According to new polling from Quinnipiac
 | WISCONSIN |
| Trump | 48 |
| Harris | 48 |
 | MICHIGAN |
| Trump | 46 |
| Harris | 49 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
129 responses to “Tie in WI, edge to Harris in MI”
Quinnipiac is more bullish for Harris in Michigan than Slotkin
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Zzzzz for Quinn
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Baris seems impressed with the volume of Republican early voting. He’s saying the Dems virtually have no infrastructure for same day voting, and their strength is in early day voting which is now being heavily challenged by republicans.
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While the thread is young I want to address this whole issue of “Trump’s vitriol. Trump is mean. He’s xyz” that comes from the Dems. These are the same people that compare him to Adolf Hitler, call him a fascist and make claims he’s going to kill people.
So, the left, including the candidate for President on the Democrat side, is comparing Donald Trump, who has already served as President, so has a record, to a person who murdered 6,000,000 jews, 6,000,000 Catholics and scores of others. I mean DIRECTLY had them murdered. Not talking about the tens of millions of soldiers from America, UK, France, Russia, etc as well as his own Germans, who died because of the war.
Democrats say Trump is the same as a person who murdered what would be all the people in NYC and Los Angeles, plus a few others, in cold blood. And the media…are not complicit, they actually FURTHER that claim. That’s not politics, that is heinous and the epitome of misinformation, disinformation and irresponsible.
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Trump is one more in a long line of Hitlers going back to Dewey. Bushitler was a fav for a while.
I don’t see how anyone can take the comparison seriously at this point.
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Of course there was nothing premeditated or orchestrated by the feds to set up the J6 protest as an insurrection. Such a staged perception created the perfect opportunity to jail and harass participants for almost 4 years, thus intimidating those from congregating or protesting future injustices.
Breanna Morello
@BreannaMorello
Enrique Tarrio claims the DOJ wanted him to lie by saying President Donald Trump worked with him to plan January 6. After Tarrio refused, the DOJ wanted to send him to prison for 33 years. The judge sentenced him to 22 years instead! Tarrio’s mother details the lawfare that was used against her son.
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The problem with smearing Trump is that it doesnt move anyone who loves him away from him and only never-trumpers ever think it will. For indys, all Americans who didnt come here illegally, know Trump from his years as a media sensation for 40 years before he ran. NOBODY is going to believe that he is another Hitler or praised him, even if he did.
The Billy Bush tape had resonance because it fit what people could have expected from the 1980-2000’s Donald Trump persona. The Russian hoax didnt lost Trump votes at all, NOBODY believed he wasnt fully pro-America. The hoax only gave Deepstate the predicate they need to conduct their investigations, obstructing Trump’s admin and hoping to find something they could use against him.
After the lawfare waged against Trump the last 2 years, INDEPDENDENT VOTERS WHO ARE UNDECIDIED ARE NOT GOING TO SWAY THEIR VOTES BASED ON NEW INFO REGARDING TRUMP. Their view of him is SET. And every attempt to smear him will be dismissed. All of the charges, indictments, convictions this year made him STRONGER. Its too late to smear him.
DEMS and NeverTrumpers are just desperate. Their problem is their candidate is the biggest airhead to run as a major party Presidential candidate in anyone’s lifetime cant win the independents over because she is just flat out stupid.
Her only chance is that Trump himself says something to hurt himself which is why I am nervous about Joe Rogan. Trump is the only person who will sway public opinion over the next 13 days significantly enough to cause significant change.
Public opinion is set now. That is different that who will win. That is going to be won based on who votes. Before and during election day.
That is the question.
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And of course Hitler authorized horrific medical experiments done on live Jewish children. The sort of things that resulted in war crimes convictions resulting in the execution of the offenders. The sort of things that Democrats advocate for now, like the chopping off of boys’ genitals to permanently sterilize them.
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In an interview today Baris disclosed he also did polling choosing juries. What he discovered was people who depended strictly on dem legacy media for their news were far more ignorant in knowing “factual content” than those more informed by independent media sources.
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“It is deeply troubling and incredibly dangerous that Donald Trump would invoke Adolf Hitler, the man who was responsible for the deaths of 6 million Jews and hundreds of thousands of Americans.”
Maybe she can give an example of Trump “invoking” Hitler?
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Was quemala drunk giving that speech? Something appears off.
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And maybe she can explain why it was that if Trump is Hitler why didn’t he go full-Hitler when he was president for four years?
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exactly. The fact that Liberals believe this comparison is simply mind boggling. He literally served as President for four years and as far as I know, he didn’t do anything to anyone. Oh, wait, the left will say he killed cops on Jan 6. I still, and I am being honest, do not know of any police officers who were murdered on Jan 6. I would have imagined the murder trials would have been headline news.
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If Trump is Hitler he was a miserable failure at it for four years. Not 1 death camp. Not one doctor he authorized to do horrific medical experiments on live children, you know like the ones Democrats are doing. He didn’t invade Belgium or France. His administration was staffed with competent people of all races. His son-in-law is a Jew. And his time as president is now remembered favorably by voters.
Yeah, he really flunked at being Hitler.
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you know the drill, garbage in, garbage out:
QUINNIPIAC POLLS
Michigan:
🔵 Today: Harris+3 (Sample: D+4)
🔴 Last poll: Trump+3 (Sample: R+1)
🟠 Sample shift: D+5
Wisconsin:
🟡 Today: Tie (Sample: D+1)
🔴 Last poll: Trump+2 (Sample: R+3)
🟠 Sample shift: D+4
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She does need to be held accountable for such lies about Trump. She is inciting more violence like the kid in PA who was brainwashed to believe he was saving his country from Hitler.
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Hillsborough about to fall, Miami-Dade not far behind. Duval is R+1 and growing. Georgia always votes to the right of Duval.
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The rhetoric from Harris and the media is falling into the category of extreme defamation. Can they be sued?
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The independent media journalists, who attend every DJT venue, are observing that the crowds are increasingly consisting of first time attendees. Today in Georgia, for instance, Ben Bergquam reported that 90% of the people he talked to said this was their first Trump event. This is being interpreted as Trump gaining momentum as Harris is losing it.
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Yikes, Ga ev, black share is below 21%.
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(for today, day 8*)
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So, the October surprise (quemalas Hitler speech) is not something “new?”
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https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/zelensky-first-time-offers-russia-realistic-step-negotiating-table
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“Veteran Democrat strategist James Carville has appeared on national television and warned the American people President Donald Trump is planning to arrest all “males of color” if he wins the election.”
But Trump is unhinged.
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GOP now with a 7 point lead in Florida ballots:
Republican 1,156,269 43.45%
Democrat 969,755 36.44%
No Party Affiliation 480,426 18.05%
Other 54,573 2.05%
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Zzzzzzz… Zelensky is offering a no infrastructure attacks……which after showing Ukraine can strike deep into Russia and do real damage might be attractive to the Russians….
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Carville is essentially saying black men are stupid. Too stupid to realize they are being played by his rhetoric and will react by lining up to vote for Harris because Carville has let them in on Trump’s secret plan.
It’s insulting and demeaning, and it will backfire spectacularly.
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It’s obvious the Harris campaign has hit the DMR* Juncture. Two weeks until election and you know you’re phuct.
*Dole/McCain/Romney
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https://trendingpoliticsnews.com/new-veteran-reporter-shuts-down-hit-piece-on-trump-absolutely-false-mstef/?utm_medium=agg&utm_source=economics
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Fox News reporter John Roberts just came out against the Atlantic fake news article. He was the pool reporter.
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Yikes
The numbers: U.S. home sales fell to the lowest level in 14 years, as high home prices and uncertainty over the upcoming presidential election spooked home buyers.
Sales of previously owned homes fell 1% to an annual rate of 3.84 million in September, the National Association of Realtors said Wednesday.
That’s the number of homes that would be sold over an entire year if sales took place at the same rate every month as in September. The numbers are seasonally adjusted.
Marketwatch
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BOOM
National poll:
CHANGE RESEARCH (D)
🟥 Trump: 46%
🟦 Harris: 46%
🟪 Other: 5%
Last poll (8/20-27) – 🔵 Harris +5
—— 187 (1.4/3 0) | 10/3-9 | 3,275 LV
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Good afternoon!
We need a lot of information declassified on Day 1. FBI, CIA, DHS, IRS, FDA, NIH etc etc records from last 30 years should be opened up, similar to Musk doing the #TwitterFiles drop. The country can handle it, as it will most likely show how corrupt our representatives/federal workers have become. Odds are some Republicans will be tarnished, but many more Democrats will be ensnared.
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“Also, no lawyer for Fib director. We need a street cop.”
-Agreed
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My calculations for GA voting today-only as of 3:34p:
White 63.5%
Black 22.5%
Other 14.0%
2024 to date:
White 59.7%
Black 26.5%
Other 13.8%
2020 final:
White 56.5%
Black 27.7%
Other 15.8%
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Tina must have incredible powers to know Harris is drunk by watching an interview or speech. I think Harris is just loud and unfocused. But what do I know? 2 of my uncles, my mom, my brother, my sister, my nephew and my deceased niece are/were alcoholics but Tina is the expert.
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“Put John Ratcliff as head of the FBI. Grenell SOS. DeVos again for Education. Bobby Jindal for HHS. Burgum Energy.”
-Not bad picks. Would like to see Pompeo back in there somewhere. He did a great job.
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“Also, he should have Kevin McCarthy as Chief of Staff, someone who can navigate well through chaos.”
-Hmmmm……I’ll have to think about this one.
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Damm
If NYC likes any of my picks I am going to to think about them again.
Must of gone wrong somewhere.
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NYC loves grandstanding deadender morons.
My picks should be offended.
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I do think Kamala has a couple belts early in the day to fortify herself.
I don’t blame her actually.
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My recipe for tough meetings is one martini. For very tough meetings 2 martinis. For impossibly tough meetings, since you are not going to get anything done anyway, 3 martinis.
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“Put you all back in chains”…first Biden, now Carville.
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The Hitler BS has hurt Trump at Predictit, went from +20 to +11.
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We need a street cop for head of fib. No more lawyahs.
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Welcome Jeffrey Shaw.
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Aka JeffS
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Tina is the expert.
Thanks. I have been right on a lot of things. Russia hoax, comedy, fraudci, etc.
I am glad you noticed.
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I doubt you will get a non-lawyer for the FBI.
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Thanks. I have been right on a lot of things. Russia hoax, comedy, fraudci, etc”
Zzzzzzz…..
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Gird your loins, Marist to drop new polling of NC, AZ, and GA at midnight.
their last polls were NC 49/49, GA Trump 50/Harris 49, AZ Trump 50/Harris 49,
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Here is what Kamala USED to think about Kelly…
Kamala Harris
John Kelly was the architect of the Trump Administration’s cruel child separation policy. Now he will profit off the separation of families. It’s unethical. We are better than this.”
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If Marist follows same path as Quinnipiac, then the strategy was for these hard left pollsters to have shown good news for Trump earlier so they can show shift to Kamala now.
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Yesterday Obama asked how come we are so divided.
Maybe calling your opponent Hitler?
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https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1849156075292877116?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^1849156075292877
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and praising your preacher who says “White Folks Greed Runs a World in Need!”
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Janzam and Tina the Putinistas will stand up and clap for this.
3,000 soldiers only represent about three days of Russians killed or wounded.”
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HARRIS: Well, when I’m out — this is why I’m going out to Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and, and, um, and …
JACKSON: Michigan.
HARRIS: Michigan. Excuse me, I just got in late this morning, actually.
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Janzam and Tina to declare that Ukraine killing North Koreans is an “escalation” in 3, 2, 1…
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apparently PredictIT rattled by the Hitler stuff…was 60/42, now 58/46
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oh here we go…Biden just issued an executive order that in light of the new Hitler allegations involving Trump, all early voting will be canceled, and started over beginning this weekend.
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DW, stop pulling the leg! Some folks will believe that.
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“My picks should be offended.”
-Says the guy who will sit home on his arse all of the election season, and not do anything to help make sure those picks get the jobs he wants them for.
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PredictIT now 57/46
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Whoever Trump chooses to join his administration should be experienced to handle the dept they are nominated to head or be a part of. The suggestions of NYC and Tina, that thenDirector of FBI be associated with law enforcement, I agree with. Both Radcliffe and Grendell would be great additions. DeVos and Trump had issues so I think I would pass on her, as I would Pompao, who pressured Trump not to release the Kennedy files. Kevin McCarthy may know his way around DC, but he is far too ambitious and untrustworthy to be Trump’s chief of staff. I think Kash Patel, who also has experience in DC, would be a far better choice as chief of staff. Also, Jeffry Clark would make an excellent AG, far more knowledgeable and legit than the current one.
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Hitler BS has hurt Trump at Predictit, went from +20 to +11.
never was plus 20 may was plus 16 now 11.
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“DeVos and Trump had issues so I think I would pass on her, as I would Pompao, who pressured Trump not to release the Kennedy files.”
-Didn’t realize that Devos and Trump had issues, and didn’t know that about Pompeo either.
For SecOfEducation, if you keep that department, ask Condi Rice or another person of color of similar competence to take that spot. School choice should be a YUGE issue for the Republican Party moving forward, to further their reach into working and minority communities. And YES, I do think that a person of color is needed in that job to push school choice, as the reality is the media will attack that person viciously. Unfortunately, at this time in history, a persons skin color will help deal with the dishonest media.
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“Kevin McCarthy may know his way around DC, but he is far too ambitious and untrustworthy to be Trump’s chief of staff.”
-Would definitely be a worry of mine.
–
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Latinx Adjacent Doctor PhD
@TonerousHyus
Just to bring home Georgia right now in a real earnest way for Dems who are in denial about what’s going on Forsyth (Trump+34) Dawson (Trump+75) Butts (Trump+47) Thomas (Trump+20) Are outrunning Fulton by ~8% in turnout and Clayton by *14%* in turnout.
·
4,051 Views
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So Trump back up to now only off 1 for the day at PredictIT, but Harris +3 or the day. So its Dems hoping Hitler will stick.
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MARTHA: We invited both the Trump and Harris campaigns to join the show today but the Harris campaign backed out at the last minute. TRUMP SENIOR ADVISOR
@TimMurtaugh: I’m sorry that “Ian Sams” couldn’t be here. There must’ve been a sale on soy products at Whole Foods.
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Rich Baris The People’s Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
·
13m
The least serious part of Kamala Harris’ press conference is when she pretends to defend the honor of the 6 million Jews killed by Hitler.
This is a candidate whose party is so anti-semitic she could not nominate a Jew as vice president because it’s not politically viable.
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Marist predictions for tonight. They are going to do the same as Quinnipiac and pretend there is a late surge for Harris. I predict they will show:
AZ: Harris 49, Trump 47
GA: Harris 48, Trump 46
NC: Harris 50, Trump 46
There is no bottom to the gutter with the left, when they pull the Hitler card like this, inciting violence. It will be nothing for university pollsters to do what they always do.
The Quinnipiac gambit today shows the way forward. Switch the party ID massively, but AFTER seeing the real turnout data from early voting. The early voting suggests there is no way there is a late massive shift to Ds. That kind of shift could only be defended by early turnout that is heavily D. Its heavily R in the turnout.
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How long can the Dems falsely claim R’s are anti-Jewish while being virulently anti-Jewish themselves?
I would think there will be a tipping point where Jewish voters flip allegiance, much like Latinos at the Texas/Mexico border are doing over illegal immigration, but when?
If they don’t, they run the risk of losing R support in the long run, because why keep beating your head against the wall if politically it is a losers game.
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I wonder if this is the coordinated plan:
First, go full blast with the Hitler stuff today,
Second, go full blast with media and university pollsters in the next week showing massive movement to Harris because of the Hitler stuff, juicing samples to D+8 nationally if needed, same thing for battleground states.
Meaning, Third, the plan for stealing the election is in place, and they just need a narrative to cover the theft. The collusion between the Harris Hitler speech and the pollsters provides that cover.
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The GOP just opened up a 200,000 vote lead over Dems in FL.
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I personally think it would be interesting to vet some of the FBI whistleblows – Steve Friends comes to mind – as potential candidates for FBI director, if the intention is to clean up that department.
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The party that wants to legalize the sexualization of children and keep legal the act of tricking boys into getting their private parts cut off, they are out there saying there is a video of Trump groping a minor.
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I think DW’s “coordinated plan” theory has plausibility. However, it appears there is so much push back on Harris now, so much skepticism about her honesty or competence, would such an election manipulation be believed, and do nothing more than create even more anger towards the dem cabal?
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”there is a video of Trump groping a minor.”
What about the many video clips of Biden sniffing children’s hair or putting creepy hands on their shoulders, or tales of him showering with his own daughter?
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“What about the many video clips of Biden sniffing children’s hair or putting creepy hands on their shoulders, or tales of him showering with his own daughter?”
Biden isn’t running, Harris is, and she would say that she finally thought of the thing she would do differently.
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PreditIT now 57/47
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Don’t even compare it to Biden.
There is not a video of Trump groping anyone. Please stop. Why even regurgitate such a story?
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There is a TPUSA rally in Duluth, GA hosting Trump this evening. It’s another massive event featuring Tulsi Gabbard and Bobby Kennedy who received a boisterous welcome from the crowd. These two people plus Musk and Vivek would also enrich a Trump administrate, IMO.
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I only mentioned that there is a leftist out there pushing that their is. Their desperation is unbelievable. Trump needs more security. The stuff they said today will incite violence. And some of you strongly pushed back at the idea that I mentioned a few days ago that there could well be election day violence against strongly leaning GOP voting precincts.
The left stops at nothing.
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So many ruthless stories coming out about Harris putting parents in jail. Bobbie Kennedy just finished telling one.
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Bobbie Kennedy says Harris repeating false stories should alone disqualify her from the presidency. He’s referring to the brutal story about Hitler.
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CNN just aired an interview with James Carville. He double down on thought that Trump, if elected, with get rid of anyone disagreeing with him and the CNN anchor, Wolf Blitzer, just accepted it.
CNN is perpetuated this garbage and should be held accountable. This is only to get worse with MSNBC to follow and then others.
This is becoming the Russian hoax on steriods.
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Meanwhile….
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so Baldwin and Casey worked well with a friend of Hitler….hmmm
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wait. What hitler stuff. Did I miss something today?
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Walt had to deal with attacks during his campaigns that he said Ghengis Khan and Vlad the Impaler did some good things.
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vic, Harris has a press conference to warn voters about the sad reality that Trump said he wanted to be like Hitler
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CNN is now focusing on The Atlantic’s story earlier today.
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its all pre-planned like I said above, and right on cue Morning Consult just dropped new battleground state polling showing movement to Harris
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that’s all they have. They can’t fight on the issues. It’s really low comparing someone to hitler. It diminishes the suffering he inflicted on millions of people
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what did the Atlantic story say. Didnt they pull it back
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https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1849226741891596292
and now they go with this right on cue
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So the university and media polls all go hard left from here on out to give them cover for the theft.
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Polymarket went from 64-36 to 62-38, not a big swing..
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roughly same as predictit
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Babylon Bee
“Democrats Explain Trump Was Going To Be Hitler During His First Term, But He Forgot”
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Remember that guy got sentenced to prison for a joke about Dems texting to vote for Hillary, by that standard Kamala should be jailed
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RFK Jr. just proclaimed at the Duluth, Georgia, rally that Trump will win by a landslide.
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Mark Penn: “Heading to final stretch, Trump is on offense — relaxed, going to Al Smith and McDonalds, seeking core Catholic and working class dem voters
Harris seems on defense – working to regain black voters, calling Trump a fascist
It’s all you need to know about who is winning or losing”
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Breaking incoming wsj national pole.
trump plus 3
(per mark Halperin)
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I just hope that if Trump wins that nobody that Gateway Pundit wants serves in his Administration.
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The Atlantic story has two parts, which have been derailed.
Part 1 – No trump commments about Hitler or having Hitlers general. Apparently, General idiot lied because he was fired once he said that as chief of staff, all decisions go through him.
Part 2 suckers and losers/hispanic comment derailed by several in the wh and the dead soldiers family.
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Nevada early voting (mail+ in person + overseas) through 10/22 from the SOS
Rep 39.9%
Dem 35.7%
Other 24.3%
Assuming the R and D’s vote at similarly high rates for their candidate, then the Others need to be D+17 for the Dems to break even. Brutal. Ralston is now referring to the Rural firewall for the R’s rather than the Clark firewall for the Dems.
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Duluth ga crowd
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NT at 9:00.
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Gfy- part 4
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Tina, I WILL NOT be Frist in that GFY part quatre
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“RFK Jr. just proclaimed at the Duluth, Georgia, rally that Trump will win by a landslide.”
-Trying to guard against too much optimism, but I keep running into basic facts:
I’m leaning towards agreeing with RFK Jr.
LET’S GO!!!
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WTF!?!?
I type things in, the website puts numbers next to each line item, I put a space between each line item, but then the website gets rid of the numbers and takes away the space!
I Repeat – W T F !?! 🙂
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I Repeat – W T F !?! 🙂
Forget it, Mike; it’s Bittersville.
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i did the same thing above Mike, numbers then they disappeared
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didnt someone say a Morning Consult rescue poll was coming out
How, and why, does anyone put any stock in a morning consult poll. They are the most rabid of Trump haters. You have to know they will skew everything.
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Gas South Arena GA holds a little over 13,000.
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Dick Cheney Excitedly Joins Democrat Party After Hearing They Get To Shoot People At Gun Ranges”
Babylon Bee
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Forget it, Mike; it’s Bittersville.”
Beautiful Bittersville, PA, home sweet home.
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Well, Bittersville suburbs, but close enough.
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Nevada Early +Mail Total Vote in 2020
Dem 39.3%
Rep 34.8%
Other 25.9%
early Vote margin = D+55,082 (D+4.5)
E-Day vote margin = R+15,732 (R+10.0)
Net margin = D+39,350 (D+2.8)
2024 Early + Mail thru 10/22
Rep 39.9% R+4.2
Dem 35.7%
Other 24.3%
Current early vote margin = R+13,407
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New thread.
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