According to new Redfield & Wilton polling, 10/8-10/9:
 | GEORGIA |
| Trump | 48 |
| Harris | 47 |
 | PENNSYLVANIA |
| Trump | 48 |
| Harris | 46 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
According to new Redfield & Wilton polling, 10/8-10/9:
| GEORGIA |
| Trump | 48 |
| Harris | 47 |
| PENNSYLVANIA |
| Trump | 48 |
| Harris | 46 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
44 responses to “Trump with edge in GA and PA”
First. Deal with it, Scooter.
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Need more of this!
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For those who read the article posted earlier about Kamala reading a teleprompter at the Univision town hall, that was the host’s teleprompter. Harris was merely pandering to an audience of illegals and those who refuse to assimilate into this country, so that’s the real “scandal,” as it were.
And my mother is a native Spanish speaking legal immigrant; I didn’t learn English until I was five. GFY if you have a problem with my assimilation comment.
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Final PA poll from R & W in 2020 was Trump 42, Biden 49
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Gotta hand it to him….Trumps not messing around.
FROM A SENIOR TRUMP CAMPAIGN OFFICIAL
Today, in Aurora, Colorado, President Trump will be announcing “OPERATION AURORA” at the federal level to remove illegal migrant members of the very dangerous transnational Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua, or “TDA.”
This gang member removal program will invoke the Alien Enemies Act of 1798 to target and dismantle every illegal migrant criminal network operating on American soil.
Last month men armed with rifles and handguns were caught on camera as they forced their way into an apartment in Aurora, CO, and threatened the tenant at gunpoint. 10 minutes later, they opened fire on a 25-year-old man outside the building, fatally shooting him. Of the three identified barbaric thugs, ALL THREE are illegal aliens who were in Border Patrol custody but RELEASED into the U.S. by Kamala Harris.
In Houston last June, 12-year-old Jocelyn Nungaray was kidnapped, tied up, and assaulted for two hours under a bridge before she was murdered by two Venezuelan TDA gang members who Kamala Harris had ordered released into the United States.
And just this week, police arrested over a dozen members of TDA who had taken over yet another apartment complex in San Antonio and terrorized its residents.
According to newly published data from ICE, there are now 13,099 illegal alien CONVICTED MURDERERS at large in the United States under Border Czar Kamala Harris.
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So tell demonstrate how little we hear about this in the media, I live in San Antonio and NEVER HEARD OF THIS “And just this week, police arrested over a dozen members of TDA who had taken over yet another apartment complex in San Antonio and terrorized its residents.”
It literally didn’t make the news here. Not a word, though the city council and Mayor here are beyond pro-illegal immigrant and are striving to make this a major sanctuary city.
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I’ll be honest. I don’t know why the Trump team would do this. This seems like a risk to me. Faulkner is the moderator.”
He could say something really stupid so its not a great idea.
But Faulkner won’ t be out to screw him over literally or figuratively.
He has to emphasize that women have a big stake in the economy, grocery prices, mortgages, job opportunities, etc.
He has to be prepared on the abortion, IVF, transgender and childcare traps.
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Barack Obama is demanding ‘the brothas’ support Kamala because she ‘grew up like you’ and ‘went to college with you’”
I guess all blacks grew up middle class and went to college?
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NEW: Trump has begun traveling with additional decoy planes and dividing his motorcade at times and putting Trump in nondescript planes that do not have his name on the side instead of his longtime 757 jet due to security concerns
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Betting Odds Data Betting Odds
Trump
Average 53.9./44.7
Betfair 52/43
Betsson 56/46
Bovada 54/47
Bwin 55/46
Points Bet 55/44
Polymarket 53/42
Smarkets 52/45
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Is there any update from Nit Silverfish? Any polling adjustments?
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“I guess all blacks grew up middle class and went to college”? Good one. Especially speaking at the University of Pittsburg where the black enrollment is way, way down compare to other univerities…anywhere from 5.25% to 8.3% and about the same percentage for Hispanic or Latino?
Obama-you picked the wrong message for the wrong college.
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Trump is curtailing any golfing outings, until the election is over, because of security issues.
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”NEW: Trump has begun traveling with additional decoy planes and dividing his motorcade at times and putting Trump in nondescript planes that do not have his name on the side instead of his longtime 757 jet due to security concerns”
Wow, never heard about these latest maneuvers to sidestep further attacks on him!
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CNN
42% of Rs would be angry if Kamala won
52% of D’s would be angry if Trump won.
I think its way higher for both groups.
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MSNBC: How dare Trump put at risk the lives of the pilots and crews of the decoy planes!
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Keys, Pa townhall Monday.
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Whoops. Oaks Pa town hall Monday.
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The Quechua Townhall will be bettere.
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/10/11/nolte-bungling-kamala-harris-entered-media-doom-spiral/
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Yes, Silverhack has an update in which he says absolutely nothing.
Last update: 3 p.m., Friday, October 11. On sketchy plane Wi-Fi so I’ll just be expedient about the themes of the week. 1) Best week of swing state polling for Trump since the debate; 2) Nonetheless also probably some tendency for the media to exaggerate what are relatively minor shifts; 3) Also a weird week insofar as Trump has gained ground in what were some of his worst states before but the same is also true for Harris… map is as scrambled (and close) as ever.”
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jason’s analysis of Silverhack’s analysis
So it was a good week for Trump swing states IMPORTANT
Relatively small shift in a very close election IMPORTANT
Kamala and Trump improved in states they won’t win IRRELEVANT
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Fox News made the announcement Friday, noting that it will be a one-hour town hall in Cumming, Georgia.
Hey look, it could have been Intercourse PA
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Shocking absoutely nobody, Schiff leads Garvey by 17 (53-36) in CA. That lead is all LA County and the Bay area as Garvey runs even or leads elsewhere in the state. My thought is that since the competitive House races are in the Central Valley, OC, and the more conersative northern portion of San Diego County, we should be ok in most if not all of those races. Leading solidly in the IE is also a bonus, as those Hispanic heavy seats are the ones most primed to shift right, even if we don’t win any of them this time around.
Release #2024-18: California Voter Preferences for U.S. Senate (escholarship.org)
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Jason, there should be simultaneous townhalls in both, don’t you think?
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How many poles did Nit Silverfish reweight?
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GF. The Dems are counting on flipping the California and New York seats and believe it will give them the house.
I think they are wrong.
I have been wrong before
all can be, and are, true
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DW – this isn’t true is it? Sometimes I can be gullible
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Wine and pot.
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Some of the Vogue cover memes are funny
https://twitchy.com/samj/2024/10/11/kamala-vogue-cover-memes-n2402055
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Vic, no, I made up the MSNBC headline, but its believable.
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marxism and the loss of all your freedoms is now just “stuff”:
KAMALA: When we think about what’s at stake in this election – WHOA! It’s packed with some stuff. Ha ha ha ha ha! It’s packed with some fundamental stuff! Ha ha ha ha! I say that rather articulately! Ha ha ha!
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Emhoff was asked about the hitting the girlfriend story by Morning Joe.
He answered “that is a distraction”.
Makes me think he doesn’t want to piss anybody off with a denial, or why wouldn’t he say not true.
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I’m presently sitting in a deer stand. I hope I see a deer, cause I know I darn well ain’t gonna hear one.
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I sure hope he knows what he’s talking about.
Rich Baris @Peoples_Pundit says the numbers do not support a Cackles pop vote win. Cackles is running 10 points behind CLINTON in places like NYC, MD, LA, NJ. Simply no where else for her to make up the numbers.
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and the last two polls of California had Harris up only 22…and these were CA university pollsters
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Good luck to the deer.
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so there just is not enough people in MA, VT, HI, and Washington state to make up the difference in national popular vote.
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From reading the comments here I’m starting to get the feeling that not only will Trump win the EC but also will win the PV. I’m not in the PV camp just yet but it is getting close if the trend continues…..
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I still doubt that he can make up multiple millions of votes in CA, NY, IL, WA HA MA NH (which is heading to being Mass soon).
and…i could care less. As long as he wins the Presidency, we hold the House and gain the Senate, it stalls the advance of the Marxist far left young indoctrinated Millennial and Gen Z voters.
Interestingly enough, I think Gen Alpha kids are pushing back on all the toxic pronoun, tranny, be a beta cuck, crap they are being taught.
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https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1844878109805297787?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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NT
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