Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
140 responses to “Friday is over. Saturday!”
If Jason mentions me in a comment, I am not supposed to respond or he will make his stupid Bitterfish post. Got it.
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I wish I had polls to post, but I don’t. The last many weeks polling has been 7 days a week because we are so close to the election. But yesterday was almost nothing for polls, and today its totally nothing. Not sure why.
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President Trump, American hero and the best President since Reagan, returns to Butler today to show the world that Americans, and those of us that love this country, will not hide from this fight for our country.
If you cannot support him, fine. But offer prayers for his protection and those at the rally. After all, he is fighting for all of us, even you.
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jasonyupanqui47
October 5, 2024 at 12:19 pm
I kind of feel sorry for Dick Cheney, a man I actually admired while he was in office.
Half the country despises him for selling out every conservative he ever had to support Kamala Harris.
The other half despises him for what he used to stand for and are using him as a pathetic prop to be discarded like garbage after the election.
If Trump wins he will be ignored for the rest of his life as a pathetic prop.
If Kamala wins he will be ignored for the rest of his life as a pathetic prop.”
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Ma, the Bitterfish is a feisty fish .
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I wish I had polls to post, but I don’t.”
There is no free lunch here.
Get to work and stop whining.
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CNN is upset the Butler rally crowd is “much bigger” than in July.
CNN is upset Elon Musk will be at the rally.
But on the other hand, Kamala will be in NC today “to counter the Trump campaign lies on social media about the government response”.
Maybe Bitter can give us a rundown on her comments.
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Politico scumbags are very excited.
Hurricane Helene hit especially hard in heavily Republican areas of Georgia and North Carolina — a fact that could work to Donald Trump’s disadvantage in the two swing states.
The challenge for Trump: The parts of western North Carolina and eastern Georgia that were flooded by the monster storm are largely Republican. In 2020, he won 61 percent of the vote in the North Carolina counties that were declared a disaster after Helene. He won 54 percent of the vote in Georgia’s disaster counties.”
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Since Jason is eager for a poll to be posted, I thought I’d oblige.
Who is the biggest A-hole on HHR?
Scooterboy: 20 votes
Jason: 1 vote (his own)
Bitter: 1 vote (his own)
Couldn’t remember who the rest of the A-holes were, but there were no write in Candidates, so I’m assuming they got no votes.
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That being said, since the NC governor is a Dem, the Rs better make sure those people can vote, they won’t get help from Cooper.
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Can you define “biggest A-hole” please.
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Some other A-holes are GF, Phil, wvally, MD, Mr. Vito, Brandon…. There is a pending application for Chicon. We could always extent a posthumous honorary A-hole status to wes, he had definite A-hole traits, but he was never interested so we won’t sully his memory.
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MizDonna
@donwill94062871
How do you think the $750 from FEMA for help for hurricane victims (that has 10 days of delay according to reports) vs free hotels and gift cards for illegals plays with the country? Something tells me there will be widespread disgust.
·
346 Views
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Scooter voted for himself 20 times?
What an A-hole!
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MizDonna?
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She is active in ga politics.
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Is there anything negative about Trump nobody knows about yet?
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“planning to more aggressively attack former President Donald Trump”
More aggressive than having your surrogates call him Hitler so many times that it resulted in two assassination attempts? More aggressive than having your surrogates use lawfare to try to throw him in jail after trying to bankrupt him?
Are the going to use a suitcase nuke to make sure they get him?
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Finally…POLLS! The bad news is Harris LEADS in all these states, but the good news is, look at the states:
VIRGINIA:
🟦 Harris: 48
🟥 Trump: 46
🟨 West: 1
🟩 Stein: 1
🟪 Oliver: 1
MINNESOTA:
🟦 Harris: 47
🟥 Trump: 46
🟨 West: 0
🟩 Stein: 1
🟪 Oliver: 1
NEW HAMPSHIRE:
🟦 Harris: 48
🟥 Trump: 44
🟨 West: 0
🟩 Stein: 1
🟪 Oliver: 0
NEW MEXICO:
🟦 Harris: 49
🟥 Trump: 46
🟩 Stein: 0
🟪 Oliver: 0
NEW JERSEY:
🟦 Harris: 49
🟥 Trump: 41
🟨 West: 0
🟩 Stein: 1
🟪 Oliver: 1
NEW YORK:
🟦 Harris: 50
🟥 Trump: 40
OREGON:
🟦 Harris: 48
🟥 Trump: 43
🟨 West: 1
🟩 Stein: 2
🟪 Oliver: 1
Paladin Polling, 10/1-10/4, 1,000 likely voters per state.
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I think we should make Wes an A-hole. If there is life after death he will be pissed. If not, it won’t matter.
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”There is no free lunch here.”
No, but apparently there is a bevy of free passes.
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Went to a street festival in Ambler, Montgomery County, PA. Saw a large Trump tent. Next to it was a smaller Democrat. There were people walking around with signs. Both campaigns are marketing to demographics where they are weakest. The Harris signs were carried by middle-aged men. The Trump signs were carried by women with babies in strollers.
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In Butler today there ARE snipers on the sloped roofs. Wait! I thought that the disgraced secret service director said it wasn’t safe to put snipers on these roofs?
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No pony tail brigade today.
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There are reports that 100,000 are in attendance.
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And here is the other half of today’s polling:
TEXAS:
🟥 Trump: 52
🟦 Harris: 43
🟩 Stein: 1
🟪 Oliver: 1
FLORIDA:
🟥 Trump: 51
🟦 Harris: 43
🟩 Stein: 0
🟪 Oliver: 1
IOWA:
🟥 Trump: 53
🟦 Harris: 42
🟪 Oliver: 1
OHIO:
🟥 Trump: 54
🟦 Harris: 42
🟪 Oliver: 1
NORTH CAROLINA:
🟥 Trump: 49
🟦 Harris: 44
🟩 Stein: 0
🟪 Oliver: 1
GEORGIA:
🟥 Trump: 49
🟦 Harris: 42
🟩 Stein: 0
🟪 Oliver: 1
ARIZONA:
🟥 Trump: 50
🟦 Harris: 44
🟩 Stein: 1
🟪 Oliver: 1
NEVADA:
🟥 Trump: 48
🟦 Harris: 45
🟪 Oliver: 2
WISCONSIN:
🟥 Trump: 49
🟦 Harris: 46
🟨 West: 0
🟩 Stein: 1
🟪 Oliver: 0
PENNSYLVANIA:
🟥 Trump: 50
🟦 Harris: 47
🟩 Stein: 0
🟪 Oliver: 1
MICHIGAN:
🟥 Trump: 49
🟦 Harris: 47
🟨 West: 0
🟩 Stein: 1
🟪 Oliver: 1
Paladin Polling, 10/1-10/4, 1,000 likely voters per state.
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Women with strollers with babies are probably not such a bad demographic for Trump, who leads with married women (won them in 2016 and 2020).
His problem is unmarried women which he lost 62-37 in 2020.
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I hear Polaris is already running with the Paladin Polls.
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FOUR times since August 1st, MICHIGAN has been polled by one of the three traditional Michigan-Only pollsters. These are the pollsters designed to specialize in ONE state, like Selzer in Iowa, or the Sooner Poll in Oklahoma. Michigan has three like this:
EPIC/MRA
Mitchell Research
Glengariff Group
Just for context, Biden won the state in 2020 by a gap of 2.78. The final poll of each of these pollsters in 2020 was:
Mitchell Research: Trump 45 / Biden 52 –Off 4.22 in favor of Biden.
EPIC-MRA: Trump 41 / Biden 48 –Off 4.22 in favor of Biden.
Glengariff: Trump 42 / Biden 49 –Off 4.22 in favor of Biden
ALL THREE of the Michigan specialist pollsters favored Biden by 4.22 against the file result.
In the four times these three pollsters have polled Michigan since August 1, they found 1 tie, and three polls with a 1 point lead for Trump.
Let that sink in.
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“unmarried women” — this group is absolutely DESPERATE to make the federal government their god, father, and husband, in that order. They desperately want to be told when to get up, when to eat, and when to go to bed.
They desperately want their god, father, and husband to control every aspect of society, end free speech, and stand ready to rip as many babies from their wombs as desired, no matter how late the pregnancies.
They want to live like barnyard animals, being completely cared for, but with no moral responsibility for their behavior.
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I should post the Paladin numbers over at the Atlas like Michael did in 2012 or 2016 (can’t recall which election it was). I wonder if any of those hosers remember being snookered by them; I remember how p*ssed they were when the jig was up.😂
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The jig was up? What jig?
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Meanwhile, Harris is still requiring campaign employees to get COVID shots.
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“If you build a church without Jesus, you get a warehouse. If you don’t have a vision, if you don’t have a something to inspire people, all the machinery in the world won’t deliver people who aren’t there to the polls.” –Alex Castellanos
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DW…nailed it
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DW please tell me this is a joke.
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btw on college football Saturday, the teams voted to finish 6, 7 and 8 all beat the teams predicted to finish in the top 3. ROAR LIONS ROAR…take down Princeton after slaying #15Lafayette
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NE-1 still bugs me. They really should have gone harder after that, or pushed the legislature to rescind the stupidity of splitting their EV.
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BTW Bitter, not to fret. Lafayette is rolling to victory over Fordham
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Butler rally:
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“RNC Chairman Michael Whatley said that their internals have Trump leading in AZ outside the MOE.”
And if you check the Hedgehog Report polling aggregator, we have had AZ outside the MoE for days now…we are AHEAD of the curve!
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Vic, I saw a link to it, that yes, if you are a paid employee in the Harris campaign, you have to receive the jab. But it doesn’t bother them…see my comment above about god, father, and husband…
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DW, it only reinforces your comment, which is one of the most truly accurate statements about the women that support the left. They really look at the govt as their daddy, their “leadership” figure. It is their religion, their alpha, their security.
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Jan thinks it is 10,000,000 because every Trump supporter is 100x better regular people.
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I worked hard in the off-season and all season to improve my batting average and help the Phillies.
– Nick Castellanos
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Nebraska gop e did not want to disrupt the apple cart
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That didn’t take long. and the Douche sat there at home plate and watched it. keep it classless Philly
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one more thing about the unmarried women….remember when Harris replaced Biden, there were many Republicans saying how Democrats would be outraged that they had an appointed nominee, without a single primary vote. But that was Republicans casting themselves into that situation. unmarried women DON’T CARE and would just as soon be told who their champion is, rather than picking one.
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So very true DW. And…having it be a woman whose is absolutely the alpha over her cuck abuser husband, gives them the optics they want.
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Where was this pitcher when he was with the Mets….though I remember when they got him, he was good and they thought he would be the next best thing, but got hurt some, and couldn’t find the strike zone a lot.
what is it about hindsight…
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oh good ad on the game. Kamala is for they/them, Trump is for you
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I think you could make up a pro bowl team of Philadelphia Eagles who leave the team.
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at least the Eagles and Phillies have both won something in the last 35 years LOL. Jets and Mets drought is a combined 91 years. Yeah, I said it.
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I have to say team trump has been very effective with their ads.
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That was a PAC, but a very good ad about jailed illegal immigrants getting transgender surgeries. But the tag line they/them vs you was classic.
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Ccp electric cars produced in Mexico = goodbye Michigan.
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200% tariffs on the Ccp crappola would be timely.
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I used to hear a lot of trash talk from Jets fans because of the 1969 team’s Super Bowl. The fact they sucked for most seasons after that meant nothing until the Eagles won a Super Bowl and quieted them.
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cant believe its only a month until election day. Compared to other elections this one seems to have been a marathon, maybe because we knew who would be running since the day after the last election (though the coup d’etat changed it a bit). We do know the GOP will have another nominee top of the ticket next time…and If (hopefully) Komrade Kamala loses, then both would have different people at the top of the ticket.
’28 is going to be more competitive than I thought for the GOP. Win or lose Vance isn’t going anywhere, so the two of them will fight it out against a slew of others.
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Can I have an Hhr ruling?
Jds crowds are bigger than quemala and Sam Doltz’ crowds combined?
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Bitter, its hard to believe, but 12 NFL teams have NEVER won a super bowl. Crazy
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They are the enemy within.
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Tina, I haven’t seen any of his crowds,
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Abolishing the departments of education and energy and cutting 2/3rds of the fib would be a nice start. Relocate both unjustice and fib.
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Supposedly he is getting very large crowds, especially post debate.
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I am not sure which agency or department (like a local one),but drones are in the air over the butler rally.
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Drones did not fly during the last rally and the secret service now has agents tat can walk on sloped roofs.
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2/3 of terrorists and criminals agree with Tina.
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Maybe with the rebirth of secret service agents that can handle sloped roofs, we can soon find out the whereabouts of Quemala on j6 and find out how the pipe bombs were missed apparently (yeah right) by the secret service wen she was at the dnc hq.
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Typical Philadelphia bad luck – Eagles won NFL Championships in 1948, 1949 and 1960. They don’t matter because they are pre-Super Bowl.
Dynasties account for a lot of titles – Patriots, 49ers, Steelers, and Dallas. Giants have 4. Broncos have…3? 4?
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Broncos have 3 right. Green Bay also has 3
BTW – check to be delivered to the home plate umpire following the game.
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How about this
Last 100 games the Mets – Phillies have played….Mets 50, Phillies 50
Last 1,000 games back to 1966….Mets 500, Phillies 500
That’s really hard to believe
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It’s just strange that they usually are not good at the same time.
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I don’t know what the batters are supposed to do on either team with the mysterious strike zone.
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Another call…you would think that MLb would actually send the best umpires to the playoffs, not DEI them
Also, the first time they have ever met in the playoffs. Another oddity
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I’m finding the Butler interviews of random crowd members the most interesting. Lots of first time rally people and teens who seem politically savvy. Being a small farming community you get the sense these are strong-minded, hard working, religious members of society representative of the American spirit we seem to be losing under liberal authoritarianism. Anyway, it’s refreshing to hear what really matters to them, as well as their general perspective of domestic and world problems.
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Problem is all of those voters are already voting for Trump.
Rally wont be covered on MSM, or will be said to be a small crowd
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So you like listening to people who agree with you. That’s deep.
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Trump will be doing 30 days of events.
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My very close friend who is a reliable Republican and I met for coffee this morning to catch up on life. He shared with me how excited he was that his vote for the first time in his marriage won’t be cancelled out by hers. She doesn’t like Harris at all and will vote for Trump.
That’s a least one suburban Mom in Trumps column.
Based on the polls and how unpopular Harris is I think Trump will win bigly. There are just so many things that favor Trump in a change election.
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Wheeler pitched a good game!!!!
Phillies suck!!!!!
Mets are pond scum !!!
All three can be true.
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I just can’t believe the election is this close. Other than the standard far left liberals, I don’t see anyone excited to vote for her. She’s hidden the entire time she’s been the “nominee”…refuses to do any real interviews. No one has asked her a tough question, especially why should people believe her when she’s been in power for three and half years (according to Biden).
How is she within five percent against a successful President. Oh right…it’s Trump
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Scooter, two out of three ain’t bad.
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so besides a bad belt high fastball to the first batter in first inning there have been a COMBINED two hits in the game, that’s now in the 7nth
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Newsmax, CNN, MSNBC, and Fox are covering the Trump rally.
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Huh, they are covering it?
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Tina,
Yep, checked all 4.
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Fight, fight, fight,
Marv
6:11
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”So you like listening to people who agree with you. That’s deep.”
That’s why your cynical, catty comments I ignore more and more.
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How about that
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and how about that
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Vic proves again why Mets fans are classless d-bags. I said nothing negative about the Mets all game.
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I will say something negative about the Mets…profoundly stupid for not keeping Wheeler.
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Hi Jan…sad to hear about your husband. 🙏 the treatments brings healing.
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😂😂😂😂😂 that’s hilarious and TRUE!
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Elon Musk is speaking tonight at the Trump rally. Pretty awesome.
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Well…I have tickets to game 3 & 4 of the Tigers ALDS series. Skubal pitching a must win game Monday. They better sign him longterm this offseason. Hope Boros isn’t his agent.
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You ignore by responding to them? You are nothing but a Trump cheerleader. No original thoughts or insight.
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Series over.
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Not necessarily Bitter. And even if it is, Alonso will probably be playing for the Phillies next year and hit 54 homers.
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Series is far from over. Only thing this does is guarantee two games in New York.
BTW, I don’t recall saying anything negative about the Phillies, in fact, I lauded their pitcher.
DW – dont you dare say that sacrilege.
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Mets do not do well against left handers. Plus, the Phillies still have the 9nth. This is the Mets. They blew SIX, yes SIX 5 run leads and lost this year. It isn’t over until both teams are actually in the clubhouse for good.
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Fortunately no place for Alonso on the Phillies. They have enough DH’ers and 1B. Im afraid of the Cubs signing him…or Texas. They seem to always take our good players.
Can also see the Red Sox making a play. My Lord, can you imagine Alonso in Chicago or Boston.
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The Mets can have Javy Baez back Tigers just need a soda machine in return.
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OMG one of the worst trades in baseball history. Gave away the best defensive center fielder in the game in Crow-Armstrong for the total PS. I think he’s struck out while we are talking…or made an error.
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JeffP – appreciate your kind thoughts.
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see its not over until its over
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I thought the Phillies could sweep the Brewers. The Mets will probably sweep the Phillies because they have been on fire since the London series.
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Supposedly he is getting very large crowds, especially post debate.”
It’s probably the opinion of Gateway Pundit where Tina and Janzam get their “information”.
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Donald Trump’s Butler Pennsylvania X stream has crossed over 10,000,000 Million Views!
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After stating categorically for months that “Trump was finished” JeffP now thinks he will win “bigly”.
Maybe there is a cure for TDS.
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The prevailing sentiment was we’re all in on PA, And if we win PA, we’re automatically winning MI and WI — but there’s nothing automatic about winning MI,” said state Sen. Darrin Camilleri. “All of us hoped on the D side that having a new, younger, forward-looking nominee would fundamentally change this race and she’d be leading by 5%, but that is just not the case. There’s a lot of anxiety about the strength of Trump’s brand here, and MI Democrats are coming back to reality about it.”
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Wow !!!! Vandy puts up 40 points on Alabama defense and beats # 1 Alabama 40-35.
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Now deport the illlegals. Go the phuq home.
JUST IN: Ohio judges rule against arrest warrants for Donald Trump and JD Vance after a criminal complaint was filed over spreading “false claims” about Haitian migrants eating pets.
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Not sure if this is a new poll or not.
General election poll
🔵 Harris 50% (+1)
🔴 Trump 49%
Emerson #B – 1000 LV – 10/4
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I think this is a new poll too.
2024 GE: @ActiVoteUS (with leans)
🟦 Harris: 50.7% 🟥 Trump: 49.3%
Trends
Sept. 17 – Harris +5.4
Sept. 24 – Harris +2.8
October 2 – Harris +1.4
—
1,000 LV | 9/25-1/2 | MoE: ±3.1%
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All of these polls are starting to show movement towards Trump.
General election poll
🔴 Trump 49%
🔵 Harris 49%
Last poll – 🔵 Harris +2
RMG #C – (@NapolitanNews ) – 2965 LV – 10/3
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Probably not a wise time to make this announcement when you just told people in North Carolina and Georgia that they are only getting $750.
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People begging for polls all day. I start posting polls, and everyone leaves. Bunch of Bastards !!!!
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scooter, what announcement?
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Kamala will be thrilled she is “interlocked” with Biden
“Can you talk about how your vice president, who is running for the presidency, has worked on these crises and what role she has played over the past several days?”
Biden:
“Well, she’s — I’m in constant contact with her,” he replied. “She’s aware… we’re all… we’re singing from the same song sheet. We — she helped pass all the laws that are being deployed now. She was a major player in everything we’ve done, including passage of legislation we were told we could never pass. And she’s been, and… her staff is interlocked with mine in terms of all the things we’re doing.”
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Scooter, if I am ever gone physically I am here spiritually.
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Is trump beginning his close? Remember, he did this in 2016 and 2020. Covid hit him at the end if September/early October jn 2020,,so he fell a bit, and then closed.
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oh, this must be it. What an idiot.
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This is sheer incompetence on her behalf.
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Yep that was it. I forgot to post the link. Oh well, I thought I was alone here. I was tired of talking to myself. I didn’t know Jason was here in spirit.
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NEW HAMPSHIRE GE: @SaintAnselmPoll
President
🟦 Harris: 51%
🟥 Trump: 44%
🟪 Other: 3%
—
Governor
🟥 Ayotte: 47%
🟦 Craig: 44%
——
NH-01
🟦 Pappas (inc): 50%
🟥 Prescott: 41%
—
NH-02
🟦 Goodlander: 50%
🟥 Williams: 38%
—— 54 (2.4/3.0) | October 1-2 | LVs
anselm.edu/about/offices-…
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Great, San Diego already has men at the corners and no outs in the first inning.🙄
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And now a run. 🤬
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Real America’s Voice (RAV)
@RealAmVoice
·
2h
Rassmussen Polls favors President
@RealDonaldTrump
heavily with Hispanic voters—62% for Trump and 34% for Kamala.
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the New Hampshire poll is old.
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Make that 3 runs…in the first inning! This is probably going to turn into a repeat of the Cleveland game.
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Has anyone checked on Bitter since the Phillies game ended? He was ready to throw in the towel.
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Bitter will be fine. He has the Mets’ bullpen on his side.
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Bitter is used to being disappointed. He will be ok.
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NT
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”Is trump beginning his close? ”
The Return to Butler event I think is a pivot point for the Trump’s campaign. It was less a rally than a consolidation of people coming together around a man they wanted to win the election. It was reflective, had good will, was spectacularly organized with patriotic visuals and higher security measures everywhere. Elon Musk, sitting with Vance, got up and gave a seriously articulate and rousing speech. He definitely has super credibility for all he has done post Helene, especially in comparison to FEMA and Harris.
Genuine empathy was expressed throughout the speeches for the people hurt and one killed at the 7/13 rally, creating an amicable closeness most political events can never achieve. At the end, it was dusk, people were still energized, lingering around because of an opera singer on stage. I got the feeling that the success of today’s event would infuse the Trump campaign right up to Election Day.
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