Taken Sept 19-22 against 738 LV in Nevada, 993 LV in Minnesota, and 708 LV in New Mexico:
| Trump | Harris | |
 | 44 | 50 |
 | 46 | 49 |
 | 49 | 48 |
PROGRAMMING NOTE FROM DW:
Due to the significant increase in polling that will no doubt continue from now through election day, I will not be able to start a new thread for every poll that is released. I do plan to add ALL new polling to the HHR Polling Aggregator state pages.
But there are simply too many to add to new threads, and I don’t believe that many new threads would enhance the user experience anyway.
Going forward, I plan to start new threads only on polls from pollsters with a reputable grade from past performance, and leave the less useful polling to only appear in the comment threads as all of you add them, and then I will add them to the state pages.
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
92 responses to “New Rasmussen Polls”
Frist
LikeLike
I hope you people realize that I have been Frist on the last three threads. That never happened at the old HHR. You Bastards have really slowed down over the years.
LikeLike
Trump plus 4 – Rasmussen (9/26)
LikeLike
Interesting back and forth from Silver and Lichtman from the previous thread. I’l always remember Lichtman taking credit for both Bush winning the EC and Gore winning popular vote. You can’t have it both ways…one became President while the other did not. Then to follow up he was always convinced that Gore won Florida…
LikeLike
enjoy it while you can scooter. I’m lurking…
LikeLike
BREAKING: Michigan ballots can now only be counted after proof of signature is verified in victory for GOP
“Clerks were counting mail ballots without proof of signature verification, opening the door to fraud,” RNC @ChairmanWhatley said. “The GOP sued.”
LikeLiked by 1 person
Two independent sources have provided corroborating reporting to our team stating 9 surface to air missiles have entered the U.S. through a New Mexico border point of entry. The intended recipients of these weapons are 3 teams operating within the U.S. whose intent is to target President Trump’s airplane.”
Is one of the sources discredited far left crackpot octogenarian Seymour Hersh?
The second is the Deep State Tooth Fairy?
LikeLike
I hope you people realize that I have been Frist on the last three threads.”
Nice new name Scooter.
LikeLike
I hope you realize “Frist” stopped being clever 17 years ago.
LikeLike
So there are only 3 teams for 9 missiles?
I guess they don’t think their aim is too good.
LikeLike
“Clarity Campaign Labs” has stepped up to declare the election over, dropping a Harris +7 national poll.
I knew we were in polling “silly season” but the absurdity of this is getting a bit much.
Clarity Campaign Labs is saying this is 2008 Obama vs McCain all over again, where Harris has all the advantages of Obama while Trump is a redo of John McCain.
LikeLike
Pretty poor quality assassins.
LikeLike
Yup it’s 2008 redux. Sea of blue.
LikeLike
These leftist pollsters partying with their numbers like its 2008 are doing so despite not having all their friends on board, like…
AZ: Trump +6 (Suffolk); Trump +5 (NY Times/Siena)
NC: Trump +2 (NY Times/Siena)
GA: Trump +3 (NY Times/Siena, and ATL Journal/Constitution)
These and many other polls cannot be true if Harris is up 7 nationally.
LikeLike
You know, Janzam might be derided as a mindless Putin Bot, but she does have a lot of inside information.
Earlier she knew what Trump had promised Zelensky.
Now she is privy to what you would consider top secret Deep State stuff, the missiles being sent to kill Trump.
LikeLike
”enjoy it while you can scooter. I’m lurking…”
Vic, are you threatening an A-hole?
LikeLike
Bitter, did you notice how Trump cultists Tina and Janzam pivoted from yesterday?
Yesterday they were adamantly opposed to Trump meeting with the “grifter”.
Today they can’t stop posting about how this fabulous meeting made Trump look like a diplomatic genius (Janzam) and hugely Presidential (Tina).
The life of a cultist is tough, you have to sell yourself out like 10 times a day.
LikeLike
Vic, are you threatening an A-hole?”
Be careful, Vic.
You know our motto, “A-holes all for one, A-holes one for all”
LikeLike
And the battle continues.
Allan Lichtman: “Nate Silver claims to have applied my keys to predict a Trump victory. He doesn’t have the faintest idea how to turn the keys. He’s not a historian or a political scientist. He has no academic credentials. He was wrong when he said I could not make an early prediction of Obama‘s re-election. He’ll be wrong again in trying to analyze the keys.”
Nate Silver: “Allan let’s just say the little tricks you’ve played with the Keys in the past will come back to haunt you! The Keys shall be respected: they will outlast this little rivalry of ours. And they clearly predict a Trump win!”
LikeLike
One reason the secret missiles are not so secret is that supposedly they are in big red boxes painted with “Missiles to kill Trump” in 8 languages so all the terrorists can identify them.
LikeLike
Sounds like Lichtenstein wants a second date with silverfish. Silverfish remains uncommitted.
LikeLike
Bitterlaw
September 27, 2024 at 5:20 pm
Pretty poor quality assassins.”
Yeah, but with 3 missiles each they can try for 3 straight day in 3 different cities.
Supposedly the deep state is giving them an escort in cars with marked “terrorist support vehicles – stand clear” so they can maneuver through big city traffic.
LikeLike
When you don’t really believe in anything, it is easy to say anything.
LikeLike
It’s like Friday night at the fights !!!! Now Rasmussen from RMG has joined the fray. I’m running out of popcorn. Lol
Allan Lichtman: “Nate Silver claims to have applied my keys to predict a Trump victory. He doesn’t have the faintest idea how to turn the keys. He’s not a historian or a political scientist. He has no academic credentials. He was wrong when he said I could not make an early prediction of Obama‘s re-election. He’ll be wrong again in trying to analyze the keys.”
Scott Rasmussen: “You’re really going to say academic credentials matter in this dispute? Wow. Pretty weak argument.
When you’re talking about playing the odds, trust the gambler”
LikeLike
Fox polls
PA tied with likely voters
NC Trump +1 with likely voters
At this stage why even bother with registered voters and not likely voters
LikeLike
Faux news trump,+1 pa
trump plus 2 nc.
LikeLike
Sorry if already posted.
PENNSYLVANIA poll
🔴 Trump: 48% (+1)
🔵 Harris: 47%
🟡 Other/undecided: 5%
Fox News | Sept. 20-24 | LVs
LikeLike
John got it before, I copied the numbers from. Eric. On the la result, not sure if it’s a head 2 head, or a typo by Eric.
LikeLike
You Bastards beat me again !!!!
LikeLike
Pa result*
LikeLike
Looks like faux/war mongering news buried trumps leads (likely voters).
LikeLike
The newly reformed RNC appears to be actively suing and winning lawsuits dealing with upping excising fraud from elections.
”The RNC and Michigan GOP won a lawsuit against Michigan officials for failing to verify absentee ballots.
Earlier this month Michigan Republicans sued Michigan’s Democrat Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson for failing to verify mail-in ballots.
This was the NINTH lawsuit Jocelyn Benson has lost to the Republican Party!”
LikeLike
War mongering = Ukraine is still an independent nation
LikeLike
Quemala must be having a bad day. The free passers keep mentioning Ukraine.
LikeLike
Zelensky meeting with Harris was an unforgivable crime and Ukrainians must die because of it.
Zelensky meeting with Trump was the greatest political development since Washington was sworn in as President. Ukrainians still have to die.
– Cult Member
LikeLike
Tina still triggered Trump met with Zelensky.
She thinks it makes Putin look bad.
LikeLike
Damm, them lawyers are much more eloquent.
GFY.
LikeLike
Tina yesterday
“No meeting between Trump and the grifter”
Gateway Pundit was wrong as usual.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/president-trump-is-not-scheduled-meet-zelensky-this/
“Big waste of trumps time to meet with the grifter.”
“This could be a deep state set up”
Today:
Greatest meeting ever, Trump very Presidential!
LikeLike
Fox news polls today make the clarity campaign labs Harris +7 nationally look all the more foolish, as they try to pretend she is Obamala Harris
LikeLike
See free passers are still at it.
LikeLike
Mr. Back to the USSR will soon be here to shill for Putin and attack Zelensky.
LikeLike
See free passers are still at it.”
Tina still triggered by being burned by her favorite garbage site.
“No meeting between Trump and the grifter”
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/president-trump-is-not-scheduled-meet-zelensky-this/
LikeLike
NYC to praise Zelensky meeting with Trump on American soil during the election in 3…2…1…
LikeLike
Strongest Counties For Early Vote:
🔴 New Kent +149%
🔴 Bland +142%
🔴 Goochland +119%
🔴 Smyth +109%
🔴 Campbell +98%
🔴 Carroll +97%
🔴 Nottoway +91%
🔴 Southampton +86%
🔵 Greensville +85%
🔵 Surry +84%
Virginia GOP rural voters a flooding to voting locations in Virginia
LikeLike
Free passers just bicker and load threads up with noise.
LikeLiked by 1 person
LikeLike
And garbage, especially when quemala is having a bad day.
LikeLike
According to the faux news polling person, Quemala is bleeding males; Hispanics; and blacks. I don’t particularly like faux news poles fwiw.
LikeLike
She is also not doing so well with the yutes.
LikeLike
BTW, just for clarity, there was no meeting scheduled with Zelensky. It was a request by Zelensky accepted by Trump, seemingly more out of courtesy, as today has been a heavy day of already scheduled events for Trump in MI. I didn’t think Zelensky deserved the meeting simply because of his biased remarks right before an election. However, Trump turned lemons into lemonade, acting graciously but not capitulating to anything but his desire to end the war. IMO, though, Zelensky came away looking small and more like an opportunist.
LikeLike
On that VA county list, both blue counties be flipped. Surry was won 52-47, and Greenville 57-42. Probably only Surry will flip, but if rural blacks do move towards Trump, Greensville and other AA rural SoVa counties would be on the watch list.
LikeLike
a-holes don’t scare me, just the stuff coming from them.
LikeLike
Breaking digital ids are not allowed in nc. Only actual photo Id.
gop sued and prevailed as digital ids can be easily faked.
LikeLike
The criminal migrant numbers are really reverberating around the country, putting a statistical face on how bad the open border is, and how it’s effecting not only our national security but also our personal security. In lieu of immigration, inflation, jobs, the economy being major issues in the upcoming election the inappropriateness of someone coming here now begging for more money will be what is remembered by the visit.
LikeLike
Jan continues to find fault with Zelensky, praises Trump and ignores Putin as the only reason the war continues.
LikeLike
They apparently revised the criminal illlegals to 600,000 (from 400,000).
LikeLike
Sounds like too much wine and weed again.
LikeLike
BTW, just for clarity, there was no meeting scheduled with Zelensky. It was a request by Zelensky accepted by Trump, seemingly more out of courtesy, as today has been a heavy day of already scheduled events for Trump in MI. I didn’t think Zelensky deserved the meeting simply because of his biased remarks right before an election. However, Trump turned lemons into lemonade, acting graciously but not capitulating to anything but his desire to end the war. IMO, though, Zelensky came away looking small and more like an opportunist.”
“Clarity”
Translation: a pack of lies, falsehoods and ignorant ramblings.
LikeLike
Trump:
I learned a lot from my meeting with Zelensky.
THAT is the best takeaway from the meeting.
LikeLike
elensky came away looking small and more like an opportunist.”
Zzzz….
Zelensky came through as the true statesman that he is.
But, hey, your idea of a statesman is Vladimir Putin, so there is that.
LikeLike
Detroit Tigers are first team since 1973 Mets to be 8 games below .500 in August and make the playoffs. Went 31-11 to clinch wild card.
LikeLike
The fight is still going.
Nate Silver:
Allan, you have repeatedly profaned the Keys through repeated ad hoc adjustments you made based on looking at the blasphemous Polls. I suggest you repent now for matters shall only get worse for you.
LikeLike
CNN web content to go behind a paywall.
Bitter as a successful attorney will be able to afford it and share it with us.
LikeLike
OK. I’m just going to ask. What is a free passer? I do kindly request an explanation. (I’m anticipating multivaried responses.)
(I just saw Ohtani hit a mammoth 3-run homer, No. 54. He’s the best player ever.)
LikeLike
when he wins something he can be called one of the best of his generation.
free passer is Tina’s way to get Bitters goat. It’s based on the HHR maxim, “no free passes”…meaning if you come here, expect to be challenged.
LikeLike
RECORD STORM SURGE… Tampa, Fort Myers under water…
‘Uninhabitable for months’…“
How might this impact conducting the Nov. election?
Not just in FL, but also in GA and NC with the flood devastation?
LikeLike
Vic – Respectfully, GFY. I came up with the term based on Tina giving Putin a free pass for being the only one responsible for the war in Ukraine. She also gives a free pass to Trump, literally a RINO, on everything. Tina just turned it around and, like almost everything she posts, it’s nonsense.
LikeLike
None of the other MSM news outlets are covering the numbers of criminals across the border.
LikeLike
bitter – I stand corrected!!
LikeLike
Vic, it’s “no free lunch.”
Now, respectfully, GFY!😉
LikeLike
see what happens when I chime in. I have respectfully GAFM M=myself GA = Gone an
LikeLike
Catholics skeptical of Kamala. May deliver Pennsylvania to Trump.
https://thepostmillennial.com/catholics-skeptical-of-kamala-may-deliver-pennsylvania-for-trump-report
LikeLike
Catholics skeptical of Kamala. May deliver Pennsylvania to Trump.”
I doubt it. According to Bitter, Catholics are fine with a Communist Pope, so they should have no problem with a Communist President.
LikeLike
Greg Abbott
@GregAbbott_TX
These numbers are shocking. If accurate, it means that almost 10% of the illegal immigrants that Biden/Harris RELEASED into the U.S are criminals. It also debunks the narrative that illegal immigrants are less likely to commit crime. We can’t survive four more years of this.
LikeLike
If those numbers are real, they are not only shocking and concerning, but means this administration was complicit in the crimes committed because they didn’t just open the border, they encouraged unfettered illegal immigration.
The Trump campaign, and every Senate campaign in a tight race has to inform, harp, pound, restate and ingrain this in all their ads, literature, campaign stops…etc etc etc
LikeLike
I want LV and RV polls. I think we won’t know who the electorate is until after the election. Every election more low propensity voters come out.
The LV screen will be affected by the pollsters guess of the electorate. Let’s see all the fish heads.
LikeLike
I think you have to flush RV polls six weeks before the election. People know by now if they are voting or not
LikeLike
Illegals
325,000 lost children
650,000 criminals
LikeLike
She sounds like an idiot even from the teleprompter. Who writes this stuff?
https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1839826159401378030?t=mcNj0hGJ2UGkTNoMeEkk9Q&s=19
LikeLike
Pretty Bold prediction with the election still a month away.
Just watched Mark Mitchell from Rasmussen Reports on his YouTube channel, and he stated that he believes Trump will over perform what Rasmussen’s own State polling has shown. He said he is pretty convinced that this is a pretty stable Trump + 2 Popular vote lead right now, and he really doesn’t see anything that is going to change that. He closed by saying Kamala Harris is going to need an act of God.
LikeLike
from his lips to God’s mouth. This time I have to admit, I really don’t believe these national polls showing her up 6, 7 and 8. To be honest, I think in this climate it’s impossible for anyone to have leads that large, but certainly not the person who 60 days ago had a 26% approval rating
LikeLike
Israel appears to have taken out nasrallah
LikeLike
Ma, that Catholic night bait didn’t work.
LikeLike
He closed by saying Kamala Harris is going to need an act of God.”
It happens. Obama got one against Romney, with the hurricane in NJ giving Obama the photo op with Fat F–k Christie, who would sell out his sister to sexual bondage to be on TV.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Illegals
325,000 lost children
650,000 criminals”
We missed Mr. Back to the USSR last night, he would have claimed:
WE ARE WINNING!
LikeLike
LikeLike
I am sure Biden’s Beotch and the gop-e would love to do an amnesty deal.
LikeLike
AP eulogizes Nasrallah….disgusting
https://twitchy.com/amy-curtis/2024/09/28/ap-nasrallah-charismatic-and-shrewd-n2401513
LikeLike
Space X launch today at 1:17 PM
LikeLike
Stop Oil eco-morons who threw soup at Van Gogh painting sentenced to jail.
Oh the inhumanity.
LikeLike
Zzzzzzzzz
LikeLike
NT
LikeLike