Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
93 responses to “Darkness falls…because the sun is setting.”
Another Scooter First !!!!!
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Just In: Recent Internal polling has shown Trump within the margin of error in New Mexico per @MarkHalperin
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https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1850657764873511319?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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Haleprin is going to come out this election looking either like a sage/genius, or he will be totally discredited.
Props to him, though, for trying to get rank and file Dems on his platform to come down off the ledge and engage with Republicans and learn “peace, love, and understanding.”
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Re-post from the end of the last thread;
”I think Cahaly got a little blindsided by the 2022 results and is being more careful this time around with his samples and weighting. Still, two and a half points ahead in GA is fine, it’s still a closely divided state that will rely partially on reduced AA turnout to win. We’ve know that going into the GE.”
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all I can say is one side is going to be totally blindsided. Republicans really think Trump will win, though I think they are more cautious than Dems, Dems are totally lockstep in believing it’s going to be a blowout…at all levels.
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Per Ny times, fetterman says the d presidential ticket is in trouble.
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Halperin will be a discredited sexual predator scumbag hack either way.
F–k him.
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Halperin doesn’t have any inside information, both sides treat him like the pariah he really is.
But he can get attention by making predictions, and if he gets lucky he will be listened to next time so there is no risk for him really.
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This may be the “2nd Rnc.”
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I have never heard of Halperin being a sexual predator but he has always been a fair reporter. I have watched him for decades. He is more D than R, but he is honest.
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As I said, one side is going to be blown away, though I think the Dems will be more in shock if they lose than Trump will.
I am trying to remember. In 2020, were we resigned to Trump losing?
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I wasnt expecting it, but i knew it could happen.
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The MSG RNC CONVENTION IS BETTER THAN THE FIRST ONE.
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It is amazing!
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have never heard of Halperin being a sexual predator”
Are you serious?
Why do you think he was fired?
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And the leftists are triggered by it.
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https://money.cnn.com/2017/10/27/media/mark-halperin-new-accusations/index.html?iid=EL
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meanwhile this is what they are spreading to Americans
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And btw, Halperin did not deny anything.
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ut he has always been a fair reporter. I have watched him for decades. He is more D than R, but he is honest.”
Alternate universe.
Halperin has always been a far left zealot and partisan hack.
“Fair and honest” my ass.
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This freezes the race until Tuesday.
Brilliant. Well done.
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Really dont care about gossip about people i do not know.
being a sexual harrasser doesnt mean he is a leftist nor does it make him a bad reporter. Two separate judgements.
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Yahoo uses old ABC poll to claim “Harris has regained lead”.
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jason, they have been doing that since July when Harris took over. Poll, hold, release when needed.
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what freezes the race until Tuesday
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MSG 2nd rnc event.
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being a sexual harrasser doesnt mean he is a leftist nor does it make him a bad reporter. Two separate judgements”
Zzzz… you really are a stupid moron.
I didn’t say they were the same issue.
I said he has always been a highly partisan leftist hack who was fired for being a sexual predator and admitting it.
And “gossip” my ass.
Mark Halperin:
I am profoundly sorry for the pain and anguish I have caused by my past actions. I apologize sincerely to the women I mistreated.
The world is now publicly acknowledging what so many women have long known: Men harm women in the workplace. That new awareness is, of course, a positive development. For a long time at ABC News, I was part of the problem. I acknowledge that, and I deeply regret it. As I said earlier in the week, my behavior was wrong. It caused fear and anxiety for women who were only seeking to do their jobs.
In recent days I have closely read the accounts of women with whom I worked at ABC News. I have not read these accounts looking for discrepancies or inconsistencies. Instead, in almost every case, I have recognized conduct for which I feel profound guilt and responsibility, some involving junior ABC News personnel and women just starting out in the news business...
I now I can never do enough to make up for the harm I caused.
Does that sound like “gossip” you moron?
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But….he said Trump could win. Isn’t that enough for you?
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I only listen to Halperin regarding his political analysis. I dont care about someone’s holiness when it comes to the singers, political analysts, actors, etc. Sexual harassment doesnt have an agenda when it comes to politics.
And I have been watching the man for decades. He is left of center but hardly a leftist hack. You are just a belligerent loudmouth looking to provoke. Go to bed.
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Now, they are back to the assassination attempt was staged and not real.
That and nazi rally are their two rallying calls today. Sounds like a party of desperation, not one who is winning the hearts of America
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They are reporting 94,000 at the MSG rally (IN AND OUTSIDE). The outside is 74,000 alone based on police,
This is per a Twitter feed. We will see
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And I have been watching the man for decades.”
Sure, moron.
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Albertus Minimus Idioticus was quick to move the goalposts.
He went from saying the accusation against Halperin was “gossip” to saying he doesn’t care the guy is a sexual predator scumbag.
He went from saying Halperin was not a left wing hack to the ridiculous claim he is only “left of center”
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“Left of center”
“On August 18, 2019, publisher Regan Arts announced that Halperin had signed a new book deal. The book, entitled How to Beat Trump: America’s Top Political Strategists on What It Will Take, was published in early-November 2019. Contributors to the book include David Axelrod, Donna Brazile, and James Carville. Both CNN and NBC declined to promote the book”
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What a great guy, Albertus Idioticus has some great role models!
More “gossip”
“Ater news broke about the upcoming book, there was widespread criticism and outrage, with Gretchen Carlson calling the deal “a slap in the face to all women.” Rebecca Katz, a political strategist said on Twitter, “you can beat Trump without supporting the career rehabilitation of Mark Halperin.” CNN political commentator Karen Finney called Halperin “a predator” and denounced publisher Regan Arts. Eleanor McManus, who had written of being sexually harassed by Halperin as a 21-year-old, commented: “He leveraged his position as a prominent journalist to prey on women… Giving him a book once again puts him in a position of authority and that is a slap in the face to all the women that he has victimized.”
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Ok now that I proved Albert Idioticus once again is true to his long career here as a moron, we can move on.
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Rogan-Trump interview now at 31M views in just less than 2 days.
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where sane? On X? Couldn’t find it on YouTube they seem to be blocking searches
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GA early vote 10/27
White 39.4%
Black 36.8%
Other 23.8%
GA early vote total
White 59.4%
Black 26.1%
Other 14.5%
Only some urban counties were open today, including the Atlanta area Total votes today around 38k, 10/26 for comparison was 167k.
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So I didn’t hear the supposed Puerto Rican joke that was told at the rally tonight, but it’s getting a lot of play on X. Even some Republicans are trying to distance themselves from it. Pennsylvania has about a half a million Puerto Rican voters. I know it was a comedian and not Trump who said it, but hope this doesn’t come back to bite Trump in the azz. Probably wasn’t the best timing for it.
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Not sure if this was posted.
General election poll – Pennsylvania
🔴 Trump 48% (+1)
🔵 Harris 47%
Insider advantage #B – 800 LV – 10/27
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Vic,
When I search on YouTube using “joe rogan trump interview” it’s the third one down the list after the “top news” banner of irrelevant videos. Surprised it was that high.
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Here is a link to the video
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Morning Mika and Scarfarce will be melting down tomorrow.
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Not photoshop
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1850680268572778842/photo/1
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All the Dems must have gotten their talking point orders. Almost everyone on X is tweeting how racist the Madison Square Garden event was. That’s all you are going to hear about on every newscast for the next week.
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WTF would you bring a comedian on stage. I too also hope it doesn’t bite him in the backside, but…thats the difference between us and Dems. They can say anything and not worry it will affect them with voters.
someone makes an off the cuff joke, a comedian, and we are worried it will sink the entire election.
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Lol. Who is worried?
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me. I don’t want a Harris Presidency. I have young boys.
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Not worried at all.
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Apparently the Trump campaign was worried enough to respond. Don’t the speeches get vetted before they are approved ?
The Trump campaign responds to Puerto Rico Joke:
“This joke does not reflect the views of President Trump or the campaign.”
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zzzzzz
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/10/we-have-microphones-listening-everything-oh-sht-kamala/
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In my opinion it was just stupid to give the Dems even a tiny opening. Repubs have all the momentum going into the last week. Now this is all we are going to hear about until Election Day, and puts Trump campaign on defense. I guess we’ll have to wait and see how it plays out, but to me it was an unforced error at the worst time possible. I understand it was just a joke made by a comedian, but that’s not the way it will be reported.
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They also reported that he was a nazi.
what did you think?
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NEW HAMPSHIRE
Praecones Analytica / @NewHampJournal poll:
Trump 50.2% (+0.4)
Harris 49.8%
622 RV, 10/24-26
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I understand it was just a joke made by a comedian,”
You could have stopped there.
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The comedian was a dork, not popular with the audience at all. In fact most of his jokes fell flat or were just inappropriate for the venue. Someone is going to be grilled for hiring him.
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They also indicated it was a nazi rally,
trump praised Hitler.
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Rick Scott: “This joke bombed for a reason. It’s not funny and it’s not true. Puerto Ricans are amazing people and amazing Americans. I’ve been to the island many times. It’s a beautiful place. Everyone should visit. I will always do whatever I can to help any Puerto Rican in Florida or on the island.
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MSNBC is calling it a Nazi Rally.
A joke by a comedian is nothing compared to that.
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Loon Cheney cancels her wp subscription.
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News – Republican Senator Murkowski (Alaska) will not vote for Trump in the upcoming election.
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Not news. She said that in March.
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Most of the speeches were great from an A list of speakers. This is what will be remembered from such an iconic rally, not some flat footed jokes from an unknown comic. The press, of course, will do all they can to distort its success by doing their Hitler smear. But I actually think their verbal abuse will backfire on them, much like the orchestrated indictments did.
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what’s up with that NH poll. TBH I expect him to lose NH by 6% or more. If he honestly is that close in NH this election is over at 8:05 est
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Late Sunday Nevada update….GOP lead has now grown to approx. 33500 despite that the only two urban counties were open and nothing in the rural counties.
Statewide the GOP is over 5% (5.2). This is more and more looking like a Trump pickup.
The one state that concerns me the most is Pennslyvania. I mentioned this before with Trump going everywhere in that state to campaign and this is the state that Dr. Oz was leading all the way up to election day only to lose.
From what I gather from all of the early votes, mail in, absentees and such the D’s have a 57-43% lead. I know the R’s had a huge upswing of registrations while the D’s lost many but the D’s still have a 385,000 advantage after all of the registration changes.
I’m getting a bad feeling about Pa.
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Sf 49ers Bosa creates a stir
https://x.com/BehizyTweets/status/1850756054121902542?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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Can I ask about this rally and the joke made by a more known comedian about Mexicans stealing? Both jokes are bad but let’s not play dumb.
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Pole time:
Ny time sienna- trump+10 in Texas (52 to 42). Cruz is up only 4 in the senate pole.
Wi – trump plus 1 / USA Today Suffolk
Mi – trump plus 1/ patriot polling. (Not familiar with them).
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Full field – Texas pole is trump +11.
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Looks like Ras has a poll of Virginia that will drop as Harris +2
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From what I gather from all of the early votes, mail in, absentees and such the D’s have a 57-43% lead. I know the R’s had a huge upswing of registrations while the D’s lost many but the D’s still have a 385,000 advantage after all of the registration changes.”
You have to compare it to 2020.
What did a much larger D advantage represent? A win by 80k votes.
What did a 3-1 advantage in VBM represent? A win by 80 k votes.
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385,000 advantage on ballots so far? What was it in 2020?
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https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1850653600273637618/photo/1
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385,000 advantage on ballots so far? What was it in 2020?
Not ballots, registration.
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I think Melania won the MSG Rnc Convvention, She is a plus compared to the slapper and Doltz lunatic wife.
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No change in betting markets.
But CNN headline:
Analysis: The night that Upended the Campaign
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jaaon I don’t recall the number but wasn’t it something like an 800,000 Dem lead in 2020 that the GOP got down to 80,000 on election day?
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i will be getting up a new thread by 9:30
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I also thought it was 700000-800000 range.
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what upended the campaign. The msg rally where over 100k people attended either inside or our
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Vic, I agree with the comedians. Probably wise not to have them at the events. Most of them are not even funny these days. But the drats had George Lopez do a joke about Mexicans stealing and nobody said anything. Scroll a few posts up and you will see.
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If I remember right, in 2020 Dems had a 1.2 million ballot firewall lead going into Election Day in Pennsylvania.
I could be wrong, but that’s what I remember.
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Tina, that’s the whole point. Lopez told a joke and nobody said anything. Trump supporter tells a joke and that’s all you’ll see until Election Day.
We should know how these things work by now.
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May have already been posted.
CNBC poll:
Trump 48% (+2)
Harris 46%
.
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 48% (+4)
Democrats 44%
.@HartSurveys / @POStrategies, 1,000 RV, 10/15-19
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is this satire?
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New Thread
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