RMG Research, Susquehanna, Muhlenberg College, all with ties and Monmouth with a 3 point Harris lead:
 | Trump | Harris |
| RMG Research | 49 | 49 |
| Susquehanna | 46 | 46 |
| Muhlenberg | 48 | 48 |
| Monmouth | 45 | 48 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
33 responses to “Plethora of Pennsylvania Polls”
Frist!
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Dang it, GF !!!!!
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Susquehanna
46
46″
I is a genius.
DW predicted 51-42.
I said no way, it would show a close race, Susquehanna has a reputation to preserve and 51-42 would be calling the race for Kamala.
But now I sprained my arm patting myself on the back.
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I think there is a hidden Trump vote of at least 2 points in the polls.
Remember Trump is portrayed as a baby eating Hitler Nazi criminal rapist predator
It takes guts to admit you are voting for him on the phone considering all the doxing and threats against conservatives going on.
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Biden throws Kamala under a double semi…
BIDEN: “As Vice President, there wasn’t a single thing that I did that she couldn’t do and so I was able to delegate her responsibility on everything from foreign policy to domestic policy.”
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Jason has a phone? Dies the Bishop know?
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They can call me.
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I didn’t get called. GFY.
If I had been I would have lied and said I was voting for Trump.
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Beyond translation…
“The fact of the matter was my polling was about where, you know, always within range of beating this guy. And uh, but uh, what I did was, I think there was, it made sense. There were some folks who like to see me step aside so they have the chance to move on. I get that. That’s just human nature, but that wasn’t the reason that I stepped down. I stepped down because I started thinking about it.”
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I stepped down because I started thinking about it.”
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Postal worker union, you know, the guys that will be handling VBN, call Trump an existential threat.
n the crucial swing state of Georgia, individual letter carriers who are members of the National Association of Letter Carriers (NALC) union, received a letter that appears to be signed by Georgia NALC President Don Griggs, which says in part:
As an extra added bonus, the letter includes dire admonitions that Trump would implement Project 2025 proposals if elected. The former president has repeatedly said he has nothing to do with the project and has no such plans.
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VBM
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I did get called last month by a polling company. They asked level of education and when I answered they said they had enough respondents in that category thank you.
I don’t know if the one room school diploma from the Altiplano was too high or too low to qualify for the poll.
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Ok. So he CAN think.
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The “fake” Harris/Walz campaign indicates there being no there there, including an endorsement by a legit police organization.
https://pjmedia.com/matt-margolis/2024/09/24/law-enforcement-group-backing-kamala-harris-exposed-as-a-sham-n4932798
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An evil person who at least accepted that he deserved his fate.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/texas/article-13891627/texas-travis-mullis-final-words-death-row-execution-murder-son.html?ico=related-replace
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Eric Daugherty@EricLDaugh
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17m
KAMALA: We have to guard that spirit. Let it always inspire us. Let it always be the source of our optimism – which is that spirit which is so uniquely American. And let that then inspire us by helping us to be inspired to help solve the problems.
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I was burdened by that quote.
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Comment on Polymarket..
“I received ballots in the mail for my dead parents. I support Harris but i will do the right thing and submit their votes for Trump who they loved”
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Glad you were right about Susquehanna jason. Just to explain my prediction of Harris +9, it was based on their prior polls of Trump vs. Biden where they repeatedly had Biden crushing Trump at the time when all other polls had Trump way ahead. So I just extrapolated the math and IF THEY WERE GOING TO BE CONSISTENT, they should have showed Harris +9.
So basically they were admitting by their tie today that their prior polling was garbage.
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Quemala also said where are my weed and wine.
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The U.S. Eighth Circuit Court of Appeals issued a mandate on September 20, officially shutting down the Minnesota Attorney General’s efforts to preserve the state’s ban on firearm carry for individuals aged 18 to 20. The decision follows a legal challenge backed by the Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus, the Second Amendment Foundation (SAF), and the Firearms Policy Coalition (FPC).”
Good. If you can go to war and have a family at 18 you should be able to carry a weapon.
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Glad you were right about Susquehanna jason”
My reasoning that they wouldn’t have a blowout for Kamala was that this close to the election they would be declaring her the winner.
It’s one thing to do it months before and then claim things changed, but voting is already happening here.
So to do that they either had to be very confident she WOULD win, which is not evident by any other polling, or they wanted to risk their reputation, after all if you call yourself Susquehanna you are expected to know PA.
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More on Susquehanna
n SP&R’s latest Pa poll, Trump is leading w/ “inflation/economy” voters 57:34, a significant improvement from a 50:38 margin in late July. Inflation is rated the top influencing issue by 45% from a list of eight. Trump has effectively “closed the sale” w/ economy voters.”
In SP&R’s latest Pa poll, Trump leads w/ Republicans 91:3 while Harris leads w/ Democrats 88:4. Independent voters are split 44:43 and as they go, so goes Pennsylvania! According to exit polls, Trump lost Ind’s (to Biden) 52:44 in ’20.”
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Actually, there are more Dems than Rs so if they vote in the same turnout percentage, Trump needs to win Indies more than 44-43.
But maybe Rs are more enthusiastic and maybe the 13% indies who didn’t express a preference are more R than D.
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Of course if only 88% of Dems vote for Harris and 91% of Rs vote for Trump that also helps.
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Latest registration numbers for PA.
As of Sept. 16, Democrats made up 44 percent of registered voters in the commonwealth, down from a 2009 high of 51.2 percent, while Republicans were at 40.2 percent, up from 36.9 percent in 2009. Unaffiliated and third-party voters have boosted their numbers even more, from 11.9 percent in 2009 to 15.7 percent.
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I am always suspicious about polls that drop in the middle of the night:
Marist Poll@maristpoll
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5m
Coming at midnight!
Brand-new data from the battleground states of AZ, GA & North Carolina. See how Harris and Trump stack up in these Sun Belt States!
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NY Times/Siena just posted Trump leads for all three of those states, so lets see if Marist “herds” to their numbers or disagrees.
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I am not a gambler, so I don’t know what this statement at PredictIT means: “The Trump presidential winner contract is at or near the trader limit. You may not be able to trade in it at this time.”
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Margo Martin
@margommartin
Scene outside of Sprankle’s Neighborhood Market in Kittanning, PA to see President Trump. The crowd extends down the street to the right.
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Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh
#NEW GEORGIA poll Trump: 51% (+2) Harris: 49% CBS | Sept. 20-24 | N=1,441LV
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2,609 Views
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New THread
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