SurveyUSA polled 619 LVs in New Mexico on Sept. 12-18:
 | NEW MEXICO |
| Trump | 42 |
| Harris | 50 |
MassINC Polling Group polled 800 LVs in Rhode Island on Sept. 12-18:
 | RHODE ISLAND |
| Trump | 43 |
| Harris | 56 |
MassINC Polling Group polled 800 LVs in Connecticut on Sept. 12-18:
 | CONNECTICUT |
| Trump | 37 |
| Harris | 53 |
Slingshot Strategies polled 500 RVs in Delaware on Sept. 19-21:
 | DELAWARE |
| Trump | 37 |
| Harris | 54 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
118 responses to “More polls: NM, CT, DE, and RI”
Frist
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Been awhile since we saw a lead for Moreno on Predictit
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8075/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-Senate-election-in-Ohio
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Trump only got 38% in RI in 2020, so 43% would be an improvement.
The CT and DE polls have 10% undecided, which makes them worthless for comparison.
But give Trump 2/3 of the undecided and you have him at 43% in CT and DE, better than the 40% he got in each in 2020.
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Hard to see how if Trump gets 43% in RI he doesn’t win the rust belt.
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Such discord… can’t we all get along?
“According to a source who was on a Harris-Walz campaign training call attended by veteran campaign strategist James Carville, Carville went absolutely BALLISTIC yelling expletives at two young Democrat staffers, including
@0liviajulianna who works for the Collin Allred Senate campaign. The fiery barrage of insults included “dumb fat b*tch” directed at Julianna, and “out of touch fag*ots” began when the young staffers presented Carville with some social media videos they’ve been working on to appeal to White male voters. Carville was not impressed by any of them, saying they lacked substance. When a visibly shaken gay male staffer told Carville he needed to apologize for using the F word, Carville told him to take his camo hat and shove it up his ass before leaving the call.
The joy is gone”
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Ok, now they want to charge trump for “giving money to a person at a PA grocery store?” wtf is this about?
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Everyone wants to horn in on the A-holes…
https://twitchy.com/samj/2024/09/24/lefties-want-trump-arrested-for-helping-americans-pay-for-their-groceries-no-really-n2401344
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Trump helped a woman pay for her groceries, he gave $100 towards her purchase.
According to the left, that is “buying votes”.
Forgiving student loans, free phones, etc. is not buying votes, however.
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CNBC: Do you believe Americans deserve to know specifics about Kamala’s economic plan? Should they know what their tax rate is going to be? Harris co-chair Chris Coons: “She’s laid out a broad vision.” CNBC: So… Coons: “I can’t tell you exactly…”
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She’s laid out a broad vision”
So many possibilities with that statement…..
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The fiery barrage of insults included “dumb fat btch” directed at Julianna, and “out of touch fagots”
But remember, the Dems are woke, inclusive, non-judgmental….
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Yeah, Trump at 43% in RI is a bad sign for Kamala.
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ABC NEWS: Attempted Trump assassin Ryan Routh’s son has been taken into custody on child pornography charges.
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And with that kind of role model for a Dad, too…
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Al Smith Dinner I:
Cardinal Dolan:
“We’re not used to this. We don’t know how to handle it,” he said. “This hasn’t happened in 40 years since Walter Mondale turned down the invitation, and remember he lost 49 out of 50 states. I don’t want to say there’s a direct connection there.”
Al Smith Dinner II:
Schumer admits Kamala is a puppet.
Cardinal Dolan:
“Schumer said to me, ‘I don’t think she made the decision, I think her schedulers are saying she can’t make it.’”
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She wants to be President, but her schedulers decided she can’t attend the Al Smith dinner
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and remember he lost 49 out of 50 states. I don’t want to say there’s a direct connection there.”
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Here is what Nate Silver sees in today’s polling: “A reasonably good day of polling for Kamala Harris…”
Oh? She got a Michigan +2.2 poll out of Suffolk, one of the worst, and she has leads in DE, CT, and RI. The Elon U poll of NC is three weeks old, and GEORGIA has obviously slipped away from being competitive for her. Silver thinks this is reasonably good for her.
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More ‘canaries in the coal mine”?
IBT not endorsing Harris
CBS finding only 3 Harris supporters in 3 restaurants in Vegas despite numerous vocal Trump supporters
Hamtramck Muslim Mayor endorsing Trump
A Al Smith dinner snub by Harris
The Busken cookie prediction-but they got that wrong in 2020 which I’l balance out with Lichtman’ failure to factor in Trump’s two attempted assassinations but will factor in JD Vance’s story on pets being eaten…and by the way Lichtman is still claiming that Gore won Florida…go figure.
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RMG has Trump over performing his 2020 Ohio numbers.
OHIO: Trump 54% Harris 43%@NapolitanNews survey of 757 Likely Voters
Senate results tomorrow morning
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CNN basically has it tied Nationally. Not good for Kamala.
NATIONAL poll
🔵 Harris: 48% (+1)
🔴 Trump: 47%
CNN | Sept. 19-22 | LVs
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Supposedly there is a lot of talk about a major East Coast Port strike that might happen. I wouldn’t think that would be good for Kamala. That would back supplies up, and probably cause a major downturn in the market.
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Gallup is finding a R+3 electorate and very positive environment for Repubs.
https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/1838612847716151336?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg
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CNN poll.
Gotta be happy with these numbers if you are the Trump campaign.
🔴 ECONOMY: Trump+11 (50%-39%)
🔴 IMMIGRATION: Trump+14 (49%-35%)
🔴 FOREIGN POLICY: Trump+7 (47%-40%)
CNN | Sept. 19-22 | N-2,074LV
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Since it appears I’m the only one alive here, I’ll keep posting.
Senator Joe Manchin says he can’t endorse Kamala Harris now over her vow to gut the filibuster to codify Roe.
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It looks like Gallup has been pretty spot on, Historically. If it’s really an R+3 environment, there’s gonna be some really big polling misses again this election.
🔵 2008: D+8 (Obama+7.2)
🔵 2012: D+4 (Obama+3.9)
🔵 2016: D+3 (Clinton+2.1)
🔵 2020: D+5 (Biden+4.5)
🔴 2024: R+3 (?)
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I think Komrade Kamala is toast
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Since it appears I’m the only one alive here, I’ll keep posting”
Bitter, I think this A-hole is trying to take over.
What an A-hole thing to do.
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CNN poll.
Gotta be happy with these numbers if you are the Trump campaign.
ECONOMY: Trump+11 (50%-39%) IMMIGRATION: Trump+14 (49%-35%) FOREIGN POLICY: Trump+7 (47%-40%)”
Only because it is CNN.
Because 40% thinking Kamala is better on immigration is pretty scary.
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Bob Casey is so “pro-life” that he wants to do away with the filibuster to pass abortion rights.
Not only that, voting “rights” and gun control and a “host of issues”.
“Sen. Bob Casey, a vulnerable Pennsylvania Democrat, told CNN Tuesday that he supports Harris’ push in order to pass abortion legislation.
“I think it makes sense to change the rule,” Casey said, adding that it’s his belief Democrats should do away with the requirement to address a whole host of policy issues they care about.
“Well, I’ll just say what I believe. I believe for a long time that the 60-vote rule has been an impediment to progress on a whole host of fronts, including voting rights, which we tried to pass in 2022,” he continued. “And in the process of trying to pass the bill, we tried to change the rule. So we can pass voting rights. I think the same is true for women’s rights, workers’ rights, so common sense gun measures to reduce gun violence. So on a whole host of fronts.”
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“Hilarious NPR report on swing voter focus groups. All the voters say the economy is terrible, they can’t afford food or medicine, and that Trump will be better on the economy. In the follow up, the reported tells Steve Inskeep that people are desperate and are talking like it’s 1934. Inskeep says “I know we have to listen to these people, but how much of their feelings about the economy is due to them being deceived by misinformation?”
So NPR blames the fact the focus groups can’t afford food or medicine on “misinformation”
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I am just posting stuff because Scooter A-hole is trying to take over the blog.
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Dems should be excited if it’s 1934; they did exceptionally well that year despite it being a midterm, huge gains in the Senate, and a fair number in the House as well.
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”I am just posting stuff because Scooter A-hole is trying to take over the blog.”
Henceforth, you will refer to me as Vladimir Scooter !!!
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Ok, serpent head mentioned camo hat. I got dejavu of Kerry (2004) getting his hunting license.
The same kerry, who was confused when deciding what to order at Wendy’s.
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Quinn has trump,plus 1 nationally
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Quinnipiac National poll…’
Trump 48
Harris 47
“A slight shift suggests that the Harris crowd is not roaring as loud as it was last month”
August 29 poll
Harris 49
Trump 47
Enthusiasm
Harris -5 to 70%
Trump +3 to 71%
https://poll.qu.edu/
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Furthermore, that Quinnipiac poll has Trump only +4 with white voters. There’s no way he’s up only 50-46 with the white vote.
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Scooter is trying to take over HHR? Not sure he can afford the $20 per year.
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wow–out for an extended lunch and CNN and Quinnipiac drop national polls.
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Got is peasants, gas prices are only up 30 percent not 50 percent.
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First Munchkin and now her?
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”Not sure he can afford the $20 per year.”
When I contacted you, you told me this site was free.
You lawyers are all the same. Can’t trust any of you Bastards !!!
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Bitter, this is what happens when the A-hole Disciplinary Committee doesn’t exert due diligence.
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Jane Fonda to the rescue?
I wonder if “young people” even know WTF she is.
“Young people’s understandable unhappiness with the Biden administration’s record on oil and gas drilling and the war in Gaza should not deter them from voting to block Donald Trump from again becoming president of the United States, the Hollywood actress and activist Jane Fonda has warned.
“I understand why young people are really angry, and really hurting,” Fonda said. “What I want to say to them is, ‘Do not sit this election out, no matter how angry you are. Do not vote for a third party, no matter how angry you are. Because that will elect somebody who will deny you any voice in the future of the United States…. If you really care about Gaza, vote to have a voice, so you can do something about it. And then, be ready to turn out into the streets, in the millions, and fight for it.’
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“If you really care about Gaza….”
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Not good for Kamala.
National Mood⬇️
“The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index dropped to 98.7 this month from an upwardly revised 105.6 in August. The decline was the largest since August 2021. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the index rising to 104.0 from the previously reported 103.3.” Reuters 9/24
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It’s free to the posters. There is annual fee for the platform. You sound like a lib talking about free healthcare, tuition, …..
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Or a Patriot talking about FREEdom of speech ??? GFY !!!
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And it would be an extra cost to pay for a clickable USA map for the polling aggregator. We save money by just having a grid with the state codes to click on.
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You do a great job DW……. but I refuse to pay Bitter a compliment.
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Lol
Bullfinch Group is out with new state polls: 🔴 Florida: Trump+1 🔵 North Carolina: Harris+1 🔵 Georgia: Harris+2 Sept. 20-23 | RVs
Posted
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hahahah that takes the prize for joke of the year
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Bullfinch = bs
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Harris should immediately head to Florida and campaign there. I mean she could end the election by 830pm with a big victory there, followed by flipping Texas for her and Allred. Hahahhahahahha
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Bullfinch=bullsheot
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I wonder if Bullfinch is a pollling firm run by Rottie and the Clinton groupie from the basement?
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Today’s national polling…
Ras Trump +3.4
Quinnipiac Trump +1
CNN Harris +1
Morning Consult Harris +5
Reuters/IPSOS Harris +6
Perhaps time to discard the national polls and concentrate only on the battleground polls.
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Trump looking good in VA so far.
SW VA (strong Trump area) turnout is through the roof:
Buchanan +204%
Craig +230%
Scott + 192%
Smyth +456%!!!!!
These trends have increased since Friday and all eyes will be on whether they continue for the rest of the week
Democrats will be trilled with Fairfax turnout being 398% of 2020 but this is the one bright spot with Alexandria, Arlington, Falls Church and Prince William all significantly down on this point 2020
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wow–out for an extended lunch and CNN and Quinnipiac drop national polls.
DW, I don’t think Bitter was allowing “extended lunches” when he designated your responsibilities here.
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“DW, I don’t think Bitter was allowing “extended lunches” when he designated your responsibilities here.”
I doubt Bitter will care. Like most Lawyers, he is always “out to lunch”.
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Feisty A-holes are the best kind of A-holes.
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The Reuters and Morning Consult polls threw some cold water on what seemed like a good polling day for Trump.
But actually they were essentially unchanged from their previous polls.
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Interesting !!!
Tom Bevan on X
Gallup: First time Republicans have led on Party ID in Q3 of presidential year.
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It appears that trump will spend a lot of time in blue states over the last ma th of the campaign.
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Election2024 Updates
@MadAboutSkin01
Virginia Early Voting Summary To Date (comparison to 2020)
Strong Trump Counties +63%
Weak Trump Counties +58%
Competitive Counties +36%
Weak Harris Counties +23%
Strong Harris Counties +26%
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Added the Bullfinch polls to the history. I guess all those tens and hundreds of thousands registering in Florida as REPUBLICANS did so knowing they would vote for Kamala.
Bullfinch is a joke, and they cut both ways. They are the ones that had Trump +5 over Biden in Washington State back in April.
They are well on their way to a bad grade in the forthcoming HHR Pollster Grades.
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Gird your loins, Monmouth is threatening a PA poll release tomorrow. Their final 2020 poll of PA was Trump 45, Biden 50. Off by 4 in favor of Biden.
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Also Susquehanna will be out with a PA poll. They were pretty good in 2020, but have been hard left so far in 2024, in PA:
Biden +2 – 9/28/23
Biden +8 – 1/21/24
Biden +5 – 3/7/24
They were heavy lean to Biden at a time when everyone else was saying Trump was beating him to a pulp.
So I guess they will show Harris 51, Trump 42 tomorrow.
Monmouth will probably show Harris 50, Trump 44
Just my guesses, would love to be wrong.
But it cannot be a coincidence both are releasing tomorrow. Obviously an effort to set the narrative that PA is Harris’ and its over.
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Strong Harris Counties +26%”
Since the strong Harris counties are probably a lot more populous than the strong Trump counties, this might not be great news.
For comparison purposes +26% in Philadelphia Co. would easily trump +63% in York Co PA.
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It appears that trump will spend a lot of time in blue states over the last ma th of the campaign.”
Trump wasted a lot of time and money in FL in 2020, a state he carried rather easily.
Probably if he had stopped spending money there in October, and diverted the money to AZ, GA and WI, he would be President.
Hindsight is 20/20.
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So I guess they will show Harris 51, Trump 42 tomorrow.”
Don’ t think so. There is nothing to indicate that kind of gap, and that kind of polling would mean they are declaring PA for Harris.
I doubt they want to commit to that whatever their leanings.
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I think they will show a close race.
Let’s see.
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But there are a lot more of those little counties that are strong for Trump. It balances out somewhat.
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Pennsylvania polling is interesting when you break it down into categories of pollsters, which sometimes overlap. Here are the total polling wins and ties, Trump vs. Harris
University pollster polling for a Media outlet: Trump: 2, Harris: 3, Tie: 1
Independent pollster polling for a Media outlet: Trump: 3, Harris: 3, Tie: 2
GOP+Dem pollsters for media sponsor: Harris: 2
Media poll: Trump 1, Harris: 4, Tie: 2
University pollster: Harris: 4, Tie: 2
Republican Pollster: Trump: 6, Harris: 2, Tie: 2
Democrat Pollster: Trump: 1, Harris: 1, Tie: 1
Independent Pollster: Trump: 7, Harris: 2, Tie: 2
Summary:
Total polls involving media in some way: Trump 6, Harris 12, Tie 5
Total polls involving universities in some way: Trump 2, Harris 7, Tie 3
Total polls involving independent polling firms: Trump 10, Harris 5, Tie 4
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Eric Daugherty@EricLDaugh
·
4m
Virginia numbers are crazy for Rs. My gosh. This better not continue if you’re Kamala Harris.
–I will never understand this idea that somehow if you vote early, your vote counts double. If you vote early and you are voting in a strong GOP area, your vote counts TRIPLE!
Its somewhat like the psychology of baseball teams in reverse. The teams throw away games in April without giving it a thought, but then in September, THESE games are the critical ones to make the playoffs!
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I know this is off topic, but since my memory isn’t what it used to be, I was wondering if someone could list the names of some of the posters who used to frequent the old HHR site?
And who from the old site found their way over to hhrphoenix?
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Here is the Virginia map:
https://www.vpap.org/visuals/visual/early-voting-by-district/
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Scooter, the biggest puzzle is Robbie. He was terminally ill with Trump derangement syndrome. But he was one of the biggest advocates for continuing HHR. But one day he disappeared and hasn’t been heard from since. He must be dead because he didn’t post the day Trump was found guilty by the kangaroo NY court.
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Michigan Guy and Chicon were here posting until a few weeks ago when they quit.
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Why did they quit?
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Muhlenberg college also releasing PA poll tomorrow…has to be a conspiracy.
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Breaking: 58 year old Ryan Routh has just been charged with attempting to assassinate former President Donald Trump
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Even VA women are organizing for Trump.
https://www.29news.com/2024/09/22/thousands-women-top-congresswoman-rally-trump-winery/
”CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. (WVIR) – At Trump Winery, an estimated 2,000 women came to voice the same message; Virginia is a purple state, and Donald Trump is good for women.
Rally Virginia brought busses full of women to Trump Winery South of Charlottesville on Saturday, September 21, with New York Congresswoman Elise Stefanik headlining the event. Stefanik said polls showing Harris leading in the state are not the end-all.
“This assumption that Democrats are going to win Virginia is wrong,” Stefanik said.
She and many others in attendance agreed Trump is the right candidate for women. Melissa Robey helped organize the rally and said she believes a Donald Trump win is a win for all women.”
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”Why did they quit?”
Ask Jason and Bitter. It’s the same reason why it’s difficult to keep people opposing stances those two have about mainly one issue.
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Zzzzzzzz. HHR was never a nice place. Tgca made fun of my niece’s suicide. I didn’t leave. Stay or leave. Just don’t whine on the way out.
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I know this is off topic, but since my memory isn’t what it used to be, I was wondering if someone could list the names of some of the posters who used to frequent the old HHR site?
And who from the old site found their way over to hhrphoenix?”
We lost Tgca and San Diego Citizen who posted a lot.
Amoral Scumbag (Wobbles) made it to the lifeboat and disappeared. I think he will be back here election night if Kamala wins.
Michigan Guy left in a hissyfit. Chicon didn’t seem to have any issues but disappeared.
Other old posters:
Corey (Biden troll)
wes (passed away)
dblaikie (would be nice if came back)
pitchaboy (still around)
bayernfan
lisab (died or moved to Vietnam)
hellbelly
msn (went to RRH – I hope I get the credit)
rdelbov (RRH)
brandon
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t’s the same reason why it’s difficult to keep people”
Feel free to get lost anytime.
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And a New York Congresswoman knows how Virginia is going to vote because…?
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Jan, did you know that Oprah was “discriminated against” because the store salesperson told her to consider a $3,000 purse, instead of a $15,000 purse.
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New thread at 8:00 pm.
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Forgot waingro
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November 30, 2009 at 3:44 pm
God, how I hate liberalism. Liberals are complete f***ing morons.”
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doj files additional charge against assassin #2. For attempted assassination of a major candidate for president.
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Tina’s love for conspiracies is not new..
November 30, 2009 at 3:45 pm
I think the Obumbler “un-invited” party guests were planted by the Obumbler. Something sounds really fishy about that one.”
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Seems odd anyone would leave due to arguments. I remember that being pretty much a daily occurrence at the old HHR.
Thanks for posting the names, Jason. I definitely remember most of those names.
MD really surprised me. Still can’t quite figure that one out.
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Assassin #2s case is assigned to judge Aileen cannon.
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Very sorry to hear about Wes.
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Some things never change
November 30, 2009 at 8:22 am
4. Bunu, I sent you on an assignment yesterday. I said report in 60 days, not today.
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MD hates Trump. Now he advocates to elect libs to punish the GOP.
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November 30, 2009 at 11:36 am
jason
You can keep going on your Denial Cruise without me. You have plenty of company. Bon Voyage!!!!!
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Oh no,
https://nypost.com/2024/09/24/business/consumer-confidence-plummets-in-september-by-most-in-3-years/
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November 30, 2009 at 11:57 am
A famous Chinese proverb from 500 years ago says:
“One misguided person with a personal agenda cannot hijack a thread. It takes others who are willing to become unwitting accomplices.”
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November 30, 2009 at 1:21 pm
In fairness to Huckabee, I don’t really want to jump on this parole bandwagon thing without knowing the facts. I don’t think he was going to get the nomination one way or the other, and I would like to see him run against Blanche Lincoln.
But Democrats better not pile on Huckabee. He is probably one of the few Republicans with a record of being soft on convicts and the Democrats have a lot more skeletons in that closet than Republicans. There are lots of Willie Hortons still out there.
November 30, 2009 at 1:23 pm
Jason,
I agree. This issue does not help the Dems one bit. Actually, the inverse is true – it illustrates why GOP elected officials should not act as Dem lites.
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November 30, 2009 at 2:18 pm
Reid is toast. Butter him up baby!
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November 30, 2009 at 3:13 pm
There you go again Wes. You have become a broken record and your act is quite stale. At least you have 1 ally.
When are you going to start your own blog?
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How does Jason have access to the Archives?
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“One misguided person with a personal agenda cannot hijack a thread. It takes others who are willing to become unwitting accomplices.”
Jason, you obviously don’t agree with this quote. Earlier today you accused me of single handedly wanting to hijack the whole freaking site, let alone one thread. GFY !!!!
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November 30, 2009 at 3:16 pm
For the record Wes, I am not even sure what you are talking about but I know that I am extremely tired of your daily rants against Bush.
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How does Jason have access to the Archives?”
Ahhhh, wouldn’t you like to know…
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Earlier today you accused me of single handedly wanting to hijack the whole freaking site, let alone one thread”
I didn’t say you were successful….
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Bitter is feeling left out?
August 30, 2008 at 4:39 pm
KB – After Katrina, New Orleans should have been abandonned to nature. Only Americans are stupid enough to rebuild a city below sea level in a hurricane zone.
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August 30, 2008 at 5:00 pm
So the Gallup poll shows no additional bump today for BHO. That is an incredibly bad sign for his campaign since with the Gallup methodology, he should have gained an additional 3 or 4 points in the last day. Also, Ras reports no change.
His campaign is imploding!
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Just breaking…..both campaigns have now agreed to a ‘townhall’ debate/meeting on a Spanish station….stay tuned.
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