Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
155 responses to “Start your day by fighting.”
Frist
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ARIZONA poll
🔴 Trump: 48% (+6)
🔵 Harris: 42%
Suffolk & USA Today | Sept. 21-24 | N=500LV
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No, I was supposed to post that scooter.
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https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/senate/3168317/dscc-democratic-enthusiasm-harris-florida-texas-senate-races/
Cruz, by being abrasive, makes it closer that it should be. (Scott must as well.)
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Lol, if they are blowing $$$ in Tx and Florida, they stopped elsewhere. What states did they stop? Ohio senate race?
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MINNESOTA poll:
🔵 Harris+3
Rasmussen
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Rasmussen is out with a Harris+6 in New Mexico, Harris+3 in Minnesota, and Harris+3 in Virginia.
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I was supposed to post that, Tina .
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Last 3 Arizona poles, trump – +3, +5, and +6.
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I guess there is a +2 from Ras in Az.
trump plus 4 when averaged with the others.
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NATIONAL POLL: Harris 50% Trump 48%
Conducted by @ScottWRasmussen /RMG Research for @NapolitanNews
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Quemala is going to the border today. She is going out there (3.5 years too late) because she is LOSING.
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Biden won by 23 points in 2020
Emerson
New York 2024 Presidential Election:
🔵Kamala Harris 54% (+14)
🔴Donald Trump 40%
Someone else 3%
Undecided 3%
September 23-25, 2024
1,000 likely voters
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The caveat in NC is that the Dems are still winning the ballot requests by substantial margins, just not by the same margins as 2020.
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By having more Rs request ballots, Rs are in effect depressing their ED turnout. So I can’t get as excited about this as Daugherty.
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Rep. Matt Gaetz
@RepMattGaetz
19h
·
BREAKING:
Today, I accepted Rep. Ami Bera’s invitation to brief him and the House Intelligence Committee
on where and how I learned about the 5 assassination teams in the U.S. targeting President Trump.
Immediately after I broke the news that five hit teams, including Iranians, were targeting Trump, the Biden-Harris admin was forced to brief the Trump campaign about one of those threats. So it’s real.
Nevertheless, Democrat lies persist, and Rep. Bera, who sits on the Intel Committee, called my stating the facts “dangerous.”
I think it’s more “dangerous” that House Intel members don’t know or don’t care what intel is out there about assassins targeting Trump.
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TRUMP POLITICAL DIRECTOR: Between the Trump campaign and our supporters, we’re knocking 1 million doors per week. From the end of Aug. until Election Day, 15 million or more doors will have been knocked. We’re focusing on low propensity voters.
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Start your day by fighting.”
GFY.
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Unless those ballots were requested by people who don’t vote regularly.
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Almost time for Zelensky to school Trump on Ukraine.
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Last night I wrote this:
“And we’re all supposed to be on the same side. And we wonder why we lose election after election after election. Go figure.”
You are wrong. We are NOT on the same side.
I have never been on the side of isolationist morons.
I have never been on the side of trade policies based on stupid tariffs and trade wars.
I have never been on the side of big government crony capitalists.
I am on the side of free enterprise. Free markets. Free trade. Personal responsibility. Limited government. Defense of America’s interests wherever they are.
In other words, nothing that Trump or Vance actually believe in.”
NYC said I was wrong, but of course didn’t say where I was wrong, because he couldn’t.
Not a surprise. NYC sold out on ALL his conservative principles long ago to justify anything Trump says or does.
He admits Trump is not a conservative, but then conveniently omits that since he doesn’t disagree with Trump on anything, he is not a conservative either.
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Ras poles
Trump plus 3 in Nc.
quemala plus 3 in Va.
Michigan tied
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its getting harder to keep up with the influx of polling. Hard to add new threads with all the poll AND add them all to the history. I am going to have to start focusing more on adding to the history and be only selective in the ones that start new threads.
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Sounds good to me. 2 threads a day should be more than enough.
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and with everyone helping out posting the new polls in the comments area it definitely helps. I will plan a new thread later this afternoon with new polls that are significant.
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I don’t know if anyone else read the Adams indictment, but I read it top to bottom. Yesterday I commented that many of the charges seemed flimsy and hard to prove to a jury. “He paid $600 for a suite but was upgraded to a $15000 suite” (remember that hotels routinely charge a lot less than the posted amount for luxury suites because it is much better to occupy them at a lower price than have them vacant and VIPs get upgraded all the time). Not to mention this was 8 years ago.
GOP Rep Tenney seems to have some reservations too.
OP NY Rep Tenney on Fox Business on NYC Mayor Adams:
“This is all very stunning..there’s a demand for his resignation..However, it is interesting that most of these charges are eight years old. Why weren’t they prosecuted and done then? Because the Democrats needed to have him win an election. They needed to have their guy in office. Now, they don’t want their guy in office because why he stood up to President Biden..Mayor Adams looks very guilty, but he is innocent until proven guilty. And he deserves that right as an American citizen. This just looks targeted. I could be wrong. But I served in the New York state legislature, I’ve seen when the Democrats attack each other and how bad it can be. And I feel like they’re really trying to remove him because he’s got some primary opponents who are lurking in the background who, by the way, are equally as bad.”
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It does seeem flimsy. I tend to agree that they targeted him for being anti illegal immigration.
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Trump turning AZ & GA red again makes 270 much harder for Comrade Harris.
I still can’t believe Gallup has the party ID this election as R +3. It makes sense with as far left as the Dems have gone.
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It does seeem flimsy.”
Tina wants to besmirch my character by agreeing with me on something.
This sordid tactics have been tried before and failed.
As Gloria Gaynor said… I will survive.
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This sordid tactics?”
I blame the one room school house on the Altiplano.
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Although I think my English is pretty good for someone whose 7th grade English book was still “See Spot. See Spot run”.
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Another poll with Virginia closer than usual.
Virginia 2024 🚨
🔵Harris: 49.3% (+4.8)
🔴Trump: 44.5%
In 2020, Biden won Virginia by 10 points, but the race is tightening.
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MSNBC: “It’s men. The real struggle for the Harris campaign is young men, all the men, men of color, White men.”
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Recent Virginia polls.
Recent Polls:
Rasmussen (9/19-9/22): Harris 49%, Trump 46%
Emerson (9/22-9/24): Harris 52%, Trump 44%
UMW (9/3-9/9): Harris 48%, Trump 46%
Washington Post (9/4-9/8): Harris 51%, Trump 43%
Roanoke (8/12-8/16): Harris 47%, Trump 44%
*Quantus Insights (8/20-8/22): Harris 49%, Trump 46%
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gap is narrowing at Predict IT – Trump at 48c and Harris at 56c. The gap had been 45 /48 for a long time.
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Maxwell Alejandro Frost@MaxwellFrostFL·
13h
Praying for all the Floridians in the panhandle. The Climate Crisis is here. We must act to save lives.
–Someone needs to tell this ignorant doofus that Hurricanes have hit Florida long before Columbus discovered America.
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Scooter, do you have a link to that new Virginia Poll?
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DW, sorry I don’t. It was the Quantum Insight poll.
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I would love to see someone poll New Jersey. Not because I think Trump would ever have a shot there, but it would be interesting to see if New Jersey is shifting as for to the right as it appears New York has.
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Scooter;
(1) Quantus Insights on X: “🚨 Virginia 2024 🚨 🔵Harris: 49.3% (+4.8) 🔴Trump: 44.5% In 2020, Biden won Virginia by 10 points, but the race is tightening. 🟦 Recent Polls: Rasmussen (9/19-9/22): Harris 49%, Trump 46% Emerson (9/22-9/24): Harris 52%, Trump 44% UMW (9/3-9/9): Harris 48%, Trump 46%” / X (twitter.com)
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Thanks GF
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I am not optimistic Zelensky can convince Trump that isolationism has never worked but hope springs eternal.
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RE: The AZ poll showing +6 for DJT…the shift in Maricopa justifies it alone.
A 4 point win in Maricopa is a six point turnaround from 2020. Biden won the county by 2, and the state by 0.3. Maricopa has about 62% of the state’s population, and in 2020, cast 61% of the statewide vote. If turnout throughout the counties in the state remains constant relative to one another and the rest of the state did not experience any partisan shifts one way or another, that would suggest a total swing of about 125,000 votes (41xxx off Biden, and 84xxx added to Trump), for a statewide win of roughly 3.5%. Assuming that there have been partisan shifts elsewhere in the state, 5-6% is a perfectly reasonable lead.
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AZ and GA is great. But Trump needs at least one of the blue wall states too.
Also a 6 pt AZ for Trump might drag Kari Lake across the finish line too, I think he would have to win by at least that much for her to win.
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Victor Davis Hanson, a noted conservative historian, has been a straight forward conveyor of the past, comparing and contrasting prior events to current trends and events today. His most recent piece slams the tax-payer funded visit of the Ukrainian president as an election ploy favoring the dem candidates, Harris/Walz – a clear case of election interference. Here’s why:
”More amazingly, Zelenskyy landed first in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania, where most observers believe the currently deadlocked election will be decided.
No surprise, Zelenskyy immediately toured a Pennsylvania munitions plant making artillery shells likely destined for his Ukraine — at a time when the state’s voters are concerned about job losses.
The Harris-Biden administration was sending the not-so-subtle message that providing billions of dollars in arms to Zelenskyy’s Ukraine translates into jobs for voting Pennsylvanians.
But that was not all to this crass September surprise.
In an interview with the left-wing pro-Biden-Harris New Yorker magazine, Zelenskyy plunged right into the current neck-and-neck presidential race. He trashed Harris’s rival former President Donald Trump as someone who “doesn’t really know how to stop the war even if he might think he knows how.”
Not satisfied with that putdown, the Ukrainian president hit even harder Trump’s running mate and vice presidential candidate, JD Vance, as “dangerous” and “too radical.”
The left still talks nonstop about nonexistent 2016 Trump-Russia “collusion” and equally bogus 2020 Trump-Russian “disinformation.”
Yet it would be hard to define any clearer “election interference” than the current Zelenskyy surprise.
After all, has any vice president incumbent running for president ever flown in a foreign leader on a U.S. military jet to the one key U.S. state that will likely decide the impending election?”
https://townhall.com/columnists/victordavishanson/2024/09/27/octoberseptember-surprises-n2645361
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he could get Nevada and Ne-2 (though I’m beginning to believe that’s out of the question) to get to 270
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Jan – the subject has been beaten to death. We know where you stand, and the continued references wikk do nothing to change anyone’s stance. Let’s concentrate on other thibfs
Jason – despite the isolationist bluster he spews, Trump would continue funding Ukraine until a peace agreement would be made. He would also stand by Israel and Taiwan
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Vic, that’s actually 269, but same result, Trump would win a 269 tie.
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jason was right that susquehanna would not put up a Harris +9 in PA, essentially declaring the election over, because it would end their reputation.
However, that’s basically what Morning Consult just did, putting up a Harris +6 in PA, except they will keep their high rating and not be held accountable for their propaganda polling.
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sorry DW. I’ve said it so many times I just assume it now
btw if it is 269-269 there will be chaos
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I hear you Vic, but election interference gimmicks are just as relevant as polling.
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DW, unless I fudged the math, 2020 + GA, AZ and NV leave DJT at 268, one short of a tie. The NE GOP is useless and refuses to play hardball, giving in to parochial concerns. I doubt they will even verbally rebuke the one holdout state senator much less torpedo his campaign for Omaha mayor when he officially launches it.
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Democrat running against Scott Perry in my PA district has ads saying she wants to “close the border and deport illegals”.
You can’t make this sh-t up.
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2020 + GA and PA, however, get Trump to 270.
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lol.
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Not satisfied with that putdown, the Ukrainian president hit even harder Trump’s running mate and vice presidential candidate, JD Vance, as “dangerous” and “too radical.”
Funny.
I have been saying the same thing for months, so I have no problem with Zelensky saying it.
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agreed, but we’ve all chimed in on this, me included. Just seems it is trying to instigate a fight that will consume the thread when there is so much else to talk about.
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Yeah, let’s not forget Zelenksy saved Trump’s ass.
At the time, he refused to go along with the “quid pro quo” BS and denied that he felt pressured by Trump.
Had he agreed to throw Trump under the bus, he might have been impeached.
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“AZ and GA is great. But Trump needs at least one of the blue wall states too.”
Jason, I know most everyone is talking about Pennsylvania, but I’ve been keeping an eye on Wisconsin even more closely.
Right now the Real Clear Politics average for Wisconsin is Harris +0.9
In 2016 the Real Clear Average underestimated Trump in Wisconsin by 6 points.
And in 2020, the Real Clear Average once again underestimated Trumps support by 6 points.
Pollsters have always had difficulty polling Trumps actual support in Wisconsin. As it stands right now, even the slightest of polling errors would give Wisconsin to Trump.
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However, that’s basically what Morning Consult just did, putting up a Harris +6 in PA, except they will keep their high rating and not be held accountable for their propaganda polling.”
Right, but they are not called Susquehanna and as you say, won’t be held accountable.
Had Susquehanna called it for Harris and been wrong, their reputation would have been shot.
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NC hold, plus AZ, GA, NV and NE_02 flips = 269.
The easier path is:
NC hold, plus GA and PA flip = 270
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btw if it is 269-269 there will be chaos”
There will be crowds chanting at the homes of the Trump electors.
I hope the Trump campaign made sure there are no wobblies in their electors and that if there are, they can be replaced.
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and as of Today, probably the best path for Trump is:
NC hold, plus AZ, GA, and WI flips = 272
But I don’t trust the banana republic state government in AZ.
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NE_02 flips”
Seems like a long shot.
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”More amazingly, Zelenskyy landed first in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania, where most observers believe the currently deadlocked election will be decided.”
LOL
Nothing “amazing” about it.
The factory in PA makes the ammunition Ukraine most needs.
It makes complete sense for him to visit this plant.
What would be a surprise would be if he DIDN’T go there.
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agree Jason
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Jason – despite the isolationist bluster he spews, Trump would continue funding Ukraine until a peace agreement would be made.”
I don’t disagree, actually. As I pointed out here before, I doubt Trump wants Putin to conquer Ukraine on his watch.
But the “peace agreement” he is envisioning is garbage.
So any criticism of Trump and Vance regarding their isolationist stances and failure to understand what the interests of the US are in this conflict remain valid.
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NC hold, plus AZ, GA, and WI flips = 272″
Yes, I think this is more realistic than NE-2.
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DW (12:33pm)
As they have been doing since Washington crossed the Delaware, young men will save this country again.
They will be instrumental when Trump holds all 2016 states and flips NV. NE-2 might be a tough ask, but you have to expect that, given the signicant liberal establishment in that district.
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I hope Trump wins, if for nothing else I would get to troll these guys X pages for days.
Allan Lichtman: “Nate Silver has finally seen the light! Weeks after I predicted a Harris victory he has come down from a 2/3 probability of a Trump victory to a 58% probability of a Harris victory.”
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Early Voting in Virginia update:
So far 5% of the 2020 vote total has voted.
120,411 ballots returned from Strong R or lean R congressional districts
99,802 ballots returned from Strong D or lean D congressional districts
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Big time disappointment that Nebraska failed to change the evs to winner take all.
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In power, Nebraska Rs as well as sc Rs will tend to disappoint.
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CNN just announced NE-02 poll 53-43 Harris.
Even worse Bacon is losing by 6.
Of course, it IS CNN.
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The also have Harris and Trump tied at 48 in NC and Robinson losing by 17.
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Speaking briefly, Zelenskyy said he believes he and Trump have a common view that Ukraine has to prevail against Russia and acknowledged the importance of the U.S. election. “We understand that after November … we hope that the strength of the United States will be very strong,” he said.”
I hope that is true, that Trump agrees Ukraine should prevail.
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interestingly whereas GA + AZ + NV gets 268 this cycle they will be 282 in 2032 election
Food for thought
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Redfield and Wilton just put up a Harris +3 national poll, but to get there, they had to juice the sample that resulted in a Biden job approval of +2!!
Joe Biden is dead, buried, gone, forgotten, and completely irrelevant. His numbers for job approval cannot change. They are encased in cement as far as this election is concerned.
But as I said weeks ago, its an important metric to check on every new national poll, because it will tell you if the poll is junk.
Biden job approval is -15 to -20, and that won’t change. If you see any poll like this one, at +2, toss the entire poll.
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Trump didn’t say anything stupid after the meeting with Zelensky.
Maybe he DID learn something.
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BARIS: Pollsters may be missing the newer voters, who lean heavily for Trump. If they are missing these voters, the election is over.
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Wow…
Exactly what I said..
At Trump Tower, former President Trump praises President Zelenskyy of Ukraine for not “playing cute,” during his first impeachment. Trump says that Zelenskyy could have thrown him under the bus but didn’t and that he hasn’t forgotten that.
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“Unless those ballots were requested by people who don’t vote regularly.”
************************
THIS is MY biggest concern regarding the mail-in ballots.
Are there REALLY enough safeguards to prevent DEM operatives from gleaning voter lists and then requesting mail-in ballots for those ho have voted in last 4 election or 1 in last 4 elections (esp. those residing in big cities), then intercept those blank ballots either at P.O. or the mailboxes, and then filling them out and sending them in illegally.
It still perplexes me that in one of my races for state legislature, I sent out direct mail piece letters to 780 newly registered voters (those newly registered in the 6 months prior to election) and 130 of them were returned–nobody by that name lived there. WTF?
My 4 contested elections were decided by about 300 votes each election.
***************************
I think I told you before how I even took one returned letter and drove the 1 and half miles to the apartment complex to see what was going on. Spoke to the manager of the apt. complex and he said nobody of the name had EVER lived in any of his apartments.
All of this was BEFORE the CROW-VID and the tsunami of mail in ballots we have had since then.
And TODAY. some states would be flooding the postal system with blank mail in ballots for these people–that may or may not actually exist.
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Nick Sortor on X
URGENT: DAM FAILURE IMMINENT IN RUTHERFORD COUNTY, NC
This would be CATASTROPHIC.
All residents below the Lake Lure Dam are being ordered to evacuate IMMEDIATELY, as massive amounts of rain from Hurricane Helene is expected to cause the dam to break.
GET OUT NOW! A dam failure of this size could cause a mass casualty event like. we haven’t seen in decades
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Trump treats Zelensky with the respect and honor he deserves. Very good.
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n an unrelated note, I do not see what the big controversy is over which came first, the chicken or the egg.
It HAD to be the CHICKEN.
If it was the EGG, who would it on the egg to help it hatch?
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For those keeping score at home, the final 2020 Suffolk poll of Arizona was Trump 46, Biden 50
This new Trump +6 poll is literally a ten point swing for Suffolk
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Richard Grennel (secretary of state?) seated next to trump in the meeting.
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Trump didn’t repeat any of Tina’s and Janzam’s nonsense about “election interference” and “campaigning for Harris” which of course never happened.
Of course I don’t trust Trump to support Ukraine in the manner it needs to be supported but in all I think it was a positive meeting.
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Grennel would make a great SOS. Or Pompeo.
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Trump says he “learned a lot” from the meeting.
I guess God answered my prayers.
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Susie Moore’s take at Redstate.
“A couple of observations: First, this was a win-win for Trump and Zelensky. They both benefited from the publicized meeting, standing together, addressing the press. Zelensky benefits by shoring up support from Trump and his supporters, which he’ll need should Trump win in November. Trump benefits by showing that he’s got leverage — and something other world leaders (including the Left’s darling, Zelensky) want to be a part of. And it sends a message to Putin, too, that the dealmaker may soon be in play and there might yet be a resolution he can accept and live with.
Second, notice Zelensky’s body language before and after the meeting. Before, he looked tense, anxious. After, he looked much more relaxed. Why exactly that is, it’s hard to say, but my sense is that it’s a good thing. We’ll see.”
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State run media caught editing video to cast a bad light on Canada’s opposition leader.
Now forced to eat crow.
https://x.com/CTVNationalNews/status/1838351149734244453/photo/1
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At least someone got fired. Wouldn’t happen here.
“The network said their investigation found that “two members of the CTV News team are responsible for altering a video clip, manipulating it for a particular story.”
“Their actions violate our editorial standards and are unacceptable. Those individuals are no longer members of the CTV News team.”
CTV National News initially ran a retraction, following the spliced clip’s airing, which the Conservatives said left viewers with the impression that Poilievre could introduce a non-confidence motion over the Liberal dental care program, which would trigger an early election. The clip was edited and the accompanying script reframed, removing reference to the phrase “carbon tax election.”
Chief Anchor and Senior Editor Omar Sachedina acknowledged in the correction, that aired on Monday, that Poilievre’s comment had been “taken out of context.”
“It left viewers with the impression the conservative non-confidence motion was to defeat the Liberals dental care program,” said Sachedina, in the apology. “In fact, the Conservatives have made it clear the motion is based on a long list of issues with the Liberal government including the carbon tax. A misunderstanding during the editing process resulted in this misrepresentation. We unreservedly apologize to Mr. Poilievre and the Conservative party of Canada. We regret this report went to air in the manner it did.”
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Yet Trudeau attacks Polievre for demanding an apology.
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Richard Grenell will most definitely have an important position in a Trump Administration. Pompeo less likely, especially as he was the one telling Trump not to release the Kennedy papers.
As for the Trump/Zelenskyy meeting, Trump wouldn’t have had said meeting if he wasn’t going to be diplomatic. He plays nice when a given situation calls for it. In this case meeting with Zelenskyy gave Trump an upper hand of being seen as solicitous and willing to listen to either friend or foe. Such a meeting might have taken some of the attention away from Harris’s disingenuous trip to the border as well.
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I was especially encouraged by Trump’s comment that “he learned a lot” in the meeting.
He certainly did have a lot to learn.
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The R isolationists in Congress and the right wing isolationist media now look like morons for attacking Zelensky for his PA trip.
By stupidly stating that Zelensky was “campaigning for Harris” these idiots gave the Dems a propaganda talking point.
Trump was smart not to mention it and in the end Zelensky accomplished what he really wanted, which was to make his case to Trump.
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Janzam thinks Trump is “diplomatic?”
There really are no limits to cultism.
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G_d bless AI! Haven’t laughed this hard in a while.
https://x.com/SaltyGoat17/status/1837833583836217381?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1837833583836217381%7Ctwgr%5E06dd89f83efed4f07349d9b3365043fd0baf4426%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Facecomments.mu.nu%2F%3Fpost%3D411653
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Polls….I believe that Fox will release two more state polls at 3pm (6pm est)…could be North Carolina and PA.
My guess, if it indeed NC and Pa. would be
NC Trump +2
Pa. Trump +1
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I never heard this guy say anything useful, but he has a following.
JUST IN: Dave Ramsey shares a video from Trump Tower, says he reached out to both campaigns and apparently only got an answer back from one. “Our team reached out to both Vice President Harris’s camp and President Trump’s camp about the opportunity to sit down and talk about ideas,” he posted on IG. “Now, keep in mind, what happens in your house is more important than what happens in the White House.” “But I’m standing in Trump Tower, and I just finished interviewing President Donald Trump. It was a great interview. You’re going to want to see it. We’ll post it next week.”
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If Fox News releases NC and PA polling they will likely show:
NC: Harris 48, Trump 47
PA: Harris 49, Trump 47
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Dave Ramsey runs a Christian based org that helps people with their personal finances. He has a following and any interview like this would help I suppose, but probably 95% of Ramsey’s viewers are already going to pull the lever for Trump.
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Screw off DW, I prefer John’s crystal ball.
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”By stupidly stating that Zelensky was “campaigning for Harris” these idiots gave the Dems a propaganda talking point.”
Hardly….it still is seen by many as campaigning for Harris. Trump merely smoothed over the uncomfortableness of such an orchestrated political event by being gracious to Zelenskyy, and not promising anything to him but ending the war peacefully (something he has pledged to do all along).
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I have heard Dave Ramsey on the radio giving bad advice many times.
His whole shtick is how people shouldn’t have debt, which is asinine.
Debt leverages growth, if you are not born rich the only way to get rich is to leverage debt.
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and not promising anything to him”
LOL
Janzam knows what Trump promised or didn’t promise?
As I said, cultist have no limits.
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RealDonaldTrump·
Just had a great meeting with President Zelenskyy of Ukraine. If I’m elected President, the war with Russia and Ukraine will end quickly. If not, that war will never end, and will phase into WORLD WAR III. Comrade Harris will NEVER BE ABLE TO END THE WAR, and hasn’t. Nothing will change except THE DEATH AND DESTRUCTION WILL ONLY GET WORSE! MAGA2024
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Jason mocks describing Trump as diplomatic, but then posts a piece about Ramsey being snubbed by Harris and then meeting with Trump (like Zelenskyy just did) – being congenial to both — and that’s not considered being diplomatic?
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If I was advising Trump instead of the isolationist morons he has surrounded himself with, including Vance, i would tell him to propose the following “peace plan”.
Russia, get the f–k out of Ukraine or we will increasingly provide MORE aid to Ukraine including offensive weapons that will do REAL damage inside Russia. You get to keep Crimea and whatever borders existed before the invasion, nothing more.
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and that’s not considered being diplomatic?”
No.
Has nothing to do with diplomacy.
But hey, there is a at least ONE person in the world that thinks Trump is “diplomatic”.
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Trump doesn’t need bad advice from someone like Jason.
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Oh, and I forgot.
All your assets outside of Russia?
They will be used as reparations for the damage you caused in Ukraine.
And the war criminals? They better never be caught outside Russia.
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Wait, telling the Russians to get out of Ukraine is bad advice?
Could we have confirmation of this.
We know you are a Putin toady lapdog, but confessions are always nice to hear.
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Hardly….it still is seen by many as campaigning for Harris.”
“Many”
Translation: isolationist idiots.
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You gotta Loge it. Lol
NATE SILVER: If you apply Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys correctly, as he has applied them in the past, they would actually predict a Trump victory.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/treason-ice-report-reveals-13000-murderers-15000-rapists/
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Hardly….it still is seen by many as campaigning for Harris.
Many, including Jan, are wrong.
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Someone will, have a bad day at the border today.
“According to the report from the Deputy Director of ICE Patrick Lechleitner sent to Congressman Tony Gonzalez, over 662,000 illegal immigrantswith criminal histories are currently on ICE’s national docket.
Even more alarming is that the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is currently tracking over 425,000 illegal immigrants convicted of various crimes, while 226,000 face pending criminal charges, all of whom have been released into the United States under the regime’s lenient immigration enforcement.
Of that staggering number, over 13,000 illegal immigrants have been convicted of homicide, and more than 15,000 have been convicted of sexual assault.”
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But hey, Mr. Back to the USSR will be here later to bleat
WE ARE WINNING!
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Hardly….it still is seen by many as campaigning for Harris.
Many, including Jan, are wrong.”
The Putin Lovers are addicted to these lies.
None of them beats the “there was a peace plan” lie, however.
That is their biggest one.
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So, silverfish and Lichtenstein don’t agree on “13 Keys?”
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Who would blame Zelensky from actually thinking a Kamala win would be a better outcome for Ukraine.
I certainly agree it would also.
I am afraid Trump’s plan for ending the war is just allowing Russia to keep what it has illegally conquered, which would be a shame and it would reward the aggressor and the war criminal.
The problem is that even if Kamala won, continued aid is not a given if Rs control the House. I think there are enough R votes in the Senate to continue to fund Ukraine.
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ICE releases scary statistics of how many criminals have been released in the US on the day Kamala visits the border for a photo op. Good timing!
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And for those keeping score at home, Meredith College had it Biden +4 in North Carolina in 2020. Now they say Trump is tied.
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And for those keeping score at home, CNN had it Biden +6 in North Carolina in 2020. Now they say Trump is tied.
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And for those keeping score at home, MARIST had it Biden +6 in North Carolina in 2020. Now they say Trump is tied.
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My point is there are two options. Either all these pollsters polling NC have cleaned up their act and are now getting it right, or they are still polling way left of center and Trump is winning NC easily.
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Faux poles are bad as morning consulation
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A very interesting endorsement for Trump, augmented by a supportive speech from RFK Jr at a MI event this afternoon.
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Collin Rugg
@CollinRugg
NEW: Former CDC Director Robert Redfield endorses Donald Trump, admits to Robert F. Kennedy Jr. he “got everything right.” RFK Jr. explained how he was appalled to find out that Redfield, who he was extremely critical of, was endorsing Trump. “Robert Redfield, who I really go after in my Fauci book, wrote an editorial in Newsweek magazine today saying that he was endorsing President Trump because President Trump was gonna restore American health.” Redfield said: “He has chosen exactly the only person who can do this, Robert F. Kennedy Jr.” “This was breathtaking to me because this is the guy who’s the head of the CDC that I’ve been criticizing for years, and then this afternoon he came over and had lunch with me.” “And the first thing he said to me is: ‘You got everything right.’” Wow.
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Glad Trump is already putting together the pieces to end this nonsense neocon war machine
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You can tell Trump out Zelensky in his place. Just look at his body language. He knows the gravy train is coming to an end
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Breaking: Prime Minister Keir Starmer had a two-hour dinner with President Donald Trump after the U.K leader delivered a speech to the United Nations in New York. However, intentionally unnoticed by U.S. media, the Prime Minister immediately left the U.S. following the lengthy meeting with President Trump, and never met with Kamala Harris.
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Frank Lutz:
For the first time in decades, more Americans now identify as Republican (48%) than Democratic (45%).
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People are commenting on the body language seen in that meeting, saying Trump was in control and seemed like the “real” president.
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Nate Silver is probably firing back at Lichtman who crowed that Silver had shifted to giving Kamala the edge, and that his apparently infallible keys were once more vindicated.
I agree with Silver, old Al is not applying his keys consistently. Further, I believe that he wants a narrative that Harris will win so as to astroturf the national picture.
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Tina, more foreign leaders are meeting with Trump apparently signaling their belief he will win the election.
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Have to comment on the trump meeting, it did seem to take the sail out of quemala and her trip. Knee capped her. Then she crawls the border and is hit with the 400,000 illegal criminals
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You know quemala will likely target that deputy director of ICE for reeasing that information the day of her trip. This is not the ice union.
With 400,000 criminals in the country illegally that is a huge problem. I believe that number is understated.
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This might turn out to be a better fight than the Current Ukraine gs Russia fight here at HHR. Grab some popcorn.
Allan Lichtenstein:”Nate. you don’t have the faintest idea about how to apply my keys. You are neither a historian or a political scientist or have any academic credentials of any kind. Remember you were wrong when you said the keys could early predict Obama’s reelection.”
Nate Silver: “I’ve spent way too much time on this and have a lot of receipts from how you’ve applied your keys in the past! At least 7 of the keys, maybe 8, clearly favor Trump. Sorry brother, but that’s what the keys say. Unless you’re admitting they’re totally arbitrary?”
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Another nuanced detail I’m noticing is how there are more people admitting out loud they are voting for Trump. We were at our favorite Mexican restaurant Monday night talking politics with a dem friend. A waiter came up and asked who we were voting for, after which I asked him the same question. He smiled saying “Trump” in a not too quiet way. I was surprised.
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Nate Silver: “Yeah, Lichtman has gotten 2 out of his past 3 calls wrong. In 2016, he predicted Trump would win the popular vote and said nothing about the Electoral College. And this year, he predicted Biden would win. Dude is 1 for his last 3, losing his fastball I guess.”
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Hope this is not factual.
Shoe
@samosaur
Two independent sources have provided corroborating reporting to our team stating 9 surface to air missiles have entered the U.S. through a New Mexico border point of entry. The intended recipients of these weapons are 3 teams operating within the U.S. whose intent is to target President Trump’s airplane.
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even kids in my sons 5th grade class are admitting they prefer Trump at his liberal private school.
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Are they the same people who believe Zelensky owns 2 yachts?
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How many more Ukrainians killed and Ukrainian territory seized will make you happy?
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I think Eric Daugherty just tweeted out some Ras poles that were already reported.
+3 for Quemala in mn.
+1 for trump in nevada.
+6 for Quemala in nm
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”even kids in my sons 5th grade class are admitting they prefer Trump at his liberal private school.”
I wonder if that’s a reflection of their parent’s election views.
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New Thread
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