Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Game over in Georgia, but Harris ahead in North Carolina

says Quinnipiac:

GEORGIA poll

🔴 Trump: 52% (+7)
🔵 Harris: 45%

Quinnipiac | 10/10-14 | N=1,328LV

NORTH CAROLINA poll

🔵 Harris: 49% (+2)
🔴 Trump: 47%

Quinnipiac | 10/10-14 | N=1,031LV

Rich Baris says Trump up in PA:

PENNSYLVANIA poll

🔴 Trump: 52% (+4)
🔵 Harris: 48%

@BIGDATAPOLL | 10/16 | LVs

30 responses to “Game over in Georgia, but Harris ahead in North Carolina”

  1. d+ 3 party Id for nc

    r+5 party Id for ga

    (quinn poll)

    Like

  2. third. I’ll take that!

    hmmmmm up +7 in Ga. Hard to believe. Down 2 in NC. More believable but still quwstionable

    I think the disaster in Western Carolina might be enough to swing the state to Komrade because many voters won’t be able to, or too distraught to vote, which could give she/her the election there. Hoping we make it up elsewhere

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  3. Vic, there are a lot of Dems that live in the city Ashville.

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  4. DW – agreed, but I bet most of them find a way to the polls or the Dems will target them and go pick up their vote.

    of all the states that should be red, I’m most worried about NC. I think he’ll carry AZ which will counter a NC loss I believe but he’ll need the rust belt

    Liked by 1 person

  5. Quinn state poles are generally inadequate.

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  6. inaccurate*

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  7. with the quinnipiac poll of NC, this is the first in the last 14 polls to show an Obamala lead.

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  8. https://nypost.com/2024/10/15/us-news/border-patrol-agents-threaten-to-leave-if-kamala-harris-wins/

    Border patrol agents are threatening to leave the critical federal agency in droves if Vice President Kamala Harris wins in November — with multiple agents telling The Post that they can’t face four more years of being undermined and scapegoated.

    “I’m not doing this s–t again … four years of hell,” said one agent, who is nowhere near retirement.

    Another agent said: “Lots of guys who can retire will go. If Trump wins, they’ll stay.”

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  9. Like

  10. Like

  11. I’m skeptical on NC only because the hard hit counties were n northern GA are turning out in full force in early voting. I’ll bet the NC red counties won’t lag far behind at the end of the day; they’re p*ssed.

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  12. Mark Halperin has analyzed the swing states saying the most likely one for Harris to win is Nevada. He feels NC will go to Trump.

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  13. Rasmussen Reports

    @Rasmussen_Poll

    ·

    Election 2024: Trump +3 Over Harris Former President Donald Trump has a three-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the daily tracking poll of the 2024 presidential election.

    Like

  14. In that MSNBC clip did you hear the liberal commentator say that the Dems needs voters who moved from liberal states to vote to “offset the juicing of the polls by MAGA”…inferring that Republicans are the ones who will cheat at the polls. LMAO

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  15. Had the storm been next week in NC, there would be reason to be concerned. There is no reason to be concerned about the voting in NC. People are motivated. They will turn out. Early, in person voting begins tomorrow here.

    People are just addicted to finding anything they think can help them figure out what will happen in the election. Causes some to make mountains out of molehills to find any type of confirmation of their hopes or fears.

    NC is voting for Trump.

    Like

  16. oahodges do you live in NC?

    Like

  17. Yes, from birth. In fact, my people settled this state back in the 1660’s before it was a separate state. We were part of Virginia then.

    Just in case you had never heard of this before, North Carolinians believe God has blessed us in a special way. After call, the sky is Carolina blue!

    American by birth but Southern through the grace of God!

    Liked by 1 person

  18. so are you a Blue Devil or a Tar Heel

    Like

  19. Daugherty

    @EricLDaugh

    UPDATE: The percent of Georgia’s black vote is now below 29% as day 2 of early voting continues in a continued poor trend for Democrats. White vote is now nearing 59%. For context, day 1 finished at 30% black, 57.5% white. So, already poor numbers for Dems getting worse.

    ·

    5,986 Views

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  20. Eric Daugherty
    @EricLDaugh
    ·
    5m
    JUST IN: Florida’s mail-in voting is trending DEEP RED.

    Right now, it is D+5.5.

    At this point in 2020, it was D+21.

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  21. So maybe hee haw helped trump lock down ga and the plus 7 poles are accuratw

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  22. A new telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports and American Thinker finds that, if the election were held today, 51% of Likely North Carolina voters would vote for Trump, while 46% would vote for Harris.

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  23. Glad that trump told that Arizona lady to vote early. They will try to disrupt the Election Day as maricartel county did with the machines going down.

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  24. oahodges, you sound like a proud North Carolina native. I live in and am a native of CA. However, considering how this state has suffered under dem policies, I lack the pride like you apparently have in your birthplace.

    Liked by 1 person

  25. More and more data indicating that this election is going to be closer to 2014 than 2016/2020. R’s turning out and D’s staying home. I think many D’s are not enthused at four more years of this Dem administration, seeing how they have governed the last four years. They may not like Trump, but they also don’t like her. And they also know that Trump did not act like a dictator during his term, so those absurd warnings by the Dems about Trump ring hollow.

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  26. just when other pollsters start to look more favorable to Trump, Rasmussen makes a left turn. No way to sugar coat it. Hope it turns around in tomorrow’s sample:

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  27. BOOM

    National poll by
    @foxnewspoll

    🟥 Donald Trump: 50%
    🟦 Kamala Harris: 48%

    Last poll – 🔵 Harris+2

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  28. Fox News national pole

    trump 50

    quemala 48

    Like