89. For those keeping score at home, the final CNN poll of Arizona in 2020 was Trump 46, Biden 50.

    Like

  90. Harris is a liberal. She has limitless money. It doesn’t matter if the wallet is empty or if the checks bounce, just spend anyway, knowing someone will pick up the tab later.

    Like

  91. Tina

    October 29, 2024 at 12:23 pm

    We get a day 2 of Muh comedian here. Yippie.”

    Zzzzzz…… yesterday Tina was here whining about the comedian

    and downplaying Trump’s chances and I told her to chill out

    “Tina

    October 28, 2024 at 6:19 pm

    Yup more bad news. Detroit news pole has quemala plus 3.

    who vetted the comedian?

    it’s a bad polling day.

    Tina

    October 28, 2024 at 6:22 pm

    We may come up,short here because of Nebraska.

    Tina

    October 28, 2024 at 6:22 pm

    With an assist from the nevada sc.

    jasonyupanqui47

    October 28, 2024 at 6:29 pm

    I doubt the Detroit poll has anything to do with the comedian, probably taken earlier.”

    Like

  92. CNN has a new poll

    AZ Harris +1

    NV Trump +1

    But their poll shows Latinos tied in NV and way down for Harris compared to Biden in AZ

    Like

  93. I agree with DW.

    Cash IS limitless because no matter what she spends, someone will make it good.

    Like

  94. jason, the purpose for the CNN AZ poll is to offer Hobbs the opportunity for cover should she want to steal the election for Harris.

    Like

  95. Speaking of leftover money, amongst the many things for which I never forgave John Kerry was using his boatloads of funds to pay for th recounts and legal challenges in the WA-GOV race in 2004. Rossi totally got cheated there, and WA state deserved competent leadership to stave off what has happened to it over the past twenty years.

    Like

  96. Speaking of the comedian, he is fighting back.

    @TonyHinchcliffe

    These people have no sense of humor. Wild that a vice presidential candidate would take time out of his “busy schedule” to analyze a joke taken out of context to make it seem racist. I love Puerto Rico and vacation there. I made fun of everyone…watch the whole set. I’m a comedian Tim…might be time to change your tampon.”

    Like

  97. Zzzzzzzzzzzz I made only 1 post about it.

    Like

  98. Allan Lichtman now says this in an interview with Fox5 of Washington DC…

    “I’ve never experienced the kind of hate that has been heaped upon me this time.”

    I’ve had the most vulgar, scurrilous, violent threatening kind of communication heaped on me. The safety of my family has been compromised. We’ve had to put the police on notice, secure our property, and I absolutely attribute this to the toxic politics of Donald Trump.”

    https://www.fox5dc.com/news/presidential-predictor-allan-lichtman-stands-call-harris-will-win-2024-election

    Like

  99. and just in time for CNN’s AZ poll release…

    real data…

    Eric Daugherty
    @EricLDaugh
    ·
    4m
    🚨 BREAKING: Arizona Republicans have expanded their early voting lead to nearly 130,000 VOTES.

    🔴 REP: 678,080 (+127,343)
    🔵 DEM: 550,737

    This day in 2020: D+99,126

    Like

  100. “and I absolutely attribute this to the toxic politics of Donald Trump.”

    Zzzzz..

    This guy wants to be both a Dem hack AND have us believe his “scientific” predictions.

    Sorry, pick one or the other or GFY.

    Like

  101. NORTH CAROLINA poll

    🔴 Trump: 49.4% (+3.2)
    🔵 Harris: 46.2%

    @trafalgar_group
    | 10/25-28 | N=1,091LV

    Like

  102. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    General election poll – North Carolina

    🔴 Trump 49% (+3)
    🔵 Harris 46%

    Trafalgar #C – LV – 10/28

    Like

  103. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Damn you, DW !!!!

    Like

  104. The worst part of Lichtman’s analysis is that it is not scientific at all; he uses heuristic set of questions to make his prediction. Silver called him out for that a while back, and Scott Rasmussen jumped inot the thread to throw a few punches at Lichtman as well.

    Like

  105. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Where is the mail?

    Probably waiting to see what they need before the big dump comes?

    “But 234,000 is just over half of the total Clark ballots from 2020. Where is the mail? If it continues at this relatively snail ‘s pace, whether it is USPS delay or it will simply be way down for another reason, the Dems will need a huge margin with all those indies. Double digits, which seems unlikely. Dems need the volume of Clark mail to increase at the nearly 2-to-1 margins and meet or come close to the 2020 baseline or Trump is going to win Nevada, even if the Dems do well with indies.”

    Like

  106. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    ‘the worst part of Lichtman’s analysis is that it is not scientific at all;”

    That is why I put it in quotes.

    Like

  107. Swing States poll by
    @RedfieldWilton

    Arizona – 🔴 Trump 49-47%
    North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 48-46%
    Georgia – 🔴 Trump 48-47%
    Pennsylvania – 🟡 Tie 48-48%
    Nevada – 🟡 Tie 47-47%
    Michigan – 🔵 Harris 49-48%
    Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris 49-47%
    —— 110 (1.8/3.0) | N=6,472 | 10/25-27

    https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-25-27-october-2024/

    Like

  108. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    MSM portraying Kamala’s speech tonight as the greatest speech of all time.

    Like

  109. reposting to show the changes from their prior poll:

    Arizona – 🔴 Trump 49, Harris 47% (+1, +1)
    North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 48, Harris 46% (=, +1)
    Georgia – 🔴 Trump 48, Harris 47% (=, =)
    Pennsylvania – 🟡 Trump 48, Harris 48% (+1, =)
    Nevada – 🟡 Trump 47, Harris 47% (=, +1)
    Michigan – 🔵 Harris 49, Trump 48% (+2, +1)
    Wisconsin – 🔵 Harris 49, Trump 47% (=, =)
    —— 110 (1.8/3.0) | N=6,472 | 10/25-27

    Like

  110. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Breakfast Club: What do you say to those who feel like you aren’t speaking directly to black men about the things they care about? Kamala: “The brothas aren’t saying that.”

    Like

  111. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Bl are you seeing any of this in Philly?”

    LOL

    Unless it is the short walk between his office and the parking garage, no.

    Like

  112. another pollster suddenly correcting to Trump:

    Final FLORIDA poll by FAU

    🟥 Trump: 53% (+9)
    🟦 Harris: 44%

    Last poll (8/11) – Trump 50-47%
    ——
    FL Senate
    🟥 Rick Scott (inc): 50% (+4)
    🟦 Mucarsel-Powell: 46%
    ——
    @MainStUSApolls
    | 10/19-27 | LV
    https://sun-sentinel.com/2024/10/29/harris-has-a-slight-lead-in-fau-national-poll-trump-far-ahead-in-florida/

    and national poll:

    GE: FAU/@MainStUSApolls

    🔵 Harris: 49% [=]
    🔴 Trump: 47% [+2]

    [+/- change vs 9/23-25] 86 (2.0/3.0) | October 20-27 | LVs

    Like

  113. Tina – I am on the 16th floor so I can’t see the people in detail but I can see the flags being waved. I heard the music and bands all morning up until maybe a 1/2 hour ago. Maybe the Mayor or a judge came out and said STFU after 3 hours.

    Like

  114. Crowds are already line up street after street after street for tonight’s Allentown Trump rally at the PPL Center (10,000).
    The rally is expected to feature several supporters from Puerto Rico or Puerto Rican descent on stage with Trump.
    All schools have been cancelled today in Allentown.

    Donald Trump rally in Allentown, live updates: Crowds line up outside PPL Center

    Like

  115. Rcp national average is now trump plus 0.4.

    Like

  116. “MSM is portraying Kamala’s speech tonight as the greatest speech of all time.”

    I’ve heard that before….at least a dozen times with Hillary Clinton, two dozen times with husband Bill and at least 100 times with Obama-both Barack and Michelle.

    The hyperbole, exaggeration and shameless puffery is beyond the pale with these dupes in the media.

    Like

  117. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Disappointing poll

    “Support for the Democratic Party among Jewish Americans has reached its lowest point in four decades, with only 63% expressing intent to vote for Kamala Harris, according to a survey by the Jewish People Policy Institute (JPPI).

    Despite declining support, Harris retains the backing of the majority, while a notable 24% plan to vote for Donald Trump, largely due to his stance on Israel.”

    Like

  118. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    63% is still close to 2/3, it shows ideology still is king.

    Like

  119. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    CNN had a Puerto Rican radio talk show host from Allentown.

    1. All Puerto Ricans now hate Trump because he insulted the island and the PR flag (?)
    2. His audience says their mind is made up even if Trump apologized
    3. The Puerto Ricans who voted for Trump already by mail are phoning their relatives not to vote for Trump.
    4. Having Puerto Ricans speak at the rally won’t help Trump

    Like

  120. Redfield and Wilton delivers some bad news for Dems hoping that all these early GOP voters are out there voting for Harris because they hate Trump as much as they do.

    Like

  121. I take the train now. My office building is One South Broad Street. My office is literally across the street from City Hall. . Google it. GFY

    Like

  122. and there it is…DEMS early vote total in Florida has dropped to just one-third….they are sitting at 33.33% of the early vote.

    Like

  123. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_South_Broad

    More than you want to know about my office building. This is not up to date as the pharmacy on the first floor was replaced by Insomnia Cookies.

    Like

  124. Data Orbital AZ poll Trump up 8, Lake up barely

    Like

  125. Jack Poso 

    @JackPosobiec

    BREAKING: VOTER INTIMIDATION OPS IN BUCKS COUNTY PA

    LINES AROUND THE BLOCK ELECTION OFFICIALS TELLING PEOPLE TO GO HOME OR GO TO OTHER LOCATIONS?

    JOSH SHAPIRO – SILENT

    Poso is also reporting people with fake “voter protection league” badges are walking around telling people they can’t vote. Other Harris people are passing out her campaign literature close to voting areas – all illegal actions, but little is being done about it.

    Liked by 1 person

  126. There should be video of this at the voting sites.

    Like

  127. Data Orbital is ranked #8 at 538. However they also have Monmouth at #5 and Marist at #6, so take the ranking with a huge grain of salt.

    Like

  128. Music started up again. I can only see the south side of City Hall but the line does extend around to the east side of City Hall.

    Like

  129. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I take the train now.”

    Ma, let’s use that bait for our late afternoon fishing.

    Like

  130. Latinx Adjacent Doctor PhD

    @TonerousHyus

    There’s a whole bunch of rural counties in Georgia now like Union that are high 90% of their turnout from 2020 already (yes including Election day) No one is prepared for all these Georgia rurals to post 75-80% turnout of registered voters post Eday.

    It seems as if there are lots of good early voting stats, in an array of states, for Trump voters. However, there are equally disturbing reports of election interference, in places like PA, from Dems.

    Like

  131. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I don’t know who promotes more fake news and stupid conspiracy theories.

    Gateway Pundit or “Jack Poso”.

    Tough one.

    Can I call it a tie?

    Like

  132. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    are walking around telling people they can’t vote.”

    Zzzzz….

    Anyone stupid enough to believe that should probably not be voting.

    Like

  133. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Trafalgar has Nevada basically tied.

    NEVADA poll

    🔵 Harris: 47.8% (+0.2)
    🔴 Trump: 47.6%

    @trafalgar_group | 10/25-28 | N=1,082LV

    Like

  134. Jack Poso is an individual so I think he deserves more credit than Gateway Pundit which has multiple members.

    Like

  135. what was their previous Nevada poll

    Like

  136. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Ok we have one vote.

    Bitter votes for Gateway Pundit.

    Like

  137. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Awww… Ralstonhack is offended..

    Jon Ralston

    @RalstonReports

    “Now is not the time to celebrate because those Democrat ballot harvesting drop boxes are coming. Just like President Trump says, let’s make it Too Big To Rig!” —

    NV Senate GOP leader Robin Titus in vlast email noting GOP early lead

    Rig, eh, senator? Repubs not harvesting?”

    Like

  138. I told everybody that a year ago I developed a condition that limits me to only driving locally and not at highway speeds or for long. A CT scan was negative. It might be related to diabetic neuropathy in my feet but there is no explanation for why I could drive 300 miles each way to Pittsburgh and back a week earlier and suddenly couldn’t drive the next week. I was not involved in any accidents so it does not appear to be psychological but who knows. The next stop will be my eye specialist and probably an ENT to see if it is an inner ear issue.

    GFY

    Like

  139. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Last Trafalgar Nevada poll I believe was

    Harris 45.6%
    Trump 44.8%

    Like

  140. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    What happens if you try to drive?

    Like

  141. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Ralston pretends to be non-partisan but he can’t resist letting the cat out of the bag…

    Jon Ralston

    @RalstonRepor.Once an election denier, always an election denier. These are the leaders of the state GOP in the capital. Lovely.”

    Like

  142. Data Orbital was SPOT ON in the 2020 Arizona race. Their poll was Biden +1

    Like

  143. At 25 to 30 mph I start to feel anxious and keep tapping the brakes even though I am not close to anything. My doctor prescribed a medicine to lower my blood pressure even though I don’t have high blood pressure. It works to an extent for local driving like 5 miles or shorter. I was able to drive on the highway regularly twice but only for 15 minutes each time.

    It is beyond frustrating especially with no cause identified yet.

    Like

  144. The blog switched my vote. Shenanigans.

    Like

  145. Like

  146. Oversight Committee

    @GOPoversight

    WHISTLEBLOWER DISCLOSURES ABOUT WALZ’S CCP TIES

    Because of DHS’s lack of compliance with our legal subpoena and unwillingness to cooperate in good faith,

    @RepJamesComer

    is releasing a small portion of the Department’s internal communications received from a whistleblower about Governor Tim Walz. The information shows DHS officials with subject matter expertise discussing the CCP’s targeting of Governor Walz on the same day VP Kamala Harris picked him to be her running mate. A whistleblower has provided further information to the Committee that indicates officials from DHS’s Office of Intelligence and Analysis and Homeland Security Investigations have been involved in the Department’s investigative and/or intelligence work connected with the CCP, the state of Minnesota, and Governor Walz.

    Like

  147. Atlas intel national pole trump plus 3

    Like

  148. Are the buck county videos of the poles closing 2 hours early a fake? Several sites are reporting it.

    Like

  149. Bucks county*

    Like

  150. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    You might have the “yips” as its described by golfers who suddenly can’t make a shot that they have made 10k times before.

    Since the onset was so sudden I doubt it is related to neuropathy, that would have been a gradual process.

    Twice in my life I have had the yips myself. About 15 years ago on a busy highway I felt like I was passing out and had to stop at a toll booth and get someone to pick me up and the the car. DId a battery of tests but nothing showed. The sensation happened a few more times but I was not driving at the time For months I was afraid to drive on highways lest it happened again, but gradually I went back to normal. But once or twice a year I still get the fainting sensation. And although I have taken literally thousands of plane flights, for over a year I began to feel anxious on planes, and my hands would sweat and I started worrying about noises the plane made and weather and things I never worried about before.This also went away and never came back.

    Sounds like some kind of anxiety syndrome to Dr. Jason.

    Like

  151. Here is one example:

    Like

  152. https://www.breitbart.com/entertainment/2024/10/29/nolte-jd-vance-to-sit-down-with-joe-rogan-after-kamala-chickens-out/

    ”JD Vance will sit down for an in-depth interview on the Joe Rogan Experience on Wednesday. This comes after we learned Kamala Harris has so far chickened out of appearing.”

    Like

  153. Like

  154. Rasmussen national pole +2 for trump

    Like

  155. Tina, people are legally able to stand in line, during the established times polls are posted to be open, to get a ballot.

    Like

  156. I can see them putting out a line ends here sign if necessary. But, the person alleges that the site closed 2 hours early.

    Like

  157. Interesting data from NBC EV….

    60,771,554 mail in and early votes requested nationally (45D/29R/26O)

    As of minutes ago…

    48,503257 mail in and early votes cast (42D/40R/18O)

    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/early-vote

    Now factor in Pew Research that a couple of days ago said 38% nationally will cast their vote either on ED or in person early at a voting location

    https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/10/24/american-voters-expectations-for-voting-this-year/

    FYI….wasn’t it the National Review that said a few days ago that EV votes consisted of 43% D’s/35%R’s/23%O’s)

    From 7% D’s to 2%D’s in a matter of days?

    Like

  158. Trump to hold a rally in Allentown, PA this evening featuring a Puerto Rican senator as one of his speakers.

    Like

  159. Maybe you were anxious because you were riding a llama or driving a horse and buggy on a highway. WTF

    Thank you for the perspective. I keep making the trips I can. Every Saturday morning I drive to the Farmers Market to buy my cinnamon chip muffin and a scone and coffee for my wife.

    Like

  160. Puerto Ricans interviewed in the long Allentown, PA line, waiting to get into the rally venue, don’t seem fazed by anything said during the MSG event. I think it’s mainly the news media and celebrities who were offended.

    Like

  161. They weren’t really offended, Jan; they’re trying to drive a narrative while appearing to be shocked and outraged.

    Like

  162. Like