According to Trafalgar Group
PENNSYLVANIA GE: Trafalgar Group
🟥 Trump: 47.5% (+2.2)
🟦 Harris: 45.3%
🟪 Other: 2.6%
—
Senate
🟦 Casey (inc): 47.4% (+1.8)
🟥 McCormick: 45.6%
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
34 responses to “Trump up 2 in Pennsylvania”
First.
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Second anyone? Bueller? Bueller?
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This is huge. I want to the see be betting markets try to ignore this tomorrow with this. And Nate Sillver is probably out of explanations regarding this. Translation….this blows Nate completely out of the water with this poll.
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Fourth.
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Fifth.
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And you wonder why conservatives, R’s and the like lose elections. Still asleep?
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Cream rises to the top. First.
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So let me get this.
Both Lichtmann and Silverhack are predicting a Kamala win, but Silverhack says the LIchtmann’s “keys” point to a Trump win?
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I just say a Casey ad.
Accuses McCormick of “outsourcing”.
Zzzzzz….
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Sixth
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I think Nate knows Trump is up in Pennsylvania.
Nate Silver: “I’m from the Midwest, so I thought the football coach/suburban dad shtick was kind of funny at first, and then wears a bit thin. So I would have picked Shapiro, taken the point in Pennsylvania.”
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Silver will come back to Trump over the next month. he won’t risk his reputation shilling for Komrade Kamala come mid-October
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I also don’t think there will be an October surprise. Everyone knows everything about Trump, and no one knows, or cares to know anything about Komrade
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So season comes down to a doubleheader on the Monday after the season ends between the Mets and the Braves.
If the Mets lose game one they will have absolutely no starting pitcher for game one of the wild card round I believe, as they will have to use both Severino AND Megil tomorrow in both games to qualify.
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Yikes.
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Aka drop dead.
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Jeff Flake endorses Kamala.
No surprise, he endorsed Biden in 2020.
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$8 billion or so for Ukraine and nothing for NC.
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How many weapons does North Carolina need?
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Maybe Biden will bring up Yemen’s collective bargaining agreement to Netanyahu.
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Zzzzzzzz Does Asheville need artillery shells? That is what Ukraine gets.
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seriously. Can we for one damn day stop with the Ukraine stuff. What is the necessity to fight amongst ourselves when the bigger problem is Comrade Kamala. We don’t agree on Ukraine. We get it. Move on.
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Way to go quemala uh brownie. Doing a heck of a job with the disaster relief.
-free passer
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If Trump said 2+2 = 5, I would wear it on a hat.
– Cult Member
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We need diversions today. Find some mean tweets from 2018.
-free passer
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Where are the pics of Vance eating inside the restaurant?
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/primanti-bros-sparks-outrage-among-italian-americans-after/
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I don’t get all the back and forth debate on Ukraine here. It’s an endless war with no end in sight. You have the next decade to fight about it.
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Phil. We have other things to concentrate on, such as the New York Times endorsement of Komrade Kamala today. It’s not that they endorsed her, no one would expect any different, it’s what they said. These people live in a different universe, calling Harris a true Patriot and defender of the Constitution…I’ll post it shortly. Its insane
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rather than parcel out the editorial, here it is:
I can’t believe this is America and this is what they are trying to push down Americans throats
OpinionThe Editorial BoardThe Only Patriotic Choice for President
By The Editorial Board
The editorial board is a group of opinion journalists whose views are informed by expertise, research, debate and certain longstanding values. It is separate from the newsroom.
It is hard to imagine a candidate more unworthy to serve as president of the United States than Donald Trump. He has proved himself morally unfit for an office that asks its occupant to put the good of the nation above self-interest. He has proved himself temperamentally unfit for a role that requires the very qualities — wisdom, honesty, empathy, courage, restraint, humility, discipline — that he most lacks.
Those disqualifying characteristics are compounded by everything else that limits his ability to fulfill the duties of the president: his many criminal charges, his advancing age, his fundamental lack of interest in policy and his increasingly bizarre cast of associates.
This unequivocal, dispiriting truth — Donald Trump is not fit to be president — should be enough for any voter who cares about the health of our country and the stability of our democracy to deny him re-election.
For this reason, regardless of any political disagreements voters might have with her, Kamala Harris is the only patriotic choice for president.
Most presidential elections are, at their core, about two different visions of America that emerge from competing policies and principles. This one is about something more foundational. It is about whether we invite into the highest office in the land a man who has revealed, unmistakably, that he will degrade the values, defy the norms and dismantle the institutions that have made our country strong.
As a dedicated public servant who has demonstrated care, competence and an unwavering commitment to the Constitution, Ms. Harris stands alone in this race. She may not be the perfect candidate for every voter, especially those who are frustrated and angry about our government’s failures to fix what’s broken — from our immigration system to public schools to housing costs to gun violence. Yet we urge Americans to contrast Ms. Harris’s record with her opponent’s.
The editorial board is a group of opinion journalists whose views are informed by expertise, research, debate and certain longstanding values. It is separate from the newsroom.
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Phil – I view supporting Ukraine with military aid as vital to US strategic interests. I find those who don’t see that as unworthy of serious attention on any issue. But that’s me.
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New Thread
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