VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE:
I meant to add this chart yesterday, but time got away from me. Here you can see what the pundits have been crowing about in Virginia. You can also easily see the problem for Republicans in Virginia. There are two swing districts, 2 and 7, but the GOP as a whole has an uphill climb. But as you can see from the early vote so far, the GOP leaning congressional districts total more votes than the DEM leaning districts.
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
113 responses to “Any Saturday Polls?”
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segundo on a quiet Sat morning
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yeah. Trump is ahead only 6 in Ohio. And of course Scott and cru are down in Fl and Texas right?
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It’s a sea of blue, Vic
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Aka 2008 redux.
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well she’s way better than Obama. Right. I mean the whole country was really hoping she’d be the nominee…so much so that she didn’t even need anyone to vote for her to determine it
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Just added my Virginia early vote chart above to this thread.
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In I think 1989, long before I was served in the WV legislature, there was a devastating flood in the highland region of various WV counties 100 miles west of me including Hardy county WV in the Moorefield/Petersburg area . Fifteen inches of rain in just a few hours. The rivers and stream got crazy quickly. I had a number of relatives living in Moorefield and went to help there and bring a car load of shovels, Clorox and other cleaning supplies, clothes, etc. in the recovery efforts immediately after and to shovel and muck river mud out of the basement of one of my relatives homes. It was heartbreaking to see the damage in an area I had visited often.
After I was no longer in the legislature, I did a lot of volunteer work involved in raising relief supplies locally to two other areas of WV that were hit by devastating floods due to massive amount of rain I a short time. I lost track of how many tractor trailer loads of supplies, water, food, etc. etc. that we collected here to go to those two other areas in southern WV. I think it was close to 10 truckloads. We had local food business owners here who took their entire operation to Clendidin, WV (Kanawha County). and provided food (free) to residents and recovery workers for about a month. A friend of mine and her dad gave me a tour of the area afterward and provided details. Homes, banks, business, schools, bridges and roads destroyed. Heart wrenching.
These floods in NC–in areas I have enjoyed visiting over the years–including a trip to Asheville, NC just last year.–are heartbreaking to me. Asheville is now complete inaccessible by land. Even interstate highways washed out or blocked by landslides. Over 50 people had to be recused from the roof of the hospital there.
Please pray for these folks.
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When my parents house flooded due to Harvey hovering over Houston for a week, it was heartbreaking knowing that all these memories of my childhood were gone.
But, the whole area came together. There were people from all over Texas and Louisiana who can to assist. They brought their boats and their hands.
In my parents neighborhood, I saw no one from the government to assist. It was just Americans helping each other.
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Walt hasn’t seen a flood this big since he was a deckhand on Noah’s Ark.
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One report in NC was that they had just short of 30 inches of rain.
In a mountainous region of Western NC.
30 inches….
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Charlie Kirk
@charliekirk11
BREAKING: North Carolina’s state election board has removed 747,000 ineligible voters from its rolls over the past twenty months, representing about 10% of all registrations. Removals were because voters died, failed to vote the last two cycles, moved out of state, committed felonies, or changed addresses without re-registering. This is a HUGE win in a must-win state. Keeping elections fair means aggressively updating the voter rolls to remove invalid voters. Unsurprisingly, it’s always Democrats who want to keep these updates from happening.
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Pick a pathological liar for your “first foray”?
Amazon has signed BRIAN WILLIAMS to anchor election night coverage on Prime Video, per sources familiar. This is Amazon’s first foray into news and Williams’ first return to anchor desk since NBC.
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https://conservativebrief.com/harris-mistake-86034/?utm_source=CB&utm_medium=ProTrumpNews
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
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8m
🚨 BREAKING: President Trump to speak in Milwaukee, Wisconsin this Tuesday at 5PM CT
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I’m surprised Trump is having an event the same night as the VP debate.
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Black Insurrectionist–I FOLLOW BACK TRUE PATRIOTS
@DocNetyoutube
Minneapolis Food Pantry bans White People. For the life of me, I cannot understand white people voting for Harris/Walz, they advocate against white people every second they get. They stoke the fires or racism and then encourage violence when the fire burns red hot. Why do white people vote for this?
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Big week ahead…Monday twin bill between the Mets/Braves….two MNF games.
Tuesday….Trump speaking, the debate, and oh yes-four MLB playoff games
Wednesday….Four more MLB playoff games
Thursday….Four more MLB playoff games & TNF football
Friday…unemployment report will be released among other reports
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Imagine the reaction if a pantry banned black people.
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He could be crowding quemala. After all, trump may have had the best day of the campaign so far yesterday. He got to be like he was president for the day handling foreign policy.
Then ice dumped horrible stats on the illegals invasion that quemala authorized.
Quemala was knee capped.
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In addition to the criminal illegals cites by trump, he needs to keep mentioning the 300,000 “children” that disappeared.
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I find all of those ice stats very troubling, bu the missing children the worst of them all. They were trafficked.
I
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The Party of Democracy!
Fran Lebowitz to Bill Maher: “Biden should dissolve the Supreme Court.”
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Rove is an idiot.
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David D. Chapman
@davidchapman141
Karl Rove on Fox News talking about what he calls the no. 1 issue in the election: Debts & Deficits. The man is a dinosaur.
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1,557 Views
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Some funny cartoons.
The Putinistas will enjoy one that has Zelensky
https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2024/09/the-week-in-pictures-israel-strikes-while-kamala-bombs.php
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Rove should no economy, inflation, and illegals.
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Karl Rove on Fox News talking about what he calls the no. 1 issue in the election: Debts & Deficits.”
Doe he think those favor Kamala?
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avidchapman141
General Election – Michigan Full Field Trump 46% Harris 46% Stein 2% Oliver 1% Undecided 5% NY Times/Siena College | 688 LV | 9/21-9/26
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Politico actually has a good article about Kamala’s problem with a voting block that was at least sympathetic to Biden but is hostile to her. Northeastern PA Catholics.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/09/27/pennsylvania-harris-2024-election-00180099
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News Media: Pay no attention to anything going on in the news. Obamala Harris is running away with this, and the election is over!!
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I agree
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Hmmm… my link didn’t load and now it looks like i agree with DW.
You just can’t let your guard down at HHR
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Years ago, I remember the two people I looked forward to hearing the most about their thoughts on an election, were Rove & Dick Morris.
Now, I can’t stand listening to Rove, and Dick Morris has completely disappeared.
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My string of Frist’s ended with this new thread. It’s a sad day at HHR.
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Wait, Scooter, you didn’t HEAR that a new thread was about?
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Nobody wants a weeping A-hole. Post what you want.
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Morris is still around on fringe sites.
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My string of Frist’s ended with this new thread. It’s a sad day at HHR”
I feel really bad.
But only because A-holes ooze with solidarity.
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“and now it looks like i agree with DW”
Horrors!
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Nic Robertson at CNN calls Nasrallah a “pragmatist”.
I haven’t heard anything so stupid since the Biden Troll said Hillary was “non-ideological”.
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When will Mark Cuban argue that the missing migrant children are better off here (being trafficked)?
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https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ukraines-victory-plan-delusional
”The core of Ukraine’s victory plan relies on long range strikes using NATO guided missiles and acceptance into NATO. Both factors at this stage would cause WWIII.
Ukraine’s chest beating is the national equivalent of “short man’s syndrome.” That said, Zelensky would not be making these kinds of demands if he was not being encouraged by someone behind the scenes. Many officials within the US and Europe have given Zelensky delusions of grandeur about his chances, perhaps because they want the war to grind on forever. These same officials have hinted consistently that they will not accept a Ukrainian loss.
Regardless of what side people think should win, the fact is that Russia is the inevitable victor according to all the evidence on hand. While the extent of Putin’s goals in the region are unknown, it’s unlikely that he intends to march beyond Ukraine. He may simply stop at the edge of the Donbas and annex the region like he did Crimea.”
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While the extent of Putin’s goals in the region are unknown, it’s unlikely that he intends to march beyond Ukraine.
Jesus, Mary, and Joseph. The isolationists and appeasers never learn. Now they want to trust Putin.
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Wow, and now Nate Silver is ignoring the Fox News polls and the Siena polling, and is taking to heart only the “Clarity Campaign Labs” Harris +7, and is talking about the Harris campaign making a serious play for Florida. He is ignoring the growing GOP lead in party registration in Florida, and he is willfully blind to the locations where the campaigns are spending time. If Florida was truly in play, Obamala Harris would not be wasting her time in the rust belt as these states would be already locked in.
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Late 1930’s:
While the extent of Hitler’s goals in the region are unknown, it’s unlikely that he intends to march beyond Belgium.
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Trump announces two Wisconsin events for Tuesday:
He’s going to Waunakee in ultra blue Dane county and then deep blue City of Milwaukee
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it’s unlikely that he intends to march beyond Ukraine“
LOL
Janzam calls her hero leader and icon Putin a liar?
“Putin has made clear, as he stated more than a decade and a half ago, that “the collapse of the Soviet Union was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century” and that he is committed to reestablishing Russia’s greatness and dominant role in world politics. Thus, Russian policy toward its near neighbors under Putin is committed to de facto reestablishing the former Soviet Union – or Greater Russia. Russian wars or virtual wars with Moldova, Georgia, Ukraine – since 2014, but especially now since its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 – have all had at least one objective – extending Moscow’s political and economic control over former Soviet territory. In the following pages we shall track this process, which is the attempted reconstruction of “Greater Russia,” or Russian expansion and has led to the brutal Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Russia’s murderous, and unprovoked invasion and systematic destruction of Ukraine beginning in late February 2022 is part of Russian president Vladimir Putin’s attempt to fulfill his commitment to recreate the former Soviet Union or, to put it differently, to push forward the construction of “Greater Russia.” Putin has made clear, as he stated more than a decade and a half ago, that “the collapse of the Soviet Union was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century”2 and that he is committed to reestablishing Russia’s greatness and dominant role in world politics. He termed the end of the USSR as the demise of “historical Russia” and source of the major economic crisis that followed. “It was a disintegration of historical Russia under the name of the Soviet Union,” Putin said of the 1991 breakup. “We turned into a completely different country. And what had been built up over 1,000 years was largely lost,” he asserted, noting that 25 million Russian people now found themselves in newly independent countries cut off from Russia, part of “a major humanitarian tragedy”
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julie_kelly2
BTW we are about to enter the “but OF COURSE there were FBI informants involved in January 6. It would’ve been irresponsible not to!” phase.
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“The core of Ukraine’s victory plan relies on long range strikes using NATO guided missiles
Has Janzam ever answered my question.
Considering Russia fires long range missiles into Ukraine on a daily basis, is it ok for Ukraine to fire long range missiles into Russia?
A yes or no answer will suffice.
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BTW we are about to enter the “but OF COURSE there were FBI informants involved in January 6. It would’ve been irresponsible not to!” phase.”
The other day Tina asserted here that we “:would soon find out that gubmint assets planted pipe bombs at the DNC and RNC”?
Did we find out yet?
A friend wants to know.
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Signs will “stop this.”
ding Report
@LeadingReport
BREAKING: Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger has placed new signs, in both English and Spanish, at all 2,400 voting precincts across the state, warning non-citizens that they may be prosecuted if they attempt to cast a ballot this fall. The “Secure the Vote” signs say: “Only United States citizens may vote in Georgia If you are not a United States citizen, it is a violation of state and federal law to vote.”
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The free passers will,say but of course there informants at the Capitol on j 6.
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Everybody who walked into the Capitol on J6, smashed and stole things, and attacked law enforcement were just looking for the bathrooms.
-Cult Member
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Remember when the free passers argued that there were no informants at the Capitol?
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AP obituary for Nasrallah
“A fiery orator viewed as an extremist in the United States and much of the West, he was also considered a pragmatist compared to the militants who dominated Hezbollah after its founding in 1982, during Lebanon’s civil war.”
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Remember when the free passers argued that there were no informants at the Capitol?”
No, I don’t.
When did that happen?
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I think that what I said was even if there were FBI Agents with bullhorns saying “come on in”, anybody who trespassed the Capitol, attacked police officers, destroyed and stole public property were morons who deserved to be prosecuted.
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CBS claims no fact checking at the veep debate. However, did they give Doltz the questions?
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Tina, have we “found out that gubmint assets planted bombs at the DNC and RNC” yet?
You said it would be soon, just checking.
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owever, did they give Doltz the questions?”
Yes.
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I listened to the RFK jr speech in MI, and thought the “7 words” excerpt was both funny and masterful in demonstrating how Harris sidesteps policy questions.
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Yeah, he gave a good speech.
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Those gubment stats on the criminal illegals and missing migrant children are likely undercounted.
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“He’s going to Waunakee in ultra blue Dane county and then deep blue City of Milwaukee”
Awesome…Keep in mind that Dane county is more than just the city of Madison, and so he will draw Republicans from all over central Wisconsin, but the City of Milwaukee is a great idea, as the blue electorate there is completely different from Madison. The loony white liberals in Madison cannot be moved, but Trump visiting downtown Milwaukee, he could move the needle there, and he wouldn’t have to move it much to have significant impact on the outcome.
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“Considering Russia fires long range missiles into Ukraine on a daily basis, is it ok for Ukraine to fire long range missiles into Russia?
A yes or no answer will suffice.”
Answer: I was born in the middle class!
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Robert Barnes@barnes_law
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1h
If there are enough suckers that believe in Silver, there will be some very nice betting opportunities this election. Anyone who thinks Harris can win Florida, please bet me. x.com/NateSilver538/…
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Evidently this pastor has quite a following so might be a worthwhile event for Vance
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/3169766/vance-to-discuss-addiction-with-a-pennsylvania-faith-leader/
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Ukraine can’t fire long range missiles into Russia without NATO and U.S. Intel and satellite imaging to direct their targets. If this happens there’s no way we can be considered only participating as Ukraine’s proxy. Instead we will be seen as an adversary directly going to war with Russia. Is that what we want to do at this time, with the ME blowing up having a huge number of our assets deployed there? Then there is the uncertainty of China’s intentions to annex Taiwan. In the meantime, we have been giving away munitions that take time to replace, with a military force having problems meeting their own recruitment quotas.
I find there is so much more to think about before we get involved with further aggressive actions in a war mired down by controversial and/or unsubstantiated info, propaganda, news, or even accurate audits where all our aid is going. Then we have the quality of leadership (Biden/Harris) who are empowered to handle the overload of a world ready to embark on WWIII, with the possibility of just one knee jerk response that some say will never happen – Russia with China, Iran and N Korea having formed an alliance (because of our attention to Ukraine) doing something stupid like using a nuke.
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It was a yes or no question, let’s cut the BS.
The question is:
Given that Russia is firing long range missiles at targets in Ukraine, is it ok for Ukraine to fire long range missiles at Russia?
Yes or no?
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Ukraine can’t fire long range missiles into Russia without NATO and U.S. Intel and satellite imaging to direct their targets”
And btw, this is a complete crock of crap..
The infrastructure in Russia are located in fixed positions, the Ukrainians don’t need any “intel” to determine where they are.
You are one ignorant moron and a complete Putin tool, geezus.
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From the UK’s Ukrainian perspective:
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/what-does-victory-for-ukraine-look-like/
”But ending the war to save their country’s future is a narrative that more and more Ukrainians are starting to embrace. Polls reveal a growing disenchantment among Ukrainians with the conflict, with 70 per cent believing that the government is exploiting it for personal gain. More than 57 per cent now support negotiations to end the war – up from 43 per cent a year ago.
‘We need to cut off the lost territories like a gangrenous limb and get on with our future,’ one former senior minister in Zelensky’s cabinet told me on a recent visit to Kyiv. ‘The gap between the political elite who are losing this war and ordinary people couldn’t be wider.’”
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Given that Russia is firing long range missiles at targets in Ukraine, is it ok for Ukraine to fire long range missiles at Russia?
Yes or no?
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ore than 57 per cent now support negotiations to end the war – up from 43 per cent a year ago.“
Zzzzzz… negotiations are one thing, surrender is another.
The glaring headline here should be 43% of Ukrainians don’t support ANY negotiations.
In any case, these are most likely bogus polls and Kremlin propaganda.
Most real polls show like 90% support for defending the country against the invaders.
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one former senior minister in Zelensky’s cabinet told me on a recent visit to Kyiv”
LOL
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So Janzam, are you ready to answer Bitter’s question he posed months ago?
How much of sovereign Ukrainian territory are you willing to surrender to the invaders and how many millions of Ukrainians would you condemn to live under Russian rule?
Let’s hear it.
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The poles on Ukraine are few. They are not taking poles to show how unpopular the war has gotten.
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Justice is now suing Alabama for removing the 700000 illegal voters on the roles.
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As CNN’s Scott Jennings aptly noted, the title for Quemala’s border trip should read “Arsonist returns to the scene of the crime.”
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Jason – Jan said in too many words that Ukraine can’t shoot back.
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Trump has 9 events already scheduled next week and Harris has 2
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Silverfish will list Rasmussen as a Republican pollster, giving ras less weight.
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April 1945 poll – 98% of Berlin residents favor a negotiated peace deal.
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Hopefully these will be good for Trump.
8:00 Eastern. Atlas Poll Release: Swing States
States covered: NC, GA, AZ, NV, WI, MI, PA
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https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2024/09/28/after-staging-event-for-kamala-harris-primanti-brothers-a-pa-based-restuarant-chain-blocks-jd-vance-from-entering/#more-264533
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Lots of folks canceled their orders.
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Great response by Vance in the video above.
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I was just going to post that piece myself, Tina. That was a good, gracious response from Vance. He keeps going up with regard to my respect for him.
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So now you have 200% respect for him?
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Harris has nothing left but to mock and bait Trump into having another debate with her. She has an ad running with that taunting theme in tonight’s Alabama/Georgia game at ABC prime time.
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Border Patrol Union – NBPC
@BPUnion
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Follow
Vice president Harris has ignored the border problem she created for over three years. She goes down there for 20 minutes for a photo op and decides to repeat some of the things the NPBC has said before. But again, where has she been the last 3 1/2 years?
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Quemala is again begging for another debate. However she is starved for energy and ideas.
Bad week for her. First was the interview with her bestie who is also a lunatic.
Then the ice stats/border appearance debacle.
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https://nypost.com/2024/09/28/us-news/trump-savages-kamala-harris-in-fiery-wisconsin-speech/
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This may be of interest to Bitter:
https://www.breitbart.com/tech/2024/09/28/scientific-study-stem-cell-transplants-successfully-reverse-womans-diabetes/
”About three months after the transplant, the woman was producing enough insulin to live without needing additional injections. She has sustained this level of production for more than a year, and her blood glucose levels have remained within the target range for over 98 percent of the day. “I can eat sugar now,” the woman told Nature, adding that she enjoys eating everything.”
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Interesting. When I saw stem cells, I was opposed until I read they were the patient’s own. I vowed years ago that I would never accept a cure from fetal stem cells.
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Atlas is releasing swing state polls at 8. AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI.
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So now you have 200% respect for him?”
LOL
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Actually classy response by Vance. He didn’t do what I would have done, told everyone never to eat there again.
And he didn’t call the woman a little Marxist turd like I would, he said she was a “little nervous”.
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We were promised polls would be released 10 minutes ago. Where are they? Booooooooo
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General Election poll – Swing States
Arizona – 🔴 Trump +1
Georgia – 🔴 Trump +1
N. Carolina – 🔵 Harris +3
Nevada – 🔵 Harris +3
Michigan – 🔴 Trump +4
Pennsylvania – 🔴 Trump +3
Wisconsin – 🔴 Trump +2
Atlas Intel #A – LV
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NC is worrisome. Mark Robinson is dragging Trump down.
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I wonder what the sample size was of the Atlas poll.
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A spokesperson from Primanti Brothers said:
“Primanti’s prides itself on being a staple of the Pittsburgh community and a proud American business that has hosted sitting presidents, politicians, and political candidates from across the spectrum for over 90 years. Our doors are open to all patrons who wish to dine with us. Without any advance notice, today’s campaign stop caused some momentary confusion for our staff. However, Senator Vance and his team were welcomed into our restaurant shortly after and engaged with our guests inside and on the property.”
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Israel managed to kill Nasrallah’s replacement already.
Didn’t even have time to measure the drapes.
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Atlasintel is supposed to be the ‘gold standard’ going into 2024. Very interesting stats….
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”A spokesperson from Primanti Brothers said:”
Produce some photos of this after-thought event and I will believe their comments.
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I’m somewhat skeptical of NC as reverse coattails do not exist; NV I see being in the realm of possibilities.
I’d take those results in November any day; Trump winning all those states with senate races matters more than NC which has a powerless governor office that we are going to lose anyhow. +4 in MI means hello Senator Mike Rogers. +3 in PA probably means bye bye Casey. And +2 or more in WI gives us a good chance of tossing Baldwin.
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Baris also suggested that there is no reverse coattails.
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The photos are on one of Zelensky’s yachts.
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I just loaded a new thread for overnight. Or you can all stay here.
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The Atlas polls are pretty good for Trump, but I don’t think anyone would buy into North Carolina being 7 points to the Left of Michigan. Results are a little weird.
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Atlas Intel Senate Polls:
Arizona Senate: Gallego +4, Gallego 50 Lake 46.
Michigan Senate: Rogers +5, Rogers 49 Slotkin 44.
Wisconsin Senate: Baldwin +1, Baldwin 48 Hovde 47
Pennsylvania: Casey +2, Casey 47 McCormick 45
Nevada: Rosen +2, Rosen 48 Brown 46
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