according to Rasmussen Reports and InsiderAdvantage:
 | NORTH CAROLINA |
| Trump | 51 |
| Harris | 46 |
 | GEORGIA |
| Trump | 49 |
| Harris | 47 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
according to Rasmussen Reports and InsiderAdvantage:
| NORTH CAROLINA |
| Trump | 51 |
| Harris | 46 |
| GEORGIA |
| Trump | 49 |
| Harris | 47 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
46 responses to “Trump outside margin of error in NC and up 2 in GA”
These are republican pollsters. We need an independent polling commission.
-drat
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NY Times/Siena and Quinnipiac are now right-wing GOP disinformation sources.
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Wtf?
Walz: “JD Vance is a venture capitalist cosplaying as a cowboy. I don’t even know what a venture capitalist does.”
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Anyone at all think for a minute Kamala would ever in a million years be allowing herself to be interviewed on Fox news tomorrow if she wasn’t behind and desperate? Anyone? Anyone outside of Robbie that is. Speaking of Robbie, did he pass away? Serious question.
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Just on Fox News….Georgia early voting establishes a new record….beating the old record of over 80,000 on the first day of EV….don’t know what the breakdown is though.
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Big Data poll of MI has Trump +3.7:
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1846226322730717384?t=bigKKYVro8ufPYR-Fn2hZg&s=19
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Michigan fire fighters union refuses to endorse.
Trump to pa Saturday to work the fryer at McDonald’s
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lol, Charlemagne got tired of her sheot?
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Second Casey-McCormick debate. I will watch but not give updates unless there is something new beyond McCormick ran a hedgefund from CT and wants kill women and Casey does nothing but raise taxes and hug illegals.
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We need your updates.
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seconded
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Nothing new except McCormick said Biden won the election and people who broke the law on J6 should have been prosecuted just like BLM lawbreakers should have been prosecuted.
Jan and Tina hardest hit.
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A lot of hedgefund references.
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McCormick supports filibuster and opposes DC and PR statehood. Casey opposes filibuster and is open to DC and PR statehood.
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https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1846349077832773932
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Biden: she beat trump so badly in the debate, he’s scared to death to beat her again
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Question – how desperate are the Dems. They are going crazy on X about his “rally” last night, and how he has dementia because he was on stage for 30 mins with music.
They are calling the NYT a right wing propaganda outlet. I kid you not. It’s insane. They are truly desperate.
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This idea that the medical records, and that he’s too old is not going to resonate with the undecided voters who watched them nominate (through the primary process) a man who actually has dementia, and has no ability to be President. And…they covered for him. Now all of a sudden Trump is too old? No offense, but Kamana wannalaya is 60. She’s no spring chicken
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Last night’s Townhall did evolve into a 30 minute concert taken from Trump’s playlist, after two people in the audience fainted. It did seem like an unusual Plan B for him to implement at the last minute. However, the crowd mostly hung in there, as did Trump, and comments written by people attending the event were very positive. Basically, Trump makes moves few could get away with, because his out-of-the-ordinary behavior is experienced as a “norm” by most supporters.
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As for Trump’s health, anyone following him around on his rallies or world travels say he wears people out – aides, friends etc. who are much younger than he is. It’s simply pathetic to bring up his energy, mental acuity or health as a problem.
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Tucker Carlson
@TuckerCarlson
Mark Halperin has better political sources than anyone in media. He now believes Donald Trump is likely to win. If that happens, Halperin predicts the psychological collapse of the Democratic Party — “greatest mental health crisis in the history of the country.”
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Jan has pointed out that my post here was incorrect. Jimmy Carter did want to vote for Harris, and was taken today to accomplish that. I don’t think he was a great President, but he had principles, and still has, and he stood by them. I stand corrected.
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Don’t really care about Tucker Carlson.
However, I do believe that America is more healthy and properous with a two ‘party’ country. That said, when was the last time the Democrat Party did a ‘soul-seaching’ analysis of their party. Instead, they go forward and bring out Obama that shames and belittles black men, which was disgusting, disparaging and denigrating at the least. Obama is a has been.
I’m really looking forward to the Baier interview with Harris tomorrow. This might be the end of her campaign.
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Vic all the freakiness is coming out. They are losin and desperate.
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Brett Baier is not a conservative. Expect softball questions
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it was well known earlier that Carter wanted to hang on to vote for Harris. You can still be frail, even skeletal, and still have the capacity to execute one last wish in life.
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then i stand corrected adn will remove the post. Thank you for telling me that’
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Can’t confirm or deny any of the following but this is what I gather from other websites concerning today’s absolutely record breaking first day of early voting in Georgia….
2020
White voters 48% (+8%)
Black 40%
Now
White 57.52% (189,015) (+27%)
Black 30.01% (98,805)
Note….Georgia has the largest ratio black population in the 50 states….about 30%
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Listening to Harris’s interview with the Breakfast Club. The wife is getting angry listening to Harris. Harris wants the listeners (who I guess shew black) to know that she wants to give away a lot of money.
Also, Harris was raised in a middle class family and had a second mother.
I had never heard that before. I guess she’s never mentioned that.
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Also, when Charlamagne asked her about the border, she dodged.
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Q: “So, what went wrong?”
A: “The border has been broken for a long time. Congress needs to act.”
So, I guess all the executive orders by the Biden administration were done at the behest of Congress.
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John Goggin,
Fantastic GA data and it is consistent with the data we have from Virginia with the turnout by Congressional district. R’s are coming out in droves relative to D’s. Maybe the D’s catch up later, but this is what we saw in 2014 when R’s turned out well in early voting in Colorado and Nevada. The R’s took the Nevada state house flipping six seats, and Corey Gardener won the Colorado senate seat defeating the incumbent.
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In 2014, R’s flipped 13 House seats to get to 247, and 9 Senate seats to get to 54. I know it was a mid-term, but if Dems are not turning out this year due to a poor Presidential candidate, it could be a repeat in the House and Senate.
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2 new national poles
Marist- quemala +5. (Drat +7)
Marquette- Trump up by 0.4%.
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Lots of articles out today- Obama and Piglosi are not talking. They are blaming each other for quemala.
Separately, Top Pa Ds are concerned with quemalas campaign operations in the state.
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with three weeks to go pollsters have to decide if they want to try to get it right and have a reputation going forward (Marquette) or just stick with the D+7 weighting and continue with the propaganda (Marist) and expect to keep their A rating because the graders are just as corrupt
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Rasmussen plus 3 for trump
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Trump is +10 with Independents in that Marist poll. If Trump is winning Independents by 10, he’s not really down 5 as the top line says.
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Polymarket trump up by 19.8. Harris tanking all betting markets.
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Don’t worry quemala will do well with the faux news dunce. Not enough to reset her campaign, however.
Don’t set low expectations and come back and say “the race has reset.”
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so Trump gives a woman $100 to help her with an enormous grocery bill Biden-Harris is responsible for, and the leftists had a fit saying he was trying to buy her vote.
But Harris comes out for slavery reparations, proposing to raid what’s left of our treasury and give it all to black voters, but that’s not buying votes according to the left.
You cannot make this stuff up.
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“Trump is +10 with Independents in that Marist poll. If Trump is winning Independents by 10, he’s not really down 5 as the top line says.”
The other tell with the Marist poll was the Biden job approval at only 47/52. Marquette had it at 40/60.
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Despite additional early voting sites being opened in northern Virginia, the Dem strongholds, the early voting still has stayed strong for the four GOP leaning districts, against the five DEM leaning districts, the update today showed a gain for the the GOP 4 from 15883 to 17777 ballots returned.
Of course there is no party ID in VA, and there is no idea how people voted or how districts 2 and 7, the competitive districts have voted.
I will say as to anecdotal evidence from VA_2, the signage for Trump in Virginia Beach is unlike anything I have seen in either 2016 or 2020.
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New Thread
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