The new Redfield & Wilton polling was taken 10/12-10/14
| Trump | Harris | Oth | ||
 | AZ | 48 | 46 | 2 |
 | FL | 50 | 44 | 2 |
 | GA | 47 | 47 | 3 |
 | MI | 47 | 47 | 2 |
 | MN | 43 | 51 | 1 |
 | NV | 47 | 47 | 2 |
 | NM | 45 | 49 | 3 |
 | NC | 48 | 46 | 2 |
 | PA | 48 | 48 | 1 |
 | WI | 47 | 48 | 2 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
16 responses to “Redfield & Wilton sees some battleground state movement toward Trump”
1st
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I don’t buy gallups party Id. Any commentary?
I thought it went from even in 2004 to drat plus 6 in 2008.
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reposted from prior thread:
PA is reported to be having problems in the Harris campaign’s workers – said to be in “disarray.” Musk, OTOH, is committed to campaign in PA, doing speeches on Trump’s behalf, from now through Monday. Plus, Musk has donated $75 million to the campaign.
Charlie Kirk, who has been on the college circuit for years, challenging students in their liberal beliefs. Yesterday he visited Northern Arizona University, located near the more liberal city of Flagstaff. Last year when he made the same stop he was met with a contentious group of students. Yesterday it was 180 degree different reception, with 1500 students clamoring for red hats and vowing to vote for Trump. A growing consensus is that it is becoming “cool” to vote Republican these days – go figure!
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Damn it Scooter! I know you got your ears shot off in the Great War with RRH, so maybe it triggers some PTSD, but you forgot the all important…
BOOM!!!”
Got my ears shot off ???? So that’s what happened ??? Are these Bastards fake and just stuck to my head? People been lying to me all these years ???
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SENATE numbers from R&W:
AZ: Lake 42, Gallego 47
FL: Scott up 45/42
MI: Rogers 40, Slotkin 44
MN: White 35, Klobber 42
NV: Brown 41, Rosen 46
For unknown reasons, they don’t poll the WI or PA senate races.
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Many people get their polls from https://x.com/IAPolls2022
Apparently someone started a fake account replacing the 0 in 2022 with the letter O which looks nearly identical.
Then they started putting up fake rescue polls for Dems.
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LOL
Seen on Predictit
“If Dr. Jack Kavorkian was still around, Allan Lichtman would be speed dialing him right about now”
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Et tu, Luntz?
https://x.com/FrankLuntz/status/1846284283306221647?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1846284283306221647%7Ctwgr%5Eb19c7ae41306be3dad73f3116da64bc3525e8874%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftownhall.com%2Ftipsheet%2Fmattvespa%2F2024%2F10%2F16%2Fthat-nate-silver-trendline-is-not-good-news-for-kamala-n2646265
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if any of you don’t recall the 2020 Redfield and Wilton polls, here is a quick refresher:
AZ: Trump 46, Biden 50
FL: Trump 44, Biden 49
GA: Trump 46, Biden 45
MI: Trump 41, Biden 54
MN: Trump 42, Biden 51
NC: Trump 47, Biden 49
PA: Trump 45, Biden 50
WI: Trump 41, Biden 53
Other than these numbers giving further evidence that Georgia was stolen, they say that Redfield & Wilton has either cleaned up their act for 2024, or we will be able to go to bed by 9:30 on election night.
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It looks as though Michelle Obama is now going to campaign for Harris speaking at a rally in Atlanta on Oct. 29 or just a few days before the election.
I also gather that several massive blitz rallies are being bandied about featuring the usual Hollywood types and various musicians…George Clooney, Julia Roberts, Oprah, Robert De Niro, Taylor Swift, Ariana Grande, Bruce Springsteen, Barbara Streisand, Tom Hanks, Beyonce, Carole King, James Taylor etc. to gin up support for Harris….kinda like a telethon or a political Live Aid if you will.
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greg_price11
60 million people heard David Muir say to President Trump during the debate that the FBI says crime is down in America. A month later, the FBI admitted that crime rose under Kamala Harris. It wouldn’t be an election cycle without the FBI committing election interference with full compliance from the media.
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CLUSIVE: Kamala Harris’ campaign has dramatically pulled back local television advertising in the Milwaukee market and reallocating those resources to Philadelphia, where it is believed the campaign is deeply concerned about turnout and margins there.
Dan O Donnell
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PENNSYLVANIA poll
🔴 Trump: 52% (+4)
🔵 Harris: 48%
@BIGDATAPOLL | 10/16 | LVs
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New Thread
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Mark Halperin’s lengthy Tucker interview went through a swing state analysis. According to him AZ is the most assured state in the pack, with Nevada being the least for Trump. He also feels NC will be a Trump win. Rasmussen has put PA in Trump’s column as a win too.
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